Jayson Casper prediction accuracy
C
last 12 mo
10%
9%
all time, own deadlines (11)
40%
all resolved (68)
50%
30-day direction (36)
99
calls logged
32
open right now
0
flips (30d)
Is Jayson Casper accurate?
Jayson Casper is graded C on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com), below typical, not conclusive: in the last 12 months, 1 of 10 crypto price calls where they set the deadline themselves hit (10%), against a typical 21% across all tracked channels, which ranks #45 of 64 graded channels. All time, 1 of 11 such calls hit (9%); they were made between August 2025 and October 2026. Counting every resolved call, including ones without a stated deadline, the hit rate is 40% (68 calls). 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 50% of the time (36 calls). The grade summarizes the record; it is not a forecast.
Current stance
▲ SOL
Nov 2 · open
▼ ETH → $1,800
Oct 28 · open
▼ BTC
Oct 27 · open
▼ LTC → $50.00
Oct 13 · open
▲ LINK → $20.00
Sep 22 · open
▲ ZEC → $1,118
Sep 3 · hit
Is Jayson Casper accurate?
Grade C, below typical, not conclusive: in the last 12 months, 1 of 10 predictions where Jayson Casper named the deadline themselves came true by that deadline, against a typical 21% for all channels. All time, 1 of 11 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 0 of 4 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 1 of 7 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 50% of the time (36 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.
The record
OPEN
SOL ▲
“we have a monthly green dot we have really nice weekly bullish divergence looks like that nice that next weekly green dot is going to be the one to send us to a higher high”
“That's a classic head and shoulder pattern right here. Right? Classic. We got our shoulder, our head, our shoulder. And we know our technical target is going to be around 1900, 1800.”
“But technically speaking, the invalidation of this idea would be if we come above $84,900. But this is where I am looking and planning for my next trades right now on Bitcoin. And so overall, I am leaning more bearish based on the weekly timeframe.”
“Assuming We would Come Down To The Anchored VWAP At Around 2200 That's a Valid Trade Setup”
“if we start to lose it, like I said, the highest probability is that we do come down lower towards the $77,000 area”
“We're going to come and make a new high. We're going to come to the $88,000 level.”
OPEN
SOL ▼ → $70.00
“the juiciest place to look would be around $80. Coming down towards $70. $70 to $80 buy zone for another high would be really nice here on Seoul.”
“if we start to fill the gap, we very well may find support here. And then come up to our next resistance around $3,500.”
“If we start to lose. The $75,000 level. We will have a very. Very fast. Drop. And fill. Potentially all. Of this gap. Coming down to the. Mid to high 60s... If. We get a. 20% pullback. Like we have historically. For these. Red dots on the weekly. That is going to take us down to. Around. $69,000. Bitcoin.”
OPEN
BTC ▼
“The weekly red dot confirmation. Historically. Usually means. That the next few weeks. Guys. Are going to be sideways and down.”
“You can see by the time we fill this weekly candle, we're going to be coming down to around the $66,000 level.”
“The red dot on weekly market cipher B. This historically leads to at least a 20% correction to the downside if confirmed. And we only have three days left until this confirms.”
“If we lose this level, then I do think it's quite probable that we make our way down to around $50.”
“We must reclaim 2580. 2580. And if we do, I also don't see why we can't see ETH come back towards these highs.”
“And if not. We can't bounce from there. Then I expect we're coming back down to 75,000.”
OPEN
BTC ▼
“I'm expecting a pullback soon.”
“if we get the red dot on the weekly, it becomes very, very probable that we get like a 20% or more pullback, which would take us right down to around the high 60s.”
OPEN
SOL ▼
“That is going to take us down to around $75.”
“If ETH comes down 30%, it's going to put us right at our target just below $2,000.”
“We had one up here in January 2024. That was when the Bitcoin ETF went live. That resulted in about a 20% drop. So, even the small drops are pretty significant. The smallest drop was about 20%. If ETH comes down 20%, that's going to put us right around $2,200. That's”
“And then if we reclaim that, yeah, I'm looking at 86.5 at the high volume node plus the 786 and potentially even a new high, potentially even a new high.”
“I'd say I wouldn't be surprised if we come up to 85.8 at that value area low first.”
“I wouldn't be surprised to see us dip all the way down to like around 77,000 for a potential last hope support here.”
“If we don't hold the POC, I'd say we're going for the lows, man.”
“if ETH does get another little pump up. Then if we start to get the retracement. We got to be looking down towards $1,800.”
“I know this sounds ridiculous, but I don't see why ETH can't come up to around $3,600.”
“If we can hold about that, I think we could easily continue to pump up to the mid-90s. All right. To the mid-90s, we pull the Fibonacci. All right. And right around $93,000. That's the next major resistance.”
OPEN
LINK ▲ → $20.00
“the next macro target is going to be around $20. Right? $20.”
“Am I still feeling bullish? I hate to say it. I hate to say it. I hate to say it. I do. But the truth, the truth, guys, is that, yeah, yeah, I'm still feeling bullish here.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $73,500
“At the very lowest, I want to come. 73.5. We're coming down to this support.”
“If we cannot hold this zone, then my absolute prediction is that we're coming down to fill all this craziness. We're coming down to fill all the craziness to at least 66.8.”
“it wouldn't surprise me if we see another like squeeze to the upside, because we don't really have like resistance here until we're coming back up around 3000 or higher.”
MISS
BTC ▼
“This green line here is really where we would expect the low to be coming in mid-October.”
“Here we go. Here we go. Here we go. Here we go. 83K coming. It's possible, man. It's possible.”
“if this does break out we have ourselves a beautiful shoulder head and then once we break structure, we're looking for a higher high”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $95,000
“The measured move based on this right here Is going to take us up to the mid 90s.”
“We're gonna be talking about my bullish scenario as to why I think we could see eighty thousand dollars again”
“If we get a pullback from here, you know, basically a nice dip below the POC into around 75 and then take it up to around 137. That's Solana is looking pretty good.”
“As long as we do not close a daily candle below this key orange line, 75.6, the probabilities are actually highest that we do see Bitcoin create a new high.”
“will probably come back down towards basically, I hate to say it, but around the $67,000 zone.”
“All I'm saying is if we can't hold this green box that I have drawn out here, the probabilities and Jason Castro's prediction is that $75,000 is next.”
“This absolutely could be the start of something big. This could be the start of a big move to the downside.”
“It looks like the next target for zcash is 1118 and 50 cents On good old binance and then why not go to 1370 254 on binance?”
“And potentially shooting up to the 3400 level which Is our next support resistance zone On the chart here. Let's go ahead and pull the fibonacci.”
“It's very likely to come to $83,000. And potentially take us higher than that. Right. This could be a bull flag.”
OPEN
BTC ▲
“We're gonna at least shoot for our 618 At least At least 77,600 For a TP1 77,600 for a TP1”
“Where's the take profit $79,300 $79,300 $79,300 Alright We're gonna close 50% up there”
“If we come up here and we cannot close the daily candle above, for me, that is a short trade. Stop loss, entry on the candle close, the first target is going to be the backtest of $74,000.”
“our latest trade right now is a short from these highs.”
“if we don't get any kind of fake out, if we don't get any kind of rejection, our next target is absolutely going to be $100,000 Bitcoin”
“If we hold this, we could very easily see a move back up to the high or potentially even higher.”
“we have rejected from the POC of the range, which means the highest probability is we come down just below $63,000.”
“I am not going to buy again until after we lose $70,000. Check back in February to see if I'm smart or not.”
“And so if we start to lose this level, what we could see is a very fast move to fill all of this, coming down to maybe $63,000, $62,500 POC.”
“And so if the same thing is going to repeat, we're looking at the end of September, beginning of October and the price dipping just below $40,000.”
“If we reclaim it, in my opinion, that is extremely bullish. We could potentially see a squeeze all the way back up to around $2,400.”
“Now, if we reclaim $65,000, we're most likely going to come all the way back up to the top of the range around $68,000.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $180,000
“And I'm going to give a conservative target of 180K for the next cycle.”
“Yes, I've taken the long trade from the setup given in the Casper crew VIP Discord. I told my community on the 18th that I'm building a swing long. I'm adding to swing longs. My invalidation is $74,000.”
“I'd say it's very important right now that we reclaim 79.8 if we want to see more upside. And if not, I honestly do think that the lower price action now becomes more probable.”
“my targets would be that you know before the end of the year naturally would be coming down below 50k and and obviously maybe 40 or even 30k depending on how aggressive the breakdown is”
“I think before the end of the year and bottom out like October seems kind of right September October because a bear market is usually an entire year right from all-time high to the bottom”
“If we happen to flip this into support, then I don't see why we actually can't come up towards the middle of this old range right here, towards maybe $90,000.”
“And now we're pumping faster and hotter than anyone's ever pumped before. Let me tell you folks, we're going to keep pumping and pumping and it's all because of you, Jason Casper.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $48,000
“I would expect the pattern to continue. We range, and then maybe we get one last drop, dipping just around $48,000 before the next bull market happens.”
“if you lose this value area low at $65,000, the highest probability is that we make a new macro low and we take out the low at $60,000.”
MISS
BTC ▼
“The highest probability is that eventually, within the next few days, we make our way back down to the bottom of the range.”
“So right now, as long as we can hold this dang market structure, I expect a move up to $80,000.”
“if we pump up and then get a back test of that $68,000 level. And when we see that we dip below $68,000 and then start to bounce above, that gives us a very clear long signal.”
“there's no reason why we cannot target the macro Fibonacci, which in this case would probably be around $82,000.”
“if that green dot disappears, then I'm actually looking for us to come down and touch $60,000 again.”
“our first target would be the support resistance flip that we have all the way back on April 2025. Right? That's going to be right around $74,000 right over here.”
“And probabilities would actually be highest that we make our way down towards the low of the fair value zone.”
“So right now, my next target for Bitcoin is actually going to be 57.5 at that high volume node.”
“You entered here. Your target was here. You were right. You knew we were going to get a move up.”
“I was calling for under $70,000 by February on Twitter.”
“Between 30 and 40K. I'm not saying this number because I'm a Bitcoin bear. I'm saying this number because I'm a Bitcoin bull.”
“If history repeats and this weekly money flow means the bottom is not in. Our next big buy target is $57,000.”
“if we can get a break, a hold, maybe a bull flag, and then a move up above this level, that would change my bearish bias. Then I would have to look for a move back up towards $96,400.”
“if we can reclaim $79,300, which is our very local resistance, then we should be aware of the potential of a move up to two areas. The first area is going to be $84,500.”
“Clearly defined high at around 125 clearly defined low At around 74 that means we're going down to 74”
HIT
BTC ▼
“In my opinion, we are heading into a few months of sideways and down for Bitcoin before we see another big push to make a new all-time high.”
“If we cannot hold 86.3, the probabilities are the highest that we will come down to take out the low at $80,000.”
“This is called a bullish divergence, and it leads to a move to the upside.”
“if we're going to lose this green box, then I am going to become bearish looking for much lower.”
“as the final target of the setup is all the way back down to the bottom of the range, taking out our low at $80,000.”
MISS
BTC ▶
“Overall for 2026, my prediction is this. We chop around in this range.”
“And in my opinion, this is a bounce that could absolutely result in Bitcoin hitting $125,000.”
“it's my view right now that we are about to see a bullish move to the upside from this area.”
“if we start to see weekly candle closes below this key level, which is about $110,000, well, that's extremely bearish”
“as long as Bitcoin can hold this level, we are primed for the next few months being some of the most bullish months for the altcoins in the last few years.”
“As long as we are holding above this level, $109,000, I'd say there's a real potential that Bitcoin could see another push.”
“And once we're back above $115,000 and we're trading around $117,000, I'd say $120,000 Bitcoin is very, very probable.”
“And now we're breaking out of this wedge where we can look for our target, a conservative target of a $5 Cardano.”
“And when we look at some of these charts here, guys, like ETH, when we look at charts like AVAX and we're seeing like, wow, look at AVAX right now, about to confirm a green dot on the monthly timeframe.”
“And when we look at some of these charts here, guys, like ETH, when we look at charts like AVAX and we're seeing like, wow, look at AVAX right now, about to confirm a green dot on the monthly timeframe.”
“If this daily candle closes above the price of $115,300, let's say it's the fair value zone low, very, very, very, very bullish. If for some reason, we get to move back down and we close below, not looking so great.”
“I think we could possibly hit our juicy target of $130,000 Bitcoin.”
“I think we're going to probably pump, but this is obviously a potential.”
“okay, I'm interested in a long trade from this area coming to the low of the range for a fake out, potentially coming to make a new all time high at let's say $110,000.”
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