State of crypto predictions — December 2024
Final numbers for the month. 31 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 8 hit (26%) , 23 missed, 0 stopped out. 44 new calls were logged
by 6 channels (33 bullish, 11 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 4 of 9 hit 44% BTC TURBO: 0 of 5 hit 0% TURBO SOL: 0 of 4 hit 0% SOL ETH: 2 of 4 hit 50% ETH ICP: 0 of 1 hit 0% ICP ATOM: 0 of 1 hit 0% ATOM BONK: 1 of 1 hit 100% BONK LTC: 0 of 1 hit 0% LTC Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 9 4 44% TURBO 5 0 0% SOL 4 0 0% ETH 4 2 50% ICP 1 0 0% ATOM 1 0 0% BONK 1 1 100% LTC 1 0 0%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 0 of 4 hit 0% ≤7d 8–30d: 2 of 13 hit 15% 8–30d 31–90d: 4 of 10 hit 40% 31–90d 91–365d: 2 of 3 hit 67% 91–365d >1y: 0 of 1 hit 0% >1y Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 4 0 0% 8–30d 13 2 15% 31–90d 10 4 40% 91–365d 3 2 67% >1y 1 0 0%
Verdicts per day Dec 5: 3 verdicts 3 5 Dec 11: 1 verdicts 1 11 Dec 13: 3 verdicts 3 13 Dec 16: 1 verdicts 1 16 Dec 17: 1 verdicts 1 17 Dec 18: 3 verdicts 3 18 Dec 23: 1 verdicts 1 23 Dec 24: 1 verdicts 1 24 Dec 25: 1 verdicts 1 25 Dec 30: 4 verdicts 4 30 Dec 31: 12 verdicts 12 31
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit
“я жду в диапазон от 150 до 250 долларов да возможно будет что-то больше в случае лишь Преодоление отметки 65 долларов”
Biggest miss MALOLETOFF ·
APEX ▲ → $10.00
· said May 25 · deadline Dec 31 · -48.7% “by the end of the year Apex, well, there 10 dollars looks completely realistic, this is the minimum there according to my expectations.”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 16 TURBO 7 TOTAL 6 ETH 4 ORDI 3 SOL 2
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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