State of crypto predictions — May 2024

Final numbers for the month. 61 calls from tracked channels reached their deadline: 25 hit (41%), 26 missed, 10 stopped out. 72 new calls were logged by 21 channels (56 bullish, 15 bearish).

calls resolved

41%

hit rate

new calls logged

channels active

Hit rate by coin

Coin	Resolved	Hit	Hit rate
BTC	37	19	51%
ETH	5	3	60%
DOT	2	1	50%
HBAR	2	0	0%
ATOM	2	1	50%
TOTAL	1	0	0%
BEAM	1	1	100%
INJ	1	0	0%

Hit rate by horizon

Horizon	Resolved	Hit	Hit rate
≤7d	1	1	100%
8–30d	20	12	60%
31–90d	33	10	30%
91–365d	5	2	40%
>1y	2	0	0%

Verdicts per day

Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts

Best hit rate

Channel	Hit	Resolved
Ilnur Muhtov	4	5
Credible Crypto	2	6
Trader 80/20	1	10

Worst hit rate

Channel	Hit	Resolved
Trader 80/20	1	10
Credible Crypto	2	6
Ilnur Muhtov	4	5

Biggest hit

Artyom Mikoshi · BTC ▲ · said May 17 · deadline May 16 · +138.0%

“suppose i wait for bitcoin next time at 120 140 thousand dollars”

Biggest miss

ReadySetCrypto · SUI ▲ → $3.50 · said Feb 29 · deadline May 29 · -39.4%

“the upside Target should be something like three and a half so you take two plus one and a half and so it's going to be three and a half as the upside Target”

What was called

Coin	New calls
BTC	32
ETH	11
TOTAL	7
SOL	6
PEPE	3
TAO	2

Method: how calls are logged and judged · data: open data · all reports →
Cite as: Oracle Check, “State of crypto predictions — May 2024”, oraclecheck.com/report/2024-05.html