State of crypto predictions — December 2022
Final numbers for the month. 40 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 10 hit (25%) , 30 missed, 0 stopped out. 48 new calls were logged
by 10 channels (41 bullish, 7 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 7 of 20 hit 35% BTC ETH: 2 of 7 hit 29% ETH ADA: 0 of 3 hit 0% ADA VET: 0 of 3 hit 0% VET UNI: 0 of 2 hit 0% UNI SOL: 0 of 1 hit 0% SOL DOT: 1 of 1 hit 100% DOT GLMR: 0 of 1 hit 0% GLMR Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 20 7 35% ETH 7 2 29% ADA 3 0 0% VET 3 0 0% UNI 2 0 0% SOL 1 0 0% DOT 1 1 100% GLMR 1 0 0%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 1 of 2 hit 50% ≤7d 8–30d: 1 of 6 hit 17% 8–30d 31–90d: 7 of 15 hit 47% 31–90d 91–365d: 1 of 10 hit 10% 91–365d >1y: 0 of 7 hit 0% >1y Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 2 1 50% 8–30d 6 1 17% 31–90d 15 7 47% 91–365d 10 1 10% >1y 7 0 0%
Verdicts per day Dec 4: 1 verdicts 1 4 Dec 8: 1 verdicts 1 8 Dec 9: 1 verdicts 1 9 Dec 11: 2 verdicts 2 11 Dec 12: 1 verdicts 1 12 Dec 13: 6 verdicts 6 13 Dec 14: 1 verdicts 1 14 Dec 16: 1 verdicts 1 16 Dec 17: 1 verdicts 1 17 Dec 18: 1 verdicts 1 18 Dec 20: 1 verdicts 1 20 Dec 24: 1 verdicts 1 24 Dec 30: 2 verdicts 2 30 Dec 31: 20 verdicts 20 31
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit
“I don't think bitcoin will make a new high this calendar year but i'm interested to see how this one plays out”
Biggest miss Crypto Diary ·
ALGO ▲ → $4.00
· said Oct 25 · deadline Dec 31 · -91.6% “By 2022, it is expected to be reaching a level near $4 with almost a 200% increase.”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 29 ETH 9 ADA 3 BNB 1 SOL 1 DOGE 1
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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