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Simply Bitcoin prediction accuracy

youtube · 129,000 subscribers · channel ↗ · Discuss on the forum → · Your channel? Reply or correct → · last call Oct 30, 2026
C
last 12 mo
0% hit rate, last 12 months (0/11)
on deadlines they set themselves · typical 21%
Grade C: below typical, not conclusive. A summary of the record, not a forecast.
0 hit·11 missed
Grade from 11 calls resolved between October 2026 and November 2026. All-time record: 0 of 11 hit, calls made in October 2026. How the grade works
0%
all time, own deadlines (11)
5%
all resolved (20)
4%
30-day direction (26)
84
calls logged
64
open right now
0
flips (30d)

Is Simply Bitcoin accurate?

Simply Bitcoin is graded C on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com), below typical, not conclusive: in the last 12 months, 0 of 11 crypto price calls where they set the deadline themselves hit (0%), against a typical 21% across all tracked channels, which ranks #59 of 64 graded channels. All time, 0 of 11 such calls hit (0%); they were made in October 2026. Counting every resolved call, including ones without a stated deadline, the hit rate is 5% (20 calls). 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 4% of the time (26 calls). The grade summarizes the record; it is not a forecast.

How calls are checked · every number below links to the quote and the price

Current stance · last 90 days

▲ BTC
Oct 30 · open
▲ TOTAL → $30T
Oct 14 · open

Is Simply Bitcoin accurate?

Grade C, below typical, not conclusive: in the last 12 months, 0 of 11 predictions where Simply Bitcoin named the deadline themselves came true by that deadline, against a typical 21% for all channels. All time, 0 of 11 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 0 of 7 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 0 of 4 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 4% of the time (26 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.

The record

OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 3× · Oct 30, 2026 · horizon 213d
“Look, I try not to get too absolutely bull-tarded here, but I swear it's got to get up to all-time high way before June of next year.”
price then $77,321 → still open · watch 0:34
OPEN BTC ▲ → $126,000 · Oct 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Bitcoin will devour 126K in very short time, and it's going to piss on Jason.”
price then $81,072 → still open · watch 0:31
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,600,000 · Oct 29, 2026 · horizon 3716d
“We believe that Bitcoin will be the best-performing major asset in the world over the next decade with the price rising to 1.6 million dollars by 2036.”
price then $77,992 → still open · watch 5:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $126,000 · Oct 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Bitcoin will devour $126,000 in very short time and it's going to piss on Jason.”
price then $81,344 → still open · watch 1:10
MISS BTC ▼ → $40,000 · Oct 28, 2026 · horizon 4d
“Only 4 more days left for Bitcoin to hit 40k this october”
price then $81,344 → $78,354 · -3.7%
OPEN BTC ▲ → $92,000 · Oct 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I'm expecting a leg up into 92K. So that's the only little bullish nugget you're going to get from me.”
price then $81,344 → still open · watch 34:05
OPEN BTC ▲ → $200,000 (conditional) · Oct 27, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“And it says if it makes a similar move back to what it did in 2022, then we should see Bitcoin over 100k, but somewhere near 200k.”
price then $79,900 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $90,000 · Oct 26, 2026 · horizon 14d
“And these are the numbers that we will most likely be watching for the next week or two as we continue to try to break out into the 90 K range.”
price then $80,151 → still open · watch 16:33
OPEN BTC ▲ → $200,000 (conditional) · Oct 26, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“It says if it makes a similar move back to what it did in 2022, then we should see Bitcoin over 100k, but somewhere near 200k.”
price then $80,072 → still open · watch 9:53
MISS BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Oct 19, 2026 · horizon 12d
“Even if it doesn't go fully October, you know, 18% gains or what, 12% gains by the end of October, I don't think we're going to see what all the bears have been saying.”
price then $81,938 → $77,582 · -5.3% · watch 20:44
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $90,000 · Oct 19, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 14d
“But I have been saying for the last two weeks that I think we're going to get back to $90K very soon.”
price then $81,938 → $76,816 · -6.2% · watch 17:33
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Oct 19, 2026 · horizon 73d
“Bitcoin will go to 95 to about 105K by the end of this year. Let's see what happens in October. But honestly, I don't think they know what they're doing over there. That seems to me like a sure bet.”
price then $81,738 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $430,000 (conditional) · Oct 18, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If gold and, you know, Bitcoin remain in this, uh, same ratio, we could be looking at 430 K Bitcoin and that's at, you know, Bitcoin has kind of been, you know, flat underperforming gold these past few months”
price then $81,180 → still open · watch 78:00
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 2× · Oct 16, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Bitcoin's going to go to seven figures here sometime soon-ish”
price then $81,616 → still open · watch 32:05
OPEN BTC ▲ → $250,000 · restated 1× · Oct 16, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 811d
“And that's the 2027-2028 story. $250,000 is just the beginning.”
price then $82,160 → still open · watch 0:31
OPEN BTC ▲ → $125,000 (conditional) · Oct 16, 2026 · horizon 76d
“So that takes us to $125-ish, $20,000, $50,000 on Bitcoin by year end.”
price then $82,160 → still open · watch 0:31
OPEN BTC ▲ → $250,000 · Oct 15, 2026 · horizon 77d
“So that takes us to $125-ish, $250,000 on Bitcoin by year-end.”
price then $82,156 → still open · watch 0:31
OPEN BTC ▲ → $125,000 · Oct 15, 2026 · horizon 77d
“So that takes us to $125-ish, $250,000 on Bitcoin by year-end.”
price then $82,156 → still open · watch 0:31
OPEN BTC ▲ → $250,000 · Oct 15, 2026 · horizon 60d
“How about the kind that sends Bitcoin to $250k in just two months?”
price then $82,156 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Oct 15, 2026 · horizon 71d
“All right. We're going to 100K by Christmas.”
price then $82,246 → still open · invalidation $50,000 · watch 79:05
OPEN BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 3× · Oct 15, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Every time Bitcoin crashed more than 50% below its all-time high and then closed back at 30% below it, a new all-time high followed within 75 days.”
price then $80,914 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $250,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Oct 14, 2026 · horizon 61d
“And actually, if history rhymes, we could be at 250k Bitcoin in just two months.”
price then $81,596 → still open · watch 0:32
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Oct 14, 2026 · horizon 2270d
“I think we will probably see, you know, seven figure Bitcoin around 2032, very conservatively.”
price then $81,682 → still open · watch 32:08
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · restated 1× · Oct 14, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“What wakes them up is a headline. And the big one is Bitcoin back over $100,000.”
price then $81,734 → still open · watch 0:00
MISS BTC ▲ → $88,000 (conditional) · Oct 14, 2026 · horizon 17d
“What has to happen is one daily close above $88k.”
price then $82,746 → $77,582 · -6.2% · watch 0:00
OPEN TOTAL ▲ → $30T · Oct 14, 2026 · horizon 3650d
“I think it could easily do what gold did, which is run up to $30 trillion. And that arrives at a pretty nice price target.”
price then $2.81T → still open · watch 0:20
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 3× · Oct 13, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think it could easily do what gold did, which is run up to $30 trillion.”
price then $83,404 → still open · watch 0:00
MISS BTC ▲ → $85,000 · restated 1× · Oct 13, 2026 · horizon 7d
“maybe by the end of this week, we do reclaim 85K.”
price then $83,169 → $83,028 · -0.2% · watch 30:03
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Oct 13, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I expect as you know, as as as Bitcoin becomes a normal part of financial advisors portfolios, that we're going to push right through that and push into the multiple hundreds of thousands of dollars.”
price then $82,543 → still open · watch 0:34
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Oct 12, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And I don't think we stop at 120. I think it's going much higher.”
price then $82,742 → still open · watch 8:58
OPEN BTC ▲ → $90,000 (conditional) · Oct 12, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If that plays out, then I'm really shooting for 90K.”
price then $81,850 → still open · watch 30:00
MISS BTC ▲ · Oct 12, 2026 · horizon 7d
“I think we'll clearly be above or around 85K by the end of this week.”
price then $81,850 → $81,938 · +0.1% · watch 30:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Oct 12, 2026 · horizon 111d
“I think by January, we are probably going to be above 100k or at least in the 100k all time high range.”
price then $84,318 → still open · watch 1:46
OPEN BTC ▲ · Oct 12, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think it could easily do what gold did, which is run up to $30 trillion.”
price then $84,318 → still open · watch 9:23
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · restated 2× · Oct 11, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“90% odds that 100k is coming next. Not some flaccid milquetoast 50k.”
price then $83,024 → still open · watch 17:28
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 · Oct 11, 2026 · horizon 3653d
“Look, I think we go north of a million dollars within a decade.”
price then $83,024 → still open · watch 10:13
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Oct 11, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“So I think gold's, I think Bitcoin's going to, I think they're both going to go up and Bitcoin's going to go up more.”
price then $83,024 → still open · watch 3:08
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Oct 09, 2026 · horizon 114d
“I honestly, I kind of agree with this. I think by January, we are probably going to be above 100K. Or at least in the 100K all-time high range.”
price then $82,636 → still open · watch 51:12
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 2× · Oct 08, 2026 · horizon 449d
“And I am particularly enthused, at least for the next year, that the conditions are set up for one.”
price then $81,754 → still open · watch 12:59
OPEN BTC ▲ · Oct 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Hey, look, you know, I'm still bullish on 90K here soon.”
price then $81,010 → still open · watch 15:56
OPEN BTC ▲ · Oct 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“the calendar says that we're heading to the stretch of the year where it looks like bitcoin's going to have pretty positive returns”
price then $82,340 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $315,000 (conditional) · Oct 08, 2026 · horizon 365d
“And that would probably be reflected in Bitcoin not achieving my price target of $315,000 for this cycle.”
price then $83,026 → still open · watch 0:33
OPEN BTC ▲ · Oct 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“and this is why me and so many other people are bullish on bitcoin every time the us government needs money”
price then $83,450 → still open · watch 0:00
MISS BTC ▲ · restated 9× · Oct 06, 2026 · horizon 14d
“I think this week, next week, without a doubt, it's going to blow.”
price then $85,550 → $83,028 · -3.0% · watch 20:47
MISS BTC ▲ → $90,000 · Oct 06, 2026 · horizon 7d
“It really does feel like either today or by the end of the week at at the latest we are going to see a strong move above 87 89 probably moving into 90k”
price then $85,550 → $83,169 · -2.8% · watch 6:12
OPEN BTC ▲ · Oct 06, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“The stars are aligning for Bitcoin to go on an absolute tear.”
price then $85,550 → still open
OPEN BTC ▲ → $315,000 (conditional) · Oct 05, 2026 · horizon 365d
“And that would probably be reflected in Bitcoin not achieving my price target of $315,000 for this cycle.”
price then $85,865 → still open · watch 8:13
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Oct 05, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“A Bitcoiner looks at you, two countries, going into debt to buy weapons to kill each other, which you then have to pay for by printing more money or borrowing more money. That means my Bitcoin goes higher.”
price then $85,700 → still open · watch 0:32
MISS BTC ▲ → $90,000 (conditional) · Oct 05, 2026 · horizon 5d
“if we break through that $87,000 sell wall, there's literally like nothing until $90,000-ish.”
price then $85,767 → $82,988 · -3.2% · watch 34:04
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 4× · Oct 03, 2026 · horizon 3376d
“I think we're in a gold rush between now and the year 2035.”
price then $84,879 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $500,000 · Oct 03, 2026 · horizon 1529d
“I think that Bitcoin is going to go to roughly 500,000 by the end of 2030, basically a 50% annual return on average.”
price then $84,642 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $90,000 · Oct 03, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think 90K is like, it's going there. It's teleporting there right away. Let's go. Let's go. Let's go.”
price then $84,642 → still open · watch 1:32
OPEN BTC ▲ · Oct 02, 2026 · horizon 455d
“Stocks, gold and Bitcoin will be significantly higher in price by the end of 2027.”
price then $84,488 → still open · watch 13:36
OPEN BTC ▲ → $145,000 (conditional) · Oct 02, 2026 · horizon 90d
“the average q4 returns is 71 so if we are going to see 71 moves into the end of the year by now until december of 2026 71 returns average 71 returns would get us in the ballpark of 145k”
price then $84,518 → still open · watch 17:44
MISS BTC ▲ → $100,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Oct 02, 2026 · horizon 30d
“if we can hold that 85k level over the weekend then the next target is 87 and i think once we break 87 that's when the fun begins and we start going up into the 90k range maybe even 100k range by end of year”
price then $84,518 → $78,354 · -7.3% · watch 8:31
MISS BTC ▲ → $90,000 · Oct 02, 2026 · horizon 7d
“I think we are seeing 90k is is almost locked in stone by next week”
price then $84,518 → $82,636 · -2.2% · watch 2:19
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Oct 01, 2026 · horizon 365d
“And at that point, Bitcoin can go to two or three hundred thousand, I think, in the next 12 or 18 months.”
price then $84,740 → still open · watch 8:57
OPEN BTC ▲ → $500,000 · Oct 01, 2026 · horizon 1552d
“Matt is 500,000 by 2030. I get there in a different way.”
price then $84,740 → still open · watch 5:12
MISS BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Oct 01, 2026 · horizon 7d
“I think by next week, we will know definitively if we're going up or down.”
price then $84,880 → $81,754 · -3.7% · watch 32:58
OPEN TOTAL ▲ (conditional) · Oct 01, 2026 · horizon 3013d
“So if we get to 10% of the other assets in the economy, we're going from $3 trillion to $120 trillion.”
price then $2.87T → still open
OPEN BTC ▲ → $5,000,000 · Sep 30, 2026 · horizon 730d
“I think most of the capital will be attracted to Bitcoin. I think most people will realize that if you're holding all coins, it's gambling. But there will be, I think, a pretty big market in the digital credit and the Bitcoin equities and Bitcoin treasuries. Hey, it is what it is. It's here. I think people are going to be attracted to it. So we'll say maybe 20 trillion gets attracted to the other kind of Bitcoin products and 100 trillion goes into the Bitcoin market cap itself. That would be like a five million dollar Bitcoin in 20 years now.”
price then $83,624 → still open · watch 7:10
OPEN BTC ▲ → $500,000 · restated 1× · Sep 30, 2026 · horizon 1553d
“I think that Bitcoin is going to go to roughly 500,000 by the end of 2030, basically a 50% annual return on average.”
price then $83,826 → still open · watch 1:36
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ · restated 1× · Sep 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I thought it would go lower. I think it's going lower.”
price then $83,136 → $81,344 · -2.2% · watch 4:20 moved down 3%+ on Oct 29, 1 day after the deadline
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · Sep 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“The things that you would immediately think of are $200,000 or $250,000. I think that's a reasonable place to think about the next place where we sort of ask real questions about how much higher we go.”
price then $83,136 → $81,344 · -2.2% · watch 0:30
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Sep 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“what is the next big behavioral target that we will see substantial selling by old school Bitcoin investors at, which I think would capped us near the $100,000 level.”
price then $83,136 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Sep 27, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Of course, we have to get back to 100K and above it.”
price then $84,405 → still open · watch 1:09
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 2× · Sep 27, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And I think when there is net new demand, it's going to push us substantially above that.”
price then $84,360 → $80,910 · -4.1% · watch 11:30
OPEN BTC ▲ → $250,000 · Sep 26, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“The things that you would immediately think of are our $200,000 or $250,000. I think that's a reasonable place to think about the next place where we sort of ask real questions about how much higher we go.”
price then $84,140 → still open · watch 5:30
OPEN BTC ▲ (conditional) · Sep 25, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 730d
“if the government keeps printing money, Bitcoin is going to go way higher in the coming years.”
price then $84,100 → still open · watch 0:30
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 3× · Sep 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Government irresponsibility is the reason that Bitcoin is an alpha asset. The asset has no top because government irresponsibility has no bottom.”
price then $84,410 → $80,888 · -4.2% · watch 0:35
OPEN BTC ▲ → $500,000 · restated 1× · Sep 23, 2026 · horizon 1560d
“INSIDER REVEALS How Bitcoin Hits $500,000 By 2030 - Here's the math!!! | EP 1598”
price then $84,316 → still open
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Sep 23, 2026 · horizon 99d
“I personally, I think the Koshi traders are wrong on that one. All right. I think the Koshi traders are wrong. I think we're going to 100K by the end of this year.”
price then $84,398 → still open · watch 37:03
OPEN BTC ▲ (conditional) · Sep 23, 2026 · horizon 365d
“if the government keeps printing money, Bitcoin is going to go way higher in the coming years.”
price then $86,158 → still open · watch 6:45
OPEN BTC ▲ · Sep 22, 2026 · horizon 1826d
“The amount of capital about to flood into Bitcoin over the next five years is going to make the last 15 look like a bake sale.”
price then $86,282 → still open · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Sep 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Wall Street is going to FORCE Bitcoin to EXPLODE past $100k faster than you think”
price then $86,477 → still open
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · Sep 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Wall Street is going To FORCE Bitcoin To EXPLODE Past $100k FASTER Than You Think!!”
price then $86,477 → $81,416 · -5.8%
OPEN BTC ▲ → $500,000 (conditional) · Sep 22, 2026 · horizon 1230d
“I would say that by 2030, if we're not at five hundred K per coin like Bitcoin.”
price then $86,282 → still open · watch 28:03
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · Sep 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think we might get back there a lot quicker than than I was even saying yesterday.”
price then $86,282 → $81,416 · -5.6% · watch 24:49
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Sep 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“It's going to push Bitcoin to $100,000, probably faster than we all think.”
price then $86,282 → still open · watch 0:36
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,700,000 · Sep 22, 2026 · horizon 1095d
“Today, we defend Jordy and make the case as to why Bitcoin could 21x from here to $1.7 million a coin, just like it did the last time this same influencer said that Bitcoin was going to zero.”
price then $85,517 → still open
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Sep 22, 2026 · horizon 100d
“So there's a strong case that we surpass $100,000 and get back to all-time highs before the end of the year.”
price then $86,324 → still open · watch 7:43
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Sep 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“even if we move back to the 50-week moving average, which is about 78K, we are in bull market territory.”
price then $86,620 → $84,093 · -2.9% · invalidation $78,000 · watch 24:39
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Sep 21, 2026 · horizon 101d
“if I was going to be conservative, I'd say we were probably going to be climbing towards about 100k by end of year.”
price then $86,620 → still open · watch 27:31
OPEN BTC ▲ → $651,000 (conditional) · Sep 20, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Same ratio. And $400,000 becomes about $651,000 a coin.”
price then $81,209 → still open · watch 12:01
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 8× · Sep 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think that this convergence of AI and Bitcoin, while it may seem like two different technologies, actually, as AI becomes much more popular, you're going to see Bitcoin become much more valuable.”
price then $76,417 → $81,491 · +6.6% · watch 1:03
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Updated November 03, 2026.