they said it. the market answered.
Trading these calls?Bybit code LD7WR4EHTX code zhdd2223

IKIGAI vs Carl (The Moon): who calls BTC better?

11 times these two channels called the same coin in opposite directions within a week. Head-to-head on those calls: IKIGAI 5 hits, Carl (The Moon) 4 hits. Every call below is quoted, dated and judged against exchange prices on the speaker's own deadline.
IKIGAI 405K subs
grade · fewer than 20 resolved calls
32%
hit rate · 28 resolved
9/17/2
hit / miss / stopped
46%
30-day direction
Carl (The Moon) 654K subs
D
grade · fade with confidence
32%
hit rate · 95 resolved
30/63/2
hit / miss / stopped
50%
30-day direction

Same coin, opposite calls

BTC · May 10, 2026
HIT IKIGAI ▼ (-24.9%) · deadline Jun 09
“And now, looking at the chart, I see that there's a high probability of the downtrend continuing.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $84,800 (-20.6%) · deadline Aug 09
“I think yeah, it makes more sense to fill the gap up at the close here, which would actually mean that we have to go up a little bit higher before we potentially get any kind of rejection.”
BTC · Feb 09, 2026
MISS IKIGAI ▼ → $15,000 (+17.2%) · deadline May 10
“The next target, which is already more likely for this correction, is the minimum of wave 4. That is, this value, which is located around 15 thousand dollars.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I'm pretty sure a short term bounce back towards 80k here would be very very likely”
BTC · Feb 09, 2026
MISS IKIGAI ▼ → $30,000 (-16.4%) · deadline Jun 30
“The next target is the Fibonacci level 0.618. And again, this is one of the minimal targets of that major degree correction, which I expect. This target is around 30 thousand dollars.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I'm pretty sure a short term bounce back towards 80k here would be very very likely”
BTC · Feb 09, 2026
MISS IKIGAI ▼ → $15,000 (+17.2%) · deadline May 10
“The next target, which is already more likely for this correction, is the minimum of wave 4. That is, this value, which is located around 15 thousand dollars.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+12.2%) · deadline Feb 06
“I do believe that the bounce we're gonna see soon will take us up to 80 K”
BTC · Feb 09, 2026
MISS IKIGAI ▼ → $30,000 (-16.4%) · deadline Jun 30
“The next target is the Fibonacci level 0.618. And again, this is one of the minimal targets of that major degree correction, which I expect. This target is around 30 thousand dollars.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+12.2%) · deadline Feb 06
“I do believe that the bounce we're gonna see soon will take us up to 80 K”
BTC · Feb 09, 2026
MISS IKIGAI ▼ → $15,000 (+17.2%) · deadline May 10
“The next target, which is already more likely for this correction, is the minimum of wave 4. That is, this value, which is located around 15 thousand dollars.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $100,000 (-0.7%) · deadline Mar 09
“I think we can go to 100k within a few weeks. I know that right now that doesn't sound like a very possible scenario, but I'm telling you”
BTC · Feb 09, 2026
MISS IKIGAI ▼ → $30,000 (-16.4%) · deadline Jun 30
“The next target is the Fibonacci level 0.618. And again, this is one of the minimal targets of that major degree correction, which I expect. This target is around 30 thousand dollars.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $100,000 (-0.7%) · deadline Mar 09
“I think we can go to 100k within a few weeks. I know that right now that doesn't sound like a very possible scenario, but I'm telling you”
BTC · Feb 02, 2026
HIT IKIGAI ▼ → $75,000 (-4.8%) · deadline May 03
“We're moving in line with the previous review's expectations, the target is the same — 75000.00.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I'm pretty sure a short term bounce back towards 80k here would be very very likely”
BTC · Feb 02, 2026
HIT IKIGAI ▼ → $75,000 (-4.8%) · deadline May 03
“We're moving in line with the previous review's expectations, the target is the same — 75000.00.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+12.2%) · deadline Feb 06
“I do believe that the bounce we're gonna see soon will take us up to 80 K”
BTC · Aug 31, 2025
HIT IKIGAI ▼ (-16.1%) · deadline Nov 29
“preview is a bit provocative, that is, bitcoin will be zero.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $114,000 (+1.3%) · deadline Nov 26
“I opened up a ten million dollar Bitcoin position right here and I am going to hold it at the very least until 114,000.5 that's the target of the inverse head and shoulders but I'm gonna hold it even higher than that”
BTC · Aug 31, 2025
HIT IKIGAI ▼ (-16.1%) · deadline Nov 29
“preview is a bit provocative, that is, bitcoin will be zero.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-19.1%) · deadline Dec 31
“if you buy Bitcoin right now, if you long Bitcoin right now and take profits in December you are going to be in profits.”
Full records: IKIGAI · Carl (The Moon) · all head-to-heads →