State of crypto predictions — August 2026
Final numbers for the month. 145 calls reached a deadline the speaker set themselves: 52 hit (36%), 88 missed, 5 stopped out. Across all channels over the last 12 months, 21% of such calls hit. 1985 new calls
were logged by 190 channels (1370 bullish, 564 bearish).
145
resolved on their own deadline
36%
hit on their own deadline
1985
new calls logged
190
channels active
Hit rate by coin · own deadlines
| Coin | Resolved | Hit | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 93 | 30 | 32% |
| ETH | 12 | 8 | 67% |
| SOL | 9 | 5 | 56% |
| XRP | 8 | 2 | 25% |
| TOTAL | 7 | 2 | 29% |
| ADA | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| TAO | 3 | 1 | 33% |
| HYPE | 2 | 2 | 100% |
Hit rate by horizon · own deadlines
| Horizon | Resolved | Hit | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 46 | 13 | 28% |
| 8–30d | 38 | 15 | 39% |
| 31–90d | 35 | 13 | 37% |
| 91–365d | 24 | 9 | 38% |
| >1y | 2 | 2 | 100% |
Verdicts per day · own deadlines
Biggest hit · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out
Crypto Banter ·
LINK ▲ → $12.00
“but over the next couple of weeks i am seeing a push up to the areas of 10 to 12 dollars right but no massive urgency”
Biggest miss · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out
Crypto Capital Venture ·
ETH ▼ → $1,500
“$1,500 is the target. $300 fall for Ethereum. Be prepared for it.”
What was called
| Coin | New calls |
|---|---|
| BTC | 943 |
| ETH | 233 |
| XRP | 230 |
| SOL | 133 |
| TOTAL | 64 |
| HYPE | 48 |