they said it. the market answered.
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Trading these calls?Bybit code LD7WR4EHTX code zhdd2223

State of crypto predictions — January 2026

Final numbers for the month. 60 calls reached a deadline the speaker set themselves: 12 hit (20%), 47 missed, 1 stopped out. Across all channels over the last 12 months, 21% of such calls hit. 490 new calls were logged by 96 channels (328 bullish, 153 bearish).
60
resolved on their own deadline
20%
hit on their own deadline
490
new calls logged
96
channels active
Counting every deadline, including the ones we assumed when the speaker named none (30 days for a direction, 90 with a target), 385 calls resolved and 116 hit (30%). That share mixes in our assumed windows, so it is not comparable with channel grades, which count only the deadline the speaker set.

Hit rate by coin · own deadlines

BTC: 10 of 37 hit27%BTCETH: 1 of 8 hit12%ETHTOTAL: 0 of 3 hit0%TOTALSOL: 0 of 2 hit0%SOLLINK: 0 of 1 hit0%LINKONDO: 1 of 1 hit100%ONDOADA: 0 of 1 hit0%ADAXRP: 0 of 1 hit0%XRP
CoinResolvedHitHit rate
BTC371027%
ETH8112%
TOTAL300%
SOL200%
LINK100%
ONDO11100%
ADA100%
XRP100%

Hit rate by horizon · own deadlines

≤7d: 4 of 15 hit27%≤7d8–30d: 4 of 10 hit40%8–30d31–90d: 0 of 8 hit0%31–90d91–365d: 4 of 23 hit17%91–365d>1y: 0 of 4 hit0%>1y
HorizonResolvedHitHit rate
≤7d15427%
8–30d10440%
31–90d800%
91–365d23417%
>1y400%

Verdicts per day · own deadlines

Jan 1: 11 verdicts111Jan 2: 3 verdicts32Jan 3: 1 verdicts13Jan 5: 2 verdicts25Jan 8: 1 verdicts18Jan 9: 2 verdicts29Jan 10: 2 verdicts210Jan 12: 1 verdicts112Jan 13: 3 verdicts313Jan 15: 1 verdicts115Jan 16: 1 verdicts116Jan 17: 2 verdicts217Jan 18: 2 verdicts218Jan 19: 3 verdicts319Jan 20: 3 verdicts320Jan 21: 1 verdicts121Jan 22: 3 verdicts322Jan 23: 2 verdicts223Jan 24: 1 verdicts124Jan 27: 1 verdicts127Jan 29: 3 verdicts329Jan 30: 3 verdicts330Jan 31: 8 verdicts831

Biggest hit · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out

MindPillar Markets · BTC ▼ → $80,000 · said Jan 25, 2026 · deadline Feb 08, 2026 · -7.7%
“To look for the price to literally come down to $80,000 in the next coming weeks.”

Biggest miss · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out

The Crypto Trading Show · STRK ▲ → $0.50 · said Oct 07, 2025 · deadline Jan 05, 2026 · -47.0%
“0.5 तो minimum bear minimum target है आने वाले एक से तीन महिने में आप 0.5 तो जरूर देख लोगे”

What was called

CoinNew calls
BTC268
ETH46
XRP28
TOTAL24
SOL18
ADA17
Method: how calls are logged and judged · data: open data · all reports →
Cite as: Oracle Check, “State of crypto predictions — January 2026”, oraclecheck.com/report/2026-01.html