24%hit rate, last 12 months (4/17) on deadlines they set themselves · typical 21%
Grade B: above typical, not yet conclusive. A summary of the record, not a forecast.
4 hit·13 missed
Grade from 17 calls resolved between November 2025 and October 2026. All-time record: 10 of 31 hit, calls made between January 2025 and September 2026. How the grade works
32%
all time, own deadlines (31)
33%
all resolved (116)
45%
30-day direction (76)
150
calls logged
35
open right now
0
flips (30d)
Is Michaël van de Poppe accurate?
Michaël van de Poppe is graded B on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com), above typical, not yet conclusive: in the last 12 months, 4 of 17 crypto price calls where they set the deadline themselves hit (24%), against a typical 21% across all tracked channels, which ranks #24 of 64 graded channels. All time, 10 of 31 such calls hit (32%); they were made between January 2025 and September 2026. Counting every resolved call, including ones without a stated deadline, the hit rate is 33% (116 calls). 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 45% of the time (76 calls). The grade summarizes the record; it is not a forecast.
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Grade B, above typical, not yet conclusive: in the last 12 months, 4 of 17 predictions where Michaël van de Poppe named the deadline themselves came true by that deadline, against a typical 21% for all channels. All time, 10 of 31 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 1 of 11 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 9 of 20 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 45% of the time (76 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.
OPENHYPE ▲ → $100.00· Nov 01, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“$HYPE remains to be targeting $100+ in the near future.”
price then $87.08
→ still open
OPENBTC ▲ · restated 1×· Nov 01, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“rationally looking at the recent data of the markets it shows that we're about to hit escape velocity on #Bitcoin”
price then $77,829
→ still open
OPENETH ▲ → $3,000(conditional)· Nov 01, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“The equivalent of that is $3,000”
price then $2,260
→ still open
OPENBTC ▲ → $98,000(conditional)· Nov 01, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Based on the weekly timeframes, those indications are that the high at $98,000 is the next target for #Bitcoin in a rally.”
price then $77,829
→ still open
OPENLINK ▲ → $20.00· Nov 01, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“$LINK is primed for a move towards $20.”
price then $11.39
→ still open
VOIDdeadline set by Oracle CheckETHFI ▲ (conditional)· Oct 31, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I'm thinking that $ETHFI has bottomed. It's been such a beautiful correction in which the markets are looking very likely to be rotating back upwards.”
price then $0.6323
→ $0.60 · -5.1% · invalidation $0.60
OPENBTC ▲
· Oct 31, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“The likelihood that #Bitcoin bottoms here is significant.”
price then $77,694
→ still open
OPENQNT ▲
· Oct 31, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I remain to be bullish on $QNT. The recent market correction has pushed prices down a lot, including this one.”
price then $199.44
→ still open
OPENBTC ▲ → $80,000· Oct 31, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“#Bitcoin looks primed for a break up to $80,000.”
price then $77,582
→ still open
OPENETH ▲ → $3,000· Oct 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think that $ETH to $3,000 isn't far away.”
price then $2,317
→ still open
OPENCRV ▲ → $0.38(conditional)· Oct 26, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Personally, I'd be looking for entries <$0.3275 on this one, as that would be a sweep of the lows and trigger enough liquidity to reverse it back upwards. First resistance zone: $0.38.”
price then $0.3426
→ still open
VOIDdeadline set by Oracle CheckNEAR ▼ → $3.90(conditional)· Oct 25, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If it doesn't reclaim $4.60, I'm looking at $3.90 and potentially even $3.40 as potential areas to buy.”
price then $4.60
→ $4.60 · +0.1% · invalidation $4.60
OPENETH ▲ (conditional)· restated 2×· Oct 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“The moment that everybody becomes so feared about the markets, that's where you execute your longs on #Bitcoin and #Ethereum.”
price then $2,359
→ still open
OPENTAO ▼ (conditional)· Oct 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“if this area doesn't hold, we'll see a way deeper correction on $TAO”
price then $251.10
→ still open
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ → $80,000· restated 2×· Oct 24, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“This means that I think that we'll sweep the low at $80,000 before we'll go”
price then $80,888
→ $80,000 · -1.1% touched $80,000 intraday, closed at $80,154
OPENAVAX ▲ · restated 1×· Oct 22, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“$AVAX is an example, I've shared this earlier, and I mentioned that I'd be aiming for a retest of the previous breakout area. That's where we're heading”
price then $9.13
→ still open
OPENAVAX ▼
· Oct 20, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“AVAX is looking clearly at a further correction here.”
price then $9.63
→ still open
VOIDdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ → $84,000(conditional)· Oct 12, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I've mentioned this before: The $84,000 level is a crucial one to break for #Bitcoin. It didn't. We continue to consolidate. That's why I think that $82,000 is a level which must-hold.”
price then $82,500
→ $82,000 · -0.6% · invalidation $82,000
OPENEIGEN ▲ · restated 1×· Oct 12, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“There's still no breakout of the range on $EIGEN , yet. That's why I remain bullish.”
price then $0.2548
→ still open
OPENONDO ▲
· Oct 09, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“That's a fairly strong chart indicating that we're likely reversing back upwards from here on $ONDO and the #Altcoin markets.”
price then $0.4795
→ still open
OPENBTC ▼ · restated 1×· Oct 08, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Most likely we'll see a sweep of the recent lows for #Bitcoin and that should be the end of this correction.”
price then $81,010
→ still open
VOIDdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ (conditional)· restated 6×· Oct 05, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“it's quite clear that #Bitcoin doesn't want to go down and that it's the upper scenario. Flipping $85,000 would be a trigger that we're going to be seeing more upwards momentum here and potentially even”
price then $85,581
→ $85,000 · -0.7% · invalidation $85,000
OPENBTC ▲ → $100,000· Oct 05, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I think that we'll touch $100,000 in the coming period and that would be the psychological resistance that we're”
price then $85,581
→ still open
OPENARB ▲ → $0.2275· Oct 04, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“However, overall, I think that we'll be breaking the lower timeframe downtrend and rally to $0.2275.”
price then $0.2041
→ still open
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckALGO ▲
· Oct 03, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“$ALGO is looking for a relatively strong breakout going upwards.”
price then $0.1313
→ $0.0916 · -30.2%
OPENAVAX ▲ → $17.00(conditional)· restated 1×· Oct 02, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Slowly creeping upwards, and once it breaks the high at $12, this should accelerate fastly to $17.”
price then $10.80
→ still open
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckFET ▲
· Sep 29, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“This is $FET . You can hardly see that it has been moving upwards. This is just a small start.”
price then $0.2225
→ $0.1634 · -26.6%
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckSUI ▲ · restated 9×· Sep 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I don't think that the run on $SUI is close to over. Seven months of building bullish divergences doesn't stop in a single week of upwards momentum.”
price then $1.17
→ $0.9433 · -19.4%
OPENBTC ▲ (conditional)· restated 4×· Sep 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“It looks to me as if we're going to be trending back up and that this might have been it for $BTC . Reclaim $84,000 and that's a strong signal.”
price then $83,720
→ still open
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckNEAR ▼ · restated 1×· Sep 27, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“there will be heavy corrections and I want to buy those and there are other narratives that we are not talking about yet that we will be discussing in the coming few weeks”
“The run has barely started as it's a 6-month build-up with multiple higher timeframe bullish divergences for $SEI .”
price then $0.0593
→ still open
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckPLUME ▲ · restated 3×· Sep 21, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I've taken a position into this one (shared for my subs) and I'm expecting this to breakout heavily in the coming period as it's testing this resistance again.”
price then $0.0151
→ $0.0181 · +19.8%
OPENSEI ▲ → $0.10· Sep 20, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“This divergence has been building for months, so I wouldn't be surprised to see a run toward $0.10 on this one.”
“That means we're likely to see a strong breakout, since it's been in a long accumulation range vs. $BTC . I don't think that this will take long, and would actually expect the breakout to occur in the coming week.”
price then $261.70
→ $319.80 · +22.2%
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckNEAR ▲ · restated 12×· Sep 20, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think we might be heading toward a short-term top.”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckTOTAL ▲ · restated 5×· Sep 06, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“So we're getting into a better period of time, which then means that we are about to see a bigger breakout upwards of essentially everything in the markets”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckTAO ▲ → $300.00· Sep 06, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“the next gap is all the way towards 300 bucks. And once we get towards that level, the very likely case is that we're going to take out all these highs. And then we could be projecting ourselves in a run towards $400.”
price then $265.70
→ $300.00 · +12.9% · watch 11:05
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckAVAX ▲ → $8.00(conditional)· Jul 19, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“I might actually be looking to take some profits at around $8 for the simple reason that if I'm buying something at $6.50 or $60, it goes up 20% to 30%.”
price then $6.46
→ $8.00 · +23.7% · watch 15:08touched $8.00 intraday, closed at $7.49
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckSOL ▲ → $120.00· Jul 12, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“it's very likely that Solana is going to continue to move to $120 from here”
price then $76.92
→ $120.00 · +56.0% · watch 11:00
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckNEAR ▲
· Jul 05, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“i've been buying it at 182 around here not exactly the bottom but that's okay i'm looking to take it off around 240 to 260 to be locking in around two thousand dollars on the entire portfolio”
OPENSUI ▲ · restated 5×· Jul 05, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 180d
“sui if we say solana is breaking out sui has an even bigger bitcoin bullish divergence on a three day on the weekly on the daily and it's been built up for the entire year already so it's just a matter of time until this mean reversion play is going to break up and this is going to outperform against bitcoin”
OPENSOL ▲
· Jul 05, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 180d
“we have finally been breaking out of this downtrend we have made a bullish divergence as you can see here and that's why i emphasize that 67 000 higher high is clearly what you want to see when it comes to bitcoin but there has been a strong move on solana here which then indicates that we are in a multi-month multi-week uptrend for solana”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckNEAR ▲ → $2.50(conditional)· Jun 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“if Bitcoin is bouncing back up in a short period of time I would assume that it's going to break $2.10 That is maybe where I want to add some more And then we get towards the $2.50”
price then $1.83
→ $2.50 · +36.3% · watch 8:45touched $2.50 intraday, closed at $2.48
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckONDO ▼ → $0.27(conditional)· Jun 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“most clearly, Ondo is going to be all the way back towards 27 cents The RSI is going to be hit lower than a 30”
price then $0.3098
→ $0.5378 · +73.6% · watch 10:30
VOIDdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▼ → $52,000(conditional)· Jun 28, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“the most likely case is that we sweep the low at 59k If it cannot bounce back upwards after that We are going to fall all the way towards 52k”
“And that's why I think that Bitcoin is going to go to 100k in the next four to six months.”
price then $67,004
→ $69,335 · +3.5% · watch 10:29
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckOP ▲ · restated 1×· Feb 01, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“it can easily go back to the pre 1010 levels which is 30 cents which is a 3x from here”
price then $0.2276
→ $0.1255 · -44.9% · watch 13:49
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▶
· Jan 15, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“But until then, we can still be range bound. We can still test lower levels. We can still consolidate because sentiment is not there yet for Bitcoin.”
price then $95,605
→ $88,428 · -7.5% · watch 11:59
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ → $100,000(conditional)· restated 1×· Jan 15, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“And we need to look at the breakout through 94k and we need to look at a breakout through 100k in order to get that going.”
price then $95,605
→ $74,810 · -21.8% · watch 11:59
VOIDdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ (conditional)· restated 3×· Jan 04, 2026 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“What I expect is that, given that we break through the 21-day MA, is that we retest the 92K zone, consolidate for a little bit, and then start to move towards 100K to 105K.”
“And that's why in the next part, I'll explain exactly to you which are the crucial levels for Bitcoin and why I believe that 2026 is the year for Bitcoin.”
“I think that in the coming two to four weeks, we will be seeing that breakout upwards on most of the altcoins, we will be seeing Bitcoin starting to break to the upside again.”
price then $110,078
→ $86,637 · -21.3% · watch 11:09
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckSEI ▲
· Oct 20, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think that this is another one that could do the exact same in the sense that it partnered up with PayPal and it keeps on expanding the ecosystem.”
price then $0.1991
→ $0.1482 · -25.6% · watch 9:49
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckWOO ▲ (conditional)· Sep 25, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And then we also still have Wu, which technically has the same sort of price movement here that once it breaks through the 20-week MA, I'm sure it's going to bring a lot of upside.”
price then $0.0592
→ $0.0414 · -30.1% · watch 9:54
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckREZ ▲ (conditional)· Sep 25, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And identically, we can do the exact same for Renzo, which is currently trying to fight the 20-week MA as well. And once it breaks through it, then the bullish divergence becomes valid.”
“And by doing this retest, it's very clear and very likely that in the coming one to two weeks, if the markets are not crashing, we're going to see a run towards 16 to 18%,”
price then $0.1022
→ $0.1125 · +10.1% · watch 9:23
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckEIGEN ▲ · restated 1×· Sep 14, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And it's going to look like it's going to break out from a TA perspective.”
“right now during july or june actually we started breaking upwards for the first time in three years and such a breakout is not going to stop in one month”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckLINK ▲ (conditional)· restated 2×· Aug 31, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I would be going massively into assets that are firstly going when Bitcoin is going the dominance is going to drop, which are ETH or some blue chips like Aave or Link.”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckLINK ▼ → $20.00· Aug 28, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“And that should result into an area between 20 to 21 dollars that Link is likely going to go to, which is a great area to accumulate before it's going to get towards the all time highland”
price then $25.18
→ $20.00 · -20.6% · watch 9:50touched $20.00 intraday, closed at $20.14
MISSETH ▼ → $3,400(conditional)· Aug 28, 2025 · horizon 14d
“then the next level that we should be looking at is the one on a weekly time frame, which is currently at 3.4 K”
“we're going to see optimism go to around 65 to 70 cents then run all the way back towards the resistance break out probably get into the region of around one dollar 50 to one dollar 80”
MISSREZ ▲ → $0.06(conditional)· Aug 10, 2025 · horizon 122d
“the high has been approximately six cents and it's currently 1.3 and it's eager to break out which means that also the upside there is around 350 percent”
price then $0.015
→ $0.00557 · -62.9% · watch 12:35
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckTAO ▲ (conditional)· Aug 10, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“BitTensor has been flat which is super positive which likely if it breaks through the recent resistances it's going to yield a higher return in the sense that it's going to make newer highs”
price then $388.90
→ $335.50 · -13.7% · watch 12:35
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckW ▲ (conditional)· Aug 07, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think the asset as wormhole is likely going to move to 20 to 25 cents”
price then $0.0826
→ $0.0787 · -4.7% · watch 13:16moved up 3%+ on Sep 09, 3 days after the deadline
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckOP ▲ (conditional)· restated 2×· Aug 03, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I think that once we finalize the common correction, stabilize that and get ourselves back to the resistance point, that's going to be the trigger where the altcoins are going to break through their resistance and start to shoot off.”
“and that means that this is the area around two dollars 50 that optimism is likely going to go to in the next three to four months which means a triple of the money”
price then $0.784
→ $0.3608 · -54.0% · watch 13:55
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckEIGEN ▲
· Jul 17, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“But if you look at Eigenlayer, the high in December 2024 was more than $5 and it's currently valued at $1.45.”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckETH ▲ → $4,000· Jul 17, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“Ether comes from 4k, it's still 3k at this point, while fundamentally, the project is significantly stronger, which means that the price is still mispriced on the actual price that it should be.”
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckAVAX ▲ (conditional)· Jul 10, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Because as historically with optimism, as historically with Psy, and historically from the previous Psy, which for instance, Avax, once it starts to go up, it will go up vertically.”
“even the strongest assets like Ether like Aave are providing such a case that it's actually interesting to be adding those to your portfolio where there's a lot of upside to be made in the coming year”
price then $287.35
→ $94.25 · -67.2% · watch 12:42
“even the strongest assets like Ether like Aave are providing such a case that it's actually interesting to be adding those to your portfolio where there's a lot of upside to be made in the coming year”
“In this update, I'm going to walk you through the entire scenario of Bitcoin and why I believe Bitcoin is about to hit 250k in 2025.”
price then $109,585
→ $87,648 · -20.0% · watch 0:00
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckETH ▲ → $3,000· Jun 29, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“And then we are likely going to get Ethereum towards 3k.”
price then $2,500
→ $3,000 · +20.0% · watch 7:54touched $3,000 intraday, closed at $2,951
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckW ▲ → $0.16· Jun 26, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“wormhole is very likely going to attack the 12 cent area and most likely going to run towards 16 cents which is 3x from here”
price then $0.0673
→ $0.1058 · +57.2% · watch 9:53
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckOP ▲ · restated 2×· Jun 26, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“it is currently building a massive massive bullish divergence which means that even though it doesn't feel like we are going to be rotating here I'm very happy to be doing it and expecting a lot of upside to come”
“within this quarter or beginning of Q3 Bitcoin is going to reach anywhere near 125k to 150k”
price then $111,696
→ $107,146 · -4.1% · watch 1:44
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckAAVE ▲
· May 18, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“there's a lot of upside to be gained even with the large gaps”
price then $232.12
→ $266.56 · +14.8% · watch 5:10
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckTIA ▲ (conditional)· May 11, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“And if we're looking at Tia, it's basically just finally starting to wake up into bullish trend And if we look at where it comes from it's also more than a 2x from here where I start to take profits”
MISSBTC ▲ → $150,000(conditional)· May 11, 2025 · horizon 50d
“That is mimicking itself 121 and if it continues to follow through Then we will see Bitcoin going to 150 K in this quarter and it keeps on following the route”
price then $104,118
→ $107,146 · +2.9% · watch 5:30
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckTOTAL ▲
· May 09, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“Macro goes into a better stage, crypto basically does well as a response to that and that's actually what we are going to see in the coming period.”
“As the liquidity is showing us that we're going to have a run towards a new all-time high during this quarter for Bitcoin.”
price then $93,749
→ $107,146 · +14.3% · watch 6:05
HITdeadline set by Oracle CheckETH ▲ (conditional)· restated 4×· Apr 20, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“I suppose that if the market starts to turn around, Bitcoin is probably going to go way higher than we all expect based on the low float of supply that's being traded. And that principle also applies to ETH”
“if we go back above 2100, that is the area where you can actually go for a position. That is the area where I think we start to accelerate a lot more.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckOP ▲ (conditional)· Mar 27, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“once we get towards this resistance point, then all of a sudden we break all the way towards the other side of the range. And that's already more than a 2x for me.”
VOIDdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ → $90,000(conditional)· Mar 23, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“If we do not have that and go back into the highs, we start to have an upwards move here that is likely going to get us towards 90k. And 90k is for me the crucial level before we have a new all-time high.”
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckOP ▲ → $2.80(conditional)· Mar 20, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 90d
“And we are potentially making a deviation, which means if we break back above one dollar 20, likely we'll go to the other side of the range, which is two dollar 80.”
VOIDdeadline set by Oracle CheckBTC ▲ (conditional)· restated 2×· Mar 06, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“the likelihood of breaking up again is significant. And the break upwards is at 91K. If that is tested and broken, then we are likely going to see a new all time high”
“I suspect that Tao will be continuing to do well against Bitcoin. It is again back at a cycle low or at a yearly low. So I think that Tao shows the first upwards momentum can be happening”
price then $452.90
→ $355.20 · -21.6% · watch 13:01
MISSdeadline set by Oracle CheckW ▲
· Jan 30, 2025 · no deadline stated, we assumed 30d
“which we can also see on a coin like wormhole, which is currently printing a potential bullish divergence, which we might be getting into coming in the coming period.”
price then $0.2425
→ $0.1355 · -44.1% · watch 11:12
“And such a bullish divergence indicates that we are very, very undervalued with most of those altcoins and that we're going to swap that throughout this year.”
“And that marks a new green area of upwards momentum for at least six to seven months, where also Chainlink against USD has flipped an important resistance level for support.”