17%hit rate, last 12 months (2/12) on deadlines they set themselves · typical 21%
Grade C: below typical, not conclusive. A summary of the record, not a forecast.
2 hit·10 missed
Grade from 12 calls resolved between November 2025 and October 2026. All-time record: 2 of 20 hit, calls made between September 2024 and October 2026. How the grade works
10%
all time, own deadlines (20)
18%
all resolved (60)
49%
30-day direction (39)
73
calls logged
15
open right now
0
flips (30d)
Is Drew Weidert Basement accurate?
Drew Weidert Basement is graded C on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com), below typical, not conclusive: in the last 12 months, 2 of 12 crypto price calls where they set the deadline themselves hit (17%), against a typical 21% across all tracked channels, which ranks #37 of 64 graded channels. All time, 2 of 20 such calls hit (10%); they were made between September 2024 and October 2026. Counting every resolved call, including ones without a stated deadline, the hit rate is 18% (60 calls). 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 49% of the time (39 calls). The grade summarizes the record; it is not a forecast.
Grade C, below typical, not conclusive: in the last 12 months, 2 of 12 predictions where Drew Weidert Basement named the deadline themselves came true by that deadline, against a typical 21% for all channels. All time, 2 of 20 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 0 of 7 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 2 of 13 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 49% of the time (39 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.
OPENBTC ▼ → $70,000(conditional)· Oct 30, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“if we lose this current volume node shelf, which price is right around $77,000 for this volume node, if we lose this, it's a very fast way to move that cavern down to about $70,000”
OPENXRP ▲ (conditional)· restated 1×· Sep 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“xrp in this base case scenario i do think xrp can hold around the number five position i do think that and what does it have to be price wise for 330”
OPENADA ▲
· Sep 05, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I do think Cardano will rally. It's about from where. You know. Cardano. It's like. I remember I looked at that. All right. So here's our plan for. Let's talk about this first and then I'll go talk about Cardano.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckVVV ▲ → $21.00· Aug 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 2d
“It's going to go to 21, and then the question is, does it blow through it and get into price discovery, or does it come right back down? I don't know. Yeah. I mean, this is a tough one, because it's under a billion-dollar market cap.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ → $190,000· Jul 31, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“The top somewhere around 200 to 220. And a diminished loss from that moment. Honestly, man, like, you know, let's say we just let's undersell it and say we get to like 190.”
price then $62,888
→ $77,992 · +24.0% · watch 9:38
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ → $65,000· Jan 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“The price target for the back up the truck moment for me in this current season is right around $65,000 per Bitcoin.”
price then $84,650
→ $65,000 · -23.2% · watch 3:20
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ (conditional)· Jan 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“The main thing you need to know about Bitcoin. Is that if that price hits. At or below the production cost of $74,000. It's back up the truck time. It's back up the truck time.”
price then $91,100
→ $69,289 · -23.9% · watch 19:42
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckZEC ▼ → $300.00· Jan 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I woke up at 5 a.m. And started trading because I thought it was going to go to 300. Literally.”
price then $421.96
→ $300.00 · -28.9% · watch 25:35touched $300.00 intraday, closed at $303.07
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ → $150,000· Dec 10, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“But, on the Bitcoin side, I really don't think we're that far away from $150,000.”
price then $92,015
→ $69,949 · -24.0% · watch 3:11
“going to send Bitcoin skyrocketing past $200,000 and I'm taking in life-changing gains along the way.”
price then $118,756
→ $87,648 · -26.2% · watch 0:33
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckETH ▲ → $6,000· Jul 22, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“predictions are calling for ten thousand dollars or more by late 2025 i'm conservatively looking at six thousand dollars as an easy potential for eat in this cycle”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼
· Apr 21, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 70d
“I am of the opinion, actually, that we are more closely relating Bitcoin's price to the 108-day lag time, which gives us another chance for a bounce back down”
price then $87,516
→ $107,146 · +22.4% · watch 5:48
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲
· Apr 07, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“we have plenty of room to run in terms of Bitcoin and the price, in my opinion, because these averages are moving further away from each other”
price then $79,163
→ $97,030 · +22.6% · watch 7:00
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckTOTAL ▲ → $3T· Mar 25, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Coming back on up to $3 trillion, which looks like a pretty important move for crypto, showing us that this market is indeed not over with.”
EXPIREDdeadline set by Oracle CheckMORPHO ▲
· Mar 11, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“But then beyond that, Chainlink, Ondo, Morpho, and Aerodrome. These are my chosen coins of this bull market for a litany of different reasons. But these are the easiest winners that I have in my bag.”
EXPIREDdeadline set by Oracle CheckONDO ▲
· Mar 11, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“But then beyond that, Chainlink, Ondo, Morpho, and Aerodrome. These are my chosen coins of this bull market for a litany of different reasons. But these are the easiest winners that I have in my bag.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckLINK ▲
· Mar 11, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“But then beyond that, Chainlink, Ondo, Morpho, and Aerodrome. These are my chosen coins of this bull market for a litany of different reasons. But these are the easiest winners that I have in my bag.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ → $150,000· Feb 24, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“we are coiling and getting ready, in my opinion, to spring into this next Fibonacci zone, which the top end comes in at around $150,000.”
price then $91,553
→ $109,004 · +19.1% · watch 3:30
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckETH ▲
· Feb 13, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Ethereum had a major, major nod from 21 shares on the ETF, potentially bringing out staked Ethereum ETFs, which I think is just the hyper fuel we need to see a true bull market really ensue.”
EXPIREDdeadline set by Oracle CheckONDO ▲ → $34.78· Feb 07, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“midpoint of my price prediction comes around $100 billion, where it starts flirting in the maybe number 13, number 12 spot of the altcoin peak. That brings the price above the $30 level coming in at $34.78.”
EXPIREDdeadline set by Oracle CheckONDO ▲ → $17.34· Feb 07, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“minimum portion of my price projection at around $50 billion. That ends up turning into an 11X from where its current price is right now at $1.40, coming out at $17.34 a unit.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▶ · restated 1×· Feb 06, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Honestly, in my opinion, it's extremely healthy to see Bitcoin range from $90,000 to $100,000 for some time to give us time to pack our bags for the moon.”
“And of course, Solana made out of San Francisco, currently writhing here at about $170, $180, presenting an insane buying opportunity. For everyone that actually knows where this market is going over the next year”
“I'm feeling like we have a little bit more time to stack altcoins for that good upside in 2025. But I am absolutely taking everything off of the table by the end of 2025”
price then $97,763
→ $87,648 · -10.3% · watch 3:45
EXPIREDdeadline set by Oracle CheckONDO ▲ → $1.50· Feb 03, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Ondo, again, one of the great performers and bouncing back hard, bouncing back up, trying to get to $1.50 already once again.”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ → $77,000(conditional)· Jan 10, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“we've definitely highlighted we could see a drop down to $77,000 if this plays out as it's showing.”
price then $94,726
→ $77,000 · -18.7% · watch 1:10touched $77,000 intraday, closed at $82,933
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckAVA ▲
· Jan 09, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“AVA looking very, very incredible. Honestly, you have a original surge and original pump because it pumps, it gets released into the right timeframe.”
“Now, when I look at the overall velocity of the market in the Fibonacci price performance model, I did expect us to come up to the $200,000 to $240,000 price level for Bitcoin with these new narratives.”
MISSBTC ▲ → $140,000(conditional)· Dec 27, 2024 · horizon 35d
“we are going to see fireworks in the month of january breaking us in to the next set of the fibonacci sequence of the 1.618 to the 2.618 that brings us to prices up into the 140 000 level”
price then $94,299
→ $102,430 · +8.6% · watch 5:52
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckJUP ▲
· Dec 26, 2024 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Now, we've formed a pretty good looking bottom at 85 cents. And I do believe that this will, in general, look like a higher low when all is said and done.”
price then $0.8363
→ $0.9712 · +16.1% · watch 4:21
EXPIREDMORPHO ▲ → $43.00· Dec 24, 2024 · horizon 311d
“Let's cook this up to $10 billion. That brings the price to $43 a unit or a 16X from its current evaluation.”
EXPIREDONDO ▲ → $25.95(conditional)· Dec 20, 2024 · horizon 376d
“check out what the market cap would look like at $85 billion with a generous accounting of the circulating supply to come. That brings the token price to $25.95 a unit”
EXPIREDONDO ▲ → $16.00(conditional)· Dec 20, 2024 · horizon 376d
“if Ondo accomplished a $50 billion market cap at a generous 3.3 billion circulating tokens. That would be an upside of an 8.7x, bringing each token to $16 a unit.”
EXPIREDdeadline set by Oracle CheckAERO ▲
· Oct 23, 2024 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Now, of course, it's no surprise that such a project is going to do well and likely going to be an overperformer in this cycle that is set to take off this November.”
“I am confident that Avalanche can reach a $200 per token price mark in this bull market, hitting new all-time highs during the peak of this bull run.”