State of crypto predictions — March 2024
Final numbers for the month. 68 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 39 hit (57%) , 27 missed, 2 stopped out. 95 new calls were logged
by 24 channels (80 bullish, 11 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 13 of 24 hit 54% BTC ETH: 3 of 5 hit 60% ETH SOL: 3 of 4 hit 75% SOL LINK: 2 of 4 hit 50% LINK TOTAL: 4 of 4 hit 100% TOTAL AVAX: 1 of 2 hit 50% AVAX ICP: 2 of 2 hit 100% ICP DODO: 1 of 2 hit 50% DODO Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 24 13 54% ETH 5 3 60% SOL 4 3 75% LINK 4 2 50% TOTAL 4 4 100% AVAX 2 1 50% ICP 2 2 100% DODO 2 1 50%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 0 of 1 hit 0% ≤7d 8–30d: 11 of 21 hit 52% 8–30d 31–90d: 19 of 36 hit 53% 31–90d 91–365d: 6 of 7 hit 86% 91–365d >1y: 3 of 3 hit 100% >1y Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 1 0 0% 8–30d 21 11 52% 31–90d 36 19 53% 91–365d 7 6 86% >1y 3 3 100%
Verdicts per day Mar 1: 9 verdicts 9 1 Mar 2: 5 verdicts 5 2 Mar 3: 3 verdicts 3 3 Mar 4: 3 verdicts 3 4 Mar 5: 4 verdicts 4 5 Mar 6: 1 verdicts 1 6 Mar 7: 1 verdicts 1 7 Mar 8: 1 verdicts 1 8 Mar 9: 1 verdicts 1 9 Mar 11: 5 verdicts 5 11 Mar 12: 2 verdicts 2 12 Mar 13: 2 verdicts 2 13 Mar 14: 3 verdicts 3 14 Mar 15: 1 verdicts 1 15 Mar 16: 3 verdicts 3 16 Mar 17: 3 verdicts 3 17 Mar 20: 2 verdicts 2 20 Mar 21: 1 verdicts 1 21 Mar 23: 2 verdicts 2 23 Mar 24: 1 verdicts 1 24 Mar 25: 7 verdicts 7 25 Mar 27: 1 verdicts 1 27 Mar 30: 1 verdicts 1 30 Mar 31: 6 verdicts 6 31
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit Suppoman ·
FET ▲
· said Dec 03 · deadline Mar 02 · +222.9% “considering its high market cap I would still say that fetch AI is likely to do a 10 to 20x from here”
Biggest miss
“if we now reach 10 there then i will be exiting”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 50 SOL 5 ETH 5 ATOM 3 TOTAL 3 AVAX 3
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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