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Rob Wallace | Bitcoin News prediction accuracy

youtube · 18,700 subscribers · channel ↗ · Discuss on the forum → · Your channel? Reply or correct → · last call Oct 19, 2026
—
3 of 10
— not graded recently: needs 10
calls with their own deadline resolved in 12 months (3 so far)
0 hit·3 missed
All-time record: 1 of 4 hit, calls made between March 2025 and May 2026. How the grade works
25%
all time, own deadlines (4)
32%
all resolved (26)
44%
30-day direction (36)
55
calls logged
30
open right now
0
flips (30d)

Is Rob Wallace accurate?

Not graded recently on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com): Rob Wallace | Bitcoin News has 3 resolved calls with a deadline they set themselves in the last 12 months, and channels are graded from 10. All time, 1 of 4 such calls hit (25%); they were made between March 2025 and May 2026. 55 calls are logged, 30 still open. 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 44% of the time (36 calls).

How calls are checked · every number below links to the quote and the price

Current stance · last 90 days

▲ BTC
Oct 19 · open
▲ TOTAL
Aug 21 · hit

Is Rob Wallace | Bitcoin News accurate?

Not graded recently: 3 of 10 resolved calls with a self-set deadline in the last 12 months (26 resolved in total, all time). All time, 1 of 4 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 1 of 2 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 0 of 2 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 44% of the time (36 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.

The record

OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 5× · Oct 19, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And then, of course, that's yet another catalyst that drives Bitcoin even higher.”
price then $82,648 → still open · watch 29:05
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 4× · Sep 30, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I would say very high degree of confidence. We don't even test the lows again.”
price then $83,624 → $77,369 · -7.5% · watch 56:43
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Sep 30, 2026 · horizon 180d
“Oh, and by the way, Bitcoin's going from 80 to 90 to 100 again.”
price then $83,624 → still open · watch 57:50
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 (conditional) · Sep 29, 2026 · horizon 3015d
“median somewhere around 2034, probably between 2034, 2035 for about the million dollar average expectation”
price then $84,346 → still open · watch 20:43
OPEN BTC ▲ → $481,000 (conditional) · Sep 29, 2026 · horizon 1919d
“project out to 2031, you have a median expectation of 481,000”
price then $84,346 → still open · watch 18:24
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 · restated 1× · Sep 23, 2026 · horizon 3653d
“Number one, Bitcoin is going to a million within the next 10 years.”
price then $84,398 → still open · watch 43:19
OPEN BTC ▲ → $500,000 · Sep 22, 2026 · horizon 1825d
“Holding this for the next sort of five to 10 years should see a price north of like 500,000.”
price then $86,112 → still open · watch 0:30
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Sep 17, 2026 · horizon 180d
“And that 50% in six months would take us to over 100K by early 27, right? Just about.”
price then $76,417 → still open · watch 6:17
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Sep 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“it's like there's really nowhere to go but up, in my opinion.”
price then $76,417 → $81,491 · +6.6% · watch 20:52
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,300,000 · Sep 15, 2026 · horizon 3394d
“Bitwise are at 1.3 million by 2035. How do you big institutional players come to these numbers? Well, I'll tell you how we came to 1.3 million.”
price then $75,644 → still open · watch 23:05
OPEN BTC ▲ → $500,000 · Sep 14, 2026 · horizon 1825d
“Holding this for the next sort of five to 10 years should see a price north of like $500,000.”
price then $78,189 → still open · watch 0:12
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · Sep 11, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think time and number go up, we'll do most of the work for us.”
price then $77,226 → $83,773 · +8.5% · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,300,000 · Sep 11, 2026 · horizon 3398d
“And now we have price targets coming out with some big numbers. Bernstein is at $300K by 2030 and $1 million by 2033. You guys, a bit wise, are at $1.3 million by 2035. How do you big institutional players come to these numbers? Well, I'll tell you how we came to $1.3 million.”
price then $77,226 → still open · watch 49:35
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 · Sep 07, 2026 · horizon 3402d
“I think it's more like a million or median somewhere around 2034, probably between 2034, 2035 for about the million dollar average expectation.”
price then $79,112 → still open · watch 21:40
OPEN BTC ▲ → $481,000 · Sep 07, 2026 · horizon 1941d
“So if you do the regression for the full price history and project out to 2031, you have a median expectation of 481,000.”
price then $79,112 → still open · watch 19:51
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Sep 03, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And I was like, 125,000 is a pit stop to a million and 5 million tens.”
price then $81,270 → $84,754 · +4.3% · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $250,000 · Sep 01, 2026 · horizon 365d
“I do think this community is going to be the big driver of Bitcoin for the next cycle. It's this community driving it to $250,000.”
price then $77,439 → still open · watch 0:00
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check TOTAL ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Aug 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And it would certainly underpin, I think, a big rally in cryptocurrencies.”
price then $2.65T → $2.78T · +5.2% · watch 15:58
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 5× · Aug 10, 2026 · horizon 143d
“I think we'll be significantly higher by the end of the year.”
price then $63,970 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▼ (conditional) · restated 3× · Aug 06, 2026 · horizon 116d
“I would be somewhat concerned that if this does follow 2018, then we would eventually lose that $6,000 support. And then that would lead us into the market cycle bottom that tends to occur in Q4”
price then $64,324 → still open · watch 14:00
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▶ · Jul 23, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I tend to think it will hold around these levels, but you know, we'll see.”
price then $65,099 → $69,335 · +6.5% · watch 14:41
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ · restated 3× · Jun 26, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I would not be surprised if we see a little bit more rockiness in the Clarity Act. And we see this bear market continue, which I believe it will.”
price then $60,097 → $65,400 · +8.8% · watch 9:15
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $50,000 · Jun 26, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“You know, we could be in the low 50s, I think is definitely a possibility.”
price then $60,097 → $84,410 · +40.5% · watch 6:40
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $58,000 · Jun 26, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“But my long-term bet when we came into this was 58. We're there right now.”
price then $60,097 → $58,000 · -3.5% · watch 6:51 touched $58,000 intraday, closed at $60,024
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 (conditional) · Jun 16, 2026 · horizon 1095d
“if he wins the midterms and isn't impeached and isn't, you know, summarily shot for treason or whatever, like, then we're looking at $15,000 gold, $400 to $500 silver and $1 million Bitcoin, right? Because that's what balances the books.”
price then $65,675 → still open · watch 39:43
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · Jun 11, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I do want to see the 73 area hold. That's one of the areas I'm looking at fairly closely. Without 73, you really do start to open the door back to the low 60s”
price then $63,626 → $63,819 · +0.3% · watch 30:20
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Jun 11, 2026 · horizon 202d
“Is Bitcoin going to end the year above 100K or below 100K? I'll go above.”
price then $63,626 → still open · watch 62:50
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Jun 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Bitcoin only goes to a million when the US treasury has enough Bitcoins to balance the books. And that's not going to happen until Michael Saylor goes bust.”
price then $63,086 → $62,290 · -1.3% · watch 1:30
MISS BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 2× · May 18, 2026 · horizon 47d
“And then do very well in the lead up to July 4th, especially as it clears these hurdles, right?”
price then $77,002 → $63,144 · -18.0% · watch 8:14
OPEN BTC ▲ → $360,000 (conditional) · May 15, 2026 · horizon 595d
“Even if 10% of that capital decides to leave the closing ring fence by routing into Bitcoin, that single flow takes Bitcoin from around $80,000 today to around $360,000 per coin.”
price then $79,113 → still open · watch 10:49
OPEN BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · May 12, 2026 · horizon 3650d
“But if we start seeing, you know, 10, 20 years from now, you know, deficits being settled in gold and Bitcoin. I mean, Bitcoin could be 10 million per Bitcoin.”
price then $80,504 → still open · watch 26:37
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 (conditional) · May 12, 2026 · horizon 3650d
“Million is easy. Bitcoin can be $10 million.”
price then $80,504 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $350,000 · May 12, 2026 · horizon 3650d
“Even the conservative math, you're talking Bitcoin at $350k. Million is easy. Bitcoin can be $10 million.”
price then $80,504 → still open · watch 0:00
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 1× · May 10, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Bitcoin could be 10 million. We are living through one of the strangest markets in modern history.”
price then $82,210 → $64,963 · -21.0% · watch 0:30
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $350,000 (conditional) · May 10, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If Bitcoin doesn't change as a share of total global assets, you're talking 350K.”
price then $82,210 → $64,963 · -21.0% · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $160,000 (conditional) · Feb 25, 2026 · horizon 309d
“if we apply that growth, then by the end of this year, we'd expect $160,000 if we're at the right on the power law trend.”
price then $67,988 → still open · watch 41:00
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 2× · Jan 21, 2026 · horizon 365d
“there's definitely a space for us to progress up from here over a hundred K. I'm open-minded to a new all time high.”
price then $89,455 → still open · watch 18:50
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $108,000 (conditional) · Jan 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“for me, I marked on that chart, 108,000, for example, would be probably the next point that we would travel to. And that again assumes that we close also this week, which is only a few more days above that.”
price then $89,455 → $76,336 · -14.7% · watch 2:18
OPEN BTC ▲ · Jan 14, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“I think this year is going to be very good for Bitcoin. Just because almost the psychological effect.”
price then $96,952 → still open · watch 8:14
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $300,000 · Jan 07, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I can't tell you when it's going to 300,000, but eventually Bitcoin will be 300,000.”
price then $91,364 → $71,924 · -21.3% · watch 50:30
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 2× · Dec 10, 2025 · horizon 365d
“I feel like things are, momentum is only getting stronger heading into 2026.”
price then $92,015 → still open · watch 8:23
OPEN BTC ▲ → $2,100,000 (conditional) · Nov 12, 2025 · horizon 1875d
“There's absolutely a world where we're in 2030 and we're looking at Bitcoin and it's 2.1 million dollars.”
price then $101,654 → still open · watch 15:32
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ · restated 1× · Oct 01, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think Bitcoin will probably get killed more than gold.”
price then $118,595 → $109,608 · -7.6% · watch 44:10
OPEN BTC ▲ · Sep 17, 2025 · horizon 470d
“So we've continued to produce higher highs and higher lows on route to that target. And I still believe very firmly that we're going to get there. I don't know if it's going to be in the next three months, the next six months, the next year, but that's where I think we're going this cycle.”
price then $116,448 → still open · watch 22:12
MISS BTC ▲ · Sep 03, 2025 · horizon 90d
“And, you know, we should be preparing for a larger move higher here, I think, in the next few months.”
price then $111,706 → $91,278 · -18.3% · watch 3:39
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 · Aug 06, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“And then it's off to the races to a million dollar Bitcoin.”
price then $114,992 → $101,497 · -11.7% · watch 55:52
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $180,000 · Aug 06, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I've predicted, well, I have a feeling that we're going to hit 180,000. I mentioned that to you in April, right?”
price then $114,992 → $101,497 · -11.7% · watch 43:20
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 · Jul 30, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“It'll go to a quarter million dollars and it'll go to a million dollars for me.”
price then $117,840 → $112,898 · -4.2% · watch 56:46
MISS BTC ▲ → $250,000 · Jul 30, 2025 · horizon 154d
“It'll go to a quarter million dollars and it'll go to a million dollars for me.”
price then $117,840 → $87,648 · -25.6% · watch 56:46
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 · Jul 23, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“And that's million dollar Bitcoin. So I think in the medium term, the short to medium term, Bitcoin is well on its way to $1 million because it is being monetized as digital gold.”
price then $118,756 → $108,298 · -8.8% · watch 18:28
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Jul 16, 2025 · horizon 3478d
“I think 10, 20 years time, you know, when the Bitcoin runs out and the price goes to seven figures and beyond, everybody's going to want that ticker, right?”
price then $118,630 → still open · watch 11:22
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $500,000 · Jul 09, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think we hit hyper Bitcoinization somewhere at 0.5 million a coin.”
price then $111,234 → $121,333 · +9.1% · watch 48:30
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · Jul 09, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think the lineup of interest is just paving the way for an Omega Candle. Like, given you know all of these entrants are going to do something, it's really a question of when they act.”
price then $111,234 → $116,675 · +4.9% · watch 9:30
OPEN BTC ▲ → $500,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Jul 02, 2025 · horizon 1278d
“my hypothesis is that the currency is going to fail sometime in the mid 2030s. And so, you know, this, this term runs out in 2028 and the Democrats win and they come in and they, you know, they start doing all these programs that they can't afford and they print money to do it. And, you know, Bitcoin's at 500,000 and gold's at 6,000 or 10,000 or whatever it might be.”
price then $108,850 → still open · watch 18:51
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 · May 26, 2025 · horizon 1680d
“I think, in fact, our official prediction at Bitwise is we'll reach one million dollars by 2029.”
price then $109,435 → still open · watch 15:16
HIT BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Mar 31, 2025 · horizon 730d
“I'm just trying to prove the urgency of accumulating as much Bitcoin as you possibly can right now while you can still get it for less than $100,000. People are going to look back in a couple of years and be absolutely dumbfounded”
price then $82,550 → $100,000 · +21.1% · watch 8:46
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The badge updates itself as calls resolve and covers the last 12 months; it always links to this page, where every call is quoted and checked.

Updated November 03, 2026.