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Alexander Lorenzo prediction accuracy

youtube · 266,000 subscribers · channel ↗ · Discuss on the forum → · Your channel? Reply or correct → · last call Oct 26, 2026
—
2 of 10
— not graded recently: needs 10
calls with their own deadline resolved in 12 months (2 so far)
0 hit·2 missed
All-time record: 0 of 4 hit, calls made between September 2024 and July 2025. How the grade works
0%
all time, own deadlines (4)
32%
all resolved (20)
35%
30-day direction (20)
34
calls logged
14
open right now
0
flips (30d)

Is Alexander Lorenzo accurate?

Not graded recently on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com): Alexander Lorenzo has 2 resolved calls with a deadline they set themselves in the last 12 months, and channels are graded from 10. All time, 0 of 4 such calls hit (0%); they were made between September 2024 and July 2025. 34 calls are logged, 14 still open. 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 35% of the time (20 calls).

How calls are checked · every number below links to the quote and the price

Current stance · last 90 days

▲ LINK
Oct 26 · open
▲ SOL
Oct 26 · open
▲ ETH
Oct 26 · open
▲ BTC → $350,000
Oct 26 · open
▲ XRP
Sep 24 · open

Is Alexander Lorenzo accurate?

Not graded recently: 2 of 10 resolved calls with a self-set deadline in the last 12 months (20 resolved in total, all time). All time, 0 of 4 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 0 of 2 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 0 of 2 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 35% of the time (20 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.

The record

OPEN LINK ▲ · Oct 26, 2026 · horizon 730d
“I would say an 8x to 10x is realistic For the big boys. So we're talking about ethereum xrp. We're talking about solana. We're talking about chain link the big the big we call them like the mainstream”
price then $11.41 → still open · watch 9:30
OPEN SOL ▲ · Oct 26, 2026 · horizon 730d
“I would say an 8x to 10x is realistic For the big boys. So we're talking about ethereum xrp. We're talking about solana. We're talking about chain link the big the big we call them like the mainstream”
price then $100.95 → still open · watch 9:30
OPEN ETH ▲ · Oct 26, 2026 · horizon 730d
“I would say an 8x to 10x is realistic For the big boys. So we're talking about ethereum xrp. We're talking about solana. We're talking about chain link the big the big we call them like the mainstream”
price then $2,325 → still open · watch 9:30
OPEN BTC ▲ → $350,000 · Oct 26, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think it says three hundred fifty thousand So we're so i'm predicting a forex on bitcoin's price from where we're currently at right now”
price then $80,151 → still open · watch 7:17
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Oct 07, 2026 · horizon 85d
“Bitcoin right now, in my eyes, has like a 90% chance of going to 100K by the end of the year at this point for me.”
price then $83,406 → still open · watch 0:32
OPEN BTC ▲ · Oct 04, 2026 · horizon 88d
“And for what I remember, and I'm probably going to do this again, it's usually bullish as heck. So November, December is usually very bullish.”
price then $85,875 → still open · watch 0:20
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · restated 1× · Oct 02, 2026 · horizon 90d
“I believe there's a 70% chance. There's a 70% chance that we go to 100K BTC by the end of the year.”
price then $84,488 → still open · watch 1:04
OPEN BTC ▲ → $250,000 · Sep 30, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“We did some verbal predictions in the office and I was saying conservatively Bitcoin will go to 250K.”
price then $83,624 → still open · watch 1:03
OPEN BTC ▲ → $300,000 · Sep 25, 2026 · horizon 365d
“Probably going to see Bitcoin go to like at least a quarter million, 300,000 this cycle.”
price then $84,100 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN ETH ▲ → $12,000 · Sep 25, 2026 · horizon 365d
“we're probably going to see Ethereum go to like, I don't know, probably like $12,000 this cycle in the next few years.”
price then $2,692 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN XRP ▲ · restated 1× · Sep 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“The three assets that are going to probably do very well regardless is Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP.”
price then $1.53 → still open · watch 0:31
OPEN ETH ▲ · Sep 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“The three assets that are going to probably do very well regardless is Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP.”
price then $2,688 → still open · watch 0:31
OPEN BTC ▲ · Sep 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“The three assets that are going to probably do very well regardless is Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP.”
price then $84,410 → still open · watch 0:31
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · restated 1× · Sep 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Here's three coins that I'm holding right now as Bitcoin runs to $100,000.”
price then $86,620 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 · Sep 21, 2026 · horizon 913d
“Bitcoin's went to 100,000 and then it's going to go over to a million dollars. I don't know when, by what time frame, maybe two or three cycles from now, but I know it's going to a million dollars.”
price then $86,620 → still open · watch 1:05
OPEN BTC ▲ (conditional) · Sep 14, 2026 · horizon 120d
“When this bank switches on, its clients are going to walk into the same market you're already standing in. And Bitcoin has a fixed supply. You do the math.”
price then $78,189 → still open · watch 2:10
OPEN TOTAL ▲ · restated 6× · Apr 16, 2026 · horizon 365d
“I'm not kidding when I say the next altcoin season is going to be double the size of the last altcoin season because we didn't really have one this cycle.”
price then $2.55T → still open · watch 34:44
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Aug 18, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And when resistance turns into support, this is extremely bullish for Bitcoin's price, which can bring up the entire market when Bitcoin goes up pretty much all coins.”
price then $116,227 → $116,448 · +0.2% · watch 9:49
EXPIRED deadline set by Oracle Check AERO ▲ · restated 1× · Jul 20, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I believe under the hood of this investment, there's 50 X's, 100 X's.”
price then — → still open · watch 0:31
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $175,000 (conditional) · Jul 16, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“when we see bitcoin at 118 000 and maybe it can get to 175 000 we're talking”
price then $118,630 → $113,028 · -4.7% · watch 0:00
MISS ARB ▲ · Jul 12, 2025 · horizon 90d
“it's down 83%. So you'll get like a 4 or 5X on Arbitrum if it just reaches all time high, which I genuinely believe it's going to surpass all time high.”
price then $0.3997 → $0.2962 · -25.9% · watch 8:44
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check ONDO ▲ · Jul 08, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Ondo, you might get like a 5 to 10x.”
price then $0.802 → $1.01 · +25.9% · watch 3:15
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 2× · Jul 04, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I would not be surprised if we break past all time high as we get regulatory clarity.”
price then $107,984 → $114,209 · +5.8% · watch 2:10
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $133,000 · Jun 30, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“And as you can see right here, the model is projecting $133,000 Bitcoin, $200,000 Bitcoin.”
price then $107,146 → $58,625 · -45.3% · watch 17:22
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check ETH ▲ · restated 4× · Jun 28, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If you want like a guaranteed 5X, I mean, nothing guaranteed in life, you get what I'm saying? A very safe 3 to 5X, buy Ethereum. Buy Ethereum. It might drop. But hey, you know, I don't go for those.”
price then $2,436 → $4,032 · +65.5% · watch 6:17
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $114,000 (conditional) · Jun 27, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“the conservative is bringing bitcoin to about 114 000”
price then $107,048 → $114,000 · +6.5% · watch 7:39
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check TOTAL ▼ (conditional) · Jun 22, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“It is very clear that we should have a massive market turndown.”
price then $3.09T → $3.96T · +28.1% · watch 7:45
OPEN BTC ▼ (conditional) · restated 2× · Apr 14, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 730d
“if we have one of these crashes, then it could take a long period of time. It could take 511 to 770 days for the market to crash.”
price then $84,592 → still open · watch 12:08
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $50,000 · restated 1× · Mar 18, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“But the last time we looked at it, it was like 50k BTC is not out of the question.”
price then $82,715 → $106,795 · +29.1% · watch 10:49
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check TOTAL ▼ · restated 3× · Mar 16, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I do believe that the cryptocurrency market, as well as all stocks, all risk on assets are going to crash very soon.”
price then $2.68T → $2.64T · -1.5% · watch 0:00
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Jan 07, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think it's safe to say it's going to go from anywhere to 130 to 200 K. That's my prediction, but that's only a 30 to a hundred percent increase.”
price then $96,955 → $96,554 · -0.4% · watch 7:38
MISS TOTAL ▲ · restated 3× · Jan 06, 2025 · horizon 335d
“So as you can see here, the altcoin season ended here. So we're looking at November and this is like, yeah, this is like November. So it's like right here, right? We look at the specific timeframe. We're looking at November 2025. So we're talking about 11 months, 11 months from today's date.”
price then $3.59T → $3.05T · -15.2% · watch 9:02
MISS BTC ▲ → $173,000 · Dec 11, 2024 · horizon 385d
“So what price does that give us? This gives us a Bitcoin price of about $173,000.”
price then $101,125 → $87,648 · -13.3% · watch 14:06
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · Oct 24, 2024 · no deadline stated, we assumed 15d
“And then somewhere down the line, he launches the Bitcoin strategic reserve that enters us into a power cycle. And then the market ends like 15 days later, the Bitcoin will top.”
price then $68,198 → $76,510 · +12.2% · watch 27:35
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check TOTAL ▲ · restated 2× · Oct 19, 2024 · no deadline stated, we assumed 60d
“Literally in the next couple of months, this is my last big rally call to all of my audience.”
price then $2.35T → $3.52T · +49.9% · watch 12:03
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ · restated 1× · Oct 10, 2024 · no deadline stated, we assumed 60d
“I believe we're going to experience a crash.”
price then $60,326 → $97,276 · +61.2% · watch 11:15
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check TOTAL ▼ · restated 1× · Sep 19, 2024 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I believe that the market is going to go in a free fall very soon.”
price then $2.18T → $2.35T · +7.8% · watch 0:00
MISS ETH ▲ → $11,361 (conditional) · Sep 18, 2024 · horizon 378d
“let's say we move over to the true Orange right the top of the true Orange right here so we're sitting at about right there this will give us a specific price of 11,361”
price then $2,375 → $4,348 · +83.1% · watch 11:58
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Updated November 03, 2026.