they said it. the market answered.
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Trading these calls?Bybit code LD7WR4EHTX code zhdd2223

State of crypto predictions — August 2025

Final numbers for the month. 50 calls reached a deadline the speaker set themselves: 19 hit (38%), 30 missed, 1 stopped out. Across all channels over the last 12 months, 21% of such calls hit. 359 new calls were logged by 65 channels (293 bullish, 57 bearish).
50
resolved on their own deadline
38%
hit on their own deadline
359
new calls logged
65
channels active
Counting every deadline, including the ones we assumed when the speaker named none (30 days for a direction, 90 with a target), 292 calls resolved and 115 hit (39%). That share mixes in our assumed windows, so it is not comparable with channel grades, which count only the deadline the speaker set.

Hit rate by coin · own deadlines

BTC: 4 of 17 hit24%BTCETH: 5 of 9 hit56%ETHTOTAL: 5 of 8 hit62%TOTALAVAX: 1 of 2 hit50%AVAXBNB: 1 of 2 hit50%BNBXRP: 0 of 2 hit0%XRPSOL: 1 of 1 hit100%SOLHBAR: 0 of 1 hit0%HBAR
CoinResolvedHitHit rate
BTC17424%
ETH9556%
TOTAL8562%
AVAX2150%
BNB2150%
XRP200%
SOL11100%
HBAR100%

Hit rate by horizon · own deadlines

≤7d: 5 of 12 hit42%≤7d8–30d: 4 of 15 hit27%8–30d31–90d: 4 of 11 hit36%31–90d91–365d: 5 of 9 hit56%91–365d>1y: 1 of 3 hit33%>1y
HorizonResolvedHitHit rate
≤7d12542%
8–30d15427%
31–90d11436%
91–365d9556%
>1y3133%

Verdicts per day · own deadlines

Aug 1: 1 verdicts11Aug 2: 2 verdicts22Aug 5: 4 verdicts45Aug 7: 1 verdicts17Aug 8: 3 verdicts38Aug 9: 3 verdicts39Aug 10: 1 verdicts110Aug 11: 1 verdicts111Aug 13: 1 verdicts113Aug 14: 2 verdicts214Aug 16: 1 verdicts116Aug 17: 2 verdicts217Aug 18: 1 verdicts118Aug 21: 1 verdicts121Aug 22: 3 verdicts322Aug 23: 2 verdicts223Aug 24: 1 verdicts124Aug 25: 4 verdicts425Aug 26: 1 verdicts126Aug 28: 5 verdicts528Aug 29: 2 verdicts229Aug 30: 1 verdicts130Aug 31: 7 verdicts731

Biggest hit · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out

Artyom Mikoshi · TOTAL ▲ → $4T · said Jul 01, 2025 · deadline Dec 31, 2025 · +23.1% · touched $4T intraday, closed at $3.93T
“And Total 3 will be equal to 3,5, maybe 4 trillion.”
translated from Russian

Biggest miss · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out

Sir Luis · LTC ▲ → $151.00 · said Jul 31, 2025 · deadline Aug 30, 2025 · +4.5%
“the next target obviously is that 0.38 which could take a you know maybe even next month a couple a couple weeks to a month 151”

What was called

CoinNew calls
BTC105
ETH91
SOL24
XRP15
ADA11
TOTAL10
Method: how calls are logged and judged · data: open data · all reports →
Cite as: Oracle Check, “State of crypto predictions — August 2025”, oraclecheck.com/report/2025-08.html