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Krown prediction accuracy

youtube · 202,000 subscribers · channel ↗ · Discuss on the forum → · Your channel? Reply or correct → · last call Oct 30, 2026
C
last 12 mo
17% hit rate, last 12 months (7/41)
on deadlines they set themselves · typical 21%
Grade C: below typical, not conclusive. A summary of the record, not a forecast.
7 hit·22 missed·12 stopped out
Grade from 41 calls resolved between September 2026 and November 2026. All-time record: 7 of 41 hit, calls made between September 2026 and October 2026. How the grade works
17%
all time, own deadlines (41)
23%
all resolved (62)
25%
30-day direction (40)
119
calls logged
57
open right now
0
flips (30d)

Is Krown accurate?

Krown is graded C on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com), below typical, not conclusive: in the last 12 months, 7 of 41 crypto price calls where they set the deadline themselves hit (17%), against a typical 21% across all tracked channels, which ranks #34 of 64 graded channels. All time, 7 of 41 such calls hit (17%); they were made between September 2026 and October 2026. Counting every resolved call, including ones without a stated deadline, the hit rate is 23% (62 calls). 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 25% of the time (40 calls). The grade summarizes the record; it is not a forecast.

How calls are checked · every number below links to the quote and the price

Current stance · last 90 days

▲ HYPE
Oct 30 · open
▼ BTC
Oct 29 · open
▲ ZEC
Oct 29 · open
▼ ETH → $1,950
Oct 26 · open
▲ BEAM
Oct 23 · open
▼ NEAR
Oct 23 · invalidated
▲ CRV → $0.42
Oct 21 · open
▲ SOL → $115.00
Oct 21 · open

Is Krown accurate?

Grade C, below typical, not conclusive: in the last 12 months, 7 of 41 predictions where Krown named the deadline themselves came true by that deadline, against a typical 21% for all channels. All time, 7 of 41 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 5 of 25 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 2 of 16 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 25% of the time (40 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.

The record

OPEN HYPE ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Oct 30, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“As long as things about about 75 bucks on a weekly closing basis. I mean, shit, that is very obvious. Your next higher loan, a series of higher lows on maybe the most bullish asset in this fucking market, like across all markets right now, weekly time from his hidden bullish divergence off of this low right now as, uh, as well monthly timeframe, um, you know, is a reconnect.”
price then $89.99 → still open · invalidation $75.00 · watch 27:00
OPEN BTC ▼ (conditional) · restated 1× · Oct 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“the one that actually makes really reconsidered the long-term bullishness of Bitcoin here, this would be absolutely devastating for the bullish case for the long term is if Bitcoin actually were to come back down and trade and close more specifically below $75,000.”
price then $80,824 → still open · watch 0:34
OPEN ZEC ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Oct 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Zcash still acting like one of the strongest here. It's putting in a higher low at 1175, it seems like. So if you have a higher low in a nice consolidation range that does put the you know you know it does put a higher probability on a continuation in this case to the upside on an upside breakout and of course your former trend was to the upside. You got a higher low right here in this consolidation reclaiming that previous high turns your daily trend back into your friend to the upside at that point I'm generally looking up to the right from there. So yeah, I would say generally um uh not generally, but if it could close above um 1366 1/2, yes, I would say you're out of the woods and get ready for some up to the right.”
price then $1,223 → still open · watch 42:05
OPEN BTC ▲ → $90,000 (conditional) · restated 2× · Oct 27, 2026 · horizon 30d
“83% of the time, you are green one month out and you're up a median return of just over 10 and a half percent. Not bad. To put that into perspective, that would put Bitcoin in the deep 80,000s, you know, close to 90,000 bucks within about a month.”
price then $80,929 → still open · watch 7:54
OPEN ETH ▼ → $1,950 (conditional) · Oct 26, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“if Bitcoin doesn't hold, this thing is going to have just a fucking straight shot down to, you know, 19 to 2000 bucks in my opinion.”
price then $2,325 → still open · watch 28:23
OPEN BTC ▼ → $76,000 · restated 5× · Oct 25, 2026 · horizon 14d
“So again, half a percent on a 7,700 number puts you aware of that puts you, I guess, well, lower, obviously that would actually put you below that 76, um, uh, that 76, uh, 72 number. Um, so yeah, you know, very likely I do think that this one does come down towards about 7,600. Maybe that's like your early November correction. And then”
price then $80,154 → still open · watch 0:30
OPEN BEAM ▲ (conditional) · Oct 23, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Beam is beam X over? Well, I sure it is. Great. This a shipcoin, so these definitely. Increases. And in this rainbow transflexo yes. So, this is very inclusive, very very nice. And, I am very much about happy. Um, is this the end? In fact, in the short term this is mine. Expectations better than rallying, which maybe now many others more than anything good.”
price then $0.00339 → still open · watch 77:04
OPEN ZEC ▼ → $1,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Oct 23, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“As long as it is 1050 above this, this movement that was it for my correction target. I think this. That number back near it is very possible to come. Not at all. To be surprised there will be nothing. However, your 1000 dollar to the goal to reach...”
price then $1,183 → still open · watch 47:13
VOID deadline set by Oracle Check NEAR ▼ (conditional) · Oct 23, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 7d
“Weekly in the time frame, you are basically the same as before. Range maximum limit test did and from there rejected has been. Listen, in the long term this is bad. No, but in the short term at least a little the price will fall. And I would say, Sunday. Weekly if in closing 5 EMA lost, especially 480- below this, and if well below 465 it is closed, but I like it. Downward one of being good sign I will see it as.”
price then $4.69 → $4.80 · +2.3% · invalidation $4.80 · watch 34:44
VOID deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 5× · Oct 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“meaning that as long as Bitcoin is above last week's low of 79,700, I am bullish. I have no reason to be bearish.”
price then $81,968 → $79,700 · -2.8% · invalidation $79,700 · watch 0:00
VOID deadline set by Oracle Check HYPE ▲ → $85.00 · Oct 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think that this thing goes back up towards 85 to 90 bucks.”
price then $80.68 → $75.00 · -7.0% · invalidation $75.00 · watch 54:15
OPEN CRV ▲ → $0.42 (conditional) · Oct 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“It should be good enough to get it back up towards the highs of this rally at 41, 42 cents.”
price then $0.4028 → still open · watch 8:04
OPEN SOL ▲ → $115.00 (conditional) · Oct 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If, uh, if Solana just finishes the day out here or higher, that should be good enough to get it back up to like one 15 to one 20 ish region.”
price then $106.97 → still open · watch 3:54
MISS BTC ▲ → $87,500 · restated 2× · Oct 21, 2026 · horizon 10d
“I would expect Bitcoin to be above $87,500 by, you know, at some point between now and end of month.”
price then $84,093 → $77,582 · -7.7% · watch 4:58
OPEN BTC ▲ (conditional) · Oct 21, 2026 · horizon 30d
“And when we look at that particular setup, if we fast forward one month from the first reclaim of that critical zone, which happened last week, well, 79% of the time, it is a green period.”
price then $82,972 → still open · watch 0:48
VOID BTC ▲ → $85,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Oct 20, 2026 · horizon 11d
“I do expect that to be a green period. And, you know, does Bitcoin play up 5% from that number? Well, that'd be nice. What would that look like effectively? That would look like Bitcoin back at around, you know, $85,000.”
price then $82,542 → $79,700 · -3.4% · invalidation $79,700 · watch 5:30
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 (conditional) · Oct 20, 2026 · horizon 72d
“the median return at three months out is about 16%. So that would put Bitcoin somewhere around about $100,000, a little bit above there. Again, looking at that, you know, around end of year slash early of 2027.”
price then $82,542 → still open · watch 5:00
VOID BTC ▲ → $89,000 (conditional) · Oct 20, 2026 · horizon 30d
“That would be about 88 to 89,000 US dollars. Again, variants around these numbers might be higher, might be lower. But ultimately, somewhere around there is what I would be looking for, again, within that time frame of about a month from that cross, which basically brings us into the most meaty portion of November,”
price then $82,542 → $81,000 · -1.9% · invalidation $81,000 · watch 4:20
OPEN ETH ▲ (conditional) · Oct 20, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Ethereum is in a very interesting place right now because if you're bullish, you kind of got to be expecting that last week's low is indeed the low. And this thing should be going sideways and up from here.”
price then $2,396 → still open · watch 1:05
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check NEAR ▲ → $5.35 (conditional) · Oct 19, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“in the short term, wouldn't be surprised to see it attempt another bounce towards five and, uh, in 33, or sorry, five and 35 region. Um, overall, again, if you're going to be in this one, I think the more interesting thing is for the longterm here on the monthly, you know, overall, as long as this thing is above about $4, I actually would consider it good, um, uh, with potential for a lot more. But for now, I think that you found the high on this thing for a while, like for a while during this consolidation, it's going to trade sideways for a while between $4 and five 50 basically.”
price then $4.90 → $5.35 · +9.1% · invalidation $4.00 · watch 34:00
OPEN SOL ▼ (conditional) · Oct 19, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I do think you're probably going to try a bounce here and you might get back up to like a 13,000 toshis, but look, I'm not bullish on this. I think that, I think that your macro lower highs and right here at a 14,600 and it's just short-term bounce and further continuation of the downside. And ultimately you'll get back down to like 11,000 ish region given enough time.”
price then $105.08 → still open · watch 63:00
VOID deadline set by Oracle Check ETH ▲ → $2,550 (conditional) · Oct 19, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“if the low does hold and it's bullish, I think you're going past 3000 bucks or in longer, you might even go in higher. So it's like, what's a target? It's a, it's, it's a question that assumes too many things because perhaps you're just too new or perhaps you've just been following some people who give you just really fucking, in my personal and humble opinion, uh, very incomplete information. We'll say, um, it's like, how could they ever possibly fucking know what you're trying to do? Look for our timeframe, short term, probably targets back to like 2,500. Uh, if the low does hold something like that between 25 to 25 50 daily timeframe.”
price then $2,408 → $2,330 · -3.2% · invalidation $2,330 · watch 74:00
VOID deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Oct 19, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“if Bitcoin could reclaim 84,200, uh, basically, was this last week's high? I think it actually was last week's high. Um, that was, yeah, last week's high could reclaim that. That would also be good enough for me to declare a, you know, Bitcoin again, it's not like a straight fucking shot up from there, but sideways and up confirmed, um, uh, with your next higher low in place.”
price then $81,938 → $79,700 · -2.7% · invalidation $79,700 · watch 65:00
VOID BTC ▲ → $93,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Oct 19, 2026 · horizon 30d
“if we were to put a time on that, that would be, I guess that would be like kind of mid to late-ish November. And of course, we would put a return on that as well. Well, I suppose that would also be, I mean, again, median returns. There's going to be variance around these, blah, blah, blah. You already fucking know the spiel around it. But that would put Bitcoin at around, you know, 93, 94, 95,000 US dollars.”
price then $81,938 → $79,700 · -2.7% · invalidation $79,700 · watch 11:00
OPEN BTC ▲ · Oct 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“generally, you can see the median really starts to rise up a lot once you get to around day number 40.”
price then $81,555 → still open · watch 0:30
OPEN SOL ▼ → $90.00 (conditional) · Oct 16, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“if you do trade and close below yesterday's low, about $100, which was a corrective target for us to be fair. Um, I think you're going to take another big step down to about 90 to $95.”
price then $104.45 → still open · watch 74:49
VOID BTC ▲ (conditional) · Oct 16, 2026 · horizon 10d
“So after the reconnect, if you fast forward one more 10-day period, 62% of the time, that is going to be a green period.”
price then $81,960 → $80,250 · -2.1% · invalidation $80,250 · watch 0:30
VOID BTC ▲ → $86,900 (conditional) · restated 2× · Oct 15, 2026 · horizon 10d
“If you were to add about 5% to price action, well, guess what? That puts Bitcoin back around the highs of this current rally at 86,900 or so.”
price then $82,481 → $80,250 · -2.7% · invalidation $80,250 · watch 5:00
OPEN BTC ▲ (conditional) · Oct 15, 2026 · horizon 30d
“any time that this has happened in the past, it has led to general gains over the next month.”
price then $80,860 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN ADA ▼ (conditional) · Oct 14, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“assuming that it finishes out the week here or lower basically, or especially below 22 and a half cents, I think you're going down another 10 to 20% minimum”
price then $0.2302 → still open · watch 58:30
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check QNT ▶ (conditional) · Oct 14, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think that you're probably going to try some bounces here and you just range for a little while. Um, yeah, again, going sideways anywhere above one 95 is fine.”
price then $205.24 → $192.23 · -6.3% · invalidation $195.00 · watch 37:00
OPEN XRP ▼ (conditional) · restated 1× · Oct 14, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“If you do see below one and a quarter, I think that you're in for a major retracement down to like 110, maybe 105.”
price then $1.33 → still open · watch 33:30
OPEN INJ ▲ → $10.00 (conditional) · Oct 14, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I would have a bullish bias on it, despite my just general distaste for it as a shit coin, as long as it's above, above about 641 and a half. Um, you know, this is a consolidation on the highs after reclaiming all major moving averages, you know, realistically should be looking for another try to the upside somewhere around like nine to $10.”
price then $7.67 → still open · watch 27:30
MISS BTC ▲ → $90,000 · Oct 13, 2026 · horizon 18d
“I do think Bitcoin gets above 90,000 bucks this month. Again, that's based off of the revenue ribbons on the monthly timeframe.”
price then $83,252 → $77,582 · -6.8% · watch 12:28
VOID deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Oct 13, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Bitcoin realistically need to come down below about $81,000 or at least $80,000, I would say, for that signal to be undone.”
price then $83,252 → $80,000 · -3.9% · invalidation $80,000 · watch 1:37
OPEN BTC ▲ → $95,000 (conditional) · Oct 13, 2026 · horizon 30d
“But you know, somewhere around here, again, within four days and seven hours, that would put us out one month to basically the beginning of, or sorry, the beginning slash mid portion of November, and about 14.5% to the upside puts Bitcoin where that put Bitcoin somewhere around about 95,000.”
price then $83,252 → still open · watch 2:25
MISS BTC ▼ (conditional) · Oct 13, 2026 · horizon 8d
“we realistically expect the corrective target to be hit within about 7 to 10 days”
price then $83,706 → $84,093 · +0.5% · watch 2:10 moved down 3%+ on Oct 23, 2 days after the deadline
OPEN BTC ▲ · Oct 13, 2026 · horizon 365d
“I am, for all of the long-term setups that I see, I expect Bitcoin to be higher one year from now.”
price then $82,013 → still open · watch 0:00
HIT BTC ▲ → $83,750 · Oct 12, 2026 · horizon 7d
“I'm basically looking for Bitcoin to be corrective this next week or so and then the bounce to bring Bitcoin back around to about 83 and a half 84,000 bucks.”
price then $81,850 → $83,750 · +2.3% · watch 12:26 touched $83,750 intraday, closed at $83,200
OPEN BTC ▲ → $140,000 · Oct 11, 2026 · horizon 365d
“You know, if we even play with that number from where that cross actually happened, well, 60% puts you at where it puts you at about 140,000 bucks. Both of these include basically new all-time highs. And what am I trying to say there? I'm trying to say that it's 75% probability that Bitcoin is at that number or higher within a year.”
price then $83,079 → still open · watch 0:35
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Oct 10, 2026 · horizon 365d
“you're still looking at a gain of about 60%, which I would say is extremely like that Bitcoin is above that number by one year from now, basically.”
price then $82,656 → still open · watch 7:23
OPEN BTC ▲ → $201,681 · Oct 10, 2026 · horizon 365d
“I expect one year from now to be higher than where it's at right now. How high? Well, the median return at 12 months has been 144%. I would say, yeah, that'd be great if that happens. I mean, shit, you know, that puts Bitcoin at what? Like 200,000 bucks, basically.”
price then $82,656 → still open · watch 6:21
MISS BTC ▲ · restated 6× · Oct 09, 2026 · horizon 22d
“But the back half of October is where we really do expect Bitcoin to take another leg up.”
price then $82,636 → $77,582 · -6.1% · watch 2:19
MISS BTC ▲ → $85,000 · Oct 09, 2026 · horizon 7d
“Bitcoin above $85,000 by end of week. I'm just going to bet $10 right here.”
price then $82,981 → $81,616 · -1.6% · watch 0:00
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $79,000 · Oct 09, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“MA, which is currently sitting at about $79,000 in change. $79 and $50 is what it is as of this moment. That is if Bitcoin were to come down and test it exactly today. However, it doesn't need to do that necessarily today, but that is the sort of moving target as we do see new Bitcoin dailies open. But for right now, yes, I do think Bitcoin is very likely and very poised to come down to that number.”
price then $82,521 → $79,000 · -4.3% · watch 0:35 touched $79,000 intraday, closed at $79,126
MISS BTC ▲ (conditional) · Oct 09, 2026 · horizon 10d
“And if that holds, well, 65% of the time, it is green within the next 10-day period. And that green period is a median return of just over 3%.”
price then $81,794 → $81,938 · +0.2% · watch 0:34
OPEN BTC ▲ → $95,000 · restated 1× · Oct 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“17 spot 7% puts Bitcoin where that puts Bitcoin about 94 and a half, 95,000 bucks. That might be a little more relatable measurement right there. So that's where I'm making my bets for right now.”
price then $82,511 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ · Oct 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I mean, then again, well, 10% from 86 to 78, that is a 10%. So yeah, I could see that as like the worst case scenario and Bitcoin still remaining bullish.”
price then $83,012 → still open · invalidation $75,000 · watch 0:31
HIT BTC ▶ (conditional) · restated 1× · Oct 08, 2026 · horizon 10d
“Bitcoin likely to be going sideways here in a consolidation, but that consolidation is ultimately bullish, especially as long as Bitcoin holds above, you know, God forbid, $82,500.”
price then $83,130 → $82,116 · -1.2% · watch 10:16
MISS BTC ▲ → $85,000 · Oct 08, 2026 · horizon 2d
“Bitcoin above $85,000 by end of week. I'm just going to bet $0.10 right here.”
price then $83,130 → $82,988 · -0.2% · watch 6:56
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · restated 1× · Oct 07, 2026 · horizon 30d
“That actually would be probably the most bullish setup that I have on the board that does suggest that Bitcoin will get, you know, around about $100,000. Actually, in fact, a little bit above $100,000.”
price then $84,154 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ · Oct 06, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Do I think Bitcoin would get above $90,000 before end of year? Yeah, I do. I think it probably even does it this month.”
price then $85,421 → still open · watch 8:14
OPEN BTC ▲ → $94,500 (conditional) · restated 1× · Oct 06, 2026 · horizon 30d
“17 spot 7% puts Bitcoin where that puts Bitcoin about $94,500.”
price then $85,421 → still open · watch 3:21
OPEN BTC ▲ → $108,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Oct 06, 2026 · horizon 86d
“Anyways, 25% up into end of year would put Bitcoin at 108. I would say that that sounds, again, that sounds fucking great to me.”
price then $86,565 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Oct 05, 2026 · horizon 91d
“Anyways, 13 weeks out as well, I would say is quite interesting here. 71% green with a median return of 20, almost 26%.”
price then $85,581 → still open · watch 1:52
OPEN BTC ▲ → $108,000 · Oct 05, 2026 · horizon 87d
“Anyways, 25% up into end of year would put Bitcoin at 108. I would say that that sounds, again, that sounds fucking great to me.”
price then $85,581 → still open · watch 1:52
MISS BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Oct 04, 2026 · horizon 11d
“And that's when you typically get another step up, somewhere around about 20%.”
price then $84,759 → $82,246 · -3.0% · watch 0:34
MISS BTC ▲ → $92,000 · Oct 03, 2026 · horizon 28d
“the first one is going to be the gray dots, and that is just about $92,000 US dollars. But yes, that is a legitimate target for this month.”
price then $84,831 → $77,582 · -8.6% · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ · Oct 03, 2026 · horizon 43d
“it's around about day number 90 when things start to take another step up. So, you know, we are 45 days away from that.”
price then $84,642 → still open · watch 0:30
MISS ETH ▲ → $3,000 · Oct 02, 2026 · horizon 30d
“I think I, I still think it's going above $3,000, uh, this month would not be surprising at all.”
price then $2,669 → $2,275 · -14.7% · watch 41:20
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · restated 3× · Oct 02, 2026 · horizon 90d
“I am betting on Bitcoin getting above both 90,000 and a hundred thousand bucks by end of year.”
price then $84,518 → still open · watch 32:15
OPEN BTC ▲ → $90,000 · Oct 02, 2026 · horizon 90d
“I am betting on Bitcoin getting above both 90,000 and a hundred thousand bucks by end of year.”
price then $84,518 → still open · watch 32:15
OPEN BTC ▲ · Oct 02, 2026 · horizon 90d
“I'd even go as far to say on top of yesterday's video, not only do I expect Bitcoin not to really go down below $75,000 in the next few months.”
price then $84,518 → still open · invalidation $75,000 · watch 21:37
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · restated 3× · Oct 01, 2026 · horizon 91d
“I am betting on Bitcoin, getting above $100,000 and $90,000 respectively before the end of this year.”
price then $84,800 → still open · watch 11:07
OPEN BTC ▲ → $90,000 · Oct 01, 2026 · horizon 91d
“I am betting on Bitcoin, getting above $100,000 and $90,000 respectively before the end of this year.”
price then $84,800 → still open · watch 11:07
MISS BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 3× · Oct 01, 2026 · horizon 30d
“If Bitcoin's going to be closing, of course, a green October.”
price then $83,544 → $77,582 · -7.1% · watch 0:35
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Sep 30, 2026 · horizon 92d
“And I think, you know, Bitcoin's a lot more likely to go to 100,000 bucks.”
price then $83,624 → still open · watch 4:21
MISS BTC ▲ · restated 2× · Sep 30, 2026 · horizon 31d
“October has traditionally been the best month for Bitcoin. Yes, there's also been some pretty ugly crashes, especially in traditional markets during October. But in general, it is the most likely to be green month.”
price then $83,624 → $77,582 · -7.2% · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Sep 29, 2026 · horizon 93d
“And then by end of year, $100,000 is more likely than $70,000 in lease in the way that we've been looking at these things.”
price then $83,540 → still open · watch 9:22
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Sep 29, 2026 · horizon 105d
“And during the next 100 to 112 days, there's been a pretty similar response to it, actually.”
price then $83,540 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 (conditional) · Sep 27, 2026 · horizon 95d
“if Bitcoin goes above 100,000 bucks before, I think that's before end of December.”
price then $84,320 → still open · watch 0:00
MISS BTC ▼ (conditional) · restated 3× · Sep 26, 2026 · horizon 2d
“Again, minimum target, the green 55 EMA within four days.”
price then $84,125 → $83,500 · -0.7% · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ · Sep 26, 2026 · horizon 3653d
“Anyways, here's where you land. 38% for the next 10 years. I would take that. I'd be very happy with that. 13.8x, by the way, $8.92 a coin.”
price then $84,148 → still open · watch 2:06
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $82,650 · Sep 26, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I'm looking for, at least I'm looking for, a high probability move to at minimum, minimum, minimum, the green 55 EMA right here. That is a very, very specific number as of right now. That is officially at 82,650 at this exact moment.”
price then $84,098 → $82,650 · -1.7% · watch 2:08 touched $82,650 intraday, closed at $83,500
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check ETH ▼ → $2,640 · Sep 25, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 7d
“I'd be expecting to move back down to like 2640 ish region first, similar to Bitcoin, you know, short-term”
price then $2,692 → $2,640 · -1.9% · watch 44:21 touched $2,640 intraday, closed at $2,656
HIT ZEC ▼ → $1,250 · Sep 25, 2026 · horizon 18d
“And he says, Still thinks ZEC will dip down to 1250 area? Actually, I do. Actually, I do think so. Yes, indeed. I do think that a lot of things are probably going to get ready for a bit of a small correction here. In ZEC being one of the early runnings, I would not put amongst or put outside of that pack.”
price then $1,556 → $1,250 · -19.6% · watch 11:06
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 2× · Sep 24, 2026 · horizon 40d
“And then of course we fast forward even 60 days again, still 100% green in our sample size and up with a median return of over, of over 56%. I mean, I'm not even going to do that right here. So that's just going to go into like full on bull mania, which I actually don't think that is likely to happen before I end up here. That's my personal opinion. Stats are stats at the end of the day. But like I said, we also now have seen something of great interest here because the five day timeframe which just closed recently has reclaimed that same movement, that same major movement average rate here as well. It is now well above the pivot, which is 81,200 and going to see the five VMA cross the upside of the 200 something right there as well. Just as an aside. But if we look at the stats pertaining to that, there's actually some really, really, really, really, really compelling things here too within 20 days. In fact, it usually doesn't give you all that much. You know, if you're looking at the average return about two spot, 3%, the median returns probably about 6% right there. It's eyeballing it, but that's only 67% of the time. That's a green period. And more likely to be green than not. And yeah, I do think that we will get a green period here. And I think that probably this that's going to be closer to this, you know, a little bit more muted. But again, that puts Bitcoin around the current highs, if not a little bit higher. And then if you fast forward out 40 days to 60 days, that's where you start to be extremely green very, very, very often. Not very often, 100% of the time in the sample size here, which is an N equals 15. By the way, we have 15 different iterations of this on a higher term timeframe compared to the two day, obviously. And if you fast forward 40 days, then you're looking at an average return about 21 spot 7% with the median just below that. And 60 days puts you out 20, almost 25% with the median return actually slightly higher than that, probably above 25%. Then from there, you know, things get kind of into a little bit of a lull as I have been saying, I think near the end of this year, either in October or near the end of this year, we're probably gonna get a pretty violent, nasty correction. I'm talking like 10 to 20% down on Bitcoin, but ultimately probably puts in, I mean, ultimately probably puts ultimately my opinion that it's going to put in a higher loan continue upwards and onwards later on. And we get to the 180 day out from that reclaim, which is basically six months from this would be like late September. So we're talking about like March of 2027. In fact, that is when again, it's 100% green period and all 15 previous examples and the average return is 66% or just over 66% with the median return, you know, a little bit less than that. You know, so again, I'm getting multiple things here that do suggest Bitcoin is very likely to be up. Even in the event that you have seen losers, I mean, it's not really a loss because well, even they're fucking gaining as well. Anyways, that's kind of the point that I'm making right here. We just have more and more information coming in that Bitcoin very likely does trade higher. We've seen many different setups. I'm not going to bring them all up on today's video because that's just gonna make this video like fucking two hours long. And that's just not unnecessary. And I have a inkling suspicion that people who typically record very long videos like that are doing it to obfuscate the data and their results. But that's just my opinion. Maybe I'm just talking shit. Who knows? Doesn't matter at the end of the day because I've probably no one's fucking listening to the full portion of that anyways. Can I have a lot of shit in there, right? Anyways, yeah. So moving on from there, we've already gone over this, the crowd right here. That's why I put in my bet. Like I said, just literally less than an hour ago, that was 22%. Now it's almost double that. So I missed out on a little bit. I wanted to do my bet like live on video, but hey, you know, fucked myself. My own anger is right there. Anyways, what else do we have right here? As we move onwards and forwards, again, Bitcoin having that reclaim is kind of a big deal, reclaiming that previous swing high from May. In this case, the weekly technically has not confirmed above it just yet. I do think that it's more or less formality. I think iBit has already confirmed a five and 10 day above there. So look, I'm looking at this as any test down to that number as fair, not necessarily fair game. I think that we probably have the low end, but that would be okay. No major issues with this current rally and still likely to trade up into the right for another extension on this move before the big correction is kind of where I'm at right now. Again, I've drawn out the LARP lines a few times. I won't do it right now, but let's go ahead and put my money where my mouth is again and buy a hundred buckaroonies of the old coins here on Coinbase. Why am I doing on Coinbase? Because as usual, Coinbase is the cheapest place to be buying spot Bitcoins, especially with my shill link in the description below. Why is that? Because we partnered with Coinbase and they're giving you 80% off your spot trading fees. If you use that link in the description below for Coinbase, it'll also award you 10% off of your derivative trading fees. And most importantly, I've just gotten word out of yesterday from my representative there. They're going to be adding options for US fucking citizens in October, most likely. Now you never, you know, weird things always do happen, but that's the latest information that I've got from them. I think international clients already have access to it. So fuck you. I'm jealous, but at the same time, congratulations. And ultimately I'm just extremely excited about this because one feed discounts, two, I'm going to be able to have like a regular exchange where I can trade options, which should, oh, nice. We got filled where, where we can trade options because they did acquire a derivative, which has the most, you know, the most liquidity for options. So that's a big fucking deal. So we'll, you know, I'll have that plus derivatives and spot on the same exchange. I could put, you know, I, you know, I can basically just park my full accounts there. And then I don't have to worry about, you know, cross hedging on different exchanges because, you know, some exchanges only offer options. Some exchanges only offer futures or spot. That's just been a major headache, you know, in the past year. But in this case, this in my opinion is so far the best solution. So I'm really, really, really, really excited to, to, to partner with them. And yeah, again, that affiliate link, that she'll link is in the description below. Other than that, we can go ahead and reference perhaps. Oh yes. Let's go down to the lower term timeframes while we're here. Why not? So the full hour timeframe, I do want to acknowledge has put in some hidden bullish divergence on spot price action already has confirmed that the six hour timeframe I do think is getting ready to fall through here, but four hour timeframe. Yes. On character because RSI you already got one drive. You might even consider this one a second drive on today's low. If you go over to the six hour timeframe, similar thing right here, this low from 20th of September on the RSI is much higher than the low that we're seeing right here at about, basically this morning's low with a higher low on price action. And that actually is effectively your last training higher low from just over 80,000 bucks. And by the way, if you're not familiar with training, higher lows, training, lower highs, this is a really, really, really, really, really important concept that we talked about on this channel. It is extremely important when it comes to documenting potential reversals and things like this. And so, and if you're not familiar with it, you can check it out in the TA one to one program. It's literally free. I have a bunch of free courses in the link description below. My job is, or my goal is to make all my free free shit way better than people's paid shit because I'm egotistical and I'm just, that's just my fucking goals right now, man. That's just is what it is. So you can find it right there. Of course you could also check it on the crown trading bubble. That is a paid program, but again, realistically, it's just not relevant for 99.9% of people. It is very, very, very, very, very heavy detail. And ultimately most people just don't even need that. But yes, if you just want to learn about the basics, TA one on one is great. TA foundations as well on YouTube is extremely, extremely basic if you want to start there. But yeah, that training and higher low now coming in around 80,000 bucks. So even on like a short term timeframe and the way that I look at the six hour, I have no issues with this move at all whatsoever as long as Bitcoin's above there. Again, this was a retracement that we did expect. And now I'm just kind of looking for this one to trade sideways enough from here. So long as Bitcoin's above 80,000 bucks, I got no majors with this price action at all whatsoever. It might take a little bit of time to get going, but looking for some sideways enough from here and for some Bitcoin magic to happen. Other than that, let's go over to, yes, let's go over to the Reverend ribbons. I just want to acknowledge again, that CME futures continues to remain above the red dots in this first upper band one. So I'm still looking at this range as valid between those red dots and the top side. Now I don't think we're going to be testing the top side again this week. You can basically look at the high of this week is effectively a test of that already. But coming into next week, assuming that Bitcoin finishes this week above these red dots here and upper band one, which is 82, 300 on CME, which traded about 600 bucks above that as of right now, there is a premium over spot price action. Well that would open up the door for an extremely likely test back up to the top side of that band, which is more or less 90,000 bucks. That'd be a next week thing. Again, if that one holds, we'll know that information for sure by tomorrow, which we'll be doing a live stream on as well. Other than that, I think it's a good place to maybe leave it off on this video. Again, we got Caltech and Coinbase links in the description below as always. And yeah, higher term timeframes, we're seeing more and more things aligned in that same direction. Lower term timeframes even given some short term signals that Bitcoin is finding a low right here. And then Bitcoin does take another step down. I'd be looking somewhere around like 81 to 81.5 region, probably a bounce there at the very minimum. And I'd want to see it in real time after that. Other than that, I still think that all the higher term time from setups are more or less green with each other. If we fast forward, especially like 30 to 60 days out, things are more likely to be positive from here than not. And then of course, from there, things probably take a cooling off period. And then it is around the sort of six month, the five to six month marker where we start to see these returns go up again, generally from a lot of the sets that we've been looking at. Other than that, I'll update again on tomorrow's live stream. As always, take care, much love and see you hopefully next time.”
price then $84,125 → still open · watch 0:00
MISS BTC ▲ → $86,000 (conditional) · restated 2× · Sep 24, 2026 · horizon 5d
“So if you do see Bitcoin hold that line, which yes, we've already seen done. And then within five days, the average return has been about two spot 8%. That was 64% of the time in history. But of course, this time fulfilling those criteria is much higher probability than that actually. So just putting that as a number, basically almost 3% from what was more or less yesterday's low. That put Bitcoin where? And right around about 86,000 US dollars.”
price then $84,125 → $83,664 · -0.6% · watch 3:15 reached $86,000 on Oct 02, 3 days after the deadline
MISS BTC ▲ (conditional) · Sep 24, 2026 · horizon 5d
“if you fast forward five days out from the reconnect 64% of the time, it is still a green period. So more likely to be green.”
price then $84,410 → $83,664 · -0.9% · watch 0:32
OPEN BTC ▲ → $133,000 · Sep 24, 2026 · horizon 60d
“And sorry, what exactly was it again? 56.5%. Oh, dear Lord. I'm at 54.5% right now almost, and that's already $133,000.”
price then $84,607 → still open · watch 10:18
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $104,000 · restated 1× · Sep 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 20d
“And what do you know? Yeah, 104. We have yet another fucking thing from a different angle, completely different technical, and it is pointed above six digits.”
price then $84,607 → $81,682 · -3.5% · watch 9:24
MISS BTC ▲ → $88,000 · restated 1× · Sep 24, 2026 · horizon 10d
“Again, that would actually, I think, put Bitcoin on new highs for this rally. Let's just double check. 4.9% puts, yeah, Bitcoin at around $88,000.”
price then $84,607 → $86,530 · +2.3% · watch 4:23
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · Sep 23, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And as long as Bitcoin's above there, I just have no major issues, no major qualms with this current rally. And I do look for it to go up and to the right”
price then $84,398 → $81,189 · -3.8% · invalidation $79,500 · watch 0:00
VOID BTC ▲ → $90,000 · restated 1× · Sep 23, 2026 · horizon 60d
“I think Bitcoin is more likely to trade up towards $90,000 plus than go back down below, especially $80,000 in the, you know, in the next month or two, perhaps.”
price then $84,398 → $80,000 · -5.2% · invalidation $80,000 · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $117,000 · Sep 23, 2026 · horizon 90d
“I would look at this one as very likely to be green, probably likely to be over $100,000. But, you know, 44% to the upside from last week's closure. Well, that would put Bitcoin where. That would put Bitcoin actually not on new highs. Funnily enough, it would be closer to about $117,000 US dollars.”
price then $84,398 → still open · watch 0:33
OPEN BTC ▲ · Sep 23, 2026 · horizon 69d
“So this would be, I guess, a little more of an optimistic look, uh, 44 and a half percent, you know, uh, by early December, obviously puts Bitcoin probably around previous all-time high.”
price then $86,420 → still open · watch 0:32
VOID BTC ▲ → $90,000 (conditional) · Sep 22, 2026 · horizon 5d
“I wouldn't be that surprised at all if Bitcoin did hit $90,000 like not today, but this week. By the same point, if Bitcoin does close out the week below $84,000, then I would very likely look for a pullback first, maybe closer to $80,000.”
price then $86,282 → $84,000 · -2.6% · invalidation $84,000 · watch 11:40
OPEN BTC ▲ → $117,000 · Sep 22, 2026 · horizon 84d
“Well, that would put Bitcoin where that put Bitcoin actually not on new highs. Funnily enough, it'd be closer to about 117,000 US dollars.”
price then $86,282 → still open · watch 3:16
OPEN BTC ▲ → $105,000 · Sep 22, 2026 · horizon 42d
“Yeah, that puts Bitcoin back at around 105,000 US, highly inflated buckaroonies.”
price then $86,282 → still open · watch 2:12
OPEN ETH ▲ → $3,600 · Sep 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Somewhere between about $3,200 to $3,600 is where I think that this move does find itself.”
price then $2,769 → still open · watch 11:04
VOID BTC ▲ → $89,300 · restated 1× · Sep 22, 2026 · horizon 5d
“So, the top end of that is actually $89,300. That is relevant for CME, which does have a slight premium over spot price action. But, yes, you know, I do think that Bitcoin could maybe even get as far as that this week. It wouldn't be that crazy is what I'm trying to say. At the”
price then $86,324 → $84,000 · -2.7% · invalidation $84,000 · watch 13:39
VOID BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Sep 22, 2026 · horizon 100d
“I don't think it's that crazy to be calling for more than $100,000 by end of year here. I don't think it's crazy at all to see that.”
price then $86,324 → $79,500 · -7.9% · invalidation $79,500 · watch 0:00
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · Sep 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“For me, the invalidation now is effectively $79,000 and $500,000, let's say, more or less that sort of like last major level reclaimed.”
price then $86,620 → $84,093 · -2.9% · invalidation $79,000 · watch 26:24
OPEN BTC ▲ → $116,000 (conditional) · Sep 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“44.5%, you know, by early December, obviously puts Bitcoin probably around previous all-time highs. If I'm just going to do like some bad amount of math, I mean, that should be around there, you know, 80,000 bucks plus 40%. Yeah, that's got to be in the like the 110s to 120s regions. Just want to make sure. Yep, there we go. Looking at like 116.”
price then $86,620 → still open · watch 18:07
OPEN BTC ▲ → $105,000 (conditional) · Sep 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 60d
“if we were to put a number on that, you know, 28% plus the weeklies closure would put Bitcoin where? I would put Bitcoin, yeah, closer to, you know, 105 or so.”
price then $86,620 → still open · watch 16:22
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $90,000 (conditional) · Sep 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“four weeks, basically a month plus 12%, if we were to take that into consideration as far as current price action goes, well, we do obviously have that closure. So 12-ish percent puts Bitcoin where? Just above $90,000.”
price then $86,620 → $84,093 · -2.9% · watch 14:47
MISS BTC ▼ (conditional) · restated 3× · Sep 20, 2026 · horizon 7d
“Look, unless a Bitcoin close out this week on a bullish engulfing, you're probably going to get a short-term pullback next week.”
price then $81,178 → $84,472 · +4.1% · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 2× · Sep 19, 2026 · horizon 103d
“I am bullish for Q4 more or less.”
price then $81,104 → still open · watch 0:31
VOID BTC ▲ → $82,814 (conditional) · Sep 19, 2026 · horizon 15d
“82814.03 on the index right here. I don't think that that happens today or this week. I do think that it's very possible that if Bitcoin does confirm a bullish engulfing, then we could very well see that, you know, try maybe next week or the very, very last week slash first week of October,”
price then $81,104 → $80,800 · -0.4% · invalidation $80,800 · watch 1:46
VOID BTC ▲ (conditional) · Sep 19, 2026 · horizon 11d
“no longer do I expect a range to end of this month. I expect new highs into the end of this month.”
price then $81,104 → $80,800 · -0.4% · invalidation $80,800 · watch 0:31
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check SOL ▲ → $130.00 (conditional) · restated 2× · Sep 18, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think that you have, uh, you're cleared for takeoff and also you have a major massive bullish and golfing dildo here. So if you could close by that, you will reclaim all major moving averages on a bullish and golfing dildo. I'd feel quite confident saying this thing is going to try and move up to, you know, one 30, maybe even maybe an all the way up to this past, uh, lower, lower high for, you know, around like one 45 to one 50 ish region.”
price then $112.72 → $104.11 · -7.6% · watch 32:58
OPEN ETH ▲ · restated 1× · Sep 18, 2026 · horizon 60d
“I do expect Ethereum to be outpacing Bitcoin. I do expect this ratio to get all the way up to three spot, four million Stoches, which we have been saying for what seems like a couple months now.”
price then $2,612 → still open · watch 35:14
OPEN BTC ▲ → $120,000 · Sep 18, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 180d
“50% added on from more or less $80,000 is what, I mean, that's 40,000 bucks. So you're looking at around about 120,000 bucks, uh, within about half a year as, as sort of like a likely thing to occur.”
price then $80,884 → still open · watch 25:04
HIT BTC ▲ (conditional) · Sep 18, 2026 · horizon 12d
“as long as Bitcoin's above 78,600, it will close green.”
price then $80,884 → $83,624 · +3.4% · invalidation $78,600 · watch 27:07
HIT BTC ▲ → $82,814 (conditional) · Sep 18, 2026 · horizon 16d
“it would require Bitcoin to close, not just trade up above, but close above that very specific number, which is 82, eight 14 and three cents on the index right here.”
price then $80,884 → $82,814 · +2.4% · watch 20:08
MISS BTC ▲ · restated 3× · Sep 18, 2026 · horizon 30d
“And when we start to fast forward out 30 days, you're still up. You are still up. I mean, that's where you're up on a median return about 3, spot 2%.”
price then $80,874 → $82,116 · +1.5% · watch 0:00 moved up 3%+ on Oct 21, 3 days after the deadline
MISS ETH ▲ → $3,000 · Sep 17, 2026 · horizon 30d
“Overall, I do look for Ethereum to probably make a move towards 3,000 plus. Maybe that's an October thing.”
price then $2,449 → $2,403 · -1.9% · watch 13:34
HIT ETH ▲ → $2,600 · Sep 17, 2026 · horizon 14d
“And we can look for this thing to rise up to 2,500 plus, probably 2,600 probably if it just goes for a breakout, maybe into next week, maybe the week after that.”
price then $2,449 → $2,600 · +6.2% · watch 12:50
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $78,000 · Sep 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Yes, you're going to hear me, again, just be sideways and up from here. Probably with short-term targets back above 78,000 bucks, that would actually look really, really good on a weekly closing basis, by the way.”
price then $76,490 → $78,000 · +2.0% · watch 14:45
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 (conditional) · Sep 17, 2026 · horizon 105d
“st to reference the 60 day meeting of returns for golden crosses that have actually worked out, you're looking at plus 20%, which depending upon where Bitcoin is at that time, you know, that could easily put Bitcoin back into the $90,000 territory, maybe even, maybe even a hundred thousand dollars.”
price then $76,490 → still open · watch 7:30
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · Sep 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 10d
“But if we were to put numbers on that for this current moment, again, that would require that actually comes down pretty much today to test that. 5% bounce from that puts Bitcoin back around 76.5% to 77,000 bucks.”
price then $76,417 → $84,472 · +10.5% · watch 0:30
MISS BTC ▼ → $72,400 · restated 2× · Sep 16, 2026 · horizon 15d
“So that would put Bitcoin again, actually much lower, in fact, about 72,400 almost. So there's a real chance of that.”
price then $76,206 → $84,880 · +11.4% · watch 0:33
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $79,500 (conditional) · restated 2× · Sep 15, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“after we see that test happen, if we fast forward three days, you're looking at probably somewhere around like $79,500.”
price then $75,644 → $79,500 · +5.1% · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Sep 15, 2026 · horizon 107d
“You know, again, between now and end of this year, I do expect Bitcoin to go up more. I expect Bitcoin to probably, you know, get somewhere around like 90-ish to 100,000 bucks.”
price then $75,644 → still open · watch 7:55
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ (conditional) · Sep 12, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“you're probably going to get a, uh, a rejection.”
price then $77,279 → $81,850 · +5.9% · watch 13:57
HIT BTC ▼ → $76,000 · Sep 12, 2026 · horizon 3d
“The median 7-day close from the 78 449 cross, which is where Bitcoin was when the cross happened, sits at about 76,000 bucks in change.”
price then $77,279 → $76,000 · -1.6% · watch 0:31
MISS BTC ▼ · Sep 12, 2026 · horizon 2d
“Ultimately, when I look at the chart right here, I do think Bitcoin over this weekend very likely will get another shot down around $77,000.”
price then $77,279 → $78,189 · +1.2% · watch 7:20
OPEN ZEC ▲ → $2,000 · Sep 11, 2026 · horizon 60d
“I do think ultimately this one gets up at least to 1500 and probably more like probably closer to 2000, honestly, man, but that might be, you know, another week, uh, another month or two away.”
price then $1,165 → still open · watch 87:39
VOID XRP ▲ (conditional) · Sep 11, 2026 · horizon 19d
“one 55, I do think is in bound to, you know, between now and end of month, probably. Um, uh, basically as long as this thing is above the 200 simple here at about one and a quarter”
price then $1.36 → $1.25 · -7.8% · invalidation $1.25 · watch 66:22
MISS ETH ▲ → $3,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Sep 11, 2026 · horizon 45d
“I would not be surprised to this one trading at 3000 bucks. You know, if we fast forward, you know, 30 to 45 days from now”
price then $2,516 → $2,325 · -7.6% · watch 43:10
VOID deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $83,000 · restated 2× · Sep 11, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“And again, I'd be looking for Bitcoin to rally back up into this zone here with a, with a low target of $80,000, even, and a higher target about 83 and change, uh, to the upside”
price then $77,226 → $75,500 · -2.2% · invalidation $75,500 · watch 33:30
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