Road To $1 Million USD prediction accuracy
A
last 12 mo
55%
55%
all time, own deadlines (11)
33%
all resolved (73)
60%
30-day direction (43)
89
calls logged
16
open right now
0
flips (30d)
Is Road To $1 Million USD accurate?
Road To $1 Million USD is graded A on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com), confidently above the typical hit rate over the last 12 months: in the last 12 months, 6 of 11 crypto price calls where they set the deadline themselves hit (55%), against a typical 21% across all tracked channels, which ranks #4 of 64 graded channels. All time, 6 of 11 such calls hit (55%); they were made between April 2026 and October 2026. Counting every resolved call, including ones without a stated deadline, the hit rate is 33% (73 calls). 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 60% of the time (43 calls). The grade summarizes the record; it is not a forecast.
Current stance
▲ BTC
Oct 31 · open
Is Road To $1 Million USD accurate?
Grade A, confidently above the typical hit rate over the last 12 months: in the last 12 months, 6 of 11 predictions where Road To $1 Million USD named the deadline themselves came true by that deadline, against a typical 21% for all channels. All time, 6 of 11 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 1 of 5 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 5 of 6 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 60% of the time (43 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.
The record
“So my base case at the moment is that we are going to make a higher low above this previous low. And then head off into the next bull market.”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $76,000
“this new pocket of liquidity has started to form at around 76k in the bitcoin price so you can see that this only started forming here earlier today so a bunch of people are going long here maybe they are also seeing that bullish divergence showing”
“my expectation if we see some kind of bullish divergence confirming here over the next 24 hours or so is that likely we are just going to be seeing some choppy sideways price action over the course of this weekend”
“So I need to once again be bearish on Bitcoin for now until I get some kind of clear reversal signal, perhaps with some kind of bullish divergence in here.”
“but so long as we're not seeing that trend line break then i'm actually continuing to target that liquidity to the upside once again at about 87 000”
“breakout pattern on the two day timeframe at the moment as well, which is currently pointing towards the downside at 76.5 K and the next target to the downside is sitting at 70.5 K.”
“But now that we have broken this ascending trend line I am flipping back to bearish so long as I don't see a candle close above 87,000 in the Bitcoin price.”
“if we end up confirming the breakout the price target to the downside would be 70 000 in the bitcoin price with the invalidation being either a failed retest so if we trade back inside the pattern or if we don't get that retest at all for example you start seeing a couple red candles back to back here then the point of invalidation would actually be the point of the breakout so if we get a candle close back above the point of the breakout that is already a signal to get out of that trade besides that there is also some bearish confluence on this two-day time frame for a potential reversal actually happening because we have a confirmed bearish divergence in the charts here which typically points towards us getting a break from all of this bullish price action we saw here recently and usually plays out either in the form of some choppy sideways price action or potentially some bearish momentum the point of invalidation for this bearish divergence specifically is if we get a candle close above this 86.7k level”
“theoretically, we are still just trending towards the upside because we're holding above this ascending trend line, which currently has support sitting at 84.1k.”
“if it does while staying within the limits that i'm about to tell you about it could set up a price target here at 82.5k”
HIT
BTC ▶
“But for now over the coming 24 to 48 hours I'm not expecting Bitcoin to be breaking either of those levels”
“Either way, now that we have broken out, the price target is sitting at 86.6k. And we have the point of invalidation sitting at the point of the breakout now at 83.9k.”
“we have now confirmed this candle close above the lower high so we will definitely see a higher high label being printed as soon as the pivot is actually confirmed”
“you can already see the price target here at 87 000 however this isn't an active price target so long as we haven't broken out of this”
HIT
BTC ▶
“it looks like it is just going to be a choppy sideways type of price action over the course of the weekend”
“we need to see a break above the previous highs sitting at about 86.6k at that point we invalidate this bearish signal and we can start looking towards a further move to the upside”
“if we get some kind of clear breakout retest resumption breaking above these highs here with volume that could be an interesting time to look towards this target potentially getting hit at about 85.8k”
“It's actually my base case that we are going to see lower prices.”
“If we break through these previous highs at about 87,000, then we should be looking for another leg to the upside for Bitcoin.”
“So if we get the candle close above 83K, 93K would already be my next target after that because that is simply where the next liquidity is.”
“for now i am actually still targeting these lower levels around 62k because we still have massive liquidity to the downside”
“We do still have this 52k price target.”
“And now I'm looking for another move lower with a clear stop loss being at 87,000.”
“now that we have broken the highs of course this completely opens the door to more bullish price action for bitcoin once again so in the short term it makes sense to be bullish biased”
“That means that my active price target at the moment is still 52,000 in the Bitcoin price.”
“my base case is still that we are more likely to actually end up creating another lower low somewhere later in the year”
“let's see where we close the week out if we end up closing above this roughly 67k level that is a clear indication for us that likely we are indeed getting those couple weeks of potential upside”
“while for now my price target for bitcoin is still 52 000 because of this bearish flag pattern that broke down in january at about 87k”
OPEN
BTC ▼ → $62,200
“So right now, since we're in a downtrend, we are actually still targeting this 62.2k level.”
“price target to the downside around 52,000 in the Bitcoin price.”
“my base case expectation is that we are going to make another lower low below 58,000 before this bear market is over.”
“we broke down from this bearish flag pattern which set up this price target all the way down at 52 000”
“big liquidity sitting around 62 000 and zooming out even further to the one month time frame you can see that 61.”
“And at that point, it seems very likely that we are going to be reaching this 51k level and finally hitting that 52k price target that I've been talking about for over half a year at this point.”
“rm downside liquidity is sitting at around 62.”
OPEN
BTC ▼
“my base case is clearly that we are going to make new lower lows later in the year”
“now another part in terms of maximum height that will go in this counter trend rally is about 83 000”
“if we end up breaking through this 66k level, we should definitely expect another move to the upside after that as well.”
“I have had a long term price target all the way back from January, where on the channel here, we were specifically targeting 52,000 in the Bitcoin price.”
“if that ends up getting hit then i will be looking for 45k right after that”
“currently the first active target is 52 000 if that ends up getting hit then i will be looking for 45k right after that”
“more likely is that we are actually going to invalidate this bullish divergence at some point by creating a new candle close below 58 59 000 roughly speaking”
“right now while we are below that 65k level the risk is actually to the downside”
“The $52k level is still the first price target on the higher time frame.”
“Now my base case, as you guys should know by now is that we are not going to be seeing a new high above this 82k level.”
“I still have an active price target for Bitcoin of 52k”
“The more extended target for this bearish pattern is 45k in the Bitcoin price. So if we end up hitting 52k, that is actually going to be the next price target for me personally.”
“And at least this 53k level looks like a huge target on the higher timeframes here.”
OPEN
BTC ▼
“however i am still expecting a lower low to come in at least before the end of this year”
“for now we still have this bearish price target to the downside at 52k and the extended target at 45k as well and this is of course because we broke down from this bear flag pattern at 87 000”
“my base case expectation is that we are going to make another lower low some point later in this year”
“we still have this bearish price target to the downside after we broke down from this bearish flag pattern at 87k. So the price target currently is 52,000 in the Bitcoin price”
“But my base case is actually that we are going to roll over once again and make new lower lows below this weekly candle close at 63k at some point.”
MISS
BTC ▲ → $82,000
“we might get some kind of like short-term bounce out of here sometime soon within the next week or two most likely I think we're just going to make a lower high below this previous high at about 82k”
“And that is why we are actually targeting 52,000 in the Bitcoin price, still looking for some kind of lower low to end up forming.”
“Either way, for now, the price target is still 70,000 in the Bitcoin price and still bearish biased, so long as we're trading below this descending trend line.”
“so long as we are not seeing a move above 87,000, then 52k is the main target on this weekly time frame.”
“i am still targeting 70 000 in the bitcoin price which is where i have my take profit on this short position”
“we are breaking out to the downside from this bear flag pattern that broke out at 87k so long as we are not getting a weekly candle close above that level i am targeting 52 000 in the bitcoin price”
“we are still in the process of reaching our price target at 70 000 after we broke out to the downside from this rising wedge pattern”
“we're still breaking to the downside of this bearish flag pattern which has a confirmed price target of 52 000 in the bitcoin price and the point of invalidation for this pattern is we get a move above 87 000 in the bitcoin price”
“as you know i am still targeting 70 000 in the bitcoin price with the point of invalidation being 82.4k on top of that”
“And ever since then, we've had this price target of 52,000 in the Bitcoin price.”
“So this broke out at about 79.3k and has actually set up this price target down at about 70,000 in the Bitcoin price.”
“So right now my active price target on this time frame is actually 52,000 in the Bitcoin price and the point of invalidation for this pattern is if we get a move above the point of the breakout at 87k”
“Currently my price target is 69.7k in the Bitcoin price and as you guys know I am currently short on Bitcoin.”
“my base case expectation for now is actually lower price action, especially after we break 76k. So that is the key area to pay attention to over the coming 24 to 48 hours.”
“I have a bearish price target to the downside at 52k in the Bitcoin price, because we have this bearish flag pattern that broke out at 87k.”
“we still have this active price target to the downside of 69.7k in the Bitcoin price. And that is, of course, because of this rising wedge pattern that has broken out to the downside in combination with this bearish divergence”
“we still have this bearish price target to the downside at 52k”
“currently we have a price target to the downside at 69.7k”
OPEN
BTC ▼
“i'm expecting this to come in anywhere between june of 2026 and march of 2027 so anything in this window it doesn't have to be a huge crash to 20 000”
“downside at 87 000 which is what set up this price target to the downside at 52k in the bitcoin price and the point of invalidation for this pattern is 87 000”
“today we have actually started to break to the downside this rising wedge pattern if it confirms later today sets up a price target of 69.7 000 as the price target and the point of invalidation is 82.4k”
“the base case has not changed whatsoever i am still just expecting this to roll over on the higher time frames and eventually potentially even reach this price target at around 52k”
“I am still expecting a new lower low to be created below 60,000 however we do have a clear point of invalidation for this idea”
“so far we haven't invalidated it yet which is why we are currently still targeting 52k for Bitcoin.”
HIT
BTC ▼ → $60,000
“my base case expectation is still just that we're going to end up rolling over and at least get close to these previous lows that we had around 60k potentially even making a new lower low”
“the base case expectation for me is indeed that we are eventually just going to roll over and likely even see new lower lows below the 60k level.”
“Of course, we are still breaking down from this bearish flag pattern that has a confirmed price target of 52k in the Bitcoin price.”
“I still think we are going down lower. And that this sentiment that we are seeing as soon as we broke 80k was completely predictable.”
“the active price target is still 52K in the Bitcoin price, even while we are seeing a counter trend rally here. Now the point of invalidation for this bearish flag pattern is if we break above 87,000”
HIT
BTC ▼
“ultimately expect that we end up rolling over and just seeing lower prices compared to where we are trading right now”
“currently we still have an active price target of 52k in the bitcoin price”
HIT
BTC ▼
“base case expectation is still that we're going to end up chopping sideways for a while longer and also making a new lower low below this 60k level which i think ultimately will be the bear market low for bitcoin”
“we still have this bearish flag pattern that broke out to the downside at 87,000, which means that we are still actively targeting 52k in the Bitcoin price.”
VOID
BTC ▼
“my base case expectation is actually that this is going to roll over”
“So 52k is the current price target, right?”
“because to me it seems like all of this is one giant bull trap for bitcoin and eventually i expect bitcoin to actually head down much lower”
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