State of crypto predictions — August 2026
Final numbers for the month. 335 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 147 hit (44%) , 162 missed, 26 stopped out. 790 new calls were logged
by 94 channels (534 bullish, 234 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 63 of 167 hit 38% BTC ETH: 18 of 40 hit 45% ETH SOL: 20 of 37 hit 54% SOL XRP: 20 of 30 hit 67% XRP HYPE: 5 of 12 hit 42% HYPE ADA: 4 of 8 hit 50% ADA ZEC: 5 of 7 hit 71% ZEC LINK: 4 of 6 hit 67% LINK Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 167 63 38% ETH 40 18 45% SOL 37 20 54% XRP 30 20 67% HYPE 12 5 42% ADA 8 4 50% ZEC 7 5 71% LINK 6 4 67%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 9 of 44 hit 20% ≤7d 8–30d: 31 of 99 hit 31% 8–30d 31–90d: 100 of 177 hit 56% 31–90d 91–365d: 7 of 14 hit 50% 91–365d >1y: 0 of 1 hit 0% >1y Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 44 9 20% 8–30d 99 31 31% 31–90d 177 100 56% 91–365d 14 7 50% >1y 1 0 0%
Verdicts per day Aug 1: 2 verdicts 2 1 Aug 2: 5 verdicts 5 2 Aug 3: 5 verdicts 5 3 Aug 4: 7 verdicts 7 4 Aug 5: 2 verdicts 2 5 Aug 6: 4 verdicts 4 6 Aug 7: 4 verdicts 4 7 Aug 8: 1 verdicts 1 8 Aug 9: 9 verdicts 9 9 Aug 10: 4 verdicts 4 10 Aug 11: 9 verdicts 9 11 Aug 12: 9 verdicts 9 12 Aug 13: 8 verdicts 8 13 Aug 14: 8 verdicts 8 14 Aug 15: 4 verdicts 4 15 Aug 16: 7 verdicts 7 16 Aug 17: 12 verdicts 12 17 Aug 18: 7 verdicts 7 18 Aug 19: 55 verdicts 55 19 Aug 20: 22 verdicts 22 20 Aug 21: 35 verdicts 35 21 Aug 22: 28 verdicts 28 22 Aug 23: 5 verdicts 5 23 Aug 24: 13 verdicts 13 24 Aug 25: 8 verdicts 8 25 Aug 26: 5 verdicts 5 26 Aug 27: 8 verdicts 8 27 Aug 28: 16 verdicts 16 28 Aug 29: 8 verdicts 8 29 Aug 30: 14 verdicts 14 30 Aug 31: 11 verdicts 11 31
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit Gareth Soloway ·
XRP ▲ → $1.55
· said Aug 11 · deadline Sep 30 · +51.5% “My guess is we're heading all the way back to about $1.55 if the Clarity Act gets passed.”
Biggest miss
“dogecoin can easily easily 10x from here”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 398 ETH 88 XRP 70 SOL 59 TOTAL 35 HYPE 23
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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