they said it. the market answered.
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Trading these calls?Bybit code LD7WR4EHTX code zhdd2223

State of crypto predictions — September 2025

Final numbers for the month. 64 calls reached a deadline the speaker set themselves: 15 hit (23%), 46 missed, 3 stopped out. Across all channels over the last 12 months, 21% of such calls hit. 378 new calls were logged by 71 channels (300 bullish, 71 bearish).
64
resolved on their own deadline
23%
hit on their own deadline
378
new calls logged
71
channels active
Counting every deadline, including the ones we assumed when the speaker named none (30 days for a direction, 90 with a target), 264 calls resolved and 84 hit (32%). That share mixes in our assumed windows, so it is not comparable with channel grades, which count only the deadline the speaker set.

Hit rate by coin · own deadlines

BTC: 4 of 24 hit17%BTCSOL: 2 of 10 hit20%SOLETH: 2 of 9 hit22%ETHTOTAL: 2 of 3 hit67%TOTALXRP: 1 of 2 hit50%XRPICP: 0 of 2 hit0%ICPVET: 0 of 1 hit0%VETHYPE: 0 of 1 hit0%HYPE
CoinResolvedHitHit rate
BTC24417%
SOL10220%
ETH9222%
TOTAL3267%
XRP2150%
ICP200%
VET100%
HYPE100%

Hit rate by horizon · own deadlines

≤7d: 2 of 16 hit12%≤7d8–30d: 2 of 14 hit14%8–30d31–90d: 5 of 18 hit28%31–90d91–365d: 6 of 15 hit40%91–365d>1y: 0 of 1 hit0%>1y
HorizonResolvedHitHit rate
≤7d16212%
8–30d14214%
31–90d18528%
91–365d15640%
>1y100%

Verdicts per day · own deadlines

Sep 1: 3 verdicts31Sep 2: 3 verdicts32Sep 3: 4 verdicts43Sep 5: 3 verdicts35Sep 7: 1 verdicts17Sep 8: 1 verdicts18Sep 11: 3 verdicts311Sep 12: 1 verdicts112Sep 14: 3 verdicts314Sep 15: 4 verdicts415Sep 17: 4 verdicts417Sep 18: 3 verdicts318Sep 19: 1 verdicts119Sep 20: 5 verdicts520Sep 21: 1 verdicts121Sep 22: 3 verdicts322Sep 25: 2 verdicts225Sep 26: 2 verdicts226Sep 28: 6 verdicts628Sep 29: 1 verdicts129Sep 30: 10 verdicts1030

Biggest hit · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out

The Crypto Trading Channel · SOL ▲ → $250.00 · said Sep 05, 2025 · deadline Sep 19, 2025 · +22.9% · touched $250.00 intraday, closed at $247.50
“I was talking about the possibility last stream that it works its way up towards $250. I really have a feeling that in the next couple of weeks, we're going to see it.”

Biggest miss · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out

We Trade Waves · BCH ▲ → $800.00 · said Aug 13, 2025 · deadline Sep 30, 2025 · -9.0%
“BCH. This is going to go to the upside anyway. There's no question about it. 800 is where I'm expecting this reaction to be.”

What was called

CoinNew calls
BTC119
ETH58
SOL47
TOTAL18
LINK16
XRP13
Method: how calls are logged and judged · data: open data · all reports →
Cite as: Oracle Check, “State of crypto predictions — September 2025”, oraclecheck.com/report/2025-09.html