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The Crypto Mark prediction accuracy

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C
last 12 mo
8% hit rate, last 12 months (1/12)
on deadlines they set themselves · typical 21%
Grade C: below typical, not conclusive. A summary of the record, not a forecast.
1 hit·11 missed
Grade from 12 calls resolved between December 2025 and June 2026. All-time record: 1 of 12 hit, calls made between November 2025 and March 2026. How the grade works
8%
all time, own deadlines (12)
18%
all resolved (71)
27%
30-day direction (45)
74
calls logged
6
open right now
0
flips (30d)

Is The Crypto Mark accurate?

The Crypto Mark is graded C on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com), below typical, not conclusive: in the last 12 months, 1 of 12 crypto price calls where they set the deadline themselves hit (8%), against a typical 21% across all tracked channels, which ranks #49 of 64 graded channels. All time, 1 of 12 such calls hit (8%); they were made between November 2025 and March 2026. Counting every resolved call, including ones without a stated deadline, the hit rate is 18% (71 calls). 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 27% of the time (45 calls). The grade summarizes the record; it is not a forecast.

How calls are checked · every number below links to the quote and the price

Is The Crypto Mark accurate?

Grade C, below typical, not conclusive: in the last 12 months, 1 of 12 predictions where The Crypto Mark named the deadline themselves came true by that deadline, against a typical 21% for all channels. All time, 1 of 12 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 0 of 5 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 1 of 7 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 27% of the time (45 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.

The record

OPEN ADA ▲ → $1.00 (conditional) · Jun 22, 2026 · horizon 183d
“envisioning a world where we do get back to $1.”
price then $0.1585 → still open · watch 4:24
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▼ · Jun 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And the next downside, obviously, would be to a 19 to 20 cents level that does align itself with kind of a February low.”
price then $0.213 → $0.1615 · -24.2% · watch 7:18
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check XRP ▲ → $2.00 (conditional) · May 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If XRP hits above $2 once again, then I think that we'll start to see a lot of people jumping back into the game.”
price then $1.37 → $1.11 · -19.5% · watch 9:00
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▲ → $0.90 · May 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“And that's where I could see Cardano getting back above 90 cents just based on that premise alone.”
price then $0.2507 → $0.1871 · -25.4% · watch 6:48
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▲ → $2.00 · May 12, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I do think that when we talk about Cardano and XRP respectively for XRP, it's going to be getting back above $2 for Cardano.”
price then $0.2711 → $0.191 · -29.6% · watch 1:38
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ONDO ▲ → $1.00 · May 11, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I just firmly believe it's a $1 crypto or beyond.”
price then $0.4288 → $0.3484 · -18.8% · watch 2:47
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▲ → $0.30 · May 07, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“And right now, the best thing we can have, the best case scenario would be $0.30 is where Cardano would break out to, breaking through that psychological barrier.”
price then $0.2627 → $0.1911 · -27.3% · watch 9:23
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check XRP ▼ → $1.00 · May 06, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think that we can look for $1 coming back into play. That is the absolute, absolute floor. Personally, for me, it's about $1.20.”
price then $1.42 → $1.07 · -24.6% · watch 6:29
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▲ (conditional) · Apr 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“if Cardano can actually execute that, they're going to execute that they're going to need to do so to return to those times where we were trading above $3 and a third ranked in all of market caps.”
price then $0.2446 → $0.2329 · -4.8% · watch 8:16
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▲ → $1.30 · Apr 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“before we had that huge uptick to the all-time high. I take $1.30 right now.”
price then $0.2484 → $0.1737 · -30.1% · watch 2:12
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▲ · Apr 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think that one day Cardano does get back above a dollar.”
price then $0.2499 → $0.2507 · +0.3% · watch 7:56
VOID deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▼ (conditional) · restated 1× · Mar 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“But as long as Cardano still remains below that 29 cents level, I do think that we are still going to face rejection around 30 cents.”
price then $0.2891 → $0.29 · +0.3% · invalidation $0.29 · watch 5:40
MISS ADA ▲ · restated 4× · Mar 16, 2026 · horizon 30d
“would not shock me within the next month or so if Cardano was trading back into the 40s and 50s”
price then $0.2904 → $0.246 · -15.3% · watch 1:09
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $80,000 · Mar 14, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think Bitcoin might end up pumping up to close to 80,000.”
price then $71,212 → $80,000 · +12.3% · watch 4:54 touched $80,000 intraday, closed at $79,861
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▲ → $0.40 · Mar 14, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“So the path to 40 cents is right there in front of us.”
price then $0.2634 → $0.1697 · -35.6% · watch 2:09
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check DOGE ▲ · Mar 06, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Seven, eight cents, I think is kind of the bottom.”
price then $0.0913 → $0.0924 · +1.2% · watch 7:19
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▶ · restated 4× · Mar 05, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I don't think that we're going to break out from 30 cents. And I don't think we're going to kind of break down even farther from 25.”
price then $0.2692 → $0.2544 · -5.5% · watch 2:17
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check DOGE ▼ (conditional) · Mar 04, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“as long as Dogecoin remains below its 50-day simple moving average of around 11 cents and trades under its 200-day of 16 cents, this is still going to be the negative conversation”
price then $0.0989 → $0.0916 · -7.5% · invalidation $0.11 · watch 6:48
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check XRP ▲ (conditional) · restated 4× · Mar 03, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Well, it can drive the price of XRP even higher. Okay. Uh, in increasing the institutional usage of the ledger, uh, that would be a huge, uh, talking point for expansion.”
price then $1.36 → $1.30 · -4.7% · watch 6:00
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▼ → $0.19 · restated 1× · Feb 23, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I could make the argument today that we will see 19 cents Cardano.”
price then $0.2623 → $0.2423 · -7.6% · watch 4:41
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▼ · Feb 23, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Me personally, I'm looking for Cardano to break down.”
price then $0.2623 → $0.2705 · +3.1% · watch 1:04
OPEN PEPE ▲ · restated 2× · Feb 21, 2026 · horizon 313d
“So that's something where we can see Pepe do a 300% move. Uh, I don't think it'll happen in a month, a week. Uh, it would take probably the entire 2026 in its entirety.”
price then $0.00000416 → still open · watch 9:24
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check TOTAL ▼ · restated 1× · Feb 16, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“It's going to still be in that direction for the immediate future.”
price then $2.35T → $2.44T · +3.7% · watch 2:14
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check XRP ▶ · Feb 13, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Unfortunately, we're going to stay at 4 for a while until we have a nice little rebound.”
price then $1.41 → $1.51 · +7.3% · watch 2:43
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▲ · restated 10× · Feb 12, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think that it's going to do well in the future.”
price then $0.2643 → $0.2634 · -0.3% · watch 4:50
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▼ → $0.22 (conditional) · Feb 06, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If we do fail to hold the floor, which right now is sitting at around 23.60, I could see even a lower buy down, even down to 22 cents range.”
price then $0.2762 → $0.2627 · -4.9% · watch 6:42
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ · restated 2× · Feb 05, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Me, personally, I think it's going to be somewhere along the lines of the 50 to 65,000.”
price then $62,910 → $67,263 · +6.9% · watch 3:50
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▼ → $0.25 · Feb 01, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Would you rather right now have a quarter, a U S quarter, you know, a nice George Washington piece, or would you rather have one Cardano because we're going there, we're going to hit 25 cents.”
price then $0.2858 → $0.25 · -12.5% · watch 9:16
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▼ · restated 1× · Jan 30, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“But it's very easy to drop 15, 20% in a one to two week timeframe.”
price then $0.3208 → $0.2735 · -14.7% · watch 7:43
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▶ (conditional) · restated 2× · Jan 30, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think it's going to be kind of all the same as what we got in January. Just a big nothing burger. You know, January in 2026, we were up about 5%. But I just think we're going to just teeter in that consolidation phase, unless something in the market kind of tips at scale to where we have a breakout, okay?”
price then $0.3208 → $0.2936 · -8.5% · watch 4:19
MISS ADA ▲ → $0.50 (conditional) · Jan 27, 2026 · horizon 63d
“it would not shock me whatsoever if Cardano began trading above 50 cents come March”
price then $0.3608 → $0.2418 · -33.0% · watch 7:11
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $65,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Jan 26, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“if you ask me, do I think Bitcoin has a better chance of going to 65K? We're back to 126,000. I probably would go with the 65,000.”
price then $88,347 → $65,000 · -26.4% · watch 6:27
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▲ · Jan 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Cardano in the 30 cents, even 40 cents ballpark, it's all going to be a blip in the past.”
price then $0.3594 → $0.28 · -22.1% · watch 4:21
HIT XRP ▼ · restated 1× · Jan 21, 2026 · horizon 38d
“I do lend towards the conversation that February, we will get sell-off.”
price then $1.95 → $1.38 · -29.3% · watch 4:26
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▲ → $1.00 · Jan 18, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“we're going to go over the past year and we could see Cardano trending and trading back above $1.”
price then $0.3758 → $0.2491 · -33.7% · watch 1:45
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check HBAR ▲ (conditional) · Jan 15, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think this is kind of where it's fluctuate. Um, it fluctuates within demand. Okay. People get on the train, they hop right off of it. And then what's left is a very solid base of H bar, uh, holders, Hedera believers, uh, that think that when the enterprise narrative strikes back, when this becomes, uh, fully integrated with RWAs, this is kind of when I think H bar will have another day, uh, where they get back above the 40 cents territory.”
price then $0.1178 → $0.1039 · -11.8% · watch 9:23
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ONDO ▲ · restated 1× · Jan 15, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I just think it's entirely too cheap at 39 cents. And it's one of those cryptos that you do have to kind of, uh, withstand these swings, right?”
price then $0.3802 → $0.2944 · -22.6% · watch 7:17
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check LINK ▲ · Jan 15, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I just think at this price level at $14, uh, this is one that I can't afford to miss out for me personally as well.”
price then $13.80 → $9.09 · -34.1% · watch 6:08
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check PEPE ▲ → $0.0000402 (conditional) · Jan 15, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“if we do want to get back above to that 2.36 level, that would take us to a 4019. That's what I think, I think that breakout could occur.”
price then $0.00000591 → $0.00000372 · -37.1% · watch 10:45
VOID deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▲ → $0.48 (conditional) · Jan 14, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“And then if we do see a little bit of a breakout here, we're going to test that 48 cents resistance.”
price then $0.4143 → $0.38 · -8.3% · invalidation $0.38 · watch 4:10
OPEN ADA ▲ · Jan 14, 2026 · horizon 1825d
“this is what Cardano will look like in five to 10 years”
price then $0.4143 → still open · watch 1:01
OPEN ZEC ▲ (conditional) · Jan 14, 2026 · horizon 351d
“It's not out of the realm of possibility. This is my personal price prediction. It's not financial advice, but that we could be seeing Zcash sitting around $1,500, $200 if it's able to do $700 in this market, okay?”
price then $447.21 → still open · watch 6:28
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check DOGE ▲ → $0.15 · Jan 09, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“There's the reasons why we're gonna get into Dogecoin reclaiming 15 cents and beyond.”
price then $0.1407 → $0.15 · +6.6% · watch 2:07 touched $0.15 intraday, closed at $0.1483
MISS ADA ▲ → $2.00 (conditional) · Jan 09, 2026 · horizon 172d
“I would not dream of a world where Cardona would not be able to reach at least $2 in that environment.”
price then $0.3914 → $0.1444 · -63.1% · watch 9:09
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Jan 07, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“if XRP gets back up to $2.50, it would not shock me. I think that Cardano would follow suit into that $0.59, $0.60 territory”
price then $0.4022 → $0.2762 · -31.3% · watch 6:39
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▲ → $0.50 · Jan 07, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think reclaiming and going above, climbing above $0.50, that's kind of the next step ahead for ADA”
price then $0.4022 → $0.2627 · -34.7% · watch 6:08
MISS ADA ▲ (conditional) · Jan 07, 2026 · horizon 75d
“it would not shock me in the next two, three months if we did see Cardano rally back up to that 80, 90 cents territory”
price then $0.4022 → $0.2616 · -35.0% · watch 3:57
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▲ → $0.44 · restated 1× · Jan 05, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Despite all those geopolitical risks out there, can Cardano get back above 43 cents, 44 cents? The answer to that question is yes.”
price then $0.4211 → $0.2508 · -40.4% · watch 4:04
MISS BTC ▲ → $100,000 · restated 1× · Jan 02, 2026 · horizon 30d
“I think that we can get back to $100,000 in January.”
price then $89,995 → $76,968 · -14.5% · watch 9:07
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▶ · Jan 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think that Bitcoin's going to continue to kind of trade sideways, and then from there, form a nice base that we are just waiting that next catalyst to push us back over $100,000.”
price then $89,995 → $95,414 · +6.0% · watch 8:02
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check XRP ▲ · restated 4× · Dec 29, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“it could be tipping the scale that XRP will be in that bull mode”
price then $1.85 → $1.91 · +3.3% · watch 4:29
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check XRP ▲ → $2.00 (conditional) · Dec 27, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“this could make the case that we could see XRP get back above $2 once again”
price then $1.87 → $2.00 · +6.8% · watch 7:24
MISS TOTAL ▲ (conditional) · Dec 27, 2025 · horizon 94d
“there are a lot of people, including myself, that think that the Q1 of 2026 will be good for crypto.”
price then $2.96T → $2.34T · -20.9% · watch 1:40
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check HBAR ▼ · restated 1× · Dec 22, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“just sharing with you though, that right now, it's just not looking good in the short term, okay. We're seeing a lot of bear pressure. I think that as we talk about some of the resistances that we will have, some of the closes that we do need, this collapse, I think is just more so a testament to the weakness within HBAR's structure. The bear structure will continue.”
price then $0.1141 → $0.1093 · -4.2% · watch 8:42
MISS ADA ▲ · restated 1× · Dec 22, 2025 · horizon 99d
“personally, I think Q1 of 2026 may be a little bit bullish”
price then $0.3711 → $0.2418 · -34.8% · watch 1:04
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $90,000 (conditional) · Dec 17, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“And once we hit about 85K, that's kind of where we start to look like we can make our way back to 90,000.”
price then $86,243 → $90,000 · +4.4% · watch 0:56 touched $90,000 intraday, closed at $88,621
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check XRP ▼ (conditional) · Dec 17, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“if we lose that dollar 74 price level, uh, that would be the 618 fib level that chart could end up going down to the dollar fifties.”
price then $1.86 → $2.07 · +11.0% · watch 7:48
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▼ · Dec 17, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think that it's going to be around 33 to 36 cents personally.”
price then $0.3673 → $0.3955 · +7.7% · watch 7:33
MISS HBAR ▲ → $0.14 · Dec 16, 2025 · horizon 15d
“I think that as we look for HBAR to potentially breach the 14 cents level by the end of the year, and that would be by the end of the calendar year, 2025”
price then $0.1146 → $0.1063 · -7.2% · watch 10:34
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check TOTAL ▼ · Dec 15, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Interest rates are going down. Crypto's going down, okay?”
price then $2.94T → $3.28T · +11.5% · watch 2:42
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▲ → $0.80 (conditional) · Dec 12, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Maybe it is the bottom and we see a reversal of these trends and Cardano rockets up to 80 cents again and maybe even beyond that”
price then $0.4091 → $0.2636 · -35.6% · watch 4:52
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check DOGE ▼ (conditional) · Dec 06, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Okay. So if we see BTC getting hit, probably Dogecoin will be right there with it, kind of in that coefficient trending the same direction.”
price then $0.1398 → $0.1517 · +8.6% · watch 4:54
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check DOGE ▼ → $0.08 · Dec 06, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Okay. But as it stands here today, guys, 2025, we have to talk about it because the liquidity below that 8 cents makes a yearly low retest very likely.”
price then $0.1398 → $0.0913 · -34.7% · watch 2:44
MISS ADA ▼ · Dec 05, 2025 · horizon 2d
“And now as it stands right now, we're looking down the barrel of a sub 40 cents territory, see what the weekend brings.”
price then $0.4157 → $0.4173 · +0.4% · watch 1:40
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check XRP ▶ (conditional) · Dec 01, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“such as HBAR, such as Cardano, such as XRP, that's where we're gonna consolidate till the overall market kind of reverses its course.”
price then $2.03 → $2.15 · +6.1% · watch 6:11
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▶ (conditional) · Dec 01, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“such as HBAR, such as Cardano, such as XRP, that's where we're gonna consolidate till the overall market kind of reverses its course.”
price then $0.3856 → $0.4335 · +12.4% · watch 6:11
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check HBAR ▶ (conditional) · Dec 01, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“such as HBAR, such as Cardano, such as XRP, that's where we're gonna consolidate till the overall market kind of reverses its course.”
price then $0.1332 → $0.1447 · +8.6% · watch 6:11
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ADA ▲ → $0.69 · Nov 27, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“all we care about is getting back up to 69 cents”
price then $0.4331 → $0.2971 · -31.4% · watch 4:37
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check DOGE ▲ (conditional) · Nov 27, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Bitcoin goes to 125 again, then yeah. What do think Dogecoin's going to do? Okay. It won't be at 15 cents. I can guarantee you that.”
price then $0.1526 → $0.1009 · -33.9% · watch 7:40
MISS XRP ▲ · Nov 26, 2025 · horizon 35d
“here I am today as we close out 2025, this month or next month for that matter, looking for uh kind of that surge.”
price then $2.22 → $1.84 · -17.1% · watch 12:06
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check DOGE ▲ → $0.30 · Nov 23, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 38d
“I was keying in on for me personally. And we're kind of back into that zone where we're slightly into the profit, but still we're out of that go zone, if you will, for me that I'm looking for Doge to make that move to 30 cents and beyond.”
price then $0.145 → $0.1175 · -19.0% · watch 1:02
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check HBAR ▲ → $0.17 (conditional) · Nov 21, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If we defend this zone, it would prevent further declines from a weekly standpoint, and I think this is where we could see H-bar potentially rebound up to 16, 17 cents very, very quickly”
price then $0.1308 → $0.0977 · -25.3% · watch 5:56
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check HBAR ▲ (conditional) · Nov 21, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If we defend this zone, it would prevent further declines from a weekly standpoint, and I think this is where we could see H-bar potentially rebound up to 16, 17 cents very, very quickly”
price then $0.1308 → $0.0977 · -25.3% · watch 5:56
OPEN ADA ▲ · restated 1× · Nov 21, 2025 · horizon 1769d
“For me and what I'm doing, Cardano is a 2029, 2030 mindset that was once a top three crypto.”
price then $0.4091 → still open · watch 9:00
MISS ADA ▲ → $0.90 · Nov 18, 2025 · horizon 60d
“And you look at the price levels right now at 48, 49, I mean, would it really shock you if ADA was trading at 80, 90 cents, even a dollar in two months, okay?”
price then $0.4752 → $0.3973 · -16.4% · watch 9:24
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check DOGE ▲ · Nov 18, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“we like doge coin, uh, into that 30 to 44 cents range. Okay. That's kind of where I see it in this. I guess you would say that's kind of what I'm doing personally.”
price then $0.1617 → $0.101 · -37.5% · watch 12:02
OPEN ADA ▲ · Nov 16, 2025 · horizon 1515d
“For me, it's always been 2029, 2030 within that mindset for when I'm going to start looking to sell my Cardano.”
price then $0.4845 → still open · watch 4:23
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Updated November 04, 2026.