6%hit rate, last 12 months (1/18) on deadlines they set themselves · typical 21%
Grade C: below typical, not conclusive. A summary of the record, not a forecast.
1 hit·16 missed·1 stopped out
Grade from 18 calls resolved between June 2026 and October 2026. All-time record: 2 of 19 hit, calls made between August 2025 and October 2026. How the grade works
11%
all time, own deadlines (19)
30%
all resolved (88)
32%
30-day direction (60)
115
calls logged
27
open right now
0
flips (30d)
Is The Crypto Trading Channel accurate?
The Crypto Trading Channel is graded C on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com), below typical, not conclusive: in the last 12 months, 1 of 18 crypto price calls where they set the deadline themselves hit (6%), against a typical 21% across all tracked channels, which ranks #57 of 64 graded channels. All time, 2 of 19 such calls hit (11%); they were made between August 2025 and October 2026. Counting every resolved call, including ones without a stated deadline, the hit rate is 30% (88 calls). 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 32% of the time (60 calls). The grade summarizes the record; it is not a forecast.
Grade C, below typical, not conclusive: in the last 12 months, 1 of 18 predictions where The Crypto Trading Channel named the deadline themselves came true by that deadline, against a typical 21% for all channels. All time, 2 of 19 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 1 of 13 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 1 of 6 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 32% of the time (60 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.
OPENBTC ▼ → $75,000· restated 1×· Oct 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I still have that other take profit just front running $75k a little bit”
price then $77,992
→ still open · invalidation $82,222 · watch 2:14
OPENPEPE ▲
· Oct 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“we had this high back here. We set a higher high. Therefore, if I pull the fib from the lowest point between the two to our new high, notice where we came right back to tested the seven, eight, six support there perfectly hit the 0.5 fib hit the two one four fib target. So to me at that point, the play has played out, not saying that it can't go higher.”
OPENZEC ▲
· Oct 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“we got that beautiful bounce off the seven, eight, six from that fib that I must have laid out a couple of streams ago. Um, the one thing that I would be cautious of with Z cash right now, um, we never even lost, we never really lost an uptrend or anything here. Um, but the bullish play has technically played out as far as the range goes, because we did bounce off the seven, eight, six, and we've hit the two, one, four target already.”
OPENETH ▲ → $2,472(conditional)· Oct 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“if we do end up breaking through this resistance, I would say kind of breaking above that 24 15, let's even call it 24 20. Uh, but if we get above that, then kind of same thing, right? I assume it would be a clear shot right up to the bigger Stuber fib, which is kind of around that 24 72 is approximately where that resistance starts there for me.”
OPENBTC ▼ → $64,000(conditional)· Oct 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think that we could see some very, very deep corrections that again would be very healthy, right? If we dropped all the way down towards 64 K, that would just be a very healthy retracement because we never have retested basically our support since we ended up starting this, well, since we've set our current market bottom, right?”
price then $81,344
→ still open · invalidation $82,200 · watch 10:20
OPENDOGE ▲
· Oct 27, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“doge looks very similar to hype. Right. It's, um, just the fact that we are retesting a major support level and this is actually very clean structure... but it is still technically support.”
“Just front running my Stuber fib on that bigger swing I was showing earlier. So just a little above 78K is an order. And then just front running 75K a little bit as well.”
OPENBTC ▼ → $53,000(conditional)· Oct 23, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“But the possibility that Bitcoin goes and actually retest that swing support down around 64K, even all the way down to 53K would be totally fair game for swing fail on a macro time frame macro scale on kind of the daily, the weekly chart, that sort of thing.”
OPENBTC ▼ (conditional)· Oct 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I want to add to the short a little bit just cuz we're in this swing fail pocket, right? So, we really don't have to go too much higher for me to get stopped out. So, I just want to make sure I add a little bit here.”
price then $81,416
→ still open · invalidation $85,133 · watch 0:35
OPENBTC ▼ → $64,000(conditional)· Oct 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think it's more likely, um, let's say zooming out to the daily. I think it's more likely that we would end up, and this is, this is a big, if you guys, I don't want to trigger anybody, but a very healthy pullback would put us back down at around 64 K.”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ → $78,000· Oct 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I still have those targets set much lower that I have not adjusted yet. Like I've been saying my last few streams, basically targeting just above 78K, and then my next target would be just above 75K.”
OPENHYPE ▼ → $70.00(conditional)· Oct 13, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I don't really see much for support until down around $80 and 50 cents. And that goes down to about $71 basically $70. If we drop $70, then I'm going to be locking in the rest of my profits on that long finally.”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ → $78,000(conditional)· restated 2×· Oct 13, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Basically my next target is down closer to 78K. And from that, from there, if I happen to get even more bearish momentum out of this, then my next one would be about 75K, just kind of front running the next major support zones that I see for Bitcoin.”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ → $78,000(conditional)· Oct 06, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“If we do end up getting the rejection and the remainder of my position ends up turning into a nice juicy runner, that's where I'm starting to consider the possibilities of the price actually dropping below 80k. I don't know for sure if that's going to happen, but just as far as a typical rejection goes being we lost the micro trend up here. If we end up uh going to the downside here and losing our local support of the smaller range, at that point kind of assume that we are retesting support of the bigger swing and that swing kind of began down here around 75k. So, that brings uh the super fib, kind of the 786, the start of potential support around 77.6k approximately. So, it's still very possible that we drop below 80k.”
OPENBTC ▼ → $64,000· Oct 03, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“I think that would be one of the most healthy things that Bitcoin could do would be actually dropping to about 64 K because that then we at least have a retest of our support level down here.”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckDOGE ▼ → $0.0846(conditional)· Oct 03, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think it's likely that we drop to the bigger swing support, which would start at around, well, 84.6 cents somewhere in there, but, um, or sorry, sorry, not 86 cents, 8, 8.46 cents.”
“Like I've been saying for a while now, it's still, whether or not it does happen, it's still very possible that we see significantly lower prices on Bitcoin in the coming months.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckETH ▼ (conditional)· Sep 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“especially if we end up dropping these levels, um, you know, dropping below 2350, for example, I think that there's room for that further downside and just kind of retrace the previous move.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ (conditional)· Sep 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“it's still very possible that the price does end up coming right back up to the Stuber fib. So if it does, I'm planning to just ladder into another short basically and see what happens there.”
“I'm personally leaning towards one more flush to the downside, but I don't know if it's going to be right now, or we're going to trend a little bit higher or whatever.”
price then $78,539
→ $80,888 · +3.0% · watch 13:57
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckETH ▲
· Aug 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Ethereum continued pushing and actually broke another major resistance level while taking my long from yesterday with it.”
OPENBTC ▼ → $57,800· Aug 19, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I would still think that it would be much healthier for Bitcoin overall to end up coming down and retesting these support levels, uh, way at the bottom of the range down around 60 K and actually even a little bit lower. Um, just the fact that these, ever since getting this nice pump to the upside, setting our lows at just below 58 K it's actually about 57.”
MISSBTC ▼ → $28,000(conditional)· Aug 13, 2026 · horizon 60d
“I personally think the bear market low will be between 40 and 28,000 us dollars. I could be wrong about that. If we break a lower highway before that, then I'll just react to structure as it comes.”
price then $63,491
→ $81,850 · +28.9% · watch 26:13
OPENBTC ▼ → $60,000· restated 2×· Aug 12, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
MISSBTC ▼ → $60,000(conditional)· Aug 10, 2026 · horizon 51d
“it would make perfect sense to still see us come back down and retest somewhere around 60 K or even lower.”
price then $63,970
→ $83,624 · +30.7% · watch 8:18
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ → $80,000(conditional)· Aug 06, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“And at that point, if we break through major resistance, then yeah, it's very possible that we start targeting back up towards 80k, retesting this whole swing.”
price then $64,324
→ $80,000 · +24.4% · watch 7:03touched $80,000 intraday, closed at $78,993
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckHYPE ▼ · restated 1×· Aug 01, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I actually have two more additional laddered entries in this pocket down here that I'm hoping get filled on this last push to the downside.”
“Well, even since before the October 10th crash, I've been talking about the possibility of dropping all the way towards 40k coming up this October 2026.”
price then $66,556
→ $77,582 · +16.6% · watch 5:10
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ · restated 1×· Jul 15, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I do still think that we go significantly lower.”
“I had warned that I thought that the top for the market could be in. And if that was the case, I would be targeting around 40k for this coming up October.”
price then $63,819
→ $77,582 · +21.6% · watch 3:09
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ (conditional)· Jul 06, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“as long as they are short or building those shorts, that's where I would expect the price to keep climbing”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckSOL ▼ (conditional)· Jul 01, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I had laid it out for my VIPs in the telegram that if we ended up closing this red candle on the four hourly, that I would be taking a short and that is exactly what I did.”
“I've been talking about the potential of hitting the Stuber fib, which would be around, well, basically from 40 down to 28k. But I have been targeting that for a little later in the year, more so end of September, early October.”
price then $60,024
→ $84,880 · +41.4% · watch 3:38
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ (conditional)· Jul 01, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“If we end up shooting down to the next weekly levels, I mean, we could see a very harsh dump to the downside.”
“You guys know I've been talking for a while now about the bottom potentially being in October around 40k.”
price then $58,625
→ $77,582 · +32.3% · watch 3:57
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckSOL ▼ → $66.30(conditional)· restated 1×· Jun 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I do think that Solana has room to go to the downside cause we're just kind of getting, uh, close to my first target on that kind of a setup. And then the second target would be, uh, down around $66 and 30 cents if it was to end up playing that range.”
price then $75.16
→ $121.99 · +62.3% · watch 16:27
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckHYPE ▲ · restated 10×· Jun 25, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Basically, hype is one of those coins that I'm quite bullish on hype overall. I think that it'll continue to do well.”
VOIDBTC ▼ → $40,000(conditional)· Jun 20, 2026 · horizon 102d
“If we end up dropping this white line here, I just see no reason why my original theory about dropping down towards 40k for the end of September, early October kind of a thing. I still have a gut feeling that we are heading towards that price level at that time.”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckETH ▲ → $1,779· restated 1×· Jun 18, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“So just on that last four hour candle, absolutely perfect. So first target there would be about 1779.”
price then $1,711
→ $1,779 · +4.0% · watch 10:29touched $1,779 intraday, closed at $1,728
VOIDdeadline set by Oracle CheckSOL ▲ (conditional)· restated 2×· Jun 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I would say below $69 and 60 cents or a little X room below $69 and 50 cents. Um, that's where I would start to think that it's very possible. We're going to come retest the support near the bottom of the range there.”
VOIDdeadline set by Oracle CheckETH ▲ (conditional)· Jun 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“if the micro trend is going to hold, I wouldn't really want to see us drop below 1707 approximately call it 1705. Uh, there's actually probably a little extra wiggle room there. Let's actually pull a fib to look for some fake out room. Okay. So it's actually more so below 1685, right?”
“Let's even give it some wiggle room and call it 50k. But I do think it's very possible that we end up dropping lower. Not that it has to happen, but to say that it's not possible or to say that it's silly to think the price can go lower. I mean, that's ridiculous. Anything is possible. The four year cycle has not been broken yet either. So, and”
“I think it's very possible that we end up seeing Bitcoin around $40,000 to even $30,000 by next October, which would be in the next few months here, basically.”
price then $60,885
→ $77,369 · +27.1% · watch 0:00
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ · restated 2×· Jun 04, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“there was really no reason at that point that we had to go higher. At that point, I start targeting lower into the bigger range, right?”
MISSBTC ▼ → $40,000(conditional)· Jun 03, 2026 · horizon 150d
“Is it possible we hit my 64.8k Stuber Fib support or maybe even see new lows and continue toward my original 40k October bear market target?”
price then $64,143
→ $77,582 · +20.9% · watch 0:05
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckINJ ▼ → $6.55(conditional)· Jun 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“if this does end up pulling back, basically I would expect support to start around $6 and 50 cents, actually just slightly higher, even call it $6 and 55 cents”
“I think 40k in October is very possible. Is it probable? Maybe not, but possible? Absolutely.”
price then $74,449
→ $77,582 · +4.2% · watch 18:05
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ → $98,000· May 26, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I wouldn't be too surprised to see us end up testing the weekly and that's significantly higher because that lower high on the weekly and the lower high trend on the weekly has not been broken yet. But that level is currently at 98k.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲
· May 23, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“The fact that we're still holding this, a bounce from here is totally reasonable, because we have not broke the uptrend on the daily yet.”
price then $76,752
→ $64,020 · -16.6% · watch 2:13
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckNEAR ▲ · restated 2×· May 23, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“That is a huge bullish warning to me, you know, when we get those again, just a swing fail, right? We had a swing fail of support. So it's on the bullish side of things and just a beautiful push”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckHYPE ▼ (conditional)· restated 1×· May 23, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Um so, if we especially if we close this candle red, yeah, it's absolutely possible that we end up getting a uh a bit of a correction to the downside.”
“that gut feeling that we could see significantly lower prices near, let's say, the end of September, early October, if the typical four-year cycle is going to play out again.”
“I still have that gut feeling that we could see significantly lower prices near, let's say the end of September, early October, if the typical four year cycle is going to play out again.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ → $90,000· restated 2×· May 12, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And so for me currently, the fact that we're closing daily candles above 80k, I see no reason why we couldn't end up flying up towards 90k.”
price then $80,504
→ $63,626 · -21.0% · watch 2:44
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ → $120,000(conditional)· Nov 02, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“if we end up climbing, I would still expect some sort of reaction at this level here, starting at about 120,000, but that could go all the way up to about 127,000”
price then $110,541
→ $78,741 · -28.8% · watch 2:19
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ (conditional)· Sep 14, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 14d
“I just opened up a very small Bitcoin short right now. Just because of what I talked about in my video yesterday, you guys, we're testing all time highs now.”
VOIDdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ (conditional)· Sep 13, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“as long as we're staying above 112, I think this trend looks very healthy. If we lose that, I still think it's possible at that point, we would retest the support”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckDOGE ▲
· Sep 09, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“I would expect this to end up, you know, retesting macro resistance, which the seven, eight, six would be around 59 cents.”
price then $0.2406
→ $0.0862 · -64.2% · watch 42:50
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ → $101,000· Sep 09, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“part of me is expecting that we test this full range stuber fib, which would be significantly lower, kind of targeting closer to 104 K, uh, down towards 101 K.”
price then $111,546
→ $101,000 · -9.4% · watch 3:20touched $101,000 intraday, closed at $101,497
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ → $118,400· Sep 05, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Let's call it 118.4 thousand, even slightly lower. I mean, I think that would still be very healthy and just basically retesting this moving average, basically.”
price then $110,660
→ $118,400 · +7.0% · watch 9:01
“I was talking about the possibility last stream that it works its way up towards $250. I really have a feeling that in the next couple of weeks, we're going to see it.”
price then $203.36
→ $250.00 · +22.9% · watch 16:04touched $250.00 intraday, closed at $247.50
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckDOGE ▲ → $0.23· Sep 04, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“target two would be the 214 and that would be up around 23 cents so that is still looking good in my opinion”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckSOL ▼ (conditional)· restated 1×· Aug 26, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“if we end up getting up there, understand that all time highs is not necessarily guaranteed because structure has changed here. We don't have a nice, healthy uptrend anymore.”
price then $195.86
→ $138.44 · -29.3% · watch 52:41
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckSUI ▲ → $4.58(conditional)· Aug 26, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“if we are going to retest the top of the range, we would be looking at somewhere more up around $4.58 up towards, call it $4.95.”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ (conditional)· restated 1×· Aug 26, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“if this micro downtrend is going to continue with this low, lower, low, lower high, we would be looking at this sort of a range. And it would be favoring the downside”
price then $111,763
→ $88,300 · -21.0% · watch 6:48
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