they said it. the market answered.
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Benjamin Cowen vs Carl (The Moon): who calls BTC better?

6 times these two channels called the same coin in opposite directions within a week. Head-to-head on those calls: Benjamin Cowen 0 hits, Carl (The Moon) 2 hits. Every call below is quoted, dated and judged against exchange prices on the speaker's own deadline.
Benjamin Cowen 1010K subs
grade · fewer than 20 resolved calls
67%
hit rate · 15 resolved
10/5/0
hit / miss / stopped
54%
30-day direction
Carl (The Moon) 654K subs
D
grade · fade with confidence
32%
hit rate · 95 resolved
30/63/2
hit / miss / stopped
50%
30-day direction

Same coin, opposite calls

BTC · Apr 17, 2026
MISS Benjamin Cowen ▼ → $60,000 (+1.5%) · deadline May 01
“What I think will likely be back to 60K. But I would say the timing on it will likely be within a couple of weeks or so.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $90,000 (+3.0%) · deadline Apr 28
“I believe Bitcoin is going to $90,000 probably within the next two weeks and that would mean we're also then closing that famous gap.”
BTC · Apr 17, 2026
MISS Benjamin Cowen ▼ → $60,000 (+1.5%) · deadline May 01
“What I think will likely be back to 60K. But I would say the timing on it will likely be within a couple of weeks or so.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+3.8%) · deadline Jul 16
“I do believe this has a high potential to shoot up shoot higher towards $80,000 because even when I check the order flow, I'm seeing that you know, there's a lot of strength behind you know”
BTC · Apr 17, 2026
MISS Benjamin Cowen ▼ → $60,000 (+1.5%) · deadline May 01
“What I think will likely be back to 60K. But I would say the timing on it will likely be within a couple of weeks or so.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+0.5%) · deadline May 17
“I personally think that we saw the bottom already. The moment Bitcoin broke down to 60K, like 59.something, I actually made a tweet and a video telling everyone that was the bottom.”
BTC · Feb 12, 2026
MISS Benjamin Cowen ▼ → $40,000 (+19.7%) · deadline May 13
“before Bitcoin gets a durable bull market to all time highs, I would say there's pretty good odds that Bitcoin would drop below the realized price, which is currently at 55K and the balanced price is currently at 40K.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I'm pretty sure a short term bounce back towards 80k here would be very very likely”
BTC · Feb 12, 2026
MISS Benjamin Cowen ▼ → $40,000 (+19.7%) · deadline May 13
“before Bitcoin gets a durable bull market to all time highs, I would say there's pretty good odds that Bitcoin would drop below the realized price, which is currently at 55K and the balanced price is currently at 40K.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+12.2%) · deadline Feb 06
“I do believe that the bounce we're gonna see soon will take us up to 80 K”
BTC · Feb 12, 2026
MISS Benjamin Cowen ▼ → $40,000 (+19.7%) · deadline May 13
“before Bitcoin gets a durable bull market to all time highs, I would say there's pretty good odds that Bitcoin would drop below the realized price, which is currently at 55K and the balanced price is currently at 40K.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $100,000 (-0.7%) · deadline Mar 09
“I think we can go to 100k within a few weeks. I know that right now that doesn't sound like a very possible scenario, but I'm telling you”
Full records: Benjamin Cowen · Carl (The Moon) · all head-to-heads →