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Tone Vays prediction accuracy

youtube · 120,000 subscribers · channel ↗ · Discuss on the forum → · Your channel? Reply or correct → · last call Oct 27, 2026
—
0 of 10
— not graded recently: needs 10
calls with their own deadline resolved in 12 months (0 so far)
All-time record: 7 of 17 hit, calls made between April 2018 and December 2024. How the grade works
41%
all time, own deadlines (17)
44%
all resolved (41)
57%
30-day direction (30)
43
calls logged
2
open right now
0
flips (30d)

Is Tone Vays accurate?

Not graded recently on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com): Tone Vays has 0 resolved calls with a deadline they set themselves in the last 12 months, and channels are graded from 10. All time, 7 of 17 such calls hit (41%); they were made between April 2018 and December 2024. 43 calls are logged, 2 still open. 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 57% of the time (30 calls).

How calls are checked · every number below links to the quote and the price

Current stance · last 90 days

▲ BTC → $200,000
Oct 27 · open

Is Tone Vays accurate?

Not graded recently: 0 of 10 resolved calls with a self-set deadline in the last 12 months (41 resolved in total, all time). All time, 7 of 17 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 2 of 9 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 5 of 8 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 57% of the time (30 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.

The record

OPEN BTC ▲ → $200,000 (conditional) · Oct 27, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Whenever you think the next. All bull top. Bull top is. My guess is somewhere in the $200,000 range.”
price then $79,680 → still open · watch 48:34
OPEN BTC ▲ · Feb 07, 2026 · horizon 327d
“I do think that Bitcoin's all-time highs will be breached in 2026 that we're in now. I do think Bitcoin is going to recover.”
price then $69,289 → still open · watch 25:09
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Jan 17, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“i think it's going to be bullish for bitcoin”
price then $104,077 → $96,118 · -7.7% · watch 30:32
HIT BTC ▼ · Dec 17, 2024 · horizon 3d
“I think we're going to close below 106 by Friday.”
price then $106,134 → $97,805 · -7.8% · watch 54:05
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $120,000 · Dec 08, 2024 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“We got a Green Star candle on the weekly. We're going to get a Green Star candle on the daily probably tomorrow. And we're all set. I mean, I'm thinking 110, 120 before the top's made. At least 106.”
price then $101,110 → $86,222 · -14.7% · watch 83:35
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 1× · Oct 03, 2024 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think Bitcoin bull run is going to come back real soon.”
price then $60,753 → $69,375 · +14.2% · watch 61:00
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · Aug 24, 2024 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And starting Monday, I'm getting ready to go into a leveraged position on Bitcoin because this is looking like it's ready to pop to the upside. And absolutely challenge all-time highs.”
price then $64,157 → $63,340 · -1.3% · watch 0:40
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · Jul 22, 2024 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And hopefully we see new all time highs. All right. Thank you all for watching guys.”
price then $67,532 → $61,156 · -9.4% · watch 25:42
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ (conditional) · Jul 13, 2024 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“the reason why i'm expecting a big drop in the price of bitcoin is because i think the stock market has stopped”
price then $59,204 → $62,540 · +5.6% · watch 13:30
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $60,500 · restated 1× · Jul 06, 2024 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think we can make it to $60,500. But that's probably going to be it. I think Bitcoin will struggle breaking $61,500.”
price then $58,230 → $60,500 · +3.9% · watch 6:39
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $55,000 (conditional) · Jul 01, 2024 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I'm fully expecting Bitcoin to get rejected and actually create a scare. Potentially even a crash to $55,000 from like here.”
price then $62,900 → $55,000 · -12.6% · invalidation $66,000 · watch 6:15 touched $55,000 intraday, closed at $56,629
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · Jun 25, 2024 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I am 50 50 if the low of 58 and a half thousand is here to stay i am 50 50 and i'm going to stay 50 50 as long as the bitcoin is below this um i guess the great wall of china resistance this is literally what it's like you have three moving averages and an mri resistance line you can see how the mri support line has played its part we technically broke the mri support line on the last candle based on how it closed but look how quickly we recovered above it uh so technically this line has been broken but it still somewhat did its job i mean i thought that the low would come in the 58 000s and it did i'm really liking the second consecutive mri buy i'm liking the green diamond based on alpha new metrics all signs are pointing to up to a reversal here but how strong of a reversal is the question to answer i think this reversal has potential to bring us into the wall of resistance the wall of resistance begins at 65 000 and the wall of resistance continues until 67 and a half thousand personally if you have not exited bitcoin on this major drop a decent time to take your profit would be at 65 000 when you're hitting the wall of resistance and if you can break the wall of resistance you can then get back into your bullish trade and i would potentially even consider leveraging that trade to make up for the two and a half thousand dollars that was missed in profit by exiting right here so right now i am bullish short term i am very cautious intermediate term and obviously i am bullish long term and on the long term shared we are uh should be entering the bull the the main bull run up of this of this cycle sometime around the end of the summer so we're talking uh mid to late august uh into mid-september”
price then $61,806 → $65,800 · +6.5% · watch 5:28
MISS BTC ▲ (conditional) · Jun 12, 2024 · horizon 7d
“I still think you can rebound by end of week”
price then $68,264 → $64,974 · -4.8% · watch 98:07
HIT BTC ▲ · Oct 23, 2022 · horizon 558d
“one thing is for sure That after the halving Bitcoin will grow And that will happen 4th of May, 2024”
price then $19,570 → $62,882 · +221.3% · watch 11:56
VOID deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Oct 11, 2021 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“As long as Bitcoin can tread water. As long as Bitcoin can hang in there, you know, above 47,000. While the S&P bounces off the 200-day. That could send Bitcoin flying after that.”
price then $57,471 → $47,000 · -18.2% · invalidation $47,000 · watch 12:48
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $38,000 (conditional) · Oct 03, 2021 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“if price isn't back above, really needs about $47,500, it's going to continue down. And I'm actually looking at like $38,000.”
price then $48,200 → $63,220 · +31.2% · watch 20:08
MISS BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Sep 26, 2021 · horizon 96d
“At the end of this year, I think it will be approximately one hundred thousand dollars.”
price then $43,161 → $46,217 · +7.1% · watch 65:29
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $300,000 (conditional) · Sep 20, 2021 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“a collapse of Tether can send the price of Bitcoin to $300,000 in a matter of weeks”
price then $43,016 → $46,681 · +8.5% · watch 3:04
HIT BTC ▲ · restated 2× · Jul 18, 2021 · horizon 35d
“The longest I will give this bear market is five more weeks. Not including this one. Five more weeks is as far as we go.”
price then $31,779 → $49,239 · +54.9% · watch 61:00
MISS BTC ▼ · restated 2× · Jul 14, 2021 · horizon 42d
“I think this low will be broken. How low are we going to go? No idea. It can be 25. It could be 27. It could also be 22.”
price then $32,820 → $48,973 · +49.2% · watch 8:01
MISS BTC ▼ → $14,000 · Jul 12, 2021 · horizon 80d
“the quarterly close looks like the $1,200 top and the $20,000 top to me, which is actually making me pretty bearish for $14,000 for the weekly $200,000 moving average.”
price then $33,087 → $43,824 · +32.5% · watch 22:55
MISS BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Jul 09, 2021 · horizon 175d
“Like I'm still pretty optimistic, 100K by end of year, but could be 70K by end of year.”
price then $33,816 → $46,217 · +36.7% · watch 20:12
MISS BTC ▲ → $150,000 · Jun 21, 2021 · horizon 193d
“i called out 150 000 for bitcoin end of the year and then we had this i'm still bullish that it will go over a hundred thousand by the end of the year still bullish”
price then $31,609 → $46,217 · +46.2% · watch 9:53
MISS BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Jun 21, 2021 · horizon 193d
“i think that uh the bitcoin price is likely to hit 100 000 before the end of the year i've been saying that um for like i don't know a year now”
price then $31,609 → $46,217 · +46.2% · watch 3:13
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · restated 2× · Jun 07, 2021 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And I am bullish based on the political environment. I am bullish based on the cycle environment.”
price then $33,553 → $33,862 · +0.9% · watch 4:37
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $50,000 · May 23, 2021 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I give it a 75% chance that we bottom and are likely to go back to 50,000 and back test the moving average.”
price then $34,655 → $48,822 · +40.9% · watch 3:32
MISS BTC ▲ → $100,000 · Jan 29, 2021 · horizon 365d
“I would be very surprised if we're under $100,000 by this time this year, next year. And my prediction prediction as well. $100,000 by this time next year.”
price then $34,252 → $38,167 · +11.4% · watch 31:43
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ · May 21, 2020 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think it's probably a lot more likely that we'll see some ridiculous figure.”
price then $9,069 → $9,359 · +3.2% · watch 11:54
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $12,000 (conditional) · May 20, 2020 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Once we go above 10,000, I can see us reaching 12,000 fairly quickly. So I am a bull.”
price then $9,511 → $12,000 · +26.2% · watch 29:18 touched $12,000 intraday, closed at $11,071
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $20,000 (conditional) · Mar 22, 2020 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“That 20 K is easy. I mean, 20 K we're, we should break. We're going to break 20 K before the next having”
price then $5,816 → $9,359 · +60.9% · watch 8:40
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ · Feb 16, 2020 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“there is a high probability now that this price is going lower short term.”
price then $9,917 → $5,313 · -46.4% · watch 43:47
HIT BTC ▼ → $6,500 · Jan 26, 2020 · horizon 106d
“I still think that there is a higher probability than not to go below $6,500 at some point. Hopefully before the halving.”
price then $8,615 → $6,500 · -24.6% · watch 28:20
MISS BTC ▶ · restated 2× · Jan 26, 2020 · horizon 339d
“I think Bitcoin is going to struggle. I think the majority of this year is going to be spent below $10,000. Even through the halving.”
price then $8,615 → $9,374 · +8.8% · watch 27:47
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $10,000 · May 28, 2019 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“So, what is the best thing we can say that it'll just hit those previous resistance areas, which I now see is $10,000, $12,000, and then somewhere near $17,000 is another one.”
price then $8,716 → $10,000 · +14.7% · watch 13:48
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ · Apr 27, 2019 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think that by the end of the weekend, I think there will be another news event that's going to be perceived as bearish. So, I would rather look for shorts right now than longs.”
price then $5,296 → $8,756 · +65.3% · watch 85:34
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check ETH ▼ → $100.00 · Nov 12, 2018 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“And I expect the yearly low to break. And I expect Ethereum go down to $100 and lower.”
price then $212.89 → $100.00 · -53.0% · watch 46:53
HIT BTC ▼ → $6,400 (conditional) · Nov 12, 2018 · horizon 109d
“I still expect the price to touch the purple channel at the bottom. But I have no idea if that's going to happen at $6,400 at the end of February”
price then $6,453 → $6,400 · -0.8% · watch 7:30 touched $6,400 intraday, closed at $6,458
EXPIRED deadline set by Oracle Check BCH ▼ (conditional) · restated 1× · Nov 11, 2018 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And if Craig Wright is right, it's the end of Bcash.”
price then — → still open · watch 7:44
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ · restated 1× · Nov 11, 2018 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think that the market will hit its bottom during your uncomfuscatable conference. I think the timing is perfect.”
price then $6,450 → $3,665 · -43.2% · watch 9:46
MISS BTC ▼ → $5,000 · Aug 15, 2018 · horizon 77d
“My most optimistic price prediction is $5,000. My most optimistic time prediction is late October, early November.”
price then $6,267 → $6,372 · +1.7% · watch 22:18
HIT BTC ▼ · restated 1× · Apr 25, 2018 · horizon 250d
“I am seeing 2018 to be more like 2014, where my worst case scenario is back to the prior all-time high of 12, 1300, which would hurt, but it's not going to destroy Bitcoin.”
price then $8,870 → $3,703 · -58.2% · watch 8:39
HIT BTC ▲ · restated 2× · Apr 06, 2018 · horizon 999d
“Be cool around 2020 We're going to rise again if not sooner”
price then $6,601 → $28,876 · +337.4% · watch 25:47
EXPIRED deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ (conditional) · Jan 24, 2017 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“If Satoshi moved a single Satoshi of value in one of those lots of accounts, the price would probably tank as this would be an indicator to the market that that value is, in fact, actively managed.”
price then — → still open · watch 18:12
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The badge updates itself as calls resolve and covers the last 12 months; it always links to this page, where every call is quoted and checked.

Updated November 05, 2026.