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HAMAHA vs Ilya Mescheryakov: who calls BTC better?

9 times these two channels called the same coin in opposite directions within a week. Head-to-head on those calls: HAMAHA 6 hits, Ilya Mescheryakov 3 hits. Every call below is quoted, dated and judged against exchange prices on its deadline. Where the speaker named no deadline, we assumed one, and the verdict is marked “deadline set by Oracle Check”.
HAMAHA 145K subs
—
not graded recently · 5 of 10 in 12 months
39%
hit rate · 36 resolved
14/22/0
hit / miss / stopped
55%
30-day direction
—
not graded recently · 3 of 10 in 12 months
51%
hit rate · 182 resolved
93/84/5
hit / miss / stopped
54%
30-day direction

Same coin, opposite calls

BTC · Sep 24, 2026
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check HAMAHA ▼ (-4.4%) · deadline Oct 24
“Right now bitcoin is quite overbought. Same as NASDAQ. It's far from the moving averages. Yes, we have a golden cross. But it's overbought. And a correction would not be out of place.”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (-4.4%) · deadline Oct 27
“From a medium-term perspective, well, probably after we get caught in different sides here, I think we could potentially already reach a new high.”
BTC · Jun 04, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check HAMAHA ▼ → $55,000 (+21.1%) · deadline Sep 02
“🐋 Whales won't calm down until Bitcoin falls below $55 000”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (+20.7%) · deadline Sep 01
“Probably, the price will first try to break this level, or break it directly, but not very strongly, that is, form a fake breakout, and then bounce back.”
BTC · Jun 04, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check HAMAHA ▼ → $40,000 (+21.1%) · deadline Sep 02
“by my estimates this could all be lower around 45 closer to 40 if it goes down then wait to release people”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (+20.7%) · deadline Sep 01
“Probably, the price will first try to break this level, or break it directly, but not very strongly, that is, form a fake breakout, and then bounce back.”
ETH · Jun 04, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check HAMAHA ▼ → $1,200 (+35.1%) · deadline Sep 02
“you need to release them all somewhere release them somewhere below 1500 maybe even 1200 maybe even lower than 1200”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (-3.0%) · deadline Jul 03
“It dropped below 1900. It seems like it's approached its main support levels and is ready to bounce locally somehow.”
BTC · Jun 02, 2026
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check HAMAHA ▼ (-7.8%) · deadline Jul 02
“Bitcoin could drop below $60 000, collect a huge pile of stops and liquidations, and then see what's left of the bulls.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (+20.7%) · deadline Sep 01
“Probably, the price will first try to break this level, or break it directly, but not very strongly, that is, form a fake breakout, and then bounce back.”
BTC · Jan 30, 2026
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check HAMAHA ▼ (-21.9%) · deadline Mar 01
“Benbi, ether, bitco. Very bad things are drawing for continuation of the drop down. Ripple, Solana.”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (-6.9%) · deadline Mar 06
“Therefore, all these factors I mentioned, in principle, may indicate that the strength of the rebound from the current price range will be higher than, for example, when we had 86 thousand, or even 84. And it's quite pos”
ETH · Jan 30, 2026
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check HAMAHA ▼ (-28.4%) · deadline Mar 01
“Benbi, ether, bitco. Very bad things are drawing for continuation of the drop down. Ripple, Solana.”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (-6.1%) · deadline Mar 08
“Right now, probably, along with BTC, some selling pressure will be shown.”
BNB · Jan 30, 2026
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check HAMAHA ▼ (-28.0%) · deadline Mar 01
“Benbi, ether, bitco. Very bad things are drawing for continuation of the drop down. Ripple, Solana.”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (+2.0%) · deadline Mar 07
“It's quite possible that something similar will retrace to 636.”
ETH · Oct 30, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check HAMAHA ▼ (-20.9%) · deadline Jan 28
“Or ether will drop from 4 to the knee? All of this you will soon face.”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (-11.8%) · deadline Dec 05
“Most likely, he should draw some kind of rebound right now.”