State of crypto predictions — September 2022
Final numbers for the month. 36 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 11 hit (31%) , 20 missed, 5 stopped out. 28 new calls were logged
by 7 channels (15 bullish, 12 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 5 of 18 hit 28% BTC ETH: 3 of 6 hit 50% ETH XRP: 1 of 3 hit 33% XRP MANA: 1 of 1 hit 100% MANA DASH: 0 of 1 hit 0% DASH LUNA: 0 of 1 hit 0% LUNA ETC: 0 of 1 hit 0% ETC FLOW: 0 of 1 hit 0% FLOW Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 18 5 28% ETH 6 3 50% XRP 3 1 33% MANA 1 1 100% DASH 1 0 0% LUNA 1 0 0% ETC 1 0 0% FLOW 1 0 0%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 0 of 4 hit 0% ≤7d 8–30d: 3 of 9 hit 33% 8–30d 31–90d: 8 of 21 hit 38% 31–90d 91–365d: 0 of 2 hit 0% 91–365d Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 4 0 0% 8–30d 9 3 33% 31–90d 21 8 38% 91–365d 2 0 0%
Verdicts per day Sep 1: 2 verdicts 2 1 Sep 2: 1 verdicts 1 2 Sep 4: 1 verdicts 1 4 Sep 5: 1 verdicts 1 5 Sep 6: 2 verdicts 2 6 Sep 9: 3 verdicts 3 9 Sep 11: 2 verdicts 2 11 Sep 13: 1 verdicts 1 13 Sep 14: 2 verdicts 2 14 Sep 15: 2 verdicts 2 15 Sep 18: 2 verdicts 2 18 Sep 19: 3 verdicts 3 19 Sep 20: 2 verdicts 2 20 Sep 24: 1 verdicts 1 24 Sep 25: 3 verdicts 3 25 Sep 26: 1 verdicts 1 26 Sep 27: 1 verdicts 1 27 Sep 28: 1 verdicts 1 28 Sep 29: 4 verdicts 4 29 Sep 30: 1 verdicts 1 30
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit
“if the stock market were to start to look bearish again, I think you're going to rapidly see us fall back to around 1350, probably first.”
Biggest miss InvestAnswers ·
SOL ▲ → $390.00
· said Sep 04 · deadline Sep 04 · -76.8% “So the average price prediction based on all of these for this year, for this bull run, which could end in Q1, Q2 2022, is up to $390.”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 17 ETH 5 XRP 1 MANA 1 DASH 1 LUNA 1
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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