State of crypto predictions — July 2025
Final numbers for the month. 41 calls reached a deadline the speaker set themselves: 23 hit (56%), 17 missed, 1 stopped out. Across all channels over the last 12 months, 21% of such calls hit. 404 new calls
were logged by 63 channels (359 bullish, 40 bearish).
41
resolved on their own deadline
56%
hit on their own deadline
404
new calls logged
63
channels active
Hit rate by coin · own deadlines
| Coin | Resolved | Hit | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 29 | 16 | 55% |
| ETH | 5 | 3 | 60% |
| XRP | 3 | 2 | 67% |
| CHILLGUY | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| BCH | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| ALGO | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| AVAX | 1 | 0 | 0% |
Hit rate by horizon · own deadlines
| Horizon | Resolved | Hit | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | 3 | 50% |
| 8–30d | 9 | 4 | 44% |
| 31–90d | 7 | 2 | 29% |
| 91–365d | 18 | 14 | 78% |
| >1y | 1 | 0 | 0% |
Verdicts per day · own deadlines
Biggest hit · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out
Artyom Mikoshi ·
BTC ▲ → $120,000
“Clearly, right now this metric is saying that somewhere around 95, but I think again, it's over 120 thousand dollars. Maybe it's 140, maybe even more.”
Biggest miss · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out
Drew Weidert Basement ·
AVAX ▲ → $200.00
“I am confident that Avalanche can reach a $200 per token price mark in this bull market, hitting new all-time highs during the peak of this bull run.”
What was called
| Coin | New calls |
|---|---|
| BTC | 125 |
| ETH | 69 |
| XRP | 31 |
| SOL | 26 |
| TOTAL | 14 |
| DOGE | 9 |