they said it. the market answered.
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Bitcoin Adept vs Carl (The Moon): who calls BTC better?

16 times these two channels called the same coin in opposite directions within a week. Head-to-head on those calls: Bitcoin Adept 4 hits, Carl (The Moon) 8 hits. Every call below is quoted, dated and judged against exchange prices on the speaker's own deadline.
Bitcoin Adept 71K subs
C
grade · the target is decoration
20%
hit rate · 73 resolved
15/57/1
hit / miss / stopped
36%
30-day direction
Carl (The Moon) 654K subs
D
grade · fade with confidence
38%
hit rate · 118 resolved
45/68/5
hit / miss / stopped
57%
30-day direction

Same coin, opposite calls

BTC · Sep 22, 2026
STOPPED OUT Bitcoin Adept ▲ → $90,000 (-2.2%) · deadline Dec 21
“Go long BTC 3rd on break of correction and Buy signal. Targets 89-90k. Stop at 84,5k”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▼ → $83,300 (-2.4%) · deadline Sep 28
“And the initial target out of a double top is, of course, like this. So that would mean we go back down to 83.3”
BTC · Mar 02, 2026
MISS Bitcoin Adept ▼ → $43,000 (+7.0%) · deadline May 31
“one move, after the sideways movement, the second move and, possibly, maybe a third move into this area of 43.000 dollars.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+6.9%) · deadline Mar 04
“I think we're looking at a major bounce to take place in the next few days here”
BTC · Mar 02, 2026
MISS Bitcoin Adept ▼ → $43,000 (+7.0%) · deadline May 31
“one move, after the sideways movement, the second move and, possibly, maybe a third move into this area of 43.000 dollars.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $83,000 (+4.8%) · deadline Mar 18
“But what I'm very confident in is that I think we're gonna go to 83,000 now to basically close the CME gap”
BTC · Mar 02, 2026
MISS Bitcoin Adept ▼ → $43,000 (+7.0%) · deadline May 31
“one move, after the sideways movement, the second move and, possibly, maybe a third move into this area of 43.000 dollars.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $71,000 (+4.4%) · deadline Mar 11
“I personally believe that we are going to most likely break back above 71,000 this week or next”
BTC · Mar 02, 2026
MISS Bitcoin Adept ▼ → $43,000 (+7.0%) · deadline May 31
“one move, after the sideways movement, the second move and, possibly, maybe a third move into this area of 43.000 dollars.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+3.8%) · deadline Mar 31
“amazing time to accumulate because we know that Bitcoin will keep going up that's just that's just the fact”
BTC · Feb 18, 2026
MISS Bitcoin Adept ▼ → $48,000 (+15.6%) · deadline May 19
“one should hedge and take part of the altcoins here, right here in this zone, where bitcoin will be around plus-minus 48.000 dollars.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $100,000 (-0.7%) · deadline Mar 09
“I think we can go to 100k within a few weeks. I know that right now that doesn't sound like a very possible scenario, but I'm telling you”
BTC · Feb 18, 2026
MISS Bitcoin Adept ▼ → $48,000 (+15.6%) · deadline May 19
“one should hedge and take part of the altcoins here, right here in this zone, where bitcoin will be around plus-minus 48.000 dollars.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+10.3%) · deadline Mar 25
“I think it's very likely at the very least that from this bottom from this support We get a relief rally”
BTC · Dec 09, 2025
MISS Bitcoin Adept ▲ → $101,000 (-26.2%) · deadline Mar 09
“It's quite likely we can also touch this 50-period moving average. That is, this will be some sort of first barrier. This area is approximately 101.000 dollars.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▼ → $71,000 (-24.0%) · deadline Mar 03
“Bitcoin wants to go down back to 71K probably, retest this high as the new support.”
BTC · Nov 21, 2025
MISS Bitcoin Adept ▲ (+3.0%) · deadline Dec 31
“Though I still expect a reversal. It's November, December, let me just keep that thought burning.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▼ → $85,000 (+4.1%) · deadline Nov 30
“But then in the coming week here, it's very likely that we come back down and fill the gap which will be down here at $85,000.”
BTC · Nov 19, 2025
HIT Bitcoin Adept ▼ (-3.7%) · deadline Dec 19
“Right now, as I already said, we're on the edge in terms of timing, we should go down soon.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+2.0%) · deadline Dec 20
“so basically what I want to tell you right now is that I think going into the four hour time frame here. We could very well see a bit of a bounce here”
BTC · Nov 19, 2025
HIT Bitcoin Adept ▼ (-3.7%) · deadline Dec 19
“Right now, as I already said, we're on the edge in terms of timing, we should go down soon.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $87,000 (-0.5%) · deadline Nov 22
“I think it's likely that today or tomorrow We're gonna see Bitcoin rebound a bit and find some support above 87,000 I can't tell you that's going to happen.”
BTC · Nov 17, 2025
HIT Bitcoin Adept ▼ → $85,000 (-7.8%) · deadline Feb 15
“the lowest level is probably, yeah, I expect that, yes, these are my thoughts, 85.000 dollars.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+2.0%) · deadline Dec 20
“so basically what I want to tell you right now is that I think going into the four hour time frame here. We could very well see a bit of a bounce here”
BTC · Nov 17, 2025
HIT Bitcoin Adept ▼ → $85,000 (-7.8%) · deadline Feb 15
“the lowest level is probably, yeah, I expect that, yes, these are my thoughts, 85.000 dollars.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $87,000 (-0.5%) · deadline Nov 22
“I think it's likely that today or tomorrow We're gonna see Bitcoin rebound a bit and find some support above 87,000 I can't tell you that's going to happen.”
BTC · Nov 12, 2025
MISS Bitcoin Adept ▲ → $200,000 (-13.8%) · deadline Dec 24
“Here's this blue zone, where Bitcoin may go, this is 200.000 dollars. Very high zone. You know what I'm waiting for. This 1601, 180, 200.000 max, let it be.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▼ (-10.2%) · deadline Dec 11
“maybe the pump that we've seen is actually maybe a bit of a fake out and then we'll probably go lower.”
BTC · Sep 01, 2025
MISS Bitcoin Adept ▼ (+4.4%) · deadline Sep 30
“You know that by statistics, our September month should be negative. This is by average values, which were in previous years in all.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $114,000 (+1.3%) · deadline Nov 26
“I opened up a ten million dollar Bitcoin position right here and I am going to hold it at the very least until 114,000.5 that's the target of the inverse head and shoulders but I'm gonna hold it even higher than that”
BTC · Sep 01, 2025
MISS Bitcoin Adept ▼ (+4.4%) · deadline Sep 30
“You know that by statistics, our September month should be negative. This is by average values, which were in previous years in all.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-19.1%) · deadline Dec 31
“if you buy Bitcoin right now, if you long Bitcoin right now and take profits in December you are going to be in profits.”
Full records: Bitcoin Adept · Carl (The Moon) · all head-to-heads →