State of crypto predictions — February 2026
Final numbers for the month. 37 calls from tracked channels reached their
deadline: 16 hit (43%) , 20 missed, 1 stopped out. 82 new calls were logged
by 14 channels (46 bullish, 34 bearish).
Hit rate by coin BTC: 13 of 26 hit 50% BTC ETH: 1 of 4 hit 25% ETH ZEC: 1 of 2 hit 50% ZEC SOL: 0 of 2 hit 0% SOL DYDX: 1 of 1 hit 100% DYDX TWT: 0 of 1 hit 0% TWT HYPE: 0 of 1 hit 0% HYPE Coin Resolved Hit Hit rate BTC 26 13 50% ETH 4 1 25% ZEC 2 1 50% SOL 2 0 0% DYDX 1 1 100% TWT 1 0 0% HYPE 1 0 0%
Hit rate by horizon ≤7d: 1 of 6 hit 17% ≤7d 8–30d: 4 of 11 hit 36% 8–30d 31–90d: 6 of 14 hit 43% 31–90d 91–365d: 4 of 5 hit 80% 91–365d >1y: 1 of 1 hit 100% >1y Horizon Resolved Hit Hit rate ≤7d 6 1 17% 8–30d 11 4 36% 31–90d 14 6 43% 91–365d 5 4 80% >1y 1 1 100%
Verdicts per day Feb 1: 1 verdicts 1 1 Feb 3: 3 verdicts 3 3 Feb 5: 5 verdicts 5 5 Feb 6: 4 verdicts 4 6 Feb 7: 1 verdicts 1 7 Feb 8: 3 verdicts 3 8 Feb 9: 1 verdicts 1 9 Feb 11: 1 verdicts 1 11 Feb 12: 1 verdicts 1 12 Feb 13: 1 verdicts 1 13 Feb 14: 2 verdicts 2 14 Feb 15: 1 verdicts 1 15 Feb 21: 2 verdicts 2 21 Feb 22: 4 verdicts 4 22 Feb 23: 3 verdicts 3 23 Feb 25: 2 verdicts 2 25 Feb 27: 1 verdicts 1 27 Feb 28: 1 verdicts 1 28
Channels this month · at least 5 verdicts
Biggest hit Bitcoin Adept ·
DYDX ▼ → $0.20
· said Feb 11 · deadline Dec 31 · +99.6% “But, nothing, it fell 100 times less, here was the mark, and, 20 cents, this is 100 times less. Can it come here? Yes, easily.”
Biggest miss HAMAHA ·
ZEC ▲
· said Jan 08 · deadline Feb 07 · -43.0% “📉 ZEC and PUMPFUN are falling — I'm buying. Today these 2 coins are under my attention.”
What was called Coin New calls BTC 58 ETH 9 SOL 4 SUI 2 XRP 2 TOTAL 2
Every call is transcribed from a public video with a timestamp and checked against exchange data
(Binance/Bybit daily candles). Accuracy = share of resolved calls that hit. Nothing here is financial advice.
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