State of crypto predictions — May 2026
Final numbers for the month. 116 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 49 hit (42%) , 56 missed, 11 stopped out. 273 new calls were logged
by 48 channels (170 bullish, 101 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 32 of 81 hit 40% BTC ETH: 4 of 12 hit 33% ETH SOL: 4 of 9 hit 44% SOL XRP: 2 of 3 hit 67% XRP SUI: 0 of 3 hit 0% SUI HYPE: 2 of 2 hit 100% HYPE DOGE: 2 of 2 hit 100% DOGE INJ: 1 of 1 hit 100% INJ Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 81 32 40% ETH 12 4 33% SOL 9 4 44% XRP 3 2 67% SUI 3 0 0% HYPE 2 2 100% DOGE 2 2 100% INJ 1 1 100%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 5 of 18 hit 28% ≤7d 8–30d: 22 of 39 hit 56% 8–30d 31–90d: 21 of 56 hit 38% 31–90d 91–365d: 1 of 3 hit 33% 91–365d Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 18 5 28% 8–30d 39 22 56% 31–90d 56 21 38% 91–365d 3 1 33%
Verdicts per day May 1: 3 verdicts 3 1 May 2: 2 verdicts 2 2 May 3: 4 verdicts 4 3 May 4: 9 verdicts 9 4 May 5: 1 verdicts 1 5 May 6: 4 verdicts 4 6 May 7: 7 verdicts 7 7 May 8: 1 verdicts 1 8 May 9: 1 verdicts 1 9 May 10: 2 verdicts 2 10 May 11: 4 verdicts 4 11 May 12: 3 verdicts 3 12 May 13: 5 verdicts 5 13 May 14: 5 verdicts 5 14 May 16: 3 verdicts 3 16 May 17: 6 verdicts 6 17 May 18: 4 verdicts 4 18 May 19: 3 verdicts 3 19 May 20: 6 verdicts 6 20 May 21: 2 verdicts 2 21 May 22: 2 verdicts 2 22 May 23: 5 verdicts 5 23 May 24: 9 verdicts 9 24 May 25: 1 verdicts 1 25 May 26: 1 verdicts 1 26 May 27: 2 verdicts 2 27 May 28: 12 verdicts 12 28 May 29: 1 verdicts 1 29 May 30: 2 verdicts 2 30 May 31: 6 verdicts 6 31
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit Lark Davis ·
ZEC ▲
· said Apr 03 · deadline May 03 · +76.3% “The real test what do we get above? $275 that's the 200-day EMA Above that probably new uptrend in play here.”
Biggest miss
“Sui is my biggest trade for this cycle.”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 152 ETH 34 SOL 20 HYPE 10 XRP 10 TOTAL 9
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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