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State of crypto predictions — October 2025

Final numbers for the month. 77 calls reached a deadline the speaker set themselves: 23 hit (30%), 50 missed, 4 stopped out. Across all channels over the last 12 months, 21% of such calls hit. 398 new calls were logged by 75 channels (295 bullish, 90 bearish).
77
resolved on their own deadline
30%
hit on their own deadline
398
new calls logged
75
channels active
Counting every deadline, including the ones we assumed when the speaker named none (30 days for a direction, 90 with a target), 380 calls resolved and 112 hit (29%). That share mixes in our assumed windows, so it is not comparable with channel grades, which count only the deadline the speaker set.

Hit rate by coin · own deadlines

BTC: 16 of 41 hit39%BTCETH: 2 of 8 hit25%ETHLINK: 1 of 7 hit14%LINKTOTAL: 1 of 6 hit17%TOTALSOL: 0 of 4 hit0%SOLHBAR: 1 of 2 hit50%HBARPOPCAT: 0 of 1 hit0%POPCATAPEX: 0 of 1 hit0%APEX
CoinResolvedHitHit rate
BTC411639%
ETH8225%
LINK7114%
TOTAL6117%
SOL400%
HBAR2150%
POPCAT100%
APEX100%

Hit rate by horizon · own deadlines

≤7d: 2 of 12 hit17%≤7d8–30d: 6 of 25 hit24%8–30d31–90d: 6 of 21 hit29%31–90d91–365d: 8 of 15 hit53%91–365d>1y: 1 of 4 hit25%>1y
HorizonResolvedHitHit rate
≤7d12217%
8–30d25624%
31–90d21629%
91–365d15853%
>1y4125%

Verdicts per day · own deadlines

Oct 1: 9 verdicts91Oct 2: 3 verdicts32Oct 3: 3 verdicts33Oct 4: 2 verdicts24Oct 5: 8 verdicts85Oct 6: 1 verdicts16Oct 7: 4 verdicts47Oct 8: 2 verdicts28Oct 9: 3 verdicts39Oct 10: 8 verdicts810Oct 13: 1 verdicts113Oct 14: 1 verdicts114Oct 15: 1 verdicts115Oct 16: 3 verdicts316Oct 17: 1 verdicts117Oct 20: 3 verdicts320Oct 22: 1 verdicts122Oct 24: 1 verdicts124Oct 26: 3 verdicts326Oct 30: 1 verdicts130Oct 31: 18 verdicts1831

Biggest hit · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out

Crypto Love · BTC ▲ → $125,000 · said Mar 27, 2025 · deadline Dec 31, 2025 · +43.3% · touched $125,000 intraday, closed at $123,482
“This 90% probability puts Bitcoin at or above $125,000 by the end of the year.”

Biggest miss · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out

DataDash · SOL ▲ → $323.00 · said Oct 02, 2025 · deadline Oct 16, 2025 · -21.2%
“I'm looking at the next rally up here to 274 and 323 over on Solana in the next coming weeks.”

What was called

CoinNew calls
BTC183
ETH58
LINK20
TOTAL19
SOL19
XRP15
Method: how calls are logged and judged · data: open data · all reports →
Cite as: Oracle Check, “State of crypto predictions — October 2025”, oraclecheck.com/report/2025-10.html