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Trade Confident prediction accuracy

youtube · 118,000 subscribers · channel ↗ · Discuss on the forum → · Your channel? Reply or correct → · last call Nov 02, 2026
—
1 of 10
— not graded recently: needs 10
calls with their own deadline resolved in 12 months (1 so far)
0 hit·0 missed·1 stopped out
All-time record: 0 of 1 hit, calls made in August 2026. How the grade works
0%
all time, own deadlines (1)
22%
all resolved (18)
—
30-day direction (8 of 10)
38
calls logged
20
open right now
0
flips (30d)

Is Trade Confident accurate?

Not graded recently on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com): Trade Confident has 1 resolved calls with a deadline they set themselves in the last 12 months, and channels are graded from 10. All time, 0 of 1 such calls hit (0%); they were made in August 2026. 38 calls are logged, 20 still open.

How calls are checked · every number below links to the quote and the price

Current stance · last 90 days

▼ BTC → $63,000
Nov 2 · open
▼ ETH
Oct 22 · open
▲ XRP → $2.42
Oct 2 · open
▲ ALGO
Oct 2 · miss
▲ HBAR → $0.15
Sep 30 · open
▲ DOGE
Sep 22 · miss
▲ SOL
Sep 17 · miss
▼ TOTAL
Sep 10 · miss

Is Trade Confident accurate?

Not graded recently: 1 of 10 resolved calls with a self-set deadline in the last 12 months (18 resolved in total, all time). All time, 0 of 1 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 0 of 1 reached it. Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.

The record

OPEN BTC ▼ → $63,000 · Nov 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“$63,000 might be, you know, kind of a safe bet. Or we could potentially be going down a whole lot further than that”
price then $76,946 → still open · watch 4:59
OPEN BTC ▼ · restated 1× · Nov 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Bitcoin right now, guys, is coming down. I wouldn't doubt if we try to tag support here around $75,000, $74,888, ideally.”
price then $76,946 → still open · watch 2:54
OPEN BTC ▼ → $62,468 (conditional) · restated 1× · Nov 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If these pressures continue happening like that, we may need to look as far down as $62,468 before we find the real bottom.”
price then $77,341 → still open · watch 1:20
OPEN BTC ▲ (conditional) · Oct 27, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“but if the price falls into mild caution, this is where I'm looking to potentially strongly dollar cost average back into Bitcoin before larger moves up.”
price then $80,910 → still open · watch 2:08
VOID deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $85,000 (conditional) · Oct 27, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“But the repeated defense of that floor could result in a pushback toward the $85,000 resistance in the coming weeks, as long as Bitcoin doesn't close a day below $78,700.”
price then $79,900 → $78,700 · -1.5% · invalidation $78,700 · watch 1:25
OPEN BTC ▲ (conditional) · Oct 26, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 365d
“if we get another green dot upon this drop, we see the price fall, a green dot appears, this could be a chance for a double to triple digit move up in Bitcoin through the bull market”
price then $80,444 → still open · watch 2:13
VOID deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ (conditional) · Oct 23, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“If this candle here closes below the value of $81,500, and I want to be honest, it's not quite there yet, but if it closes below that, this tells me further downside moves are likely.”
price then $81,189 → $81,500 · +0.4% · invalidation $81,500 · watch 0:03
OPEN ETH ▼ (conditional) · restated 1× · Oct 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“if the next candle opens and closes below the support, it could mean a break to the downside is incoming.”
price then $2,389 → still open · watch 0:10
VOID deadline set by Oracle Check ETH ▲ (conditional) · restated 1× · Oct 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“As the price drops, and especially if we can catch a move below structure support at $2,385, there's a specific signal I'm looking for that is called historic triple digit rallies.”
price then $2,474 → $2,385 · -3.6% · invalidation $2,385 · watch 0:15
OPEN BTC ▼ → $50,000 (conditional) · Oct 21, 2026 · horizon 43d
“I can show you guys reasons why Bitcoin will probably head down around 40% around two weeks before or a month after midterms. Actually, in fact, I'll show it to you guys real quick. I wasn't playing on this, but I'll show this to you guys. If you look at the midterm crashes for Bitcoin, it's 53%, 58%, 43, 25, and we've, well, an average of 40% would take us down to about 50,000.”
price then $84,093 → still open · watch 0:50
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check ETH ▼ → $2,385 · Oct 16, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Ethereum continues its descent today, actively about to test structure support at $2,385.”
price then $2,413 → $2,385 · -1.2% · watch 0:00 touched $2,385 intraday, closed at $2,387
OPEN BTC ▼ · restated 4× · Oct 09, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Bitcoin has seen a slight recovery today, but I am still expecting further moves to the downside.”
price then $82,636 → still open · watch 0:00
VOID deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ → $74,888 (conditional) · Oct 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If this support breaks, the measured move points to $74,888, the next strongest support roughly 9.3% lower.”
price then $81,754 → $82,000 · +0.3% · invalidation $82,000 · watch 3:21
OPEN BTC ▼ · Oct 08, 2026 · horizon 84d
“we've been warning you guys about a potential quarter four drop, and the data is lining up for a significant flush that could start soon.”
price then $81,754 → still open · watch 2:17
OPEN BTC ▼ → $74,888 (conditional) · Oct 07, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If Bitcoin finds a daily candle close below 82,500, that is a strong case. The bears are probably going to get their way most likely down to around $75,000.”
price then $83,382 → still open · watch 6:26
OPEN XRP ▲ → $2.42 (conditional) · Oct 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Breaking above the $1.61 resistance. The next strongest resistance level is $2.42, which, from the current price, is a 60% move up. We're ready for the rally.”
price then $1.47 → still open · watch 3:58
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ALGO ▲ (conditional) · Oct 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“If Algo breaks above resistance at 13 cents, a 46 to 100% rally could follow soon.”
price then $0.1262 → $0.0941 · -25.4% · watch 2:55
OPEN HBAR ▲ → $0.15 (conditional) · Sep 30, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“H-bar looks to be working on leg four of the five-point Elliott wave. If point five is reached, a plus 34% move to 15 cents is possible.”
price then $0.1065 → still open · watch 1:05
OPEN BTC ▼ · restated 9× · Sep 23, 2026 · horizon 99d
“why I think a crash is still coming before the end of the year”
price then $84,294 → still open · watch 6:39
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check DOGE ▲ (conditional) · Sep 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And based on historical data, we can expect a rally to happen pretty quickly after the signal appears.”
price then $0.1002 → $0.0788 · -21.3% · watch 2:17
OPEN BTC ▼ → $44,000 · Sep 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“we are looking like a potential 48.45% average drop when this has happened before, which would put Bitcoin around $44,000.”
price then $86,060 → still open · watch 2:44
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 13× · Sep 18, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“My forward view here, and this is not financial advice, is that a green dot, or at least a cluster of them down here will call a local bottom and an ideal entry opportunity.”
price then $81,186 → $82,116 · +1.1% · watch 1:40 moved up 3%+ on Oct 21, 3 days after the deadline
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▲ → $84,000 · Sep 18, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I'm OK if it goes to 30, excuse me, 83 to 84, potentially 85 K to bull trap people thinking we're going higher because this is a bull flag here to then eventually dump back over”
price then $80,803 → $84,000 · +4.0% · watch 2:16
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check SOL ▲ (conditional) · Sep 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And as we approach mild caution and caution, and this is not financial advice here, but those signals historically found fantastic entry opportunities. And I think they could do the same thing again here.”
price then $101.64 → $103.47 · +1.8% · watch 1:34 moved up 3%+ on Oct 19, 2 days after the deadline
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ETH ▼ (conditional) · restated 7× · Sep 16, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“if it closes below the structure support, this confirms a breakdown, most often resulting in a crash to the downside.”
price then $2,418 → $2,424 · +0.2% · watch 1:14
OPEN HBAR ▲ (conditional) · Sep 14, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“if HBAR, and I think this will happen, you know, gets back up to this level in the bull market”
price then $0.0777 → still open · watch 2:10
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check TOTAL ▼ (conditional) · Sep 10, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“If on Wednesday, September 16th, the federal reserve holds, and then depending on where you live 24 hours later, or September 18th, if we see Japan hike, watch out, this could be an absolute unwind.”
price then $2.62T → $2.82T · +7.6% · watch 9:20
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check FLR ▲ · Sep 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Like I'll show you guys today why I think flare, the flare token with the firelight network with XRP, like can hit 600 to a thousand percent.”
price then $0.00675 → $0.0072 · +6.7% · watch 3:14
OPEN XRP ▲ · restated 4× · Aug 31, 2026 · horizon 122d
“Apparently there's news out there that we could do really well. XRP could do incredibly well by the end of the year.”
price then $1.38 → still open · watch 0:30
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check ETH ▲ (conditional) · restated 4× · Aug 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“As long as we get higher lows and higher highs, the bull market may actually be on for Ethereum.”
price then $2,482 → $2,685 · +8.2% · watch 0:00
OPEN BTC ▲ (conditional) · restated 2× · Aug 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“if we break above $83,000, this flips over and we are now in a higher high. Once we hit that higher high, assuming we get a higher low after that, series of higher highs and higher lows is what calls an uptrend and a bull market.”
price then $78,338 → still open · watch 1:42
OPEN ETH ▼ → $1,411 · Aug 19, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think we're going to drop to at least $1,411 before we see that.”
price then $2,253 → still open · watch 3:15
OPEN BTC ▼ · restated 14× · Aug 19, 2026 · horizon 134d
“I still believe, could be wrong about this, but I believe this is still a false breakout and there is a lower low to be made before the end of the year. I do fully believe that.”
price then $69,335 → still open · watch 10:06
VOID BTC ▼ → $61,000 (conditional) · Aug 19, 2026 · horizon 134d
“if we do see us move back down, we could potentially see, you know, coming back down to about $61,000, close to $61,000.”
price then $69,335 → $73,000 · +5.3% · invalidation $73,000 · watch 4:48
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check XRP ▼ (conditional) · restated 2× · Aug 18, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“we may still see some downside until we actually drop into max fear”
price then $1.00 → $1.30 · +29.4% · watch 0:30
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check ETH ▼ · restated 1× · Aug 18, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I honestly still don't think we're going to break resistance here on Ethereum. And instead, even if we touch that, are more likely to reject back down.”
price then $1,918 → $2,447 · +27.6% · watch 0:36
OPEN ETH ▼ → $1,411 (conditional) · Aug 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Once we break support, I am looking for a price drop to around $1,411 as our main structure support, although we do have to break $1,563 and $1,710 first.”
price then $1,914 → still open · watch 2:16
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check BTC ▼ (conditional) · restated 1× · Aug 17, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I honestly don't think we've quite hit the bottom yet. I still want to see a move down into fear and max fear with a green dot”
price then $64,532 → $76,206 · +18.1% · watch 3:30
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The badge updates itself as calls resolve and covers the last 12 months; it always links to this page, where every call is quoted and checked.

Updated November 03, 2026.