State of crypto predictions — March 2026
Final numbers for the month. 70 calls reached a deadline the speaker set themselves: 13 hit (19%), 56 missed, 1 stopped out. Across all channels over the last 12 months, 21% of such calls hit. 526 new calls
were logged by 106 channels (280 bullish, 229 bearish).
70
resolved on their own deadline
19%
hit on their own deadline
526
new calls logged
106
channels active
Hit rate by coin · own deadlines
| Coin | Resolved | Hit | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 53 | 12 | 23% |
| TOTAL | 7 | 0 | 0% |
| ETH | 5 | 1 | 20% |
| ADA | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| DOGE | 2 | 0 | 0% |
Hit rate by horizon · own deadlines
| Horizon | Resolved | Hit | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | 4 | 24% |
| 8–30d | 19 | 6 | 32% |
| 31–90d | 15 | 1 | 7% |
| 91–365d | 17 | 1 | 6% |
| >1y | 2 | 1 | 50% |
Verdicts per day · own deadlines
Biggest hit · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out
Benjamin Cowen ·
BTC ▲ → $74,000
“we should see a short-term rally but it is not it's likely not a rally to a durable new all-time high it doesn't mean you can't see Bitcoin go higher right like and you could see it go back above 70k go to 75k who knows how high it will go”
Biggest miss · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out
On The Go Crypto ·
BTC ▲ → $175,000
“sometime between now and the end of Q1 of 26, I think that BTC ends up around 175 plus.”
What was called
| Coin | New calls |
|---|---|
| BTC | 309 |
| ETH | 59 |
| XRP | 29 |
| SOL | 26 |
| TOTAL | 13 |
| DOGE | 13 |