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Aaron Bennett prediction accuracy

youtube · 125,000 subscribers · channel ↗ · Discuss on the forum → · Your channel? Reply or correct → · last call Oct 24, 2026
—
2 of 10
— not graded recently: needs 10
calls with their own deadline resolved in 12 months (2 so far)
0 hit·2 missed
All-time record: 0 of 2 hit, calls made between March 2026 and June 2026. How the grade works
0%
all time, own deadlines (2)
29%
all resolved (36)
32%
30-day direction (31)
53
calls logged
22
open right now
0
flips (30d)

Is Aaron Bennett accurate?

Not graded recently on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com): Aaron Bennett has 2 resolved calls with a deadline they set themselves in the last 12 months, and channels are graded from 10. All time, 0 of 2 such calls hit (0%); they were made between March 2026 and June 2026. 53 calls are logged, 22 still open. 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 32% of the time (31 calls).

How calls are checked · every number below links to the quote and the price

Current stance · last 90 days

▼ BTC → $75,000
Oct 24 · open
▼ TOTAL
Oct 16 · open
▲ NEAR
Sep 29 · miss
▲ ONDO
Sep 29 · miss
▲ AERO
Sep 29 · miss
▲ ETH → $10,000
Sep 28 · open
▲ XRP
Sep 12 · miss
▲ HYPE
Sep 12 · miss

Is Aaron Bennett accurate?

Not graded recently: 2 of 10 resolved calls with a self-set deadline in the last 12 months (36 resolved in total, all time). All time, 0 of 2 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 0 of 1 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 0 of 1 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 32% of the time (31 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.

The record

OPEN BTC ▼ → $75,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Oct 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“So for Bitcoin, I could again, see us drop into the mid $70,000 range, touching 75K. If that doesn't hold, we could drop back down. It's a possibility”
price then $80,623 → still open · watch 7:25
OPEN BTC ▼ · restated 1× · Oct 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And again, I expect us to see even bigger dips of 10 to 15%, even though we're technically out of the bear market.”
price then $81,652 → still open · watch 2:52
OPEN TOTAL ▼ · Oct 16, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think everything going on with AI, I could see a 20-30% pullback in the space.”
price then $2.79T → still open · watch 5:42
OPEN BTC ▼ → $76,000 (conditional) · Oct 15, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If not, I could see us coming back down to the 50 week, which right now is at $76,000.”
price then $81,334 → still open · watch 7:51
OPEN BTC ▼ · Oct 15, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I believe that we could hang out or have a drop to the mid $70,000 range. I think that'd be very natural and normal.”
price then $81,334 → still open · watch 7:18
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 5× · Oct 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“When the market finally understands that distinction, why AI may need Bitcoin, the correction, meaning how much Bitcoin is going to go up, is going to be insane.”
price then $83,026 → still open · watch 6:04
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · restated 1× · Oct 03, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“we broke through the resistance at 80k, targeting $100,000.”
price then $84,642 → still open · watch 3:49
OPEN BTC ▲ → $113,000 · Oct 02, 2026 · horizon 365d
“So, you know, I think Bitcoin can go above $113,000 in the next 12 months, but we'll see”
price then $86,589 → still open · watch 9:05
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check NEAR ▲ · Sep 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think are going to do very well. AeroDrome Finance for one, we've seen a pretty big move over the last month. Also, Ondo doing very well. And also Near Protocol.”
price then $4.74 → $4.06 · -14.3% · watch 7:44
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ONDO ▲ · Sep 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think are going to do very well. AeroDrome Finance for one, we've seen a pretty big move over the last month. Also, Ondo doing very well. And also Near Protocol.”
price then $0.5238 → $0.3806 · -27.3% · watch 7:44
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check AERO ▲ · Sep 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think are going to do very well. AeroDrome Finance for one, we've seen a pretty big move over the last month. Also, Ondo doing very well. And also Near Protocol.”
price then $0.8489 → $0.624 · -26.5% · watch 7:44
OPEN ETH ▲ → $10,000 · Sep 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Tom Lee think $ETH is going to $10,000. I tend to agree.”
price then $2,689 → still open
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 2× · Sep 23, 2026 · horizon 365d
“I think Bitcoin will grow a ton. I think a lot of the top projects will grow a ton as well.”
price then $85,841 → still open · watch 8:30
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check XRP ▲ (conditional) · Sep 12, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“If that happens, hype is going to do very well. That's not unreasonable that if clarity gets passed, coins like hype, coins like Solana, coins like XRP are going to do very, very well.”
price then $1.37 → $1.34 · -1.8% · watch 9:50
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check HYPE ▲ (conditional) · Sep 12, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“If that happens, hype is going to do very well. That's not unreasonable that if clarity gets passed, coins like hype, coins like Solana, coins like XRP are going to do very, very well.”
price then $79.67 → $81.04 · +1.7% · watch 9:50
OPEN BTC ▲ → $400,000 · Sep 12, 2026 · horizon 1571d
“People believe that we can see Bitcoin 400,000 by the year 2030. And what would it take to get there? The short answer is yes. I do think that that's a reasonable target by”
price then $77,279 → still open · watch 8:35
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 2× · Sep 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Long-term Bitcoin's going up. It seems like altcoins really don't give a crap anyway.”
price then $78,456 → $81,754 · +4.2% · watch 11:56
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Sep 08, 2026 · horizon 114d
“I think we have a good chance to get back up to 100K this year.”
price then $78,456 → still open · watch 7:30
OPEN ETH ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Sep 01, 2026 · horizon 121d
“if Clarity Act passes, which could happen this year. And if it does, I think, you know, Bitcoin and Ethereum have a huge fourth quarter.”
price then $2,419 → still open · watch 5:40
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check TOTAL ▶ (conditional) · Sep 01, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“If they do have a rate hike, which again, there's like a 65 to 70% chance there is going to be a hike this month, then I think that could put some stall on the growth of crypto”
price then $2.60T → $2.77T · +6.5% · watch 7:51
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 4× · Aug 26, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“That's why Bitcoin and gold are going up a ton”
price then $79,024 → $84,100 · +6.4% · watch 1:43
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ · restated 5× · Aug 23, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I decided to close my very small, long position over on BTCC. Because I just think that there's a higher likelihood we're just going to go down for a little bit.”
price then $77,734 → $86,209 · +10.9% · watch 5:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $500,000 (conditional) · Aug 21, 2026 · horizon 1228d
“And then long-term, 2029, say we can hit 500k if the cycle plays out as usual.”
price then $78,338 → still open · watch 5:57
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Aug 21, 2026 · horizon 497d
“I told you guys 100k would be next year. Still believe that.”
price then $78,338 → still open · watch 5:57
OPEN BTC ▼ → $53,000 · Aug 19, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think we could see a big move up, possibly a move down to the realized price of $53,000, around 52k as we make in this video.”
price then $69,335 → still open · watch 1:12
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check SOL ▲ (conditional) · restated 2× · Aug 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 53d
“I think a lot more people will come into the space. I think coins like SUI, coins like XRP, coins like Solana, they can all begin to rally again. That's just my personal opinion, along with other coins as well.”
price then $76.01 → $118.12 · +55.4% · watch 3:20
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check SUI ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Aug 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 53d
“I think a lot more people will come into the space. I think coins like SUI, coins like XRP, coins like Solana, they can all begin to rally again. That's just my personal opinion, along with other coins as well.”
price then $0.6922 → $1.16 · +68.2% · watch 3:20
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ (conditional) · restated 4× · Jul 26, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And if the Clarity Act does not get passed, I think this would drive the price of Bitcoin lower.”
price then $65,400 → $78,539 · +20.1% · watch 3:25
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $52,000 · Jul 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Well, the realized price is around $52,000 and change. And that's one of the reasons that I believe we are going to go below this price eventually. Now I could be wrong. And if I'm wrong, great. I hope I'm wrong. I'm not banking on it, right? But I wouldn't be surprised if we see a wick or a week or two weeks below the realized price,”
price then $64,140 → $81,416 · +26.9% · watch 10:57
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $60,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Jul 23, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If we get a pullback back to 60 back to 55 even and hit a new low for this bear market, none of this would be surprising to me.”
price then $65,099 → $84,093 · +29.2% · watch 9:20
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $53,000 · restated 1× · Jul 10, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I can see Bitcoin going down to the realized price, which again is around $53,000 right now. That wouldn't shock me.”
price then $64,162 → $81,754 · +27.4% · watch 4:30
OPEN BTC ▼ (conditional) · Jul 09, 2026 · horizon 175d
“Bitcoin is just doing what it's doing. It's doing what it's done every four years, that would put again, the bottom price of Bitcoin towards the end of the year, if that repeats.”
price then $63,230 → still open · watch 7:36
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $52,000 · Jul 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Could we see a drop down to 52? Absolutely.”
price then $61,560 → $83,624 · +35.8% · watch 1:49
MISS BTC ▶ (conditional) · restated 2× · Jun 24, 2026 · horizon 190d
“Until then, we're just chopping until q4 of this year, or q1 of next year is how I see it.”
price then $61,078 → $64,162 · +5.0% · watch 4:01
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check VVV ▲ (conditional) · Jun 14, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“VVV is one of those that I think is going to do very, very well, especially as AI grows.”
price then $16.79 → $11.12 · -33.8% · watch 5:08
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $50,000 · Jun 05, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I could see us go a little lower. I wouldn't be shocked if we head into the $50,000 range, you know, maybe for a while.”
price then $61,056 → $81,270 · +33.1% · watch 9:56
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 21× · May 30, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think we will see a pullback with tech. I think there will be a rotation to other things like gold, silver, and Bitcoin once this kind of wears off.”
price then $73,884 → $77,846 · +5.4% · watch 12:42
OPEN BTC ▲ → $150,000 (conditional) · May 30, 2026 · horizon 215d
“I'm going to place $10 on this. And basically, this is going to give me $104.44 if this happens. Basically, if we see this amazing market for Bitcoin this year, and we crush $150,000 by the end of the year.”
price then $73,884 → still open · watch 11:45
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · May 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“But in my opinion, it will come back.”
price then $73,461 → $59,577 · -18.9% · watch 2:41
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $80,000 · May 26, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“we may have a push to the upside, maybe we go to 80k, wipe out all of these shorts.”
price then $75,930 → $80,000 · +5.4% · watch 1:11 touched $80,000 intraday, closed at $78,993
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 3× · May 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Okay. So I believe that Bitcoin will go up no matter what, because that's the granddaddy.”
price then $77,616 → $64,298 · -17.2% · watch 2:16
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $60,000 · May 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think there's a higher likelihood than not that we do go down again. Maybe even retouch 60k, which would terrify everybody except me.”
price then $77,458 → $60,000 · -22.5% · watch 2:42 touched $60,000 intraday, closed at $61,056
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ONDO ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · May 14, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“if you believe in Ondo, XRP, and these other blockchains, these other altcoins that will, in my opinion, do very well once tokenization becomes a thing and once Clarity gets passed”
price then $0.3883 → $0.3305 · -14.9% · watch 4:45
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check XRP ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · May 14, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“if you believe in Ondo, XRP, and these other blockchains, these other altcoins that will, in my opinion, do very well once tokenization becomes a thing and once Clarity gets passed”
price then $1.49 → $1.01 · -32.3% · watch 4:45
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · May 12, 2026 · horizon 598d
“Basically, will Bitcoin hit 100k before January 2027? And I am up 10% on my trade.”
price then $80,504 → still open · watch 1:43
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ · restated 2× · Apr 27, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And there really aren't any fundamental differences, which means we're going to go down lower.”
price then $77,371 → $74,449 · -3.8% · watch 7:11
OPEN TOTAL ▲ · restated 4× · Apr 21, 2026 · horizon 365d
“I do believe that the Russell 2000 skyrocketing is a good sign for what is to come, maybe not this year, possibly next year, but eventually for very risky things or lower market cap coins.”
price then $2.55T → still open · watch 5:30
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $64,000 · restated 1× · Apr 20, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Maybe we'll come back down into this range of 72 down to 64.”
price then $75,841 → $64,000 · -15.6% · watch 6:45
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 5× · Apr 08, 2026 · horizon 365d
“I believe Bitcoin and maybe gold, right? Bitcoin, gold, and other fixed assets or sort of fixed assets. Gold isn't really fixed, but you know what I mean. Uh they will in the long run be the beneficiaries of this.”
price then $71,070 → still open · watch 16:10
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ · restated 1× · Mar 31, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I still think there's more room for Bitcoin to go down. I hope I'm wrong, but I'm prepared for it mentally and emotionally as best as I can.”
price then $68,284 → $76,347 · +11.8% · watch 6:56
MISS BTC ▼ → $48,000 · Mar 24, 2026 · horizon 221d
“Or maybe we hit it, you know, in October, and it's 48, right? Kind of too soon to know what that price will be. Maybe it's closer again to 50k.”
price then $70,557 → $77,582 · +10.0% · watch 4:56
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $60,000 · Mar 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Bitcoin hits the 200 week going right here, taking a look at Bitcoin, that would be around $60,000 or so right now.”
price then $70,557 → $60,000 · -15.0% · watch 4:24 touched $60,000 intraday, closed at $61,056
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ · restated 3× · Mar 07, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I had a feeling it would come back down.”
price then $67,263 → $68,854 · +2.4% · watch 1:06
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $58,000 (conditional) · Mar 04, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If I had to put money on it, I still think we're going to hit the 200 week, which is going up every single week at around $58,000 right now.”
price then $72,667 → $66,761 · -8.1% · watch 9:19
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ (conditional) · Mar 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“If there is an escalation in the Middle East, I mean, that could push the price of Bitcoin down as well as the greater stock market.”
price then $68,830 → $68,114 · -1.0% · watch 6:06
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $58,000 · Mar 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think there's still a chance we can hit the 200 week, which is around $58,000 or so.”
price then $68,830 → $73,674 · +7.0% · watch 6:06
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ · restated 1× · Feb 14, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I still think we're going to touch, if not close a week or two below the 200 week, which would be the yellow line right here.”
price then $69,823 → $74,885 · +7.2% · watch 4:40
OPEN BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Feb 11, 2026 · horizon 365d
“historically, when we are at these levels of fear, it just makes sense to buy as long as you don't need the money in a year or two.”
price then $67,083 → still open · watch 5:42
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The badge updates itself as calls resolve and covers the last 12 months; it always links to this page, where every call is quoted and checked.

Updated November 03, 2026.