13%hit rate, last 12 months (2/15) on deadlines they set themselves · typical 21%
Grade C: below typical, not conclusive. A summary of the record, not a forecast.
2 hit·11 missed·2 stopped out
Grade from 15 calls resolved between December 2025 and October 2026. All-time record: 3 of 20 hit, calls made between June 2025 and October 2026. How the grade works
15%
all time, own deadlines (20)
40%
all resolved (141)
31%
30-day direction (81)
166
calls logged
32
open right now
0
flips (30d)
Is Josh's Finance accurate?
Josh's Finance is graded C on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com), below typical, not conclusive: in the last 12 months, 2 of 15 crypto price calls where they set the deadline themselves hit (13%), against a typical 21% across all tracked channels, which ranks #39 of 64 graded channels. All time, 3 of 20 such calls hit (15%); they were made between June 2025 and October 2026. Counting every resolved call, including ones without a stated deadline, the hit rate is 40% (141 calls). 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 31% of the time (81 calls). The grade summarizes the record; it is not a forecast.
Grade C, below typical, not conclusive: in the last 12 months, 2 of 15 predictions where Josh's Finance named the deadline themselves came true by that deadline, against a typical 21% for all channels. All time, 3 of 20 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 1 of 8 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 2 of 12 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 31% of the time (81 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.
OPENBTC ▲ (conditional)· Nov 03, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Right now, I do think that XRP, Bitcoin, all that's going to go up. It's going to be very short-term unless something major happens here in the midterms.”
OPENXRP ▲ (conditional)· Nov 03, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Right now, I do think that XRP, Bitcoin, all that's going to go up. It's going to be very short-term unless something major happens here in the midterms.”
VOIDdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ → $80,000(conditional)· Nov 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“So a bounce towards the 20- and 50-day EMA is around $80,000 would not actually surprise me here. That is a ceiling. If Bitcoin closes a day under $76,500, I think XRP loses $1.24 with it.”
VOIDdeadline set by Oracle CheckXRP ▼ (conditional)· restated 1×· Nov 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“That is a staircase down and nothing on the chart has broken it yet. $1.27 isn't just the last high. The daily 10 EMA is sitting right above the $1.27.5. So there is two things stacked on one price. That's why the daily close above $1.27 is my first sign that I could be wrong.”
OPENBTC ▼ · restated 1×· Nov 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“My base case right now is the bear case. Bitcoin closes under $76,000.”
price then $78,612
→ still open · invalidation $80,000 · watch 3:45
OPENXRP ▼ → $1.20(conditional)· restated 1×· Nov 01, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Bearish case right now is Bitcoin going to $80,000, XRP getting closer to $1.30, getting rejected around the resistance of around $1.34 to $1.35. Then we retest some lower lows. If Bitcoin loses around $76,000, XRP loses $1.20. I expect the next leg down to be very quickly”
price then $1.25
→ still open · invalidation $1.37 · watch 4:53
OPENXRP ▼ → $1.00(conditional)· restated 1×· Oct 30, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And if Bitcoin breaks below $74.9, I think XRP will easily test that $1 range.”
price then $1.26
→ still open · invalidation $1.30 · watch 9:15
OPENXRP ▼ → $1.12· Oct 30, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“with XRP, I am still bearish short-term. Losing the 200-day average at $1.28 is a major deal. My bear case on this one is to move to that $1.12 to that $1.18 zone.”
price then $1.26
→ still open · invalidation $1.30 · watch 8:55
OPENXRP ▼ (conditional)· restated 1×· Oct 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Until XRP closes a daily candle above $1.40, I'm treating this as a relief rally inside of a downtrend, not the start of something bigger.”
price then $1.29
→ still open · invalidation $1.40 · watch 5:58
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckXRP ▼ → $1.30(conditional)· Oct 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“My base case is a rejection between $1.34 and $1.36. A move back down to $1.30 and a possible test of the 200-day average near around $1.28.”
OPENXRP ▼ → $1.10(conditional)· restated 2×· Oct 25, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Daily close below $1.25. The pattern will drop. And I think we will see the low $1.20s going into the low $1.10s.”
price then $1.30
→ still open · invalidation $1.40 · watch 4:45
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckXRP ▼ → $1.28(conditional)· Oct 25, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“The 200-day near $1.28 and the $1.25 October low are the supports to hold.”
price then $1.30
→ $1.28 · -1.2% touched $1.28 intraday, closed at $1.28
VOIDdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ → $87,000(conditional)· restated 2×· Oct 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“a break above $85K reopens $87K”
price then $80,729
→ $80,000 · -0.9% · invalidation $80,000
OPENXRP ▼ (conditional)· Oct 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“So XRP, $1.25. If it hoses through swell in the Fed and reclaims $1.42, this whole October drop was a shakeout, and that would be bullish. If it closes under $1.25, I'm expecting a fast move lower.”
price then $1.29
→ still open · invalidation $1.42 · watch 8:37
OPENBTC ▼ → $76,000(conditional)· restated 7×· Oct 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“So I do think if we don't close above that $85,000 on Bitcoin, we're looking at roughly $79,700. And then revisiting that $76,000, $77,000 that we did in September.”
price then $80,998
→ still open · invalidation $85,000 · watch 2:55
OPENXRP ▲ → $1.41(conditional)· Oct 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“And then we're going to be breaking above the moving average, which would more than likely put us closer back to that $1.41.”
price then $1.37
→ still open
OPENXRP ▼
· Oct 20, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I do expect that we're going to see the possibility of that dollar 11 and seeing Bitcoin maybe even going as low as that 76,000.”
OPENBTC ▼ → $75,000(conditional)· restated 1×· Oct 20, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“if you take a look at bitcoin you also see a double top that double top here is almost complete this would put us right around that 75,000 if that continues to happen”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ · restated 1×· Aug 20, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Some of the price is still trading above the upper Bellindra bands on both timeframes, meaning it's short-term overbought and due for at least a pause or a short-term pullback coming eventually.”
price then $73,025
→ $81,250 · +11.3% · watch 5:52
MISSBTC ▼ → $60,000(conditional)· Aug 17, 2026 · horizon 5d
“there. So I do expect that if Bitcoin does break below that $62,200, that head and shoulder pattern will play out. And what will be caused is a drop in the crypto market, and more than likely altcoins will follow the drop on Bitcoin's head and shoulder pattern. And that could be an indication going closer back to that $60,000 on Bitcoin.”
price then $64,532
→ $77,075 · +19.4% · watch 5:51
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼
· Aug 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“this is going to be very supply and demand, kind of consolidation, and maybe even a slow decline, because right now we do have more sellers than buyers.”
price then $64,532
→ $76,206 · +18.1% · watch 6:54
OPENBTC ▼ → $62,000(conditional)· restated 1×· Aug 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“So if we reject right here around the 64-2, what's going to more than likely happen if we do close below it on the daily, we're going to retest that 62 again.”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ → $70,000(conditional)· restated 1×· Aug 14, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“But what happens is once we break above that $67,000, it's a confirmation that $70,000 is more than likely going to happen again.”
price then $63,044
→ $70,000 · +11.0% · watch 0:00touched $70,000 intraday, closed at $69,335
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼
· Aug 14, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“So, we had the bull market and we have pulled back over 50% this time. So, there's still room to kind of pull back a little bit more, which I expect.”
price then $63,044
→ $76,842 · +21.9% · watch 4:50
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckXRP ▶
· Aug 13, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“what you'll notice is the continuation of us bouncing back and forth from the $1.5 to the dollar.”
OPENBTC ▼ → $57,000· Aug 11, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“with bitcoin i do expect bitcoin to come back down closer to that 57 000 and that could happen you know in a week from now month from now or even a year from now”
OPENXRP ▼ → $0.80(conditional)· restated 1×· Aug 07, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If we continue to drop, we are more than likely going to fill this whole gap. If we fill that whole gap, we could lose over 80%. That could be getting closer to 80 cents.”
“With it being a rough month for Bitcoin, the odds and statistics are indicating that we will have a pretty bad month for August on Bitcoin and XRP anyways.”
price then $64,107
→ $78,581 · +22.6% · watch 3:52
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ → $60,000· Aug 04, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“But there is a high possibility with XRP and Bitcoin, we are going back down closer to that dollar range in that $60,000.”
price then $64,107
→ $76,816 · +19.8% · watch 2:09
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckXRP ▼ (conditional)· restated 5×· Jul 31, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“which could send us down to the $0.80 to that $0.70 range on XRP if we continue to have this bear market and Bitcoin pulls back below that $50,000 with Ethereum hitting as low as $1,400.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ (conditional)· restated 1×· Jul 31, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“If not, what we're going to see is a drop on Bitcoin and Ethereum.”
price then $62,888
→ $77,682 · +23.5% · watch 4:55
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ → $58,000(conditional)· Jul 31, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Also, if you come down a little closer, this could indicate another drop down below to the 58,000, below that 60,000 psychology range if this continues to happen.”
price then $62,888
→ $77,992 · +24.0% · watch 1:41
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckTOTAL ▲ (conditional)· restated 1×· Jul 31, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Once that volume comes back over to crypto, I do expect crypto to kind of see that bull run again.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckSOL ▼ → $70.00· Jul 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think a lot of altcoins will follow along behind it and they will hit a lot of their psychology numbers like XRP dollar, 1800 Ethereum, Solana below 70, Litecoin below 40.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckETH ▼ → $1,800· restated 2×· Jul 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think a lot of altcoins will follow along behind it and they will hit a lot of their psychology numbers like XRP dollar, 1800 Ethereum, Solana below 70, Litecoin below 40.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ → $42,000· Jul 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Below 50,000 would be even better if it touched around the 42,000, which would be the same percentage as the last two bear markets that we've seen from the four-year cycles.”
price then $63,984
→ $80,910 · +26.4% · watch 7:16
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ → $58,000(conditional)· Jul 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Once we close down below it, I do expect that we are going to come back down closer to this $58,000.”
price then $63,984
→ $80,910 · +26.4% · watch 3:21
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ → $50,000· Jul 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“But with Bitcoin, I do expect around that $50,000 range would be good to complete with the bear market.”
price then $63,984
→ $80,910 · +26.4% · watch 8:27
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckXRP ▼ (conditional)· restated 2×· Jul 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I do think XRP could be potentially coming back down if we don't see no Clarity Act news.”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ → $62,500(conditional)· restated 4×· Jul 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“So if we break below this line, this will be what is called a confirmation bias. This would be an indication that we will pull back closer back to that $62,500.”
price then $64,140
→ $62,500 · -2.6% · watch 2:38touched $62,500 intraday, closed at $62,888
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckXRP ▶ (conditional)· restated 1×· Jul 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Therefore, if you follow the daily chart, you'll also see that there is possibility that we may start to kind of consolidate here around that dollar to $1.10.”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckETH ▲ · restated 1×· Jun 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I do expect we will see volatility and volume, but I do expect it to come closer back up to that 1800 to 1850s, trying to get closer back up to this previous trend line.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ · restated 2×· Jun 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“So what I'm expecting here is a little kind of move like this, trying to retest around that $70,000 up to that $74,000. This is very short term though.”
price then $63,086
→ $62,290 · -1.3% · watch 4:00moved up 3%+ on Jul 14, 6 days after the deadline
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckETH ▼ → $1,383· Jun 05, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“So pay super close to that $1,383. We could be dropping that, but remember this is on the weekly and the daily charts. It could take months or it could even take weeks or days.”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ → $68,000· Jun 05, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“So the targets could be a short-term relief rally, could bounce Bitcoin back to that 68 to 70,000.”
price then $61,056
→ $68,000 · +11.4% · watch 4:19
VOIDBTC ▲ (conditional)· Jun 05, 2026 · horizon 3d
“So with some technical scenarios over the next three days, we could have a make or break support line, which is going to happen over the next 72 hours, more than likely before the weekly close to make a decision on what could be next.”
VOIDdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ (conditional)· Feb 06, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“You can see right now we're at $70,000 up in here where it's going to close and open a new candlestick, which will probably be green as long as we don't drop from $70,000 down to $65,000 once again.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckSOL ▼ (conditional)· Feb 05, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Getting below this support here around the $89,11, this would be indicating that Solana is more than likely going to retest right around that $87,000 to $88,000 range very quickly, which is not a really big move from where it is today.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckXRP ▲ → $1.80· Feb 03, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“You can see we had that big drop come back up coming closer and now again here I do think we're going to retest the moving average around the $1.70 more than likely trying to get closer to that $1.80 where this trend should be here.”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckETH ▼ (conditional)· Jan 31, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I do think once we break below this support, we are going to see Ethereum have a pretty big fall, getting closer back down to that $22 to $2,300 range, which is going to be a significant impact on holders.”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckXRP ▼ (conditional)· restated 4×· Jan 31, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And I still do think that we're going to break down below this support, which we already currently break out, breaking out of currently sitting around that $1.61.”
MISSBTC ▲ (conditional)· Dec 24, 2025 · horizon 1d
“As you can see here, we are looking like we're getting ready to see some bounce potential. This could push Bitcoin back to that 92,000 up to that 95.”
“if we follow this kind of analytical standpoint here using technical analysis and fundamental analysis would send us up on the short term going into quarter one of 2026”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckXRP ▼ · restated 2×· Jul 30, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“i do think xrp has a doji candle showing it some indecisiveness but i still feel like we're going to come down closer to that 296 after the big liquidations today”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckTOTAL ▲ → $4T· Jul 19, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“The $4 trillion market cap was a resistance for the total market cap of all cryptos. The $4 trillion market cap was a huge milestone for cryptos in general.”
price then $3.85T
→ $4T · +3.8% · watch 3:00touched $4T intraday, closed at $3.93T
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckXRP ▲ → $4.00· Jul 19, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“XRP I do think is going to hit around that $3.70 to that $4 range here soon.”
“i do think until probably next monday we could kind of consolidate if not be on a bearish level indicating around that 103 000 bitcoin”
price then $106,947
→ $108,357 · +1.3% · watch 4:50
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckXRP ▼ → $2.00· restated 1×· Jun 26, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I do think that XRP is going to come down to that $2 range, though, guys. This is just going to be on the short term. We'll probably retest that $2 and kind of bounce back.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckXRP ▼ → $1.86(conditional)· Jun 22, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think XRP is going to $1.86. We're either going to bounce on that or we're going to see it drop as low to $1.61 if Bitcoin drops below the $96,000 and Ethereum would drop below the $21.50.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckXRP ▼ · restated 2×· Jun 21, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“this time i think we're going to drop right below this trend line here once we drop below that we're going to be indicating down to another specific level”
MISSLINK ▲ (conditional)· Jun 16, 2025 · horizon 3d
“we are expecting a pump back on hbar once that does fill same with link a lot of people are seeing it on link as well it is going to be something that is going to take a few days to play out”
MISSHBAR ▲ (conditional)· Jun 16, 2025 · horizon 3d
“we are expecting a pump back on hbar once that does fill same with link a lot of people are seeing it on link as well it is going to be something that is going to take a few days to play out”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckXRP ▲ → $2.72(conditional)· Jan 03, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Right now my price prediction is sitting right here on XRP, going to be around that $2.72 if we're going to close above the next daily candlestick of $2.59.”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckXRP ▼ → $1.92(conditional)· Dec 28, 2024 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Breaking below this is going to be a clear indication to me that what we're going to see on the one hour is this gap fill back to that $1.92.”
price then $2.18
→ $1.92 · -12.1% · watch 1:10touched $1.92 intraday, closed at $2.70
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ → $92,000(conditional)· Dec 28, 2024 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Once it fills this gap, my expectations were that we was going to drop another leg lower, back down to that 92,000, if not getting closer back down to that 90,000 range.”
price then $95,300
→ $92,000 · -3.5% · watch 2:12touched $92,000 intraday, closed at $92,792
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