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Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) vs Carl (The Moon): who calls BTC better?

13 times these two channels called the same coin in opposite directions within a week. Head-to-head on those calls: Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) 2 hits, Carl (The Moon) 2 hits. Every call below is quoted, dated and judged against exchange prices on its deadline. Where the speaker named no deadline, we assumed one, and the verdict is marked “deadline set by Oracle Check”.
—
not graded recently · 1 of 10 in 12 months
41%
hit rate · 74 resolved
30/43/1
hit / miss / stopped
42%
30-day direction
Carl (The Moon) 653K subs
C
grade · below typical, not conclusive · 2/28 (7%) in 12 months
46%
hit rate · 151 resolved
69/74/8
hit / miss / stopped
51%
30-day direction

Same coin, opposite calls

BTC · Feb 01, 2026
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $64,000 (-16.9%) · deadline May 02
“And on this background, a collapse towards 64 thousand dollars.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I'm pretty sure a short term bounce back towards 80k here would be very very likely”
BTC · Feb 01, 2026
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $64,000 (-16.9%) · deadline May 02
“And on this background, a collapse towards 64 thousand dollars.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I do believe that the bounce we're gonna see soon will take us up to 80 K”
BTC · Sep 07, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $60,000 (-19.7%) · deadline Dec 06
“Bitcoin will drop to around 60 thousand dollars sharply. And exactly at this moment suddenly realize that it's pointless to risk on bitcoin.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $250,000 (-24.5%) · deadline Dec 31
“My December prediction for Bitcoin is $250,000 in December. I think it's possible. Not sure how likely it is, but it is for sure possible.”
BTC · Jul 13, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $50,000 (+0.9%) · deadline Aug 12
“bitcoin, first movement, which will make, it will drop, maybe aggressively, aggressively, into the 50-70 thousand dollar zone”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $160,000 (-4.1%) · deadline Oct 12
“the overall target for Bitcoin is actually heading to now with a very high probability like 92 percent probability 160 thousand dollars”
BTC · Jul 13, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $50,000 (+0.9%) · deadline Aug 12
“bitcoin, first movement, which will make, it will drop, maybe aggressively, aggressively, into the 50-70 thousand dollar zone”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-4.7%) · deadline Oct 14
“i do think i truly truly believe that the old coin season and bitcoin in the next few months will absolutely skyrocket”
BTC · Jul 13, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $20,000 (-7.1%) · deadline Oct 11
“the price of bitcoin, in my opinion, definitely, definitely will crash, crash, and, probably, the end goal will be, at least, the area around 20 thousand dollars”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $160,000 (-4.1%) · deadline Oct 12
“the overall target for Bitcoin is actually heading to now with a very high probability like 92 percent probability 160 thousand dollars”
BTC · Jul 13, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $20,000 (-7.1%) · deadline Oct 11
“the price of bitcoin, in my opinion, definitely, definitely will crash, crash, and, probably, the end goal will be, at least, the area around 20 thousand dollars”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-4.7%) · deadline Oct 14
“i do think i truly truly believe that the old coin season and bitcoin in the next few months will absolutely skyrocket”
BTC · May 18, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $85,000 (-1.8%) · deadline Jun 17
“So the rise of bitcoin somewhere towards 85 thousand dollars. We are currently trading higher.”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $130,000 (+2.3%) · deadline Aug 20
“long story short the target is 130 thousand dollars”
BTC · May 18, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $85,000 (-1.8%) · deadline Jun 17
“So the rise of bitcoin somewhere towards 85 thousand dollars. We are currently trading higher.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $300,000 (-18.3%) · deadline Dec 31
“And I believe this year, Bitcoin will go to $300,000, maybe even $500,000.”
BTC · May 18, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ → $85,000 (-1.8%) · deadline Jun 17
“So the rise of bitcoin somewhere towards 85 thousand dollars. We are currently trading higher.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-2.8%) · deadline Jun 06
“Bitcoin is still in a very strong uptrend here on the four hour timeframe. So we should expect Bitcoin to keep pumping in the next couple of weeks.”
BTC · May 18, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ (-1.8%) · deadline Jun 17
“I'm more in favor of the idea that Bitcoin is probably in a global reversal.”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $130,000 (+2.3%) · deadline Aug 20
“long story short the target is 130 thousand dollars”
BTC · May 18, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ (-1.8%) · deadline Jun 17
“I'm more in favor of the idea that Bitcoin is probably in a global reversal.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $300,000 (-18.3%) · deadline Dec 31
“And I believe this year, Bitcoin will go to $300,000, maybe even $500,000.”
BTC · May 18, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Rafael (Slezy Satoshi) ▼ (-1.8%) · deadline Jun 17
“I'm more in favor of the idea that Bitcoin is probably in a global reversal.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (-2.8%) · deadline Jun 06
“Bitcoin is still in a very strong uptrend here on the four hour timeframe. So we should expect Bitcoin to keep pumping in the next couple of weeks.”