they said it. the market answered.
Trading these calls?Bybit code LD7WR4EHTX code zhdd2223

Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) vs Carl (The Moon): who calls BTC better?

16 times these two channels called the same coin in opposite directions within a week. Head-to-head on those calls: Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) 6 hits, Carl (The Moon) 5 hits. Every call below is quoted, dated and judged against exchange prices on the speaker's own deadline.
Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) 234K subs
—
grade · fewer than 10 resolved calls
33%
hit rate · 15 resolved
5/10/0
hit / miss / stopped
50%
30-day direction
Carl (The Moon) 654K subs
D
grade · fade with confidence
34%
hit rate · 101 resolved
34/64/3
hit / miss / stopped
52%
30-day direction

Same coin, opposite calls

BTC · Feb 26, 2026
MISS Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $45,000 (+10.3%) · deadline May 27
“And the maximum drop, maybe there, I don't know, to 45.000.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+10.3%) · deadline Mar 25
“I think it's very likely at the very least that from this bottom from this support We get a relief rally”
BTC · Feb 26, 2026
MISS Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $45,000 (+10.3%) · deadline May 27
“And the maximum drop, maybe there, I don't know, to 45.000.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+6.9%) · deadline Mar 04
“I think we're looking at a major bounce to take place in the next few days here”
BTC · Feb 26, 2026
MISS Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $45,000 (+10.3%) · deadline May 27
“And the maximum drop, maybe there, I don't know, to 45.000.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $83,000 (+4.8%) · deadline Mar 18
“But what I'm very confident in is that I think we're gonna go to 83,000 now to basically close the CME gap”
BTC · Feb 26, 2026
MISS Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $45,000 (+10.3%) · deadline May 27
“And the maximum drop, maybe there, I don't know, to 45.000.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $71,000 (+4.4%) · deadline Mar 11
“I personally believe that we are going to most likely break back above 71,000 this week or next”
BTC · Feb 26, 2026
MISS Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $45,000 (+10.3%) · deadline May 27
“And the maximum drop, maybe there, I don't know, to 45.000.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+3.8%) · deadline Mar 31
“amazing time to accumulate because we know that Bitcoin will keep going up that's just that's just the fact”
BTC · Feb 01, 2026
HIT Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ (-11.2%) · deadline Mar 03
“I think bitcoin will drop into this area, maybe after some retracement.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I'm pretty sure a short term bounce back towards 80k here would be very very likely”
BTC · Feb 01, 2026
HIT Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ (-11.2%) · deadline Mar 03
“I think bitcoin will drop into this area, maybe after some retracement.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+12.2%) · deadline Feb 06
“I do believe that the bounce we're gonna see soon will take us up to 80 K”
BTC · Oct 12, 2025
HIT Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $102,000 (-11.3%) · deadline Nov 11
“Первую зону я назвал 102.000 долларов. 102.000, то есть не самый пессимистичный сценарий.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $300,000 (-29.7%) · deadline Dec 31
“So we look here, end of December means that we could go up to $300,000 in December. And I think that's definitely a possible scenario.”
BTC · Oct 12, 2025
HIT Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $102,000 (-11.3%) · deadline Nov 11
“Первую зону я назвал 102.000 долларов. 102.000, то есть не самый пессимистичный сценарий.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $180,000 (-29.7%) · deadline Dec 31
“Because I think that the very lowest possible target for December is $180,000. That's the lowest I can agree to.”
BTC · Oct 12, 2025
HIT Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $102,000 (-11.3%) · deadline Nov 11
“Первую зону я назвал 102.000 долларов. 102.000, то есть не самый пессимистичный сценарий.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-29.7%) · deadline Dec 31
“So why don't you explain to us why we are most likely to see a huge pump towards December.”
BTC · Oct 12, 2025
HIT Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $102,000 (-11.3%) · deadline Nov 11
“Первую зону я назвал 102.000 долларов. 102.000, то есть не самый пессимистичный сценарий.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-27.2%) · deadline Jan 31
“I am still very bullish on Bitcoin for the end of the year or latest January I think January latest will be the final leg up the banana season for Bitcoin and Ethereum and altcoins”
BTC · Jul 13, 2025
MISS Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ (+0.9%) · deadline Aug 12
“я пытаюсь спрогнозировать на много-много шагов вперёд. А то, как поведут себя активы, и я с какой-то вероятностью немалой могу ошибаться. Я это понимаю. Но хренов тот, э, инвестор, который не пытается просчитать все возм”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $160,000 (-4.1%) · deadline Oct 12
“the overall target for Bitcoin is actually heading to now with a very high probability like 92 percent probability 160 thousand dollars”
BTC · Jul 13, 2025
MISS Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ (+0.9%) · deadline Aug 12
“я пытаюсь спрогнозировать на много-много шагов вперёд. А то, как поведут себя активы, и я с какой-то вероятностью немалой могу ошибаться. Я это понимаю. Но хренов тот, э, инвестор, который не пытается просчитать все возм”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-5.9%) · deadline Oct 14
“i do think i truly truly believe that the old coin season and bitcoin in the next few months will absolutely skyrocket”
BTC · May 18, 2025
MISS Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $85,000 (+10.3%) · deadline Aug 16
“должен был по-хорошему составить примерно процентов 400. То есть рост биткоина куда-то в направлении 85.000 долларов.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $130,000 (-4.9%) · deadline Aug 20
“long story short the target is 130 thousand dollars”
BTC · May 18, 2025
MISS Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $85,000 (+10.3%) · deadline Aug 16
“должен был по-хорошему составить примерно процентов 400. То есть рост биткоина куда-то в направлении 85.000 долларов.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $300,000 (-27.0%) · deadline Dec 31
“And I believe this year, Bitcoin will go to $300,000, maybe even $500,000.”
BTC · May 18, 2025
MISS Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $85,000 (+10.3%) · deadline Aug 16
“должен был по-хорошему составить примерно процентов 400. То есть рост биткоина куда-то в направлении 85.000 долларов.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-2.8%) · deadline Jun 06
“Bitcoin is still in a very strong uptrend here on the four hour timeframe. So we should expect Bitcoin to keep pumping in the next couple of weeks.”
Full records: Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) · Carl (The Moon) · all head-to-heads →