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State of crypto predictions — December 2025

Final numbers for the month. 222 calls reached a deadline the speaker set themselves: 19 hit (9%), 202 missed, 1 stopped out. Across all channels over the last 12 months, 21% of such calls hit. 423 new calls were logged by 89 channels (286 bullish, 125 bearish).
222
resolved on their own deadline
9%
hit on their own deadline
423
new calls logged
89
channels active
Counting every deadline, including the ones we assumed when the speaker named none (30 days for a direction, 90 with a target), 504 calls resolved and 82 hit (16%). That share mixes in our assumed windows, so it is not comparable with channel grades, which count only the deadline the speaker set.

Hit rate by coin · own deadlines

BTC: 12 of 103 hit12%BTCETH: 0 of 22 hit0%ETHTOTAL: 4 of 15 hit27%TOTALSOL: 0 of 12 hit0%SOLLINK: 1 of 11 hit9%LINKXRP: 0 of 10 hit0%XRPADA: 0 of 5 hit0%ADADOGE: 1 of 5 hit20%DOGE
CoinResolvedHitHit rate
BTC1031212%
ETH2200%
TOTAL15427%
SOL1200%
LINK1119%
XRP1000%
ADA500%
DOGE5120%

Hit rate by horizon · own deadlines

≤7d: 1 of 16 hit6%≤7d8–30d: 2 of 20 hit10%8–30d31–90d: 2 of 34 hit6%31–90d91–365d: 7 of 100 hit7%91–365d>1y: 7 of 52 hit13%>1y
HorizonResolvedHitHit rate
≤7d1616%
8–30d20210%
31–90d3426%
91–365d10077%
>1y52713%

Verdicts per day · own deadlines

Dec 1: 3 verdicts31Dec 2: 4 verdicts42Dec 5: 3 verdicts35Dec 7: 4 verdicts47Dec 8: 9 verdicts98Dec 9: 2 verdicts29Dec 10: 2 verdicts210Dec 13: 2 verdicts213Dec 15: 3 verdicts315Dec 16: 1 verdicts116Dec 17: 2 verdicts217Dec 18: 4 verdicts418Dec 22: 3 verdicts322Dec 23: 2 verdicts223Dec 25: 3 verdicts325Dec 26: 1 verdicts126Dec 27: 2 verdicts227Dec 28: 3 verdicts328Dec 30: 4 verdicts430Dec 31: 165 verdicts16531

Biggest hit · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out

Crypto Hustle · BTC ▲ → $93,500 · said Dec 08, 2025 · deadline Dec 15, 2025 · +3.2% · touched $93,500 intraday, closed at $92,679
“I do think Bitcoin will continue to push up. And it's definitely going to test the 93,500 range again.”

Biggest miss · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out

Crypto Diary · ALGO ▲ → $10.00 · said Oct 25, 2021 · deadline Dec 31, 2025 · -94.6%
“And by 2025, it is expected to hit nearly $10, making it a really lucrative long-term investment.”

What was called

CoinNew calls
BTC206
ETH45
XRP29
TOTAL24
SOL18
SUI12
Method: how calls are logged and judged · data: open data · all reports →
Cite as: Oracle Check, “State of crypto predictions — December 2025”, oraclecheck.com/report/2025-12.html