State of crypto predictions — April 2025
Final numbers for the month. 24 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 7 hit (29%) , 14 missed, 3 stopped out. 45 new calls were logged
by 16 channels (34 bullish, 10 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 6 of 13 hit 46% BTC XRP: 0 of 4 hit 0% XRP ETH: 0 of 2 hit 0% ETH NEAR: 0 of 1 hit 0% NEAR OP: 0 of 1 hit 0% OP SOL: 1 of 1 hit 100% SOL LTC: 0 of 1 hit 0% LTC TAO: 0 of 1 hit 0% TAO Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 13 6 46% XRP 4 0 0% ETH 2 0 0% NEAR 1 0 0% OP 1 0 0% SOL 1 1 100% LTC 1 0 0% TAO 1 0 0%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 0 of 1 hit 0% ≤7d 8–30d: 5 of 15 hit 33% 8–30d 31–90d: 2 of 7 hit 29% 31–90d 91–365d: 0 of 1 hit 0% 91–365d Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 1 0 0% 8–30d 15 5 33% 31–90d 7 2 29% 91–365d 1 0 0%
Verdicts per day Apr 1: 1 verdicts 1 1 Apr 2: 2 verdicts 2 2 Apr 5: 3 verdicts 3 5 Apr 6: 2 verdicts 2 6 Apr 7: 1 verdicts 1 7 Apr 10: 1 verdicts 1 10 Apr 12: 3 verdicts 3 12 Apr 21: 1 verdicts 1 21 Apr 22: 1 verdicts 1 22 Apr 25: 1 verdicts 1 25 Apr 26: 4 verdicts 4 26 Apr 27: 1 verdicts 1 27 Apr 30: 3 verdicts 3 30
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit
“I think that we will be having a gradual upwards move, just like we have been seeing in the previous period of consolidation.”
Biggest miss Andrey Sobolev ·
ETH ▲ → $6,000
· said Nov 13 · deadline Apr 12 · -48.4% “в области 6.000 уже к весне 2025 Я бы эфир ожидал”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 29 TOTAL 3 ALGO 3 ETH 2 XRP 2 SOL 1
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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