State of crypto predictions — December 2025
Final numbers for the month. 54 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 9 hit (17%) , 45 missed, 0 stopped out. 22 new calls were logged
by 7 channels (16 bullish, 5 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 8 of 33 hit 24% BTC ETH: 1 of 12 hit 8% ETH SOL: 0 of 2 hit 0% SOL LINK: 0 of 2 hit 0% LINK AVAX: 0 of 1 hit 0% AVAX XRP: 0 of 1 hit 0% XRP OP: 0 of 1 hit 0% OP ALGO: 0 of 1 hit 0% ALGO Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 33 8 24% ETH 12 1 8% SOL 2 0 0% LINK 2 0 0% AVAX 1 0 0% XRP 1 0 0% OP 1 0 0% ALGO 1 0 0%
Hit rate by horizon 8–30d: 4 of 9 hit 44% 8–30d 31–90d: 4 of 23 hit 17% 31–90d 91–365d: 1 of 15 hit 7% 91–365d >1y: 0 of 7 hit 0% >1y Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate 8–30d 9 4 44% 31–90d 23 4 17% 91–365d 15 1 7% >1y 7 0 0%
Verdicts per day Dec 3: 1 verdicts 1 3 Dec 7: 1 verdicts 1 7 Dec 9: 1 verdicts 1 9 Dec 10: 3 verdicts 3 10 Dec 11: 1 verdicts 1 11 Dec 16: 5 verdicts 5 16 Dec 17: 1 verdicts 1 17 Dec 20: 1 verdicts 1 20 Dec 21: 1 verdicts 1 21 Dec 22: 1 verdicts 1 22 Dec 24: 1 verdicts 1 24 Dec 28: 1 verdicts 1 28 Dec 31: 36 verdicts 36 31
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit DataDash ·
BTC ▼
· said Sep 18 · deadline Dec 17 · -26.3% “what I think this is pointing to realistically in terms of what it means for Bitcoin is probably a 30 percent correction over the next few months”
Biggest miss
“And such a bullish divergence indicates that we are very, very undervalued with most of those altcoins and that we're going to swap that throughout this year.”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 12 ETH 5 TOTAL 2 XLM 1 LTC 1 ZEC 1
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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