Alessio Rastani prediction accuracy
—
3 of 10
—
33%
all time, own deadlines (6)
48%
all resolved (21)
44%
30-day direction (18)
26
calls logged
5
open right now
0
flips (30d)
Is Alessio Rastani accurate?
Not graded recently on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com): Alessio Rastani has 3 resolved calls with a deadline they set themselves in the last 12 months, and channels are graded from 10. All time, 2 of 6 such calls hit (33%); they were made between May 2025 and July 2026. 26 calls are logged, 5 still open. 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 44% of the time (18 calls).
Current stance
▲ BTC → $88,000
Nov 4 · open
▲ ETH
Sep 26 · open
▲ XRP
Sep 22 · open
Is Alessio Rastani accurate?
Not graded recently: 3 of 10 resolved calls with a self-set deadline in the last 12 months (21 resolved in total, all time). All time, 2 of 6 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 0 of 2 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 2 of 4 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 44% of the time (18 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.
The record
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $88,000
“those are the right conditions for Bitcoin to potentially rally and take out that September high, which I think is what's going to happen. I'm looking for that September high to be taken out. That level is about 88K.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $60,000
“there is a probability eventually by the end of next year, 2027, we might see Bitcoin down below 60k or indeed the lows we made.”
OPEN
ETH ▲
“this new Dow Theory signal is a very bullish signal for Bitcoin because it potentially increases the probability that a bottom has formed and that a new bull market has started on Bitcoin and Ethereum.”
“this new Dow Theory signal is a very bullish signal for Bitcoin because it potentially increases the probability that a bottom has formed and that a new bull market has started”
OPEN
XRP ▲
“I think the odds are now in favor of potential multi-month rally in XRP.”
“I think it's quite likely we're seeing a three-wave ABC rally. And that likely we're in the C wave of this ABC rally, which could take us eventually to the 50 simple moving average on the weekly chart.”
“So I think there's a strong likelihood of XRP making a likely rally, of XRP making a potential reversal and some kind of a multi-week rally.”
“I think what you're saying is this correction is still not done. This bear market is still not done. We have lower to go.”
MISS
BTC ▲ → $70,000
“So there's a potential move that may happen in the next several weeks towards 70k, maybe just above that.”
“quite significantly. If we're to see a sustained break of the support at 70,500, that actually could mean that Bitcoin is getting ready for a sustained decline, in other words, a strong drop and potential risk of retesting this prior low of February, potentially even taking that level out and falling below 60K.”
“For me, it's clear it's a new bull market. Probabilities have shifted in favor of the bulls, which means that both Bitcoin and Ethereum make higher highs.”
“So I'm with Manuel here. I'm bullish on Bitcoin for now.”
“I actually think that Bitcoin could very well make a new low in the near term.”
“I would love to say why I actually do like Ethereum and why I am bullish on it.”
“And I think the probabilities are that we might see a lower low.”
“At the moment, it's giving the impression there'll be one final move to the downside.”
“that increased the probability that bitcoin could drop to new lows”
“I think likely as we enter 2026, perhaps in the beginning of 2026, we may very well see some kind of a strong bounce or rally towards the weekly 21 EMA.”
“Because of the Dow Theory bear signal, at the moment, there is an increasing or elevated risk of more downside potential. Bitcoin triggered a Dow Theory bear signal much earlier. Before this significant drop lower.”
“So personally, I think that in the next several months, either by the end of this year or going into next year, Bitcoin could likely move into the 140k to 150k range and perhaps even higher.”
“So wave five for me, based on Elliott waves, would be in this region. Okay. That's where I think Ethereum ultimately will go to in the next several weeks and months.”
“I think in the next several months, we could see a breakout above the highs. So I think quite likely we could see a breakout in the next several weeks above that yellow level.”
MISS
BTC ▲ → $120,000
“there's a trend channel from the end of 23, I think, which is heading towards $120,000. And that's the target I'm going for.”
“And I think potentially this could be a sign that in the next several weeks and months, we could move to the 100k and potentially even new highs on Bitcoin.”
“So it does appear that typically when Bitcoin manages to finally rescue itself and get above the 21 weekly moving average, like it has done recently, this is a positive sign. I think it's a bullish sign.”
“Bottom line is the higher probability is that eventually we're going to see a drop back down below support and back down to the 21 weekly moving average.”
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