Ben Simpson prediction accuracy
—
5 of 10
—
56%
all time, own deadlines (9)
37%
all resolved (47)
50%
30-day direction (46)
56
calls logged
14
open right now
0
flips (30d)
Is Ben Simpson accurate?
Not graded recently on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com): Ben Simpson has 5 resolved calls with a deadline they set themselves in the last 12 months, and channels are graded from 10. All time, 5 of 9 such calls hit (56%); they were made between August 2024 and April 2026. 56 calls are logged, 14 still open. 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 50% of the time (46 calls).
Current stance
▲ BTC → $150,000
Oct 7 · open
▲ HYPE
Sep 1 · hit
Is Ben Simpson accurate?
Not graded recently: 5 of 10 resolved calls with a self-set deadline in the last 12 months (47 resolved in total, all time). All time, 5 of 9 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 3 of 4 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 2 of 5 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 50% of the time (46 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.
The record
“If we look at a 5% growth rate per year, that puts Bitcoin price at around 150,000 USD within five years.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $100,000
“Wait til normies realise we’re not dead and Bitcoin crosses $100k. Generational run we’re about to encounter. Higher.”
“We could see Bitcoin move very rapidly above that but, you know, will that happen before the end of the year? I think it's probably about a 30 or 40% likelihood that we do by the end of this year.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $180,000
“even the 200-week moving average puts Bitcoin at the $360,000 level, right? In four years' time, $180,000, okay? That's a 30% CAGR.”
OPEN
BTC ▲
“I think a more conservative view of sort of $200,000 to $300,000 US dollars is the range that I'm looking at.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $254,000
“but our different calculations assumed from the lows, not today's entry. So those lows pushing a model of a Bitcoin price, in my opinion, around that sort of the $254,000 mark to maybe the $300,000 USD, okay?”
“we could see us in an all-time high point within the next two or three months”
“I think if we get back to the bull market really in gear, the psychological levels of Bitcoin hitting $100,000, I think we could start to see the momentum shift back towards Bitcoin and crypto.”
“All right? That is why it's so popular and that is where the revenue gets created. So Hyperliquid is a buy for me.”
“We're coming out of the end of this bear market into this next phase of the bull market.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $300,000
“I believe Bitcoin is going towards $300,000 in the next four years.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $334,000
“but it gives you about $334,000 if you look at 1.8x in private markets with the NBRV ratio”
“This gives me a lot of confidence that as the market starts to recover and Bitcoin continues to recover, that hyperliquid will do well as well.”
MISS
BTC ▶
“Based on the current market and the way we had a big sell-off late last year, I expect us to probably range here for up to 12 months.”
“Like right now, you know, I'm very bullish on hyperliquid.”
“just got in a negative two-star review from a guy that apparently had a sales call and didn't like the fact that we said XRP might only 2X from here.”
OPEN
TOTAL ▲
“For altcoins, we believe most of the good altcoins should 2 to 3x from here.”
“I believe Bitcoin's going to hundreds of thousands, if not a million dollars in the future.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $180,000
“For Bitcoin right now, our price targets are around $150,000 to $180,000.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $150,000
“For Bitcoin right now, our price targets are around $150,000 to $180,000.”
“My price target for this cycle for Bitcoin based on on-chain analysis, previous cycles, etc. is to about $150,000 and $180,000.”
“My price target for this cycle for Bitcoin based on on-chain analysis, previous cycles, etc. is to about $150,000 and $180,000.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $1,100,000
“That would put the price range somewhere in the realm of 1.1 million US dollars per Bitcoin.”
“we're actually bullish on XRP and we've got a full analysis.”
“Nothing crazy is happening, but yet Bitcoin continues to grind higher.”
MISS
BTC ▲ → $150,000
“I do think around that $150,000 level for Bitcoin is going to be somewhere near the top. And guess what? We're probably not far off that, especially if we have another leg up. We could be there later this year.”
“We haven't even seen ETH hit all-time highs. In fact, ETH is about the same as where it's been the last four years”
“I think we're going to chop sideways here for a little bit.”
“Next year in layer one, Solana, Sui, ETH, very, very bullish on, and I do have still a good chunk of DeFi.”
“Next year in layer one, Solana, Sui, ETH, very, very bullish on, and I do have still a good chunk of DeFi.”
“I do think we're going to need to see Bitcoin go into the, you know, 120, 150, 180 territory”
“Hype is one that I'm really bullish on.”
“My AI players, I mentioned before, Prime, I think is going to do really well.”
HIT
BTC ▲ → $120,000
“I do think we're going to need to see Bitcoin really head into territories like that sort of maybe 120, 130, 150 level even.”
“I believe personally, the ETH BTC, you know, chart will bottom at some stage very, very soon. Things will turn and Ethereum look to go on a massive resurgence in 2025.”
“I do believe it's going to continue rocketing on.”
“I think a lot of people are misunderstanding the supply and demand economics of why Bitcoin will continue to go up and in my opinion, head into the hundreds of thousands in the years to come.”
“But I don't know, if Bitcoin keeps running, when the money rotates back into ETH, I think that's when things will go again.”
“Hopefully the East BTC pair bottoms and a hundred thousand dollar Bitcoin is here by the time this video goes live.”
“Cardano would have to hit beyond Ethereum's previous all time market cap of about half a trillion to hit this price prediction, which I just, it's just not going to happen in my opinion.”
“The idea that he thinks that XRP can get to $12 is ridiculous. XRP would essentially need to get to like the market cap of Ethereum... which is just not going to happen.”
“I don't think we're going to start to reverse that until perhaps Q1 next year in early 2025 based on where we are in the market.”
“we've been very bullish on SUI, which I recently added to my portfolio.”
“I do think we're going to start to see prices start to really ramp up in the altcoin space, which I'll talk about in a second. But essentially, like as we still see new net inflows, we get these, you know, these big FOMO events. We see the US government starting to elect more crypto people around them. Like again, the headwinds are very, very few and the tailwinds are starting to really pick up. So I think right now I'm sort of eyeing off, you know, same with the team, around that $120,000, $130,000 US dollar mark.”
“I think we could be, you know, into a hundred thousand, you know, before Christmas.”
“I do think we're going around that sort of $500, $600 mark.”
“I think Ethereum's going somewhere around that sort of $8,500, $9,000 range. Maybe we get to $10,000.”
“we've sort of landed around that $150,000 US dollar mark with Bitcoin.”
“And then a minimum case, I think we could get over to $6 trillion.”
“I think the only real Layer 1 blockchains that will really survive and do well in this cycle is the next-gen Layer 1. So that would be Ethereum, Solana, also, you know, Aptos, Sui”
“I think the only real Layer 1 blockchains that will really survive and do well in this cycle is the next-gen Layer 1. So that would be Ethereum, Solana, also, you know, Aptos, Sui”
“I think bitcoin could get to somewhere near 140 or 150 000 us dollars and then phase two kicks in”
“if Trump gets elected I think Bitcoin hits $100,000 US this year”
“I think eth will start to outperform so I think the eth all coins will start to perform soon”
HIT
TOTAL ▲
“I believe that's also going to line up with the four-year cycle to push the price of crypto up over the next 12 to 18 months.”
“I believe later this year, into 2024, into 2025, we're going to start to see Bitcoin really start to increase its value and growth based on previous bull cycles, and just ultimately with that four-year cycle.”
“I think these ones are going to perform really well”
“I think these ones are going to perform really well”
“I believe Bitcoin one day will get to 1502 200,00 and correct back to $80 or $90,000”
“I do still think we see you know a really positive Bull Run maybe later this year but ultimately my my my always my viewpoint has been middle to late next year”
“I fully expect Bitcoin to go to 150,000 us maybe 200,000 us and then retrace and fall back 50 60% in the next bare market”
“I fully expect Bitcoin to go to 150,000 us maybe 200,000 us and then retrace and fall back 50 60% in the next bare market”
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