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Drew Weidert Basement prediction accuracy

youtube · 82,400 subscribers · channel ↗ · Discuss on the forum → · Your channel? Reply or correct → · last call Oct 30, 2026
C
last 12 mo
17% hit rate, last 12 months (2/12)
on deadlines they set themselves · typical 21%
Grade C: below typical, not conclusive. A summary of the record, not a forecast.
2 hit·10 missed
Grade from 12 calls resolved between November 2025 and October 2026. All-time record: 2 of 20 hit, calls made between September 2024 and October 2026. How the grade works
10%
all time, own deadlines (20)
18%
all resolved (60)
49%
30-day direction (39)
73
calls logged
15
open right now
0
flips (30d)

Is Drew Weidert Basement accurate?

Drew Weidert Basement is graded C on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com), below typical, not conclusive: in the last 12 months, 2 of 12 crypto price calls where they set the deadline themselves hit (17%), against a typical 21% across all tracked channels, which ranks #37 of 64 graded channels. All time, 2 of 20 such calls hit (10%); they were made between September 2024 and October 2026. Counting every resolved call, including ones without a stated deadline, the hit rate is 18% (60 calls). 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 49% of the time (39 calls). The grade summarizes the record; it is not a forecast.

How calls are checked · every number below links to the quote and the price

Current stance · last 90 days

▼ BTC → $70,000
Oct 30 · open
▲ CSPR
Oct 27 · open
▼ ZEC
Oct 27 · open
▲ XRP
Sep 22 · open
▲ HYPE → $600.00
Sep 22 · open
▲ TOTAL → $15T
Sep 22 · open
▲ ADA
Sep 5 · open
▲ VVV → $21.00
Aug 28 · miss

Is Drew Weidert Basement accurate?

Grade C, below typical, not conclusive: in the last 12 months, 2 of 12 predictions where Drew Weidert Basement named the deadline themselves came true by that deadline, against a typical 21% for all channels. All time, 2 of 20 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 0 of 7 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 2 of 13 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 49% of the time (39 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.

The record

OPEN BTC ▼ → $70,000 (conditional) · Oct 30, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“if we lose this current volume node shelf, which price is right around $77,000 for this volume node, if we lose this, it's a very fast way to move that cavern down to about $70,000”
price then $77,369 → still open · watch 41:40
OPEN CSPR ▲ (conditional) · Oct 27, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think Casper would probably find a bounce here around like 3.3, 3.5 cents.”
price then $0.00211 → still open · watch 42:41
OPEN ZEC ▼ · Oct 27, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“ZEC looks like an actually decent short here, too.”
price then $1,310 → still open · watch 9:19
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▶ · Oct 27, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think it's going to completely range between this 75 to 87 for a while.”
price then $80,910 → $76,816 · -5.1% · watch 34:09
HIT BTC ▶ · Oct 23, 2026 · horizon 2d
“we are going to be in likelihood in crab zone, just bouncing back and forth. Yeah. Over the weekend in particular.”
price then $81,189 → $80,154 · -1.3% · watch 100:14
OPEN BTC ▲ · Oct 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Bitcoin BREAKS $84,500! (ZEC, QNT, LINK Trade Setups)”
price then $84,093 → still open
OPEN BTC ▲ → $96,000 · Sep 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“96 is in our sights 96 000 is in our sights”
price then $86,209 → still open · watch 32:21
OPEN XRP ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Sep 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“xrp in this base case scenario i do think xrp can hold around the number five position i do think that and what does it have to be price wise for 330”
price then $1.57 → still open · watch 21:15
OPEN HYPE ▲ → $600.00 (conditional) · Sep 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“bull case for hyper liquid gaining one or two positions revenue staying strong and it's all automatic all the thing six hundred dollars a token”
price then $97.26 → still open · watch 23:08
OPEN HYPE ▲ → $300.00 (conditional) · Sep 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“a base case scenario you know seven to eight trillion dollar market cap blow off top for the crypto market for hyper liquid first we're talking 300”
price then $97.26 → still open · watch 20:21
OPEN TOTAL ▲ → $15T · Sep 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“base case eight trillion dollar market cap bowl case 15 trillion dollar market cap”
price then $2.94T → still open · watch 19:23
OPEN TOTAL ▲ → $8T · Sep 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“I think the market cap for this crypto market base case scenario eight trillion dollars”
price then $2.94T → still open · watch 19:14
OPEN ZEC ▲ → $5,000 · Sep 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“i think zec could go to 5 000 while bitcoin's going down”
price then $1,467 → still open · watch 49:17
OPEN ADA ▲ · Sep 05, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I do think Cardano will rally. It's about from where. You know. Cardano. It's like. I remember I looked at that. All right. So here's our plan for. Let's talk about this first and then I'll go talk about Cardano.”
price then $0.2183 → still open · watch 47:02
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check VVV ▲ → $21.00 · Aug 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 2d
“It's going to go to 21, and then the question is, does it blow through it and get into price discovery, or does it come right back down? I don't know. Yeah. I mean, this is a tough one, because it's under a billion-dollar market cap.”
price then $16.07 → $16.93 · +5.3% · watch 21:41
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 3× · Aug 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 180d
“i think hammering this marketing crypto for the next six months good move”
price then $64,963 → still open · watch 9:33
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $190,000 · Jul 31, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“The top somewhere around 200 to 220. And a diminished loss from that moment. Honestly, man, like, you know, let's say we just let's undersell it and say we get to like 190.”
price then $62,888 → $77,992 · +24.0% · watch 9:38
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $65,000 · Jan 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“The price target for the back up the truck moment for me in this current season is right around $65,000 per Bitcoin.”
price then $84,650 → $65,000 · -23.2% · watch 3:20
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · Jan 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“The main thing you need to know about Bitcoin. Is that if that price hits. At or below the production cost of $74,000. It's back up the truck time. It's back up the truck time.”
price then $91,100 → $69,289 · -23.9% · watch 19:42
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check ZEC ▼ → $300.00 · Jan 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I woke up at 5 a.m. And started trading because I thought it was going to go to 300. Literally.”
price then $421.96 → $300.00 · -28.9% · watch 25:35 touched $300.00 intraday, closed at $303.07
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $150,000 · Dec 10, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“But, on the Bitcoin side, I really don't think we're that far away from $150,000.”
price then $92,015 → $69,949 · -24.0% · watch 3:11
MISS LINK ▲ · Aug 06, 2025 · horizon 108d
“November 22, 2025. Mark your calendars, folks. Chainlink's about to go nuclear, thanks to Swift's CCIP and the Genius Act combined.”
price then $16.67 → $12.17 · -27.0% · watch 5:29
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $140,000 (conditional) · Jul 23, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I'm looking conservatively for a 60% move from that signal. And that would bring us up to $140,000.”
price then $118,756 → $108,298 · -8.8% · watch 6:52
MISS BTC ▲ · Jul 23, 2025 · horizon 161d
“going to send Bitcoin skyrocketing past $200,000 and I'm taking in life-changing gains along the way.”
price then $118,756 → $87,648 · -26.2% · watch 0:33
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ETH ▲ → $6,000 · Jul 22, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“predictions are calling for ten thousand dollars or more by late 2025 i'm conservatively looking at six thousand dollars as an easy potential for eat in this cycle”
price then $3,746 → $1,934 · -48.4% · watch 6:39
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check TOTAL ▲ · Jul 22, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“i feel that the current market cap that we're at at 3.7 trillion dollars is going to double conservatively in this market”
price then $3.96T → $3.82T · -3.6% · watch 4:57
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ · Apr 21, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 70d
“I am of the opinion, actually, that we are more closely relating Bitcoin's price to the 108-day lag time, which gives us another chance for a bounce back down”
price then $87,516 → $107,146 · +22.4% · watch 5:48
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · Apr 07, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“we have plenty of room to run in terms of Bitcoin and the price, in my opinion, because these averages are moving further away from each other”
price then $79,163 → $97,030 · +22.6% · watch 7:00
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check TOTAL ▲ → $3T · Mar 25, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Coming back on up to $3 trillion, which looks like a pretty important move for crypto, showing us that this market is indeed not over with.”
price then $2.87T → $3T · +4.6% · watch 1:07
EXPIRED deadline set by Oracle Check MORPHO ▲ · Mar 11, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“But then beyond that, Chainlink, Ondo, Morpho, and Aerodrome. These are my chosen coins of this bull market for a litany of different reasons. But these are the easiest winners that I have in my bag.”
price then — → still open · watch 6:23
EXPIRED deadline set by Oracle Check ONDO ▲ · Mar 11, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“But then beyond that, Chainlink, Ondo, Morpho, and Aerodrome. These are my chosen coins of this bull market for a litany of different reasons. But these are the easiest winners that I have in my bag.”
price then — → still open · watch 6:23
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check LINK ▲ · Mar 11, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“But then beyond that, Chainlink, Ondo, Morpho, and Aerodrome. These are my chosen coins of this bull market for a litany of different reasons. But these are the easiest winners that I have in my bag.”
price then $13.13 → $12.08 · -8.0% · watch 6:23
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 6× · Mar 06, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“i do imagine that we're going to give a nice shot above this once we see the crypto summit go down”
price then $89,932 → $83,538 · -7.1% · watch 0:30
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $150,000 · Feb 24, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“we are coiling and getting ready, in my opinion, to spring into this next Fibonacci zone, which the top end comes in at around $150,000.”
price then $91,553 → $109,004 · +19.1% · watch 3:30
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ETH ▲ · Feb 13, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Ethereum had a major, major nod from 21 shares on the ETF, potentially bringing out staked Ethereum ETFs, which I think is just the hyper fuel we need to see a true bull market really ensue.”
price then $2,676 → $1,937 · -27.6% · watch 3:44
MISS ADA ▲ · restated 1× · Feb 12, 2025 · horizon 322d
“I have extreme hope and actually a pretty strong feeling that these are going to be the top performers in 2025”
price then $0.7997 → $0.3335 · -58.3% · watch 2:46
MISS XRP ▲ · Feb 10, 2025 · horizon 90d
“even XRP will likely see some really, really good times over the course of the next few months because of what I'm about to show you.”
price then $2.42 → $2.37 · -2.3% · watch 1:45
EXPIRED deadline set by Oracle Check ONDO ▲ → $50.00 · Feb 07, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“we're going to be looking at a nearly $50 Ondo token per unit”
price then — → still open · watch 4:22
EXPIRED deadline set by Oracle Check ONDO ▲ → $34.78 · Feb 07, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“midpoint of my price prediction comes around $100 billion, where it starts flirting in the maybe number 13, number 12 spot of the altcoin peak. That brings the price above the $30 level coming in at $34.78.”
price then — → still open · watch 4:22
EXPIRED deadline set by Oracle Check ONDO ▲ → $17.34 · Feb 07, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“minimum portion of my price projection at around $50 billion. That ends up turning into an 11X from where its current price is right now at $1.40, coming out at $17.34 a unit.”
price then — → still open · watch 4:22
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▶ · restated 1× · Feb 06, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Honestly, in my opinion, it's extremely healthy to see Bitcoin range from $90,000 to $100,000 for some time to give us time to pack our bags for the moon.”
price then $96,554 → $91,553 · -5.2% · watch 5:00
MISS SOL ▲ · restated 2× · Feb 06, 2025 · horizon 365d
“And of course, Solana made out of San Francisco, currently writhing here at about $170, $180, presenting an insane buying opportunity. For everyone that actually knows where this market is going over the next year”
price then $189.54 → $87.46 · -53.9% · watch 4:20
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check XRP ▲ → $6.00 · Feb 06, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“but XRP is indeed an American made project. It's just the market cap is so damn high. I'm not expecting anything more beyond $6 this cycle.”
price then $2.33 → $2.13 · -8.5% · watch 4:00
MISS BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Feb 04, 2025 · horizon 330d
“I'm feeling like we have a little bit more time to stack altcoins for that good upside in 2025. But I am absolutely taking everything off of the table by the end of 2025”
price then $97,763 → $87,648 · -10.3% · watch 3:45
EXPIRED deadline set by Oracle Check ONDO ▲ → $1.50 · Feb 03, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Ondo, again, one of the great performers and bouncing back hard, bouncing back up, trying to get to $1.50 already once again.”
price then — → still open · watch 3:08
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 (conditional) · Jan 31, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 730d
“by the next bull market, a million dollars will be FUD for Bitcoin.”
price then $102,430 → still open · watch 4:28
MISS LINK ▲ → $200.00 · Jan 31, 2025 · horizon 334d
“I'm of the opinion that Chainlink is going to be able to accomplish a $150 billion market cap, bringing the price to $200 a unit.”
price then $25.17 → $12.21 · -51.5% · watch 2:49
MISS APT ▲ (conditional) · Jan 27, 2025 · horizon 90d
“This, if it's real, would be a breakneck breakout for Aptos.”
price then $7.62 → $5.37 · -29.5% · watch 2:43
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check LINK ▲ (conditional) · Jan 23, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And should it reach the top 10 and Beyonce, we're looking at $300 plus per unit.”
price then $25.65 → $17.76 · -30.8% · watch 7:44
MISS LINK ▲ → $206.00 (conditional) · Jan 23, 2025 · horizon 158d
“if $152 billion market cap on Chainlink with the 2B circulating supply brings the price to $206 a unit.”
price then $25.65 → $13.38 · -47.8% · watch 7:12
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $120,000 (conditional) · Jan 23, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“we are likely to see Bitcoin absolutely ripped. And by the looks of it, I feel like we could accomplish about $120,000 per coin move”
price then $103,910 → $93,691 · -9.8% · watch 1:44
OPEN XRP ▲ (conditional) · restated 2× · Jan 16, 2025 · horizon 1826d
“I think the market cap for XRP is going to get close to $1 trillion in market cap, likely within the next five years.”
price then $3.25 → still open · watch 3:48
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $77,000 (conditional) · Jan 10, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“we've definitely highlighted we could see a drop down to $77,000 if this plays out as it's showing.”
price then $94,726 → $77,000 · -18.7% · watch 1:10 touched $77,000 intraday, closed at $82,933
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check AVA ▲ · Jan 09, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“AVA looking very, very incredible. Honestly, you have a original surge and original pump because it pumps, it gets released into the right timeframe.”
price then $1.11 → $0.6467 · -41.8% · watch 6:08
EXPIRED deadline set by Oracle Check AIXBT ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Jan 09, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“If I'm looking at this, this is kind of the level where I'd be like, wow, I'm getting a D gen play here at about like a $300 million level.”
price then — → still open · watch 2:48
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check XRP ▲ → $5.00 · Jan 07, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“i feel like xrp is on pace to accomplish a five dollar price point”
price then $2.27 → $1.90 · -16.4% · watch 6:42
HIT BTC ▼ · Jan 02, 2025 · horizon 364d
“Looking for around a 50% pullback on Bitcoin after 2025 is complete.”
price then $96,985 → $88,839 · -8.4% · watch 6:40
EXPIRED ONDO ▲ · Jan 02, 2025 · horizon 365d
“And I definitely think Ondo is going to be just a great hold for this bull market.”
price then — → still open · watch 5:00
EXPIRED deadline set by Oracle Check MORPHO ▲ → $4.00 · Jan 02, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I picked it up at $1.20. It's trying to head towards $4.”
price then — → still open · watch 3:48
MISS NEAR ▲ · restated 1× · Jan 02, 2025 · horizon 88d
“Near Protocol, I feel like is going to have its day in the sun.”
price then $5.45 → $2.51 · -53.9% · watch 3:15
MISS BTC ▲ → $240,000 · Dec 31, 2024 · horizon 365d
“Now, when I look at the overall velocity of the market in the Fibonacci price performance model, I did expect us to come up to the $200,000 to $240,000 price level for Bitcoin with these new narratives.”
price then $93,576 → $87,648 · -6.3% · watch 5:31
MISS TOTAL ▲ · restated 1× · Dec 30, 2024 · horizon 366d
“I feel like we're going to have another great bull market year in crypto and AI sectors in 2025.”
price then $3.25T → $2.96T · -8.7% · watch 6:33
MISS BTC ▲ → $140,000 (conditional) · Dec 27, 2024 · horizon 35d
“we are going to see fireworks in the month of january breaking us in to the next set of the fibonacci sequence of the 1.618 to the 2.618 that brings us to prices up into the 140 000 level”
price then $94,299 → $102,430 · +8.6% · watch 5:52
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check JUP ▲ · Dec 26, 2024 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Now, we've formed a pretty good looking bottom at 85 cents. And I do believe that this will, in general, look like a higher low when all is said and done.”
price then $0.8363 → $0.9712 · +16.1% · watch 4:21
EXPIRED MORPHO ▲ → $43.00 · Dec 24, 2024 · horizon 311d
“Let's cook this up to $10 billion. That brings the price to $43 a unit or a 16X from its current evaluation.”
price then — → still open · watch 4:47
EXPIRED MORPHO ▲ → $21.80 · Dec 24, 2024 · horizon 311d
“That would bring the Morpho token price to $21.80 a unit or a 7.6X from the current price point at $2.61.”
price then — → still open · watch 4:47
EXPIRED ONDO ▲ → $25.95 (conditional) · Dec 20, 2024 · horizon 376d
“check out what the market cap would look like at $85 billion with a generous accounting of the circulating supply to come. That brings the token price to $25.95 a unit”
price then — → still open · watch 5:52
EXPIRED ONDO ▲ → $16.00 (conditional) · Dec 20, 2024 · horizon 376d
“if Ondo accomplished a $50 billion market cap at a generous 3.3 billion circulating tokens. That would be an upside of an 8.7x, bringing each token to $16 a unit.”
price then — → still open · watch 5:22
MISS TOTAL ▲ → $15T · Dec 18, 2024 · horizon 378d
“I think that this market cap's actually going to go to around 12 to 15 trillion by the time we're done with all of this in 2025.”
price then $3.52T → $2.96T · -15.7% · watch 77:44
MISS BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Dec 18, 2024 · horizon 14d
“I am of the opinion that we are going to break above $104,000 this weekend.”
price then $100,204 → $94,592 · -5.6% · watch 77:13
EXPIRED AERO ▲ → $28.44 (conditional) · Dec 18, 2024 · horizon 378d
“This specific instance, should it repeat exactly the velocity that Uniswap had last cycle, it would bring it to $28.44.”
price then — → still open · watch 12:56
MISS LINK ▲ · restated 1× · Dec 16, 2024 · horizon 74d
“chain link is setting the stage to become the third largest cryptocurrency on the planet”
price then $28.73 → $14.81 · -48.5% · watch 0:00
MISS BTC ▲ → $210,000 · Nov 18, 2024 · horizon 408d
“this is my Bitcoin top price range that I'm looking for in 2025 between $210,000 all the way on up to $244,000.”
price then $90,464 → $87,648 · -3.1% · watch 8:45
EXPIRED deadline set by Oracle Check AERO ▲ · Oct 23, 2024 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Now, of course, it's no surprise that such a project is going to do well and likely going to be an overperformer in this cycle that is set to take off this November.”
price then — → still open · watch 4:51
MISS AVAX ▲ → $200.00 · Sep 15, 2024 · horizon 291d
“I am confident that Avalanche can reach a $200 per token price mark in this bull market, hitting new all-time highs during the peak of this bull run.”
price then $23.80 → $18.54 · -22.1% · watch 4:26
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Updated November 03, 2026.