Wolves of Crypto prediction accuracy
D
last 12 mo
0%
0%
all time, own deadlines (36)
16%
all resolved (64)
35%
30-day direction (40)
75
calls logged
11
open right now
0
flips (30d)
Is Wolves of Crypto accurate?
Wolves of Crypto is graded D on Oracle Check (oraclecheck.com), confidently below typical: in the last 12 months, 0 of 36 crypto price calls where they set the deadline themselves hit (0%), against a typical 21% across all tracked channels, which ranks #63 of 64 graded channels. All time, 0 of 36 such calls hit (0%); they were made between December 2025 and October 2026. Counting every resolved call, including ones without a stated deadline, the hit rate is 16% (64 calls). 30 days after a directional call, the price had moved the way they said 35% of the time (40 calls). The grade summarizes the record; it is not a forecast.
Current stance
▼ BTC
Oct 31 · open
Is Wolves of Crypto accurate?
Grade D, confidently below typical: in the last 12 months, 0 of 36 predictions where Wolves of Crypto named the deadline themselves came true by that deadline, against a typical 21% for all channels. All time, 0 of 36 calls with their own deadline hit. Calls with a price target: 0 of 20 reached it. Calls without one are judged on direction (a move of 3% or more the stated way, or staying inside a 5% band for a sideways call): 0 of 16 hit. A month after each directional call, the price had moved the way they said 35% of the time (40 calls). Every call below is quoted, dated and priced.
The record
“This breakdown could be the start of a larger breakdown triggered secondarily by the midterm elections, which brings Bitcoin to a new price low.”
“So that leaves us with 37 days for Bitcoin to drop down to about $57,000 and below and form a new low.”
“If we saw a 39% drop from the current price point, in 23 days, that would take us right here. That would take us to around $50,000.”
OPEN
BTC ▲ → $87,000
“So at this point, the bullish target is $87,000. Breaking $87,000 is going to be probably, you can't really say for certain, but probably going to be all the confirmation the bulls need.”
“In my view, we have about a month and a half left for Bitcoin to see a regular cyclical bottom.”
“If it is going to, I would expect it to happen in this weekly candle, given this is a weekly candle breakout.”
“In fact, I'm still macro bearish. I still think that the base case for Bitcoin is further downside price action.”
“If we're going to be reaching a low of $48,000, as you can see by this red line, we're actually very much approaching a point of being quite dramatically behind schedule. So a drop would have to come soon.”
“It could be anywhere between the $36,000 region and the $48,000 region.”
“If Bitcoin was to do exactly what it did in 2018, if it was to drop below this indicator by about 25% to 30%, that could take us as low as $40,000.”
“I think that the base case right now is still one of a regular macro bear market that ends in October or November. That is the base case right now.”
“And $48,000 does look dramatically more likely if we are going to be continuing this bear market.”
“it makes sense to assume that we will be continuing downwards until around October or November, which is what the cycle suggests”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $35,000
“this chart actually says we should be reaching somewhere in the mid-30s by that point.”
“I happen to be bearish on the market, so I do think the price will go down from here.”
“The data at this point still points straight towards the mid-30s.”
“it would make sense to me for Ethereum to go lower than its 2022 bottom.”
“I think it's still possible, okay? And I'll tell you why. I don't think it's certain. I don't think it's guaranteed. It doesn't need to happen. Ultimately, I'm a believer in the four-year cycle. The four-year cycle doesn't really care where Bitcoin goes. It cares how Bitcoin bottoms and when Bitcoin's bottoms, not the price of the Bitcoin bottom. But basically, a drop downwards from this price region to something like $36,000 is a 44% drop over the course of 90 days, okay?”
“An October bottom at $34,000, right? This is the trend line we'd need to follow in the spare market to get there.”
“And the cycle says we continue downwards into October.”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $34,000
“pointing towards the same price target of $32,000 to $36,000 at the end of the cyclical deadline, which is going to be in October 2026. I think that is my base case at this point.”
“And I think that that parabolic breakout of the four-year cycle will occur when diminished returns gets too significant for the cycle to hold.”
“And if history continues to repeat and copy 2022, we will, of course, continue downwards on Bitcoin.”
“In the bear market, this channel is expecting a bear market bottom of $32,000. Let's just assume that happens.”
“And given the short-term data showing weakness here, it's very plausible that the 750-day trend is continuing, it's very plausible that Bitcoin will continue downwards here.”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“We're still basically on track to be reaching $36,000 in October, 2026.”
MISS
BTC ▲
“I think it will happen within May. I think it will happen most likely within the first half of May,”
“as of right now, I do expect a drop within the month of May. Obviously, I'm not one for making big predictions. I'm more about reacting. But at this point, the data is quite clear. We break $80,000. That changes.”
“Let's just say the 20th of October. It's not going to be exact. It's a vague date. And now we know a likely price point where Bitcoin could bottom as well. Let's just go ahead and plug in $34,000.”
“When I look at the short-term chart and I look at Bitcoin attacking $80,000, I don't see the bullishness that a lot of people see.”
“If we were to continue at the current trajectory downwards until October, 2026, which is when we expect the bottom to be as per the four-year cycle, we'd be bottoming at around 26K.”
“I do think based on short-term and medium-term analysis, the probability that the bounce is over, the probability that the top is in or will be in at under $80,000 is actually quite high.”
“So far, we are in a macro downwards trend, and so the break of $60,000 looks more likely than not.”
“$36,000 price target I've been talking about, or the scenario that I've been talking about does make actually a lot of sense.”
MISS
BTC ▼
“I think we'll drop probably within the month of April.”
“I personally think it would be somewhere between around $48,000 and $53,000 for various reasons, which have outlined on this channel multiple times.”
MISS
BTC ▼
“I remain a strict believer, a firm believer, that we're going to be bottoming out in October, 2026 until something forces me to change that opinion.”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“I think we're going to 36,000, this bear market or even lower than that, right? $32,000 to $36,000 in October.”
“And, you know, the way this would end is obviously we continue downwards and break down below 60,000 into our new range, which would likely be around $53,000.”
“So if we don't start dropping in the next couple of days, we're kind of in the dark about when the next drop could start.”
“if we simply go ahead and plug in the date of the suspected bottom as per the four-year cycle and make the one assumption we need to make, basically, which is that we're going to be seeing a cyclical bottom as per four-year cycle of October, we can see the price of this channel in October would be around $34,000 to $35,000 and therefore we get what I call the $36,000 bottom scenario.”
“Guess what? We saw the Kamu cloud twist up here at around $100,000. And if we were to see a 70% correction-ish from $100,000, that would take us very well into the $32,000 price region.”
“Now, if that was to be extrapolated forward this time, half of 16.5% would be 8.25%, and minus 8.25% from that red line on Fibonacci would take us to a bottom of around $38,000,”
“And if we extrapolate this forward, knowing the date of the bottom in October, we can simply look at where the support would be. The support would be at around $34,000 in October.”
“And the cycle itself right now is suggesting that we continue downwards until October, which is seven months away.”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $53,000
“I still think the case for a drop down to $53,000 within the month of late March, maybe April, is very much on the table.”
“And the date range trends at this point suggest that we'll be seeing a bottom in October of this year.”
“I suspect that the next price range Bitcoin will inhabit will be around the $53,000 to $58,000 support region.”
“I'm even more confident in my broader macro outlook of us being in a macro bear market that will end with the four-year cycle.”
“I'll be discussing the $36,000 bottom scenario for this cycle”
MISS
BTC ▼
“I think the likely scenario is we go downwards within the month of March.”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $34,000
“we should be buying 50% at an October retest specifically of a certain region that I think is likely to be the bottom, which would be $32 to $36,000”
“Break $60,000. We'll go down to $53,000. That's the next target.”
“And if we plug in the cyclical bottom date range expectation, that would be October 2026. And the price of this channel in October 2026 would be around $36,000.”
“And obviously, it suggests we should go lower before we see any sort of bottom.”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“Let's just say Bitcoin goes down to $36,000 in the bear market, which is an argument I've made a couple of times now.”
MISS
BTC ▼
“And even if you think the Bitcoin bottom will be much higher, I don't think you're in any position, quite frankly, to suggest it will be anywhere except October. And hear me out.”
“And if we were to lose this region entirely, we'd be dropping right down to around $53,000 as the volume profile very clearly suggests.”
“that would bring us from our all-time high at $126,000 down 70% to just about $36,000.”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“The cycle suggests we bottomed out in October this year. And the cycle also seems to suggest, or at least trends surrounding the cycle, seem to suggest that bottom could be at around $36,000.”
“Again, we lose that level at 69. We start crashing down into the mid-60s.”
“If we're going to be copying 2022, we continue chopping here for a certain period of time before going downwards.”
“If we're going to continue copying 2022, we should be pausing here at $74,000 for a little bit. How long will that last? It could be a couple of weeks, could frankly be a couple months.”
“And if we plug in that October bottom date range estimate into this channel, which has never failed, by the way, we would get a $36,000 Bitcoin in October.”
“the major level that Bitcoin is targeting upon this breakdown is going to be around 74,000, maybe slightly higher.”
“If Bitcoin went up to that level and rejected from, showed signs of weakness and rejected from a 200 day simple moving average, as well as that critical resistance block, yes, that would be a prime time opportunity for shorting.”
“If we see the bottom on October 2026, all we need to do is extrapolate the bottom side of this channel forward and see that that would line up with a price point of around $36,000”
“Will it do so again? Time will tell, but that's certainly what the pattern suggests.”
“And we seem to be moving to the downside right now, which means we are likely to see a bear market unless proved otherwise.”
“$36,000 is a likely target for this bear market if the status quo maintains.”
“And so far, it's only lasted about a month and a half, meaning that Bitcoin could very well continue consolidating here and even bounce here quite aggressively to the upside like it did in prior cycles for about another two months,”
“The base case should be we're going to be seeing a Bitcoin bear market in 2026 that's going to take us down for most of the year.”
“There will be a volume spike very shortly. That's for sure. This volume spike will lead to a break of this triangle, which will either take us to around 96,000, maybe even 94,000.”
MISS
BTC ▼ → $36,000
“the cycle says the bottom will be in October 2026. And this logarithmic regression channel extrapolated forward says that bottom will be at about $36,000.”
“We know for a fact, to 100% certainty with 100% success rate, that when we move below the centerline of the Gaujin Channel, we move through the Gaujin Channel entirely, and we enter a bear market.”
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