State of crypto predictions — November 2022
Final numbers for the month. 29 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 7 hit (24%) , 17 missed, 5 stopped out. 28 new calls were logged
by 8 channels (9 bullish, 19 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 4 of 18 hit 22% BTC SOL: 1 of 2 hit 50% SOL ETH: 1 of 2 hit 50% ETH ADA: 0 of 2 hit 0% ADA FTT: 0 of 1 hit 0% FTT TOTAL: 1 of 1 hit 100% TOTAL SHIB: 0 of 1 hit 0% SHIB ETC: 0 of 1 hit 0% ETC Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 18 4 22% SOL 2 1 50% ETH 2 1 50% ADA 2 0 0% FTT 1 0 0% TOTAL 1 1 100% SHIB 1 0 0% ETC 1 0 0%
Hit rate by horizon 8–30d: 3 of 7 hit 43% 8–30d 31–90d: 3 of 18 hit 17% 31–90d 91–365d: 1 of 3 hit 33% 91–365d >1y: 0 of 1 hit 0% >1y Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate 8–30d 7 3 43% 31–90d 18 3 17% 91–365d 3 1 33% >1y 1 0 0%
Verdicts per day Nov 1: 1 verdicts 1 1 Nov 2: 1 verdicts 1 2 Nov 4: 1 verdicts 1 4 Nov 5: 1 verdicts 1 5 Nov 6: 1 verdicts 1 6 Nov 7: 1 verdicts 1 7 Nov 8: 6 verdicts 6 8 Nov 9: 4 verdicts 4 9 Nov 11: 1 verdicts 1 11 Nov 14: 3 verdicts 3 14 Nov 15: 1 verdicts 1 15 Nov 17: 2 verdicts 2 17 Nov 19: 1 verdicts 1 19 Nov 23: 1 verdicts 1 23 Nov 25: 2 verdicts 2 25 Nov 27: 1 verdicts 1 27 Nov 29: 1 verdicts 1 29
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit
“if bitcoin drops between 17 and 20 000. i think the recovery would be rather quickly especially if it's within a year”
Biggest miss
“exit is quite likely may be, to the level thirty five, and in the best case scenario this could be prices in the area even forty”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 15 SOL 2 ETH 2 GLMR 1 OP 1 IMX 1
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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