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Crypto Nutshell prediction accuracy

youtube · 89,400 subscribers · channel ↗ · Discuss on the forum → · Your channel? Reply or correct → · last call Nov 02, 2026
—
1 of 10
— not graded recently: needs 10
calls with their own deadline resolved in 12 months (1 so far)
0 hit·1 missed
All-time record: 0 of 1 hit, calls made in May 2026. How the grade works
0%
all time, own deadlines (1)
31%
all resolved (17)
58%
30-day direction (36)
75
calls logged
59
open right now
0
flips (30d)

Is Crypto Nutshell accurate?

Not graded recently on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com): Crypto Nutshell has 1 resolved calls with a deadline they set themselves in the last 12 months, and channels are graded from 10. All time, 0 of 1 such calls hit (0%); they were made in May 2026. 75 calls are logged, 59 still open. 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 58% of the time (36 calls).

How calls are checked · every number below links to the quote and the price

Current stance · last 90 days

▲ BTC
Nov 2 · open
▲ ETH
Nov 2 · open
▲ TOTAL → $100T
Oct 24 · open
▲ LINK
Sep 10 · open
▲ AAVE
Sep 10 · open
▲ UNI
Sep 10 · open

Is Crypto Nutshell accurate?

Not graded recently: 1 of 10 resolved calls with a self-set deadline in the last 12 months (17 resolved in total, all time). All time, 0 of 1 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 0 of 1 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 58% of the time (36 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.

The record

OPEN BTC ▲ · Nov 02, 2026 · horizon 1825d
“I'm still a very big believer in Bitcoin. Bitcoin because to me it is better than digital gold. It's digital gold, but it functions as a substitute for gold. So I think Bitcoin easily has multiples of upside from here.”
price then $76,946 → still open · watch 17:35
OPEN ETH ▲ · Nov 02, 2026 · horizon 1825d
“Yeah, I think the ratio between Ethereum to Bitcoin should continue to rise. I mean, I think at a minimum it should go back to its old high of 0.08.”
price then $2,249 → still open · watch 17:11
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,300,000 · Nov 01, 2026 · horizon 3347d
“So our long-term prediction is we get to 1.3 million by 2035.”
price then $78,140 → still open · watch 10:28
OPEN BTC ▲ · Nov 01, 2026 · horizon 1095d
“But they don't tend to last three months. They tend to last three years. So I think your bias should be we're extraordinarily early in this bull market cycle.”
price then $78,140 → still open · watch 2:50
OPEN ETH ▲ → $10,000 · Oct 30, 2026 · horizon 365d
“but in the next 12 months, I think ETH will have much higher prices than 10,000.”
price then $2,252 → still open · watch 3:14
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Oct 29, 2026 · horizon 365d
“Sometime in the next 12 months, I would think we'll go through 100,000. And then we'll... In the next five months? In the next 12 months. 12 months. Okay. I can't be sure.”
price then $79,936 → still open · watch 12:37
OPEN TOTAL ▲ → $100T · restated 1× · Oct 24, 2026 · horizon 3355d
“But it tells you we get to $100 trillion by about 2035, something like that.”
price then $2.72T → still open · watch 17:38
OPEN ETH ▲ → $22,000 (conditional) · Oct 24, 2026 · horizon 365d
“if Ethereum gets to 22,000, which I think is a low target, Bitmine's share price goes from 26 to 300 to 500.”
price then $2,372 → still open · watch 20:54
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Oct 22, 2026 · horizon 365d
“So we should be higher toward the toward the year sometime in the next 12 months. I would think we'll go through 100,000 and then we'll.”
price then $82,443 → still open · watch 8:38
OPEN BTC ▲ · Oct 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“I do think we bottomed in June, and I think we're in a new bull market cycle.”
price then $84,093 → still open · watch 1:05
OPEN ETH ▲ · restated 4× · Oct 16, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“But I'm going to disagree. I think people are rage quitting at the bottom for Ethereum here.”
price then $2,417 → still open · watch 1:36
OPEN ETH ▲ (conditional) · Oct 09, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“if Ethereum can break 5000, you know, we think it could go a 10X from here.”
price then $2,480 → still open · watch 17:46
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 (conditional) · Oct 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If we start to see Bitcoin get back towards $100,000 because of some of these catalysts, then I think, you know, maybe you won't sound so crypto crazy to bring it up at Thanksgiving.”
price then $81,010 → still open · watch 16:49
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,500,000 · Oct 06, 2026 · horizon 1547d
“Bitcoin could still be heading toward $1.5 million by 2030.”
price then $85,421 → still open · watch 3:31
OPEN ETH ▲ → $3,000 · Oct 06, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think 3000, you know, in the next, in the near term makes a lot of sense.”
price then $2,715 → still open · watch 2:10
OPEN ETH ▲ → $60,000 · Oct 06, 2026 · horizon 731d
“could Ethereum 10x, 10 to 12x above its prior highs of 5,000? I think that's very possible. And, you know, and then that would take us to 60,000 again.”
price then $2,715 → still open · watch 1:38
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check TOTAL ▲ · restated 2× · Oct 03, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“But of course, that means crypto is a huge winner, because that's really where all this is going to take place.”
price then $2.89T → $2.59T · -10.2% · watch 17:04
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Oct 01, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“cutting rates, it's cheaper than to create credit and the number of fiat currency units floating around the world will explode and Bitcoin will also go up because that is severely weakening to the dollar and severely debasing the currency.”
price then $84,426 → $77,582 · -8.1% · watch 5:48
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,500,000 · Sep 30, 2026 · horizon 1553d
“base case, mid 700,000, bull case, 1.5. But- When by? Well, we were saying 2030. Now, that absolutely could happen”
price then $84,428 → still open · watch 7:27
OPEN BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 3× · Sep 25, 2026 · horizon 97d
“I do think the bottom is probably in and Bitcoin ends the year higher.”
price then $83,848 → still open · watch 2:21
OPEN ETH ▲ → $10,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Sep 23, 2026 · horizon 547d
“I think Ethereum could easily be over 10,000 in that time frame.”
price then $2,712 → still open · watch 15:37
OPEN ETH ▲ → $5,000 (conditional) · Sep 23, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I would say just being in a new bull cycle means Ethereum should be above 5,000.”
price then $2,712 → still open · watch 15:37
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ETH ▲ · Sep 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And that's why we're really bullish on Ethereum as well.”
price then $2,757 → $2,474 · -10.3% · watch 10:01
OPEN ETH ▲ → $5,000 (conditional) · Sep 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“It's always done a lot of chopping around two and a half grand, ups and downs and ups and downs. Breaks that and obviously goes to the top of the range, the five grand level.”
price then $2,447 → still open · watch 16:31
OPEN BTC ▲ · Sep 12, 2026 · horizon 365d
“And we do believe that Bitcoin will get to, you know, new all-time highs in this next cycle.”
price then $77,279 → still open · watch 2:46
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,500,000 · Sep 12, 2026 · horizon 1571d
“And you know that we're on record saying that our base case for 2030 is 730,000. Our bull case is 1.5 million.”
price then $77,279 → still open · watch 2:46
OPEN BTC ▲ → $730,000 · Sep 12, 2026 · horizon 1571d
“And you know that we're on record saying that our base case for 2030 is 730,000. Our bull case is 1.5 million.”
price then $77,279 → still open · watch 2:46
OPEN BTC ▲ → $90,000 · Sep 11, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“is this what you were talking about or even more that up to 90,000?”
price then $77,226 → still open · watch 12:00
OPEN LINK ▲ · Sep 10, 2026 · horizon 731d
“I think those could be re-rated up, you know, many multiples in a relatively short period.”
price then $11.45 → still open · watch 15:35
OPEN AAVE ▲ · Sep 10, 2026 · horizon 731d
“I think those could be re-rated up, you know, many multiples in a relatively short period.”
price then $120.64 → still open · watch 15:35
OPEN UNI ▲ · Sep 10, 2026 · horizon 731d
“I think those could be re-rated up, you know, many multiples in a relatively short period.”
price then $5.95 → still open · watch 15:35
OPEN ETH ▲ → $10,000 · Sep 09, 2026 · horizon 730d
“I think Ethereum could easily be over 10,000 in that time frame.”
price then $2,468 → still open · watch 2:49
OPEN ETH ▲ → $5,000 (conditional) · Sep 09, 2026 · horizon 730d
“So on top of crypto being in the middle of a bull cycle, I would say just being in a new bull cycle means Ethereum should be above 5,000.”
price then $2,468 → still open · watch 2:49
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 7× · Sep 07, 2026 · horizon 1825d
“I wouldn't be surprised to see Bitcoin at multiple hundreds of thousands of dollars.”
price then $79,112 → still open · watch 2:09
OPEN BTC ▲ → $100,000 (conditional) · Sep 07, 2026 · horizon 365d
“will we be north of $100,000 if things break in Bitcoin's way over the next year? I absolutely think so.”
price then $79,112 → still open · watch 2:09
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,000,000 (conditional) · Sep 06, 2026 · horizon 1577d
“I think if Bitcoin could hit a million by 2030, AI bubble collapsing, massive money printing, there's yield curve control of the US. So we have the ingredients. The time is now.”
price then $80,342 → still open · watch 2:05
OPEN ETH ▲ → $6,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Sep 05, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“if Bitcoin's $150,000, you know, that's going to put Ethereum at around $6,000.”
price then $2,480 → still open · watch 13:54
OPEN BTC ▲ → $150,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · Sep 05, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“if Bitcoin's $150,000, you know, that's going to put Ethereum at around $6,000.”
price then $79,832 → still open · watch 13:54
OPEN TOTAL ▲ (conditional) · restated 8× · Sep 04, 2026 · horizon 365d
“I think in the next crypto bull, crypto spring, if AI is now a $10 trillion economy, right, that's the TAM. But maybe it goes to, you know, $100 trillion. You know, is crypto going to be stuck at $1.5 trillion? I mean, I'm highly, highly doubtful of that.”
price then $2.68T → still open · watch 12:30
OPEN TOTAL ▲ → $100T · Aug 31, 2026 · horizon 3044d
“And all of these things tell you the probability that this trend continues, and we get to $100 trillion by, let's say, 2034.”
price then $2.64T → still open · watch 3:11
OPEN ETH ▲ · Aug 30, 2026 · horizon 730d
“should Ethereum be a trillion or two or five trillion dollar network value? Yeah, I can easily see it in the next few years.”
price then $2,417 → still open · watch 5:43
OPEN TOTAL ▲ (conditional) · Aug 19, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If I'm right, and I can't say I'm not going to be, and we go to $100 trillion over time, that's a fuck-ton amount of money.”
price then $2.36T → still open · watch 7:55
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 18× · Aug 12, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“But over time, Bitcoin should go higher because global liquidity is going higher, US broad liquidity is going higher, and US narrow liquidity should go higher as soon as they can get the yield curve to steepen.”
price then $63,480 → $77,226 · +21.6% · watch 8:48
OPEN BTC ▲ → $400,000 · Aug 09, 2026 · horizon 730d
“Top of next cycle, where do you see Bitcoin? Yeah, I think $250 to $400 is a reasonable range.”
price then $64,902 → still open · watch 17:02
OPEN BTC ▲ → $250,000 · Aug 09, 2026 · horizon 730d
“Top of next cycle, where do you see Bitcoin? Yeah, I think $250 to $400 is a reasonable range.”
price then $64,902 → still open · watch 17:02
OPEN TOTAL ▲ · restated 2× · Aug 04, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 730d
“The whole tokenized asset space is like $30 billion. There's $600 trillion of assets in the world. So the market could 2000X, you know, in size.”
price then $2.19T → still open · watch 10:24
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 2× · Aug 04, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“I think we end the year higher. And I think next year is a great bull market year for crypto.”
price then $64,107 → still open · watch 20:13
OPEN TOTAL ▲ → $100T · Jul 22, 2026 · horizon 3084d
“I still think crypto, for example, goes from $2.5 trillion today to $100 trillion by like 2034, 2036, something like that.”
price then $2.25T → still open · watch 8:10
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 16× · Jul 04, 2026 · horizon 365d
“I suspect we'll be much higher in a year, but I don't know where the bottom is.”
price then $63,144 → still open · watch 1:40
OPEN HYPE ▲ · Jul 03, 2026 · horizon 365d
“On Hyperliquid, we're extraordinarily bullish long term.”
price then $70.69 → still open · watch 15:30
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check SUI ▲ · Jun 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Sui are sitting at levels that have historically come right before the biggest moves in crypto history.”
price then $0.7027 → $0.6862 · -2.4% · watch 0:00
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Jun 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, and Sui are sitting at levels that have historically come right before the biggest moves in crypto history.”
price then $60,260 → $63,984 · +6.2% · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,500,000 · Jun 27, 2026 · horizon 1648d
“Our bull case is $1.5 million.”
price then $60,029 → still open · watch 1:30
OPEN BTC ▲ → $730,000 · Jun 27, 2026 · horizon 1648d
“our base case for 2030 is $730,000.”
price then $60,029 → still open · watch 1:15
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 2× · Jun 24, 2026 · horizon 365d
“I suspect we'll be much higher in a year, but I don't know where the bottom is.”
price then $61,078 → still open · watch 1:36
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check ETH ▲ (conditional) · restated 7× · Jun 20, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“So I think this third consolidation is going to be pulled up because of tokenization and agentic AI. And, you know, maybe Ethereum's at $25X from here.”
price then $1,741 → $2,612 · +50.0% · watch 9:44
OPEN ETH ▲ → $60,000 (conditional) · Jun 19, 2026 · horizon 1095d
“If you look at the last crypto lows and make a composite of where Ethereum could be in roughly three years, that would be a 30x. And that would take us to around $60,000.”
price then $1,711 → still open · watch 10:20
OPEN ETH ▲ → $12,000 (conditional) · Jun 19, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“And so, if Ethereum goes back to the eight-year average, that's $12,000.”
price then $1,711 → still open · watch 9:50
OPEN BTC ▲ → $250,000 · Jun 19, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“Well, we think fair value for Bitcoin is $250,000.”
price then $63,544 → still open · watch 9:40
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · Jun 18, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And on the evidence Saylor's presenting, the direction of that build is not seriously in question.”
price then $62,958 → $64,834 · +3.0% · watch 25:33
OPEN TOTAL ▲ (conditional) · restated 4× · Jun 12, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“It just seems extraordinarily like unlikely that if a significant portion of payments are on stable coin rails and all assets are tokenized and Bitcoin gets older and more secure, that will be worth two and a half trillion dollars. I think that number is north of 10.”
price then $2.17T → still open · watch 17:00
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check ETH ▲ · Jun 11, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“ETH should be priced in trillions, considering what I've told you about with the agent economy.”
price then $1,673 → $2,468 · +47.5% · watch 17:01
OPEN BTC ▲ · restated 5× · Jun 01, 2026 · horizon 1825d
“I have a view that this institutional bid is going to persist for five, 10 years. I think it's going to accelerate, actually”
price then $71,409 → still open · watch 10:01
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · May 31, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think as they print money, as they continue to try and finance the US government at the short end, as these large, massive companies roll their cash flows and raise money to pour into the real economy, as opposed to equity buybacks, I think the economy will heat up. I think Bitcoin's going to go to the moon.”
price then $73,674 → $78,230 · +6.2% · watch 14:30
OPEN BTC ▲ → $500,000 · May 31, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“And again, this to me is what winning looks like. This is the early chapters of what a $500,000 Bitcoin is.”
price then $73,674 → still open · watch 13:30
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ETH ▲ → $12,000 (conditional) · May 30, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“and Ethereum gets to the eight-year average of the price ratio, that's $12,000 Ethereum.”
price then $2,022 → $2,443 · +20.8% · watch 9:00
OPEN BTC ▲ → $250,000 (conditional) · May 30, 2026 · horizon 365d
“If Bitcoin gets to $250,000, which we think is fair value in the next 12 months”
price then $73,884 → still open · watch 8:48
OPEN BTC ▲ → $500,000 · May 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“And again, this to me is what winning looks like. This is the early chapters of what a $500,000 Bitcoin is.”
price then $77,065 → still open · watch 1:50
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 1× · May 23, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“in my base case, you can always be wrong on these things, my base case is that Bitcoin has seen the bottom.”
price then $76,752 → $78,338 · +2.1% · watch 12:24
MISS BTC ▼ · restated 1× · May 22, 2026 · horizon 162d
“I think you'll likely either see a high or low in June. But regardless of what happens in June, I still think you'll go lower into October, okay?”
price then $75,540 → $77,582 · +2.7% · watch 7:18
OPEN ETH ▲ → $12,000 (conditional) · May 21, 2026 · horizon 365d
“If Bitcoin gets to $250,000, which we think is fair value in the next 12 months, and Ethereum gets to the 8-year average of the price ratio, that's $12,000 Ethereum.”
price then $2,134 → still open · watch 1:34
OPEN BTC ▲ · May 20, 2026 · horizon 365d
“I think there's going to be a massive supply shock. There ought to be a rally in BTC. I think that'll catalyze a rally in all the Bitcoin treasury companies.”
price then $77,552 → still open · watch 9:16
OPEN ETH ▲ → $12,000 (conditional) · May 16, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“If Bitcoin gets to $250,000, which we think is fair value in the next 12 months, and Ethereum gets to the eight-year average of the price ratio, that's $12,000 Ethereum.”
price then $2,181 → still open · watch 7:08
OPEN BTC ▲ → $250,000 (conditional) · restated 1× · May 16, 2026 · horizon 365d
“If Bitcoin gets to $250,000, which we think is fair value in the next 12 months,”
price then $78,148 → still open · watch 7:08
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 1× · May 11, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“This would suggest that we've held the sort of the higher lows. The trend is up, shall I say. The trend is up over time. And we do believe it is up over time.”
price then $81,746 → $61,511 · -24.8% · watch 8:26
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ETH ▲ · May 10, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“And so I would be overweight any of the blockchain stories out there today, which includes Ethereum, you know, Solana and others.”
price then $2,371 → $1,917 · -19.2% · watch 12:57
OPEN BTC ▲ → $1,500,000 · May 09, 2026 · horizon 1695d
“Our bull case is $1.5 million.”
price then $80,678 → still open · watch 2:50
OPEN BTC ▲ → $730,000 · May 09, 2026 · horizon 1695d
“we're on record saying that our base case for 2030 is $730,000.”
price then $80,678 → still open · watch 2:44
OPEN SOL ▲ · restated 6× · May 08, 2026 · horizon 237d
“I think it'll get into the triple digits. I think it'll rally back. I think it'll be outperformant for the end of the year.”
price then $92.01 → still open · watch 5:34
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▶ (conditional) · May 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“we're stuck in this channel between 60 and 80k. Until we break out of that, I would expect that to continue.”
price then $80,193 → $75,540 · -5.8% · watch 2:12
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 2× · May 04, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Drive Bitcoin to $10 million a coin. And make Bitcoin a $200 trillion network until it grows higher.”
price then $79,861 → $63,570 · -20.4% · watch 17:43
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Updated November 03, 2026.