cosasverdes prediction accuracy
—
3 of 10
—
28%
all time, own deadlines (18)
32%
all resolved (40)
50%
30-day direction (14)
39
calls logged
0
open right now
0
flips (30d)
Is cosasverdes accurate?
Not graded recently on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com): cosasverdes has 3 resolved calls with a deadline they set themselves in the last 12 months, and channels are graded from 10. All time, 5 of 18 such calls hit (28%); they were made between January 2024 and December 2024. 39 calls are logged, 0 still open. 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 50% of the time (14 calls).
Is cosasverdes accurate?
Not graded recently: 3 of 10 resolved calls with a self-set deadline in the last 12 months (40 resolved in total, all time). All time, 5 of 18 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 1 of 11 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 4 of 7 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 50% of the time (14 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.
The record
“And my whole thesis for that was, hey, everybody. Yes, my number one price target. I think Bitcoin needs to hit 85K or a little lower.”
“i think bitcoin if it goes much below 85k i think a v-shape correction within a week is exceptionally likely”
“If your coin is a large cap like Solana. From its look left high. It's probably going to go down. 30 to 50%.”
“So middle of January through February 1st, 85k.”
“And I've just showed you how I justified why this not only is reasonable, but it could just still be a green month. It could all happen within one month and then green. Easily happened. 70K Bitcoin like that.”
“if we do get this correction that I'm thinking, I think this could actually, even if we get this small correction from WIC high, that would be a 10% down day on Bitcoin.”
“What was that price? Somewhere between 25 and 30 cents. All right. That's neon.”
“if it simply did the same thing as that other monthly candle we're gonna hit 60k holy cow that is actually more extreme than what i thought”
“i think 83 low 80s low to mid 80s might be my favorite target this target down here is the more extreme case that i could see with no black swan event”
“It looks like it's going to want to hit that 280 to $3 region or as high as $3 and 50 cents. Before it pulls back on a daily timescale.”
“However, that might not happen until after 120K is hit or 140K is hit. Those are the next two levels that Bitcoin would want to pop up to.”
“However, that might not happen until after 120K is hit or 140K is hit. Those are the next two levels that Bitcoin would want to pop up to.”
MISS
BTC ▲ → $100,000
“For the next one to two weeks. I think Bitcoin's going to pass 100k. I think it's going to try to attack that psychological number. Then pull back.”
“one of the most common ways to get rejected is technically a failure-rejection pattern. So that would set you up in-between for somewhere closer to $250k. Maybe as high as $300k, but more likely $250k.”
“If Bitcoin goes up at the end, like it normally does, that's a half a million dollars.”
“If there is a four-year cycle that is roughly where this vertical line is, roughly November of 2025, that line at that moment, if it's roughly four-year cycle, is right at $200k.”
HIT
BTC ▲ → $69,000
“I think I'm going to go hit 69K. 69K to 70.”
“if it breaks down from here, then targets would probably be closer to maybe even as low as 180,000. But your your your max target max reasonable target would be about $300,000, $320,000.”
“if it simply hits the top of this box, OK, it stays in this box and just goes like this. Nothing fancy. No parabolic moves. Zero parabolic moves. Look at this bizatch. That's over 300 K.”
HIT
BTC ▲
“I simply walking up this line until November of 2025. That's one point two five million. So that is a reasonable price target”
MISS
BTC ▶
“Or. It can go sideways. On a two year chart basis.”
“After that, it's in the 42.5 to 45k area. And that would be a perfect monthly pullback.”
“If it cannot hold that, this red, flipped red will push price down and you're going to get a big move down. It will be big. It'll be 52, K or between 42,500 and 52,000.”
“I let you know it's just over probable 60k will be hit and that it'll likely follow this exact price pass if it does indeed get hit.”
“And so that's why I think Bitcoin should do this. Now in my community, I already gave an update on this and I let them know that if it does fall below, here's the obvious target. And it'll take from today, it'll take roughly 10 days.”
HIT
BTC ▶
“I think the most likely thing is Bitcoin bounces around 64, 65K. That's simply by far the most likely thing.”
“The resolution of this triangle is going to probably, it has a high chance of being massive. Massive.”
“Even I think that if Bitcoin breaks out here, it could do a hundred K or slightly more this month.”
“Bitcoin either historically now is either going to charge up hardcore and you're going to have targets probably closer to six figures.”
“If Bitcoin falls out of this triangle, I'm going to make a bold guess that Bitcoin goes all the way below 45K. Not at once, but before it hits 80K. It will have dipped into the 40s.”
“If it's a weekly pullback, Bitcoin will at least go below 55k.”
“which could take us down to as low as 40, but maybe only 52, maybe only 58.”
EXPIRED
AURORA ▲
“I think it can do it on the monthly next monthly candle. So this move on Aurora should be going up to about a dollar 22. 22.”
“So a blue sky breakout is a very bullish thing. That's a great way to get people bullish and going long. And the higher you go, the more and more longs that stack up, and the more you can meet your goal of $500 million in shorts. That would potentially take Bitcoin up to about $85K, would be my guess.”
“I bet it goes over a quarter million this year if we are in a bull market.”
“if bitcoin follows its normal patterns of it does it can't go down if the weekly and daily or daily or above gets above 80 it historically never has it usually keeps going a lot more like as in when it hits this it's only half over or less half than half over historically the first time it hits it it never does it the run is less than half over like significantly less which means like if if this is going to follow pattern we're looking at truly 200k to 250 000 bitcoin or higher or higher”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $33,000
“I think $33,000 at minimum has to be hit, $33,000 and $34,000 at the bare minimum for a pullback.”
“I said, hey, I'm not buying alts until Bitcoin hits the monthly 10. I've been I just I know it's going to happen. I'm hyper confident.”
“So this is an exact target. I mean, it could be, but just so you can remember, 42,333.”
“Before May 1st, Bitcoin price should not make new local higher highs above 48K.”
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