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Taylor Shrum prediction accuracy

youtube · 6,780 subscribers · channel ↗ · Discuss on the forum → · Your channel? Reply or correct → · last call Sep 28, 2026
—
7 of 10
— not graded recently: needs 10
calls with their own deadline resolved in 12 months (7 so far)
1 hit·6 missed
All-time record: 1 of 7 hit, calls made between February 2026 and September 2026. How the grade works
14%
all time, own deadlines (7)
30%
all resolved (45)
51%
30-day direction (39)
49
calls logged
5
open right now
0
flips (30d)

Is Taylor Shrum accurate?

Not graded recently on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com): Taylor Shrum has 7 resolved calls with a deadline they set themselves in the last 12 months, and channels are graded from 10. All time, 1 of 7 such calls hit (14%); they were made between February 2026 and September 2026. 49 calls are logged, 5 still open. 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 51% of the time (39 calls).

How calls are checked · every number below links to the quote and the price

Current stance · last 90 days

▼ ONDO → $0.43
Sep 28 · hit
▲ OP
Sep 28 · miss
▲ XLM
Sep 28 · miss
▲ ADA
Sep 21 · miss
▲ SUI
Sep 21 · miss
▲ BTC
Sep 21 · miss

Is Taylor Shrum accurate?

Not graded recently: 7 of 10 resolved calls with a self-set deadline in the last 12 months (45 resolved in total, all time). All time, 1 of 7 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 0 of 1 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 1 of 6 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 51% of the time (39 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.

The record

HIT deadline set by Oracle Check ONDO ▼ → $0.43 · Sep 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Now, I think it could probably come back down maybe to 43 cents for Ondo.”
price then $0.5199 → $0.43 · -17.3% · watch 39:05 touched $0.43 intraday, closed at $0.4336
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check OP ▲ (conditional) · Sep 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I do expect those to have a big pop, but like I said, the same way they could potentially continue to just go sideways or even down.”
price then $0.1343 → $0.1132 · -15.7% · watch 23:31
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check XLM ▲ (conditional) · Sep 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I do expect those to have a big pop, but like I said, the same way they could potentially continue to just go sideways or even down.”
price then $0.2325 → $0.1724 · -25.9% · watch 23:31
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▲ · restated 1× · Sep 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think it's going to be similar. 38%. All right. So Cardano would beat Sui if we're just thinking about layer ones that are going to go up and repeat what AVAX did, right?”
price then $0.2451 → $0.2252 · -8.1% · watch 51:14
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check SUI ▲ · Sep 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“So why SUI? SUI, in my mind, is very similar to AVAX. Right. And AVAX just did something that is about to do something that's very, very exciting, which is break to the upside of this smart trail.”
price then $1.04 → $1.03 · -1.3% · watch 38:23
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · Sep 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Bitcoin achieves higher high, breaking past 83,000. Now, this is very big because this is a level of resistance.”
price then $86,620 → $84,093 · -2.9% · watch 1:05
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ · Sep 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think we do go lower. But I don't think we put in a new bottom because I think that what brought Bitcoin up to this new zone was a real liquidity sniff.”
price then $76,417 → $81,491 · +6.6% · watch 10:26
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $83,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Sep 09, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“then that could be the wind in the sails to get Bitcoin much, much higher, potentially over that very important 83 level.”
price then $78,306 → $83,000 · +6.0% · watch 10:59
MISS BTC ▼ · Sep 01, 2026 · horizon 7d
“There's a higher chance that Bitcoin tests lower in this week than there was last week.”
price then $77,439 → $78,456 · +1.3% · watch 23:48
HIT BTC ▲ · restated 4× · Aug 13, 2026 · horizon 79d
“Because I believe that there will be more upside between now and October. And by mid to late October, I want to be rotated back into Bitcoin and Ethereum and others, right?”
price then $63,491 → $77,582 · +22.2% · watch 28:56
MISS SOL ▼ → $60.00 · Aug 04, 2026 · horizon 6d
“Let's say we see a sub-60 Solana, right? Fairly quickly. By the end of, by Monday of the following week, we see a sub-60 Solana.”
price then $73.75 → $75.99 · +3.0% · watch 21:52
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ETH ▼ · Aug 04, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think you're getting some discounted opportunities for Ethereum. That's my prediction.”
price then $1,870 → $2,508 · +34.1% · watch 19:15
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ (conditional) · restated 2× · Jul 30, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“So I think if we get some kind of bad news, if the Clarity Act doesn't pass, if they hike rates, I think that this is your target, right?”
price then $64,780 → $78,230 · +20.8% · watch 16:28
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 3× · Jul 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“we are bullish this week, the guys in the trading group, we are long Bitcoin.”
price then $61,560 → $62,824 · +2.0% · watch 10:05 moved up 3%+ on Aug 02, 1 day after the deadline
VOID deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $68,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Jun 30, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If we can stay above $58,000, then there's some sunshine and rainbows that could be coming our way soon to the tune of maybe getting up north of $68,000 again.”
price then $58,625 → $58,000 · -1.1% · invalidation $58,000 · watch 2:43
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check TOTAL ▼ · Jun 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think that this is a time to stick to the plan, but acknowledge that crypto could go lower into July, into August and further out.”
price then $2.08T → $2.18T · +4.8% · watch 17:38
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $57,800 · Jun 25, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“And in the shallowest, we only had a move of around 6%. I'm expecting 12%, right? So that would bring price to right around 57, 8%.”
price then $59,794 → $84,398 · +41.1% · watch 4:27
OPEN ETH ▲ · restated 3× · Jun 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“I would make the argument, some of its friends and BlackRock would agree when it comes to Solana and Ethereum.”
price then $1,622 → still open · watch 21:25
OPEN BTC ▲ · Jun 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“I think crypto is going to do very well over the next few years.”
price then $61,078 → still open · watch 21:05
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ · Jun 23, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I'm seeing it go lower, but I'm not selling to buy lower.”
price then $62,735 → $65,099 · +3.8% · watch 27:40
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check SOL ▲ · restated 1× · Jun 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Solana broke up above that midline of the Bollinger Band and now has retested it and has found support there and is on track to print a new, a higher candle than when it first broke through that midline.”
price then $71.95 → $77.97 · +8.4% · watch 29:59
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $66,000 · Jun 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“We can get a higher high here. Bitcoin can get up and print 66, maybe up to 67 and close a candle.”
price then $64,020 → $66,000 · +3.1% · watch 25:34
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ · restated 4× · Jun 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think that we do come down, go lower all the way down to 57. Not going lower than 57 for my base case.”
price then $63,086 → $62,290 · -1.3% · watch 10:17
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $50,000 (conditional) · Jun 03, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“So that's another base case that we come down and maybe come down to 50 or below.”
price then $64,143 → $77,439 · +20.7% · watch 22:41
MISS BTC ▼ · Jun 03, 2026 · horizon 9d
“This is my base case, bringing Bitcoin just below $60,000. I think that that makes a lot of sense.”
price then $64,143 → $63,580 · -0.9% · watch 21:41
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $60,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Jun 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“So now the question is, is can we hold on to kind of this uptrending line of support? And if that's given up, then probably we come down to 60, right?”
price then $66,761 → $60,000 · -10.1% · watch 12:41 touched $60,000 intraday, closed at $61,056
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ · Jun 01, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think we go lower here. I don't know where exactly we're going to find support. Nobody does.”
price then $71,409 → $60,024 · -15.9% · watch 6:05
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $65,000 · restated 3× · May 26, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Now, I do think that at this point, Bitcoin is probably going to come back and test maybe like 65 or something like this.”
price then $75,930 → $65,000 · -14.4% · watch 22:52
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check SOL ▲ · May 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“The MACD, extremely oversold, okay? This is a much more set it and forget it buy, in my opinion, than everything else I've shown you.”
price then $84.40 → $72.46 · -14.2% · watch 26:30
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check HYPE ▼ · May 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“It's very far and likely we'll have mean reversion at some point.”
price then $58.58 → $70.77 · +20.8% · watch 12:35
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 3× · May 18, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think that all of the indicators are showing me that we're going to be going much higher for Bitcoin, but it's got to work through where it is right now.”
price then $77,002 → $64,509 · -16.2% · watch 18:03
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ · May 15, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“So far, Bitcoin has done a really good job at remaining above 78.3, right? And that's kind of the level, man, we're dropping fast for Bitcoin here.”
price then $79,113 → $65,746 · -16.9% · watch 12:48
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $79,000 · May 07, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think what happens is that we got to come in and we got to find some support, right? So the most logical level of support would be this previous local high here, and that's 79, right? So I think we're almost certainly going to come back and hit that.”
price then $80,006 → $79,000 · -1.3% · watch 10:10 touched $79,000 intraday, closed at $79,314
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $65,000 · May 06, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think 65 for me is where we come back down to, but that could be potentially months from now.”
price then $81,447 → $65,000 · -20.2% · watch 34:42
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $90,000 · Apr 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think it's a compelling point for Bitcoin to take a test quite a bit higher, right? Maybe we go to 90 or something like this. I think 84 is pretty possible.”
price then $78,178 → $75,540 · -3.4% · watch 25:08
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check SOL ▲ · Apr 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“So this time might be different. We might continue to see it move higher.”
price then $88.76 → $85.24 · -4.0% · watch 17:38
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Apr 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“But overall, very bullish morning we're heading into.”
price then $77,072 → $77,458 · +0.5% · watch 3:27
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check HYPE ▲ (conditional) · Apr 14, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think that Hyperliquid is going to do quite well.”
price then $43.54 → $44.15 · +1.4% · watch 20:47
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $75,945 · Apr 14, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Whereas Bitcoin's, Bitcoin has yet to get back up to what it would need to be 75, 945 ish. It has not gotten up there yet. I think it could.”
price then $74,132 → $75,945 · +2.5% · watch 23:59
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $65,000 · Apr 03, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I don't know how low and for what kind of duration we're going to be lower than 65, say. But I do think that there's probably a better chance than not that Bitcoin pushes lower.”
price then $66,964 → $78,569 · +17.3% · watch 10:00
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $60,000 (conditional) · Mar 27, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If we were to lose 66.2 here, going down to 66.5, we lose 66.5. More than likely going to come back down and revisit 60.”
price then $66,407 → $60,000 · -9.7% · watch 2:08 touched $60,000 intraday, closed at $61,056
MISS TOTAL ▼ · Mar 26, 2026 · horizon 2d
“So I'm leaning bearish at this point. Yesterday, I was a bit more optimistic, but I am leaning a bit more bearish here for crypto.”
price then $2.36T → $2.31T · -2.4% · watch 13:35
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check HYPE ▶ · Mar 25, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Okay. So probably going to cruise sideways for a little while.”
price then $40.32 → $37.84 · -6.2% · watch 8:23
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 12× · Mar 24, 2026 · horizon 647d
“And I'm very optimistic that Bitcoin will be much higher in 2027 than it is today.”
price then $70,557 → still open · watch 16:43
OPEN ETH ▲ → $4,000 · Mar 19, 2026 · horizon 365d
“I am continuing to buy Bitcoin by Ethereum because I believe that there will be a huge upswing in Bitcoin will be priced above a hundred K again, Ethereum will be priced well above 4,000 again”
price then $2,138 → still open · watch 27:50
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · restated 1× · Mar 12, 2026 · horizon 731d
“Let's buy it and send this back to 100K plus.”
price then $70,541 → still open · watch 20:50
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 2× · Mar 05, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“We're cautious. We're bullish in the sense that we see prices going up for Bitcoin, and we're seeing an uplift for the software names back in the U.S. equities world, as well as the S&P 500 and indexes.”
price then $70,891 → $67,300 · -5.1% · watch 1:28
MISS BTC ▶ · restated 2× · Mar 03, 2026 · horizon 181d
“I do think we're in for a sub 80 Bitcoin price for quite a while, meaning into the late summer, right?”
price then $68,338 → $72,667 · +6.3% · watch 16:56
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $58,000 · restated 1× · Mar 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“My guess is that since we are in a bear trend, we are in a bear market, that this actually breaks to the downside. And this could be the point where we go and touch 58”
price then $68,830 → $73,674 · +7.0% · watch 4:50
MISS BTC ▼ · restated 1× · Feb 27, 2026 · horizon 3d
“Usually whenever there's missiles start flying, Bitcoin sells off. Now that historically has been a good buying opportunity, but brace this weekend for downside Bitcoin.”
price then $65,872 → $68,830 · +4.5% · watch 5:15
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The badge updates itself as calls resolve and covers the last 12 months; it always links to this page, where every call is quoted and checked.

Updated November 03, 2026.