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Ridvan (GENESIS) vs Carl (The Moon): who calls BTC better?

25 times these two channels called the same coin in opposite directions within a week. Head-to-head on those calls: Ridvan (GENESIS) 18 hits, Carl (The Moon) 8 hits. Every call below is quoted, dated and judged against exchange prices on its deadline. Where the speaker named no deadline, we assumed one, and the verdict is marked “deadline set by Oracle Check”.
—
not graded recently · 0 of 10 in 12 months
40%
hit rate · 200 resolved
79/115/6
hit / miss / stopped
61%
30-day direction
Carl (The Moon) 653K subs
C
grade · below typical, not conclusive · 2/28 (7%) in 12 months
46%
hit rate · 150 resolved
69/73/8
hit / miss / stopped
51%
30-day direction

Same coin, opposite calls

BTC · Mar 14, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ (+4.5%) · deadline Apr 13
“I'm short, a lot of people are short, and that's why the market is getting hammered, I completely agree.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+6.8%) · deadline Jun 14
“the targets Right now In my opinion is actually all the way up at eighty thousand.”
BTC · Mar 05, 2026
STOPPED OUT deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ → $45,000 (+5.8%) · deadline Jun 03
“The next possible drop with a high probability may come where? In the range down to 45 thousand dollars. That is, basically, where Bitcoin would wait and the end of the trend.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+3.8%) · deadline Mar 31
“amazing time to accumulate because we know that Bitcoin will keep going up that's just that's just the fact”
BTC · Feb 23, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ → $45,000 (+19.2%) · deadline May 24
“I expect the last wave of the decline to 45 possibly lower”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+10.3%) · deadline Mar 25
“I think it's very likely at the very least that from this bottom from this support We get a relief rally”
BTC · Feb 23, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ → $45,000 (+19.2%) · deadline May 24
“I expect the last wave of the decline to 45 possibly lower”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+6.9%) · deadline Mar 04
“I think we're looking at a major bounce to take place in the next few days here”
BTC · Feb 23, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ → $45,000 (+19.2%) · deadline May 24
“I expect the last wave of the decline to 45 possibly lower”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $83,000 (+4.8%) · deadline Mar 18
“But what I'm very confident in is that I think we're gonna go to 83,000 now to basically close the CME gap”
BTC · Feb 23, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ → $45,000 (+19.2%) · deadline May 24
“I expect the last wave of the decline to 45 possibly lower”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $71,000 (+4.4%) · deadline Mar 11
“I personally believe that we are going to most likely break back above 71,000 this week or next”
BTC · Feb 23, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ → $45,000 (+19.2%) · deadline May 24
“I expect the last wave of the decline to 45 possibly lower”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+3.8%) · deadline Mar 31
“amazing time to accumulate because we know that Bitcoin will keep going up that's just that's just the fact”
BTC · Jan 30, 2026
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ (-21.9%) · deadline Mar 01
“The price could be dropping by 83 at the moment. I'm down 2000 dollars. But my deposit didn't go anywhere. That is, it stayed at the same level. This gave me the opportunity to hedge, take positions, and distribute volum”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I'm pretty sure a short term bounce back towards 80k here would be very very likely”
BTC · Jan 30, 2026
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ (-21.9%) · deadline Mar 01
“The price could be dropping by 83 at the moment. I'm down 2000 dollars. But my deposit didn't go anywhere. That is, it stayed at the same level. This gave me the opportunity to hedge, take positions, and distribute volum”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I do believe that the bounce we're gonna see soon will take us up to 80 K”
BTC · Nov 17, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ → $85,000 (-7.8%) · deadline Jan 16
“I think the end of this impulse will be around say 85000”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+2.0%) · deadline Dec 20
“so basically what I want to tell you right now is that I think going into the four hour time frame here. We could very well see a bit of a bounce here”
BTC · Nov 17, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ → $85,000 (-7.8%) · deadline Jan 16
“I think the end of this impulse will be around say 85000”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $87,000 (-0.5%) · deadline Nov 22
“I think it's likely that today or tomorrow We're gonna see Bitcoin rebound a bit and find some support above 87,000 I can't tell you that's going to happen.”
BTC · Oct 04, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ → $85,000 (-30.6%) · deadline Dec 03
“The first wave of the decline, it may come all the way down to 85 thousand dollars. Not all at once, it may take two months.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-24.3%) · deadline Dec 02
“I am very confident that Bitcoin will go to 150 200 in the next one two months”
BTC · Oct 04, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ (-12.9%) · deadline Nov 03
“In the next 20, maximum 30 days, in 90 percent of cases, it turned into a bear trend.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-24.3%) · deadline Dec 02
“I am very confident that Bitcoin will go to 150 200 in the next one two months”
BTC · Oct 04, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ → $85,000 (-30.6%) · deadline Dec 03
“The first wave of the decline, it may come all the way down to 85 thousand dollars. Not all at once, it may take two months.”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $143,000 (-27.3%) · deadline Dec 31
“what you can see here is that the target out of this inverse head and shoulders on Bitcoin is If you take it like that pull it up like that the target is $143,000 per Bitcoin”
BTC · Oct 04, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ (-12.9%) · deadline Nov 03
“In the next 20, maximum 30 days, in 90 percent of cases, it turned into a bear trend.”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $143,000 (-27.3%) · deadline Dec 31
“what you can see here is that the target out of this inverse head and shoulders on Bitcoin is If you take it like that pull it up like that the target is $143,000 per Bitcoin”
BTC · Oct 04, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ → $85,000 (-30.6%) · deadline Dec 03
“The first wave of the decline, it may come all the way down to 85 thousand dollars. Not all at once, it may take two months.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $127,000 (-7.7%) · deadline Oct 10
“the target is all the way up here at $127,000. This means in my opinion that Bitcoin is right now about to reach $127,000 probably within the next few days.”
BTC · Oct 04, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ (-12.9%) · deadline Nov 03
“In the next 20, maximum 30 days, in 90 percent of cases, it turned into a bear trend.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $127,000 (-7.7%) · deadline Oct 10
“the target is all the way up here at $127,000. This means in my opinion that Bitcoin is right now about to reach $127,000 probably within the next few days.”
BTC · Oct 04, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ → $85,000 (-30.6%) · deadline Dec 03
“The first wave of the decline, it may come all the way down to 85 thousand dollars. Not all at once, it may take two months.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $200,000 (-29.0%) · deadline Dec 31
“Before the end of the year Bitcoin will go to 200 K. I'm very very certain and Altcoins will follow that's for sure”
BTC · Oct 04, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ → $85,000 (-30.6%) · deadline Dec 03
“The first wave of the decline, it may come all the way down to 85 thousand dollars. Not all at once, it may take two months.”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-17.8%) · deadline Nov 04
“I still think we're gonna go up and meet the target here most likely I mean, we are meeting some resistance, but that's it just looks like that's what's happening right now”
BTC · Oct 04, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ → $85,000 (-30.6%) · deadline Dec 03
“The first wave of the decline, it may come all the way down to 85 thousand dollars. Not all at once, it may take two months.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $300,000 (-29.7%) · deadline Dec 31
“So we look here, end of December means that we could go up to $300,000 in December. And I think that's definitely a possible scenario.”
BTC · Oct 04, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ → $85,000 (-30.6%) · deadline Dec 03
“The first wave of the decline, it may come all the way down to 85 thousand dollars. Not all at once, it may take two months.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $180,000 (-29.7%) · deadline Dec 31
“Because I think that the very lowest possible target for December is $180,000. That's the lowest I can agree to.”
BTC · Oct 04, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ (-12.9%) · deadline Nov 03
“In the next 20, maximum 30 days, in 90 percent of cases, it turned into a bear trend.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $200,000 (-29.0%) · deadline Dec 31
“Before the end of the year Bitcoin will go to 200 K. I'm very very certain and Altcoins will follow that's for sure”
BTC · Oct 04, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ (-12.9%) · deadline Nov 03
“In the next 20, maximum 30 days, in 90 percent of cases, it turned into a bear trend.”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-17.8%) · deadline Nov 04
“I still think we're gonna go up and meet the target here most likely I mean, we are meeting some resistance, but that's it just looks like that's what's happening right now”
BTC · Oct 04, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ (-12.9%) · deadline Nov 03
“In the next 20, maximum 30 days, in 90 percent of cases, it turned into a bear trend.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $300,000 (-29.7%) · deadline Dec 31
“So we look here, end of December means that we could go up to $300,000 in December. And I think that's definitely a possible scenario.”
BTC · Oct 04, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ridvan (GENESIS) ▼ (-12.9%) · deadline Nov 03
“In the next 20, maximum 30 days, in 90 percent of cases, it turned into a bear trend.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $180,000 (-29.7%) · deadline Dec 31
“Because I think that the very lowest possible target for December is $180,000. That's the lowest I can agree to.”