State of crypto predictions — July 2026
Final numbers for the month. 143 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 39 hit (27%) , 99 missed, 5 stopped out. 214 new calls were logged
by 39 channels (118 bullish, 94 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 19 of 80 hit 24% BTC ETH: 5 of 23 hit 22% ETH SOL: 7 of 10 hit 70% SOL HYPE: 2 of 8 hit 25% HYPE ZEC: 1 of 3 hit 33% ZEC XRP: 1 of 3 hit 33% XRP AAVE: 0 of 2 hit 0% AAVE BNB: 0 of 2 hit 0% BNB Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 80 19 24% ETH 23 5 22% SOL 10 7 70% HYPE 8 2 25% ZEC 3 1 33% XRP 3 1 33% AAVE 2 0 0% BNB 2 0 0%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 0 of 9 hit 0% ≤7d 8–30d: 26 of 89 hit 29% 8–30d 31–90d: 12 of 40 hit 30% 31–90d 91–365d: 1 of 5 hit 20% 91–365d Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 9 0 0% 8–30d 89 26 29% 31–90d 40 12 30% 91–365d 5 1 20%
Verdicts per day Jul 1: 10 verdicts 10 1 Jul 2: 14 verdicts 14 2 Jul 3: 6 verdicts 6 3 Jul 4: 6 verdicts 6 4 Jul 5: 8 verdicts 8 5 Jul 6: 8 verdicts 8 6 Jul 7: 3 verdicts 3 7 Jul 8: 4 verdicts 4 8 Jul 9: 1 verdicts 1 9 Jul 10: 2 verdicts 2 10 Jul 11: 2 verdicts 2 11 Jul 12: 1 verdicts 1 12 Jul 13: 3 verdicts 3 13 Jul 14: 7 verdicts 7 14 Jul 15: 5 verdicts 5 15 Jul 16: 5 verdicts 5 16 Jul 17: 4 verdicts 4 17 Jul 18: 9 verdicts 9 18 Jul 19: 9 verdicts 9 19 Jul 20: 1 verdicts 1 20 Jul 21: 1 verdicts 1 21 Jul 22: 2 verdicts 2 22 Jul 23: 2 verdicts 2 23 Jul 24: 1 verdicts 1 24 Jul 25: 2 verdicts 2 25 Jul 26: 7 verdicts 7 26 Jul 27: 3 verdicts 3 27 Jul 28: 1 verdicts 1 28 Jul 30: 2 verdicts 2 30 Jul 31: 14 verdicts 14 31
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit Lark Davis ·
PUMP ▲
· said Jun 30 · deadline Jul 30 · +40.3% “I think Pump will absolutely have its day to Pump once again but that day is not today unfortunately.”
Biggest miss Suppoman ·
H ▲
· said Jun 02 · deadline Jul 02 · -89.5% “I believe that humanity and WorldCoin are basically 2 to 3x cryptocurrencies.”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 115 ETH 23 SOL 19 HYPE 11 XRP 8 ZEC 8
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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