State of crypto predictions — October 2025
Final numbers for the month. 40 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 7 hit (18%) , 29 missed, 4 stopped out. 79 new calls were logged
by 10 channels (62 bullish, 16 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 7 of 23 hit 30% BTC ETH: 0 of 6 hit 0% ETH SOL: 0 of 4 hit 0% SOL OP: 0 of 2 hit 0% OP HBAR: 0 of 1 hit 0% HBAR LINK: 0 of 1 hit 0% LINK W: 0 of 1 hit 0% W XRP: 0 of 1 hit 0% XRP Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 23 7 30% ETH 6 0 0% SOL 4 0 0% OP 2 0 0% HBAR 1 0 0% LINK 1 0 0% W 1 0 0% XRP 1 0 0%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 1 of 3 hit 33% ≤7d 8–30d: 2 of 12 hit 17% 8–30d 31–90d: 3 of 24 hit 12% 31–90d 91–365d: 1 of 1 hit 100% 91–365d Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 3 1 33% 8–30d 12 2 17% 31–90d 24 3 12% 91–365d 1 1 100%
Verdicts per day Oct 1: 2 verdicts 2 1 Oct 3: 2 verdicts 2 3 Oct 5: 1 verdicts 1 5 Oct 8: 3 verdicts 3 8 Oct 9: 2 verdicts 2 9 Oct 10: 3 verdicts 3 10 Oct 12: 3 verdicts 3 12 Oct 14: 3 verdicts 3 14 Oct 15: 2 verdicts 2 15 Oct 16: 2 verdicts 2 16 Oct 17: 1 verdicts 1 17 Oct 18: 1 verdicts 1 18 Oct 19: 2 verdicts 2 19 Oct 20: 2 verdicts 2 20 Oct 21: 1 verdicts 1 21 Oct 24: 1 verdicts 1 24 Oct 25: 2 verdicts 2 25 Oct 26: 2 verdicts 2 26 Oct 27: 2 verdicts 2 27 Oct 30: 1 verdicts 1 30 Oct 31: 2 verdicts 2 31
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit
“if Bitcoin is going to follow through with that, we are about to see Bitcoin move to 160 to 180K in the next three months.”
Biggest miss
“and that means that this is the area around two dollars 50 that optimism is likely going to go to in the next three to four months which means a triple of the money”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 44 ETH 17 TOTAL 4 SOL 3 HBAR 2 LINK 2
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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