That Martini Guy prediction accuracy
C
last 12 mo
0%
6%
all time, own deadlines (33)
29%
all resolved (113)
44%
30-day direction (77)
118
calls logged
7
open right now
0
flips (30d)
Is That Martini Guy accurate?
That Martini Guy is graded C on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com), below typical, not conclusive: in the last 12 months, 0 of 11 crypto price calls where they set the deadline themselves hit (0%), against a typical 21% across all tracked channels, which ranks #60 of 64 graded channels. All time, 2 of 33 such calls hit (6%); they were made between July 2025 and April 2026. Counting every resolved call, including ones without a stated deadline, the hit rate is 29% (113 calls). 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 44% of the time (77 calls). The grade summarizes the record; it is not a forecast.
Current stance
▲ BTC → $88,000
Oct 28 · open
▼ ETH
Oct 19 · open
Is That Martini Guy accurate?
Grade C, below typical, not conclusive: in the last 12 months, 0 of 11 predictions where That Martini Guy named the deadline themselves came true by that deadline, against a typical 21% for all channels. All time, 2 of 33 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 1 of 20 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 1 of 13 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 44% of the time (77 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.
The record
“Hold + dovish tone: bullish for risk assets. $BTC could push towards $88K.”
“As long as BTC holds above it, the bigger picture isn't as bearish as the recent price”
“BITCOIN TUESDAY LIQUIDATION TRAP!? I'M $8M SHORT BTC & ETHEREUM! Watch Now👇 https:// youtu.be/U44aW8PcsVo”
“Bitcoin appears set to fail to reclaim the key weekly S/R again”
“If BTC holds here and reclaims $85K-$86K, another test of $87K comes”
“For me, the big level now is $79.5K. If that holds as support, I think Bitcoin has a clear shot at testing $82K next.”
“If we were to lose that level of support at $90.46, the price would head back down to the peak range of liquidity around $84.”
“The current price is $2,250. We should probably expect a decline in price.”
“My chart has us bottoming out in the bear market around $20,000. The current price of Bitcoin is $80,000. So if that's the case, it actually falls in line with the theory that a new Fed chair that is coming in today is going to cause a 75% crash in the market”
“I've now gone $4.5 million short on Bitcoin. Now, I won't hold this into a significant loss, and I'll keep trying to place this trade over and over and over again until we get that inevitable drop down in price”
“And then the big ones down there at $67,000.”
“It's not come tested it. So it's $79,800. It gives us a pretty decent point to target for at least a partial exit on this trade.”
“potentially bringing down the entire crypto market, potentially making Bitcoin's price $40,000 again.”
“And what does that make in the grand scheme of things? That makes a big cup-and-handle formation, which ultimately means we should be targeting on Ethereum right now the level of maybe $2,570.”
“If the price of Bitcoin is surpassing $84,000, we can expect the price to pretty much go all the way to about nearly $100,000 again.”
“this could actually be the start of the next giant crypto collapse and Bitcoin's price could end up at $30,000.”
MISS
BTC ▲ → $77,000
“it's likely that later today, we continue rallying. Because we probably haven't seen the high of this range yet, was expected to be at least $77,000.”
“And when memes pick up, Solana will do a thousand dollars per coin.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $200,000
“I reckon Bitcoin will have a decent year, probably passing $200,000, at least passing $150,000.”
“okay, it's kind of around the level of $94,200. We break that level. I'm in. I'm confident. I'm happy.”
“The way I see it is we are shaping up for one almighty reversal in December.”
“But if that were to happen, it'd happen up at the level of 3,200. And it'd be up to the level of 3,900.”
MISS
ETH ▲
“I think it's going to be quite positive. Same goes with Ethereum. Like, we're looking at these long-term levels of resistance, and we are starting to crack them.”
“I'm very confident that next year should be a pretty good one because of everything to do with the Fed that's happening.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $1,000,000
“And I think that $1 million is easily attainable in the next five years, maybe sooner. Five years. I could see it there at three years.”
“In terms of Bitcoin, $97,000 becomes a new target.”
“The next peak range is set up here at 91, 92. I think we'll come up there so long as we hold the level of 86. We lose 86, it gets bad.”
“And the target for Solana has become $164 to sell.”
MISS
BTC ▲ → $95,000
“In theory, the next level above, the next big target is going to be somewhere around here, around $95,000. And a break of 95, well, bull market's back on, baby.”
“I mean, bare minimum, back up to about $3,100, which would mean for me, in my trade here on Ethereum, assuming I don't get liquidated or it doesn't just turn south again pretty quickly, which, fingers crossed, that doesn't happen.”
“I am in a very tentatively small, long position on Ethereum with a liquidation point of $2,544.”
“to me, this is the start. It looks like the very start, actually, of a wick-off accumulation pattern that would eventually lead us back up to about $160,000.”
“I believe that a 30% bounce is coming.”
“But when this turns around, it's going to be very aggressive. And it'll come back up to about 170.”
“On Ethereum, there's a huge range of liquidation at $3,280. We're probably going to get back up there sometime soon.”
“Now we're sat at $92,000. We've also got a level up here at $96,000, which is the one that I expect is most to trigger, most likely to trigger.”
“I'm bullish on Solana. I keep buying Solana.”
“I'm optimistic. I really think that we're pretty close to a bottom.”
“I think a retest of $170 here seems pretty likely, whether it be in the short term.”
“I believe that a break back of this yellow line here at about $96,000 is going to yield Bitcoin price, perhaps even going as high again as $120,000 in this range.”
“This one will be $132. That would be the lowest point of which I'd expect it really to go.”
“Now there is a chance that Solana continues its drop down to maybe even $80. And I'll have bids down $80.”
“I think we have this level of support here of which we're currently trading at. Now, I think the most likely scenario here is around 7pm UK time. We've been trading in this range all day. Maybe we even get as high as $99,000 again, but then bam. One last big liquidation wick, it could go as low as like 80 something just to take out all the remaining bulls and then we'll go all the way back up again and you'll wish that you bought the dip.”
MISS
ETH ▲ → $3,600
“And really, the levels that we're going to come up to is up at 3,600, 3,700. And I think it'll happen at some point this weekend.”
MISS
SOL ▲ → $185.00
“The next zone above is currently sitting at $185.”
MISS
TOTAL ▲
“And really, overall, I'm expecting a pretty good two to three months.”
“Currently, there is only two days to go until the next FOMC meeting where there's a 96.7% chance of a 0.25% rate cut, which would in turn pump the price of Bitcoin”
“And this is the Ethereum liquidation heat map, which you can see all the way up here at $4,800. A big level of liquidity is building up there and potentially a retest of that level in the next week seems pretty likely,”
“Because for me right now, this is looking a hell of a lot more likely to go to 127K than it is to lose support and drop down into like the 80s and 90s.”
MISS
BTC ▲
“it is going to bounce. So have some bullish optimism. We're going to come back all happy and joyful and playful tomorrow.”
“if we manage to hold above it we should be all clear to go back to about 126 000 on bitcoin”
“option one we fully undo the crash on us market open everything goes back to normal hunky-dory rate cut in 16 days time market starts flying again this is nothing more than a buy the dip opportunity”
“I'm concerned about the possibility of a return down to about $114,000.”
“If you can break through $217, it will run.”
“And if that got approved, then I really do actually believe we're in a solid bull market and Solana will do $1,000 within a couple of months.”
“My problem with all of this is a significant leverage buildup will result in a flash crash. We're headed for a flash crash.”
“pretty sure that like very soon, we're going to have a very aggressive pump to the upside. And when that aggressive pump to the upside comes, it won't matter if you bought a 2 or 3, 2 or 4, 2 or 5. Because the price is going to be back at $262.70.”
“we got very close to the all-time high, got rejected and no doubt next time out, we're going to take the all-time high and we're going to pump to $300.”
“Even if it's only back up to this level, I still expect Ethereum is going to get back up to about $4,500 in pretty quick time.”
“It's time to be bullish. This dip is going to be short lit and if you don't buy the dip then you won't make money when the price goes back up. And I think that's going to happen a lot sooner than what pretty much everyone else on earth does.”
OPEN
SOL ▲ → $1,000
“Solana will do $1,000. It just will. And when we talk about altcoins, like I mentioned at the start of today's video, Solana isn't one of the ones that I'm gonna plug, but I am gonna plug it in a sense of, if you put a dollar in Solana today, I am 100% confident that at some point within the next two years, that dollar will be worth $5.”
“Can you see that UFO floating up at the top here at $4,660? So that is billions and billions and billions of dollars getting liquidated when the price is to hit that level.”
MISS
SOL ▲ → $280.00
“It'll do $280, probably within 48 hours. I'm quite confident about that.”
“That 229 level I kind of expect to get taken out today.”
“If we bounce from this point here, we could end up this evening with Ethereum's price back up at $4,800.”
“I'm still looking for this $118,000 level and I'm going to wait to close my trade out when it's at and around that level.”
MISS
BTC ▲
“we're looking for a run all the way up to $127,000 to $130,000. And I think that next week for sure that can happen.”
“I don't doubt this for one second, that Bitcoin is going to go to a million dollars.”
“In the next 24 to 48 hours, probably by Friday tea time, I will have expected by then, if Solana, sorry, is going to be up at about $260.”
“I think it's going to land somewhere up here, around $6,000 by cracking the top of this trading formation that we're in right now, landing up there, and then probably doing some kind of retest at about $5,000 before making any more new highs.”
HIT
SOL ▲
“Now I expect the price of Solana is gonna double this week or maybe not this week, but certainly in the not too short, like short, short term”
“somewhere around the top of this red line, around $400 remains the target for Solana.”
MISS
SOL ▲ → $360.00
“I really really 100% believe this is about to go to $360 and as we know with Solana in the past these moves come overnight”
“Solana will do a thousand dollars have some confidence”
“the target becomes where the next level of resistance is and that next level of Resistance on Solana is sitting so much higher than the current price being 386 dollars”
MISS
SOL ▲ → $300.00
“Solana is going to three hundred dollars But a lot of people don't actually think that it's possible and I don't know why because it's gonna probably happen this week”
“that ultimately if this triggers, it will just push the price up to four thousand eight hundred dollars. And we'll be back at all time highs before you know it”
MISS
ZK ▲ → $0.30
“I expect it to get to at least 30 cents. Might take 6 months, might take 12 months but again, we're picking more solid, better developed, higher raised altcoins.”
“If Solana breaks $220, it's going to rock it.”
“It'll just go like this, all the way back up to the top of here. $125,000 purely on...”
“I'd be buying 202 I wouldn't be shorting off 202 and I think that the market is going to bounce quite aggressively later on in the day”
“if we lose the level of sport that's currently sat well for $4,300 it will drop all the way down to about $4,166 and to be honest at that point I'd expect a continuation of the trend somewhere into the mid $3,000 level”
“we're in a bull market and at some point Bitcoin will hit $150,000 this year so it's one of those things”
MISS
BTC ▲ → $114,000
“I'm confident in the bounce and I think we'll actually take $113 maybe even $114 today I'm pretty optimistic about that”
“the likelihood is that the price of Ethereum, should it lose the level of $4,190, would likely just drop to the bottom of the range, top of the range, whatever you want to call it, $3,800.”
“And XRP for the XRP army out there, I actually think it's still going to have a pretty good bull run. I reckon XRP will get to $10.”
“The level on Ethereum that Ethereum needs to break is four thousand four hundred and twenty dollars. We break through four thousand four hundred and twenty dollars today. The thing is going to rally and it'll go back up to all time highs within twenty four hours. I'm very confident about that.”
“I expect a Bitcoin to get to one hundred and twelve thousand dollars on this run. At one hundred and twelve thousand dollars, fair enough, we might get rejected and turn back around, but it is really looking like it's going to get up to about one hundred and twelve thousand dollars in the next twenty four hours”
“Somewhere around $197 we broke below $197 it'll straight line it back down to 180 maybe even as low as 177.”
“We've still not had Ethereum. Break is all-time high significantly running up to $10,000.”
“We've still not seen Bitcoin. Break is more recent all-time high of $125,000 and we've still not seen kind of any light in the pre-sale market.”
“I believe to be Solana which I believe is going to hit $1,000 during the course of this bull run.”
MISS
SOL ▲ → $260.00
“I do think in the next week it'll probably get up to around $260 per coin.”
MISS
BTC ▲
“we're going to fire in a position here on bitcoin a long position in anticipation that it bounces throughout the course of today's video”
“I really believe that Solana right now is absolutely primed for a run all the way back to the upside at 220. I know it's difficult for bulls to get their head around that right now, but I believe it can happen. But what we need to do is break 195.”
MISS
ETH ▼ → $3,800
“another retest bounce off of here, somewhere around $3,800, maybe on Thursday this week, is not out of the realm of possibility.”
“for the people that, oh my God, it's going to run to the moon, all those people now need to get wicked out of the trades down at like 188 again, and then it'll run to the upside.”
“Solana is on the cusp of a run back up to the highs around $300.”
“Those are pretty obvious to me right now with the first one being on Ethereum around the level of $4,850. We're going to continue to run upwards and at that point we're up to 5k, 6k and beyond.”
“Now who knows how long a period of sideways chop can last but I just don't have the balls to go balls deep on Bitcoin right now like we're looking at this.”
MISS
SOL ▼
“So, yeah, between Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, pretty much everything I expect to head down in the next 24 to 48 hours. I really don't expect much of a bounce at this point.”
MISS
ETH ▼
“So, yeah, between Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, pretty much everything I expect to head down in the next 24 to 48 hours. I really don't expect much of a bounce at this point.”
MISS
BTC ▼
“So, yeah, between Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, pretty much everything I expect to head down in the next 24 to 48 hours. I really don't expect much of a bounce at this point.”
“And the next range will be $4,400, $100 jump from where we are right now.”
“Now, when it comes to Bitcoin right now, I've explained about the VRVP and the way that we've got gaps in the liquidity, and the next gap leads us up to about $115,000.”
“the low target for Solana in the short term would be about 168 dollars.”
“it kind of looks like it might break to the downside which would take us to about 4,000 dollars on Ethereum a 250 dollar drop off.”
“we lose the bottom of the orange part of the Fib which would be the level of about 14,000 dollars. We'll just zip straight down to about 111, 112k.”
“When the politics has worked itself out, this will make a new all-time high and the price of Ethereum will go to $10,000 at least”
“We'll likely see, the closer that meeting gets, the price of Bitcoin will probably go higher.”
“A break of $121,000 means that we're going to literally just run straight up to like $142,000, maybe $150,000, something like that on Bitcoin.”
“next target level for Solana is there, $185,000 and a point of breaking $185,000 Bosch to the moon.”
“this is the Ethereum price chart, it's absolutely insane and it'll probably just keep doing this to be honest, keep liquidating all people that try and short it, we're in a long position right now on Ethereum”
“i actually think that solana will be one trillion dollars um and i know that again sounds like big numbers but solana will be a thousand dollars a coin”
“doge is great i love doge um don't need to explain so much about doge what else have i not discussed on this list here i think i've pretty much ticked everything off”
“when it pumps if it goes from 37 cents up to one dollar 20 again it's a forex on 10 grandia clearing off a 40 000 profit happy days”
“we are actually so insanely close to a breakout this line here is not plotted fully correctly if i plot that line completely correctly here you can see that we are incredibly close to a breakout all we need to do is have say's price cross 36 cents and at the point where say has crossed 36 cents it's gonna go to a dollar”
MISS
OP ▲
“we're expecting a bit of a bounce in these markets and that should yield some pretty decent um be decent rewards should we be correct i mean like worst case scenario here when we're looking at something like this worst case scenario it goes up to a dollar so it gives like a 50 percent rise over the current price”
“I do quite like the outlook on gala what is gala gala is games and games again should be pretty decent i think as far as narratives go”
“Now you could have a retest to the downside. I'm thinking that seems like the most likely scenario here.”
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