State of crypto predictions — May 2026

Final numbers for the month. 77 calls reached a deadline the speaker set themselves: 24 hit (31%), 49 missed, 4 stopped out. Across all channels over the last 12 months, 21% of such calls hit. 925 new calls were logged by 136 channels (512 bullish, 396 bearish).

resolved on their own deadline

31%

hit on their own deadline

925

new calls logged

136

channels active

Counting every deadline, including the ones we assumed when the speaker named none (30 days for a direction, 90 with a target), 571 calls resolved and 217 hit (38%). That share mixes in our assumed windows, so it is not comparable with channel grades, which count only the deadline the speaker set.

Hit rate by coin · own deadlines

Coin	Resolved	Hit	Hit rate
BTC	55	18	33%
ETH	6	1	17%
TOTAL	5	0	0%
HYPE	2	2	100%
VVV	2	1	50%
SOL	2	0	0%
DASH	1	0	0%
ZEC	1	0	0%

Hit rate by horizon · own deadlines

Horizon	Resolved	Hit	Hit rate
≤7d	35	7	20%
8–30d	24	10	42%
31–90d	11	4	36%
91–365d	7	3	43%

Verdicts per day · own deadlines

Biggest hit · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out

IN THE MONEY · VVV ▲ → $20.00 · said Apr 27, 2026 · deadline Dec 31, 2026 · +123.1% · touched $20.00 intraday, closed at $17.44

“I think that this probably can go closer to $20 by the end of 2026, given what is happening with this project right now.”

Biggest miss · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out

VirtualBacon · SOL ▲ → $500.00 · said May 16, 2025 · deadline May 16, 2026 · -48.3%

“I believe Solana will reach a new high around $500 or so over the next year.”

What was called

Coin	New calls
BTC	502
ETH	105
XRP	55
SOL	44
HYPE	37
TOTAL	36

Method: how calls are logged and judged · data: open data · all reports →
Cite as: Oracle Check, “State of crypto predictions — May 2026”, oraclecheck.com/report/2026-05.html