State of crypto predictions — February 2026
Final numbers for the month. 41 calls reached a deadline the speaker set themselves: 18 hit (44%), 22 missed, 1 stopped out. Across all channels over the last 12 months, 21% of such calls hit. 482 new calls
were logged by 99 channels (240 bullish, 223 bearish).
41
resolved on their own deadline
44%
hit on their own deadline
482
new calls logged
99
channels active
Hit rate by coin · own deadlines
| Coin | Resolved | Hit | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 28 | 14 | 50% |
| ETH | 4 | 1 | 25% |
| XRP | 4 | 2 | 50% |
| TOTAL | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| EIGEN | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| MON | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| SOL | 1 | 0 | 0% |
Hit rate by horizon · own deadlines
| Horizon | Resolved | Hit | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | 6 | 43% |
| 8–30d | 8 | 2 | 25% |
| 31–90d | 9 | 4 | 44% |
| 91–365d | 7 | 3 | 43% |
| >1y | 3 | 3 | 100% |
Verdicts per day · own deadlines
Biggest hit · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out
HAMAHA ·
BTC ▼ → $60,000
“And ideally, he has a path of thousands up to 60, or even 40 for the next year and a half.”
Biggest miss · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out
The Crypto Mark ·
BTC ▲ → $100,000
“I think that we can get back to $100,000 in January.”
What was called
| Coin | New calls |
|---|---|
| BTC | 313 |
| ETH | 56 |
| SOL | 25 |
| XRP | 20 |
| TOTAL | 16 |
| ADA | 8 |