MegaWhale Crypto prediction accuracy
B
last 12 mo
21%
21%
all time, own deadlines (14)
33%
all resolved (61)
50%
30-day direction (20)
71
calls logged
11
open right now
0
flips (30d)
Is MegaWhale Crypto accurate?
MegaWhale Crypto is graded B on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com), above typical, not yet conclusive: in the last 12 months, 3 of 14 crypto price calls where they set the deadline themselves hit (21%), against a typical 21% across all tracked channels, which ranks #28 of 64 graded channels. All time, 3 of 14 such calls hit (21%); they were made between May 2026 and September 2026. Counting every resolved call, including ones without a stated deadline, the hit rate is 33% (61 calls). 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 50% of the time (20 calls). The grade summarizes the record; it is not a forecast.
Current stance
▼ BTC → $67,000
Nov 3 · open
Is MegaWhale Crypto accurate?
Grade B, above typical, not yet conclusive: in the last 12 months, 3 of 14 predictions where MegaWhale Crypto named the deadline themselves came true by that deadline, against a typical 21% for all channels. All time, 3 of 14 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 2 of 8 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 1 of 6 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 50% of the time (20 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.
The record
“The next bearish move is going to be a move below 74.9 with a target of 67,000.”
“Weekly close below 76.7, which we've defended on the current weekly, you can see we've bounced above, defended, will take us lower, okay?”
“the expectations are for Bitcoin to continue to drop. And we'll go ahead and put our lower targets in, we're looking for initial targets at 76.8. And then we're looking for targets at sell side liquidity at around 74.8.”
“If we're looking at the measured move target, the measured move target would assume the depth applied to the breakdown point would give us a maximum target of 66,000 to 65,000.”
“The initial target for this is going to be this region right here, which is around 76,000 to 75,000 US dollars.”
“If we want to see the next leg up, we need to see that RSI break upwards. If we do not see that, at best, what all we are going to see is short term bounces followed by corrections.”
“if we break below this level, we are going to see a continued correction consolidation into the next point of major support, which is sitting around that $76,000 region.”
“If Bitcoin is able to see a rally, which constitutes a break of the RSI, regardless of what happens to the price, we will continue higher. Okay? That is very important to note. Provided that does not occur, and Bitcoin has now confirmed the breakdown versus closed underneath this trendline. The measured move target, okay? This is the measured move target, provided the breakdown has sustained, could take us as low as $67,000.”
“The upward target is something we've had for a long time. Again, we've had these levels drawn in. The next level is 89 to 90,000, okay? So, break the RSI, expect to see continuations higher.”
“If we break through that range, the next target, 89 to 90, if that move plays out, the probability of even a black swan happening, the probability of pullbacks happening, that would result in new lows, just basically reduced almost nothing.”
“if the price is able to sustain here above this level, this 82.8 level, this lower high, eventually we will see the RSI continue to trickle upwards and invalidate the 62.09, breaking through that level, triggering a macro momentum shift.”
“History Says One LAST MASSIVE CRASH Is Coming”
“It is highly likely we do retest that $82,000 region.”
“If Bitcoin can maintain above this level, it is likely we're going to attack these highs again at around 89,000.”
“That is going to be occurring in six days of the weekly candle close, if we are able to sustain these levels.”
“We are likely going to see a correction.”
“and we will likely see a pullback, potentially as low as 66k, potentially even a new low. Now, this is not happening right now.”
“So if we were to look at that from the closing price, that could be around about, you know, $56,000 to around about, if we were to $52,000. So to just, you know, simplify that really quickly, there is a potential, if we do follow this same pattern, Bitcoin will see a new low. That is something we need to put in the back of our mind.”
“The current projection is that if we lose this support, and we are likely going to, we are going to see the correction of 75.5.”
“if it breaks above this level at 81.4 and holds above this level, then this horizontal range high flips to support and the expectations are continuations into 83,000”
“If we are able to break through this range high on the monthly, we are able to close that monthly candle above, it is highly likely that Bitcoin is going to be rallying probably around to around $94,000 to $98,000.”
“The longer the choppier sideways price action develops the higher the probability that momentum can reset and absorb the selling and facilitate another rally maybe into the 12th or the 11th of September to retest 82”
“We break 82 to 83,000, what's the next logical target? It's very obvious. I think a lot of people can see it. It'd be 93 to 97,000.”
“We could very well see 70,000 occur within the next few days. Or maybe within the next week. If Bitcoin doesn't get back above 79.5.”
“If Bitcoin gets back under here on the monthly, that is going to be a monthly rejection point, and we could see corrections back down for Bitcoin”
“If Bitcoin is able to close above the price of 66,000 in August, we will see a breakout of the 50 EMA here.”
“So, I do still expect Bitcoin to correct all the way to 61.5, and I stand by that, provided we can remain underneath.”
“We are still expecting corrections for Bitcoin, and we'll be discussing that in the analysis today.”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“58% would take us to the price range of $36,000. And that is how we came to our initial $36,000 maximum bottom target.”
“It is very likely we're just going to see chop and consolidation and upward and downward and chop and sideways and a whole bunch of volatility, right?”
“Two months will take us to September. Three months will take us to October. Now, if we're looking at October and we're asking ourselves, well, this indicator here is telling us a likely bottom will occur in October.”
“That is, if the weekly candle close cannot occur above 67,000 to 66,000, the expectations are lower for Bitcoin. 52 to 48,000 is the target.”
“The price will drop below 60,000, activating a major trigger, which will result in a further correction of 52,000 to 48,000, which is a major macro support.”
“If we break below 62.8 to 62.4, I am entirely confident, we are going to be sweeping all the way back down into the lows at around 58 to 59,000. This region, will be reached.”
“Until then, the downtrend is still in play, and the likelihood, regardless of short-term upward volatility, is still pointed in the downward direction.”
“Historically speaking, we see corrections of 50% when we begin the breakdown of the RSI, which is expecting to take us to $36,000 dollars for a macro bottom.”
“Therefore, Bitcoin currently, although we have seen a short-term bounce, the probabilities are in favor of continuation back to these lows, and ultimately corrections to 52,000 to 48,000.”
“If we drop below the trend line expect Bitcoin to correct into support. Where would that take us? 60,000.”
“If we are able to maintain underneath this downtrend and thus maintain under 66,000, the expectation is that we are going to be going lower.”
“expect the price to continue to grind upwards over here, potentially as high as 65,000, 66,000, which is going to be that weakly point of resistance”
“As we approach the bottom zone, we are going to start to see momentum trickle upwards.”
“Now, as you know, 36,000 for Bitcoin has been my personal lowest target. If I think the lowest Bitcoin going on the bear market, that will be the target I have for Bitcoin, 36,000.”
“If we were to apply that to the current price action, that would suggest there is a possibility for Bitcoin to see a 22% pullback, which would take Bitcoin to the price of 45,000.”
“I think a lot of people will think this is a bottom, but I do believe we're going to see another leg down, potentially 34, 36 to 40,000 by the 5th of October.”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $30,000
“I think at this point, everyone's going to say the bottom is not in and we're going to 30,000.”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $44,000
“I believe that Bitcoin is going to crash to 52 to 48. I then believe everyone is going to call this to be a bottom. I think we're going to see one more sweep to below, and that is going to take us to 38 to 44,000.”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $38,000
“I believe that Bitcoin is going to crash to 52 to 48. I then believe everyone is going to call this to be a bottom. I think we're going to see one more sweep to below, and that is going to take us to 38 to 44,000.”
“We are still expecting Bitcoin to correct to $52,000 to $48,000, as that is the next high time level of support.”
“If we are able to break above here on the Daily, we are massively anticipating continued rallies to 65,700.”
“We will expect a final correction to 44,000 to 38,000, which will be our bottom zone, right? That will be our bottom zone. Make no mistake.”
“Now, if we were to apply the same logic, let's just say a 50% drawdown from the leading span B, that could take us to a market price for Bitcoin of $34,000.”
“If we drop below here, we are most definitely going to $52,000.”
“If Bitcoin loses 60,000, we are going to see this happen again and it's going to develop from 59.9 into likely low 49, 48,000.”
“result in a further stronger pullback to 52 to 48,000.”
“We are expecting lower prices. We are expecting Bitcoin to go to 60 and 52,000, et cetera, et cetera.”
“If we maintain underneath this diagonal trend line, we are expecting our next target to be 65.7 or to be specific 65.6 to 65.8, essentially this gray box.”
“For us to expect a proper rally for Bitcoin, watch the downtrend. Watch the red line. We break the downtrend, we're going to see a proper rally.”
“I think it's more likely through this weekend, we're going to sit between 74,800 and 72,000.”
“If we reach this level of support, that is going to be our target. We are looking to take profits.”
“I think it's highly likely we move into 72K next week sometime.”
“commence the next macro leg down, potentially taking us through this daily uptrend, to the 48 to 52,000 region.”
“And of course, by retesting this trend line, particularly with the negative momentum shift, it massively increases the potential for a further pullback to 60,000 for Bitcoin.”
“Essentially, losing this horizontal support, the next point of support for Bitcoin is 72,000, which lines up the VIPV over here, which is also lining up with that uptrending trend line.”
“So if we do see this continue, it is likely we're going to be pushing all the way back down into this point of liquidity, which is sitting around 75.5 to 75.2. That would be the bearish target.”
“the next support we have is all the way down at 66,000, the low of the VRVP peak.”
“The probabilities are tipping more and more and more in favor that this was the local top, and we are going to see continuations lower.”
“And if it does, we very well might see these next lower targets of 74, 75, 76,000 be reached this week.”
“If we drop below that 200 EMA, we're going to likely see a continuation into 75,000, which is that sell side liquidity point of support.”
“we could see a continuation into 75,000. And worst case scenario, losing 75,000 would result in an even broader macro correction to 60 and lower.”
MISS
BTC ▼
“It is likely that this rally was just a tone trap before we see a short term flush moving into the beginning of the week.”
“Taking a look at those lower targets. However, though, if we do break these levels and we break the RSI, we see momentum flip down, it is very likely we could commence that further continuation into 49, into 53,000.”
“We are expecting further corrections, potentially as low of 76 to 75,000.”
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