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IKIGAI vs Carl (The Moon): who calls BTC better?

25 times these two channels called the same coin in opposite directions within a week. Head-to-head on those calls: IKIGAI 9 hits, Carl (The Moon) 6 hits. Every call below is quoted, dated and judged against exchange prices on its deadline. Where the speaker named no deadline, we assumed one, and the verdict is marked “deadline set by Oracle Check”.
IKIGAI 405K subs
—
not graded recently · 5 of 10 in 12 months
27%
hit rate · 103 resolved
28/74/1
hit / miss / stopped
50%
30-day direction
Carl (The Moon) 653K subs
C
grade · below typical, not conclusive · 2/28 (7%) in 12 months
46%
hit rate · 150 resolved
69/73/8
hit / miss / stopped
51%
30-day direction

Same coin, opposite calls

BTC · Feb 09, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ → $15,000 (+17.2%) · deadline May 10
“The next target, which is already more likely for this correction, is the minimum of wave 4. That is, this value, which is located around 15 thousand dollars.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I'm pretty sure a short term bounce back towards 80k here would be very very likely”
BTC · Feb 09, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ → $30,000 (+17.2%) · deadline May 10
“The next target is the Fibonacci level 0.618. And again, this is one of the minimal targets of that major degree correction, which I expect. This target is around 30 thousand dollars.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I'm pretty sure a short term bounce back towards 80k here would be very very likely”
BTC · Feb 09, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ → $15,000 (+17.2%) · deadline May 10
“The next target, which is already more likely for this correction, is the minimum of wave 4. That is, this value, which is located around 15 thousand dollars.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I do believe that the bounce we're gonna see soon will take us up to 80 K”
BTC · Feb 09, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ → $30,000 (+17.2%) · deadline May 10
“The next target is the Fibonacci level 0.618. And again, this is one of the minimal targets of that major degree correction, which I expect. This target is around 30 thousand dollars.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I do believe that the bounce we're gonna see soon will take us up to 80 K”
BTC · Feb 09, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ → $15,000 (+17.2%) · deadline May 10
“The next target, which is already more likely for this correction, is the minimum of wave 4. That is, this value, which is located around 15 thousand dollars.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $100,000 (-0.7%) · deadline Mar 09
“I think we can go to 100k within a few weeks. I know that right now that doesn't sound like a very possible scenario, but I'm telling you”
BTC · Feb 09, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ → $30,000 (+17.2%) · deadline May 10
“The next target is the Fibonacci level 0.618. And again, this is one of the minimal targets of that major degree correction, which I expect. This target is around 30 thousand dollars.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $100,000 (-0.7%) · deadline Mar 09
“I think we can go to 100k within a few weeks. I know that right now that doesn't sound like a very possible scenario, but I'm telling you”
BTC · Feb 02, 2026
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ → $75,000 (-4.8%) · deadline May 03
“We're moving in line with the previous review's expectations, the target is the same — 75000.00.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I'm pretty sure a short term bounce back towards 80k here would be very very likely”
BTC · Feb 02, 2026
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ → $75,000 (-4.8%) · deadline May 03
“We're moving in line with the previous review's expectations, the target is the same — 75000.00.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I do believe that the bounce we're gonna see soon will take us up to 80 K”
BTC · Nov 23, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ → $15,000 (-21.7%) · deadline Feb 21
“So the targets for buying are 80 thousand, 60 thousand, 30 thousand and, respectively, 15 thousand.”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+2.0%) · deadline Dec 20
“so basically what I want to tell you right now is that I think going into the four hour time frame here. We could very well see a bit of a bounce here”
BTC · Nov 23, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ → $30,000 (-21.7%) · deadline Feb 21
“So the targets for buying are 80 thousand, 60 thousand, 30 thousand and, respectively, 15 thousand.”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+2.0%) · deadline Dec 20
“so basically what I want to tell you right now is that I think going into the four hour time frame here. We could very well see a bit of a bounce here”
BTC · Nov 23, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ → $80,000 (-7.9%) · deadline Feb 21
“So the targets for buying are 80 thousand, 60 thousand, 30 thousand and, respectively, 15 thousand.”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+2.0%) · deadline Dec 20
“so basically what I want to tell you right now is that I think going into the four hour time frame here. We could very well see a bit of a bounce here”
BTC · Nov 23, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ → $35,000 (-21.7%) · deadline Feb 21
“And the level 0.618 is, accordingly, 35 thousand dollars. That is, the next target is 35 thousand.”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+2.0%) · deadline Dec 20
“so basically what I want to tell you right now is that I think going into the four hour time frame here. We could very well see a bit of a bounce here”
BTC · Nov 23, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ → $60,000 (-30.9%) · deadline Feb 21
“Our next target is at the 0.618 level. This is our value around 60 thousand dollars.”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+2.0%) · deadline Dec 20
“so basically what I want to tell you right now is that I think going into the four hour time frame here. We could very well see a bit of a bounce here”
BTC · Nov 23, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ (+0.8%) · deadline Dec 23
“I still give a very high probability that a bear market is already underway.”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+2.0%) · deadline Dec 20
“so basically what I want to tell you right now is that I think going into the four hour time frame here. We could very well see a bit of a bounce here”
BTC · Nov 23, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ → $15,000 (-21.7%) · deadline Feb 21
“So the targets for buying are 80 thousand, 60 thousand, 30 thousand and, respectively, 15 thousand.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $87,000 (-0.5%) · deadline Nov 22
“I think it's likely that today or tomorrow We're gonna see Bitcoin rebound a bit and find some support above 87,000 I can't tell you that's going to happen.”
BTC · Nov 23, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ → $30,000 (-21.7%) · deadline Feb 21
“So the targets for buying are 80 thousand, 60 thousand, 30 thousand and, respectively, 15 thousand.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $87,000 (-0.5%) · deadline Nov 22
“I think it's likely that today or tomorrow We're gonna see Bitcoin rebound a bit and find some support above 87,000 I can't tell you that's going to happen.”
BTC · Nov 23, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ → $80,000 (-7.9%) · deadline Feb 21
“So the targets for buying are 80 thousand, 60 thousand, 30 thousand and, respectively, 15 thousand.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $87,000 (-0.5%) · deadline Nov 22
“I think it's likely that today or tomorrow We're gonna see Bitcoin rebound a bit and find some support above 87,000 I can't tell you that's going to happen.”
BTC · Nov 23, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ → $35,000 (-21.7%) · deadline Feb 21
“And the level 0.618 is, accordingly, 35 thousand dollars. That is, the next target is 35 thousand.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $87,000 (-0.5%) · deadline Nov 22
“I think it's likely that today or tomorrow We're gonna see Bitcoin rebound a bit and find some support above 87,000 I can't tell you that's going to happen.”
BTC · Nov 23, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ → $60,000 (-30.9%) · deadline Feb 21
“Our next target is at the 0.618 level. This is our value around 60 thousand dollars.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $87,000 (-0.5%) · deadline Nov 22
“I think it's likely that today or tomorrow We're gonna see Bitcoin rebound a bit and find some support above 87,000 I can't tell you that's going to happen.”
BTC · Nov 23, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ (+0.8%) · deadline Dec 23
“I still give a very high probability that a bear market is already underway.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $87,000 (-0.5%) · deadline Nov 22
“I think it's likely that today or tomorrow We're gonna see Bitcoin rebound a bit and find some support above 87,000 I can't tell you that's going to happen.”
BTC · Oct 12, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ (-10.3%) · deadline Nov 11
“I expect a major degree correction on cryptocurrency in the near future.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $300,000 (-29.7%) · deadline Dec 31
“So we look here, end of December means that we could go up to $300,000 in December. And I think that's definitely a possible scenario.”
BTC · Oct 12, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ (-10.3%) · deadline Nov 11
“I expect a major degree correction on cryptocurrency in the near future.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $180,000 (-29.7%) · deadline Dec 31
“Because I think that the very lowest possible target for December is $180,000. That's the lowest I can agree to.”
BTC · Oct 12, 2025
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ (-10.3%) · deadline Nov 11
“I expect a major degree correction on cryptocurrency in the near future.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-27.2%) · deadline Jan 31
“I am still very bullish on Bitcoin for the end of the year or latest January I think January latest will be the final leg up the banana season for Bitcoin and Ethereum and altcoins”
BTC · Jul 18, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ (-0.4%) · deadline Aug 17
“So I assume the current cycle won't be extended. And in the near future we can expect the start of a bear market.”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $160,000 (-4.1%) · deadline Oct 12
“the overall target for Bitcoin is actually heading to now with a very high probability like 92 percent probability 160 thousand dollars”
BTC · Jul 18, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check IKIGAI ▼ (-0.4%) · deadline Aug 17
“So I assume the current cycle won't be extended. And in the near future we can expect the start of a bear market.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-4.7%) · deadline Oct 14
“i do think i truly truly believe that the old coin season and bitcoin in the next few months will absolutely skyrocket”