they said it. the market answered.
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State of crypto predictions — November 2026

Month to date, updated hourly. 40 calls reached a deadline the speaker set themselves so far: 3 hit (8%), 37 missed, 0 stopped out. Across all channels over the last 12 months, 21% of such calls hit. 344 new calls were logged by 100 channels (209 bullish, 117 bearish).
40
resolved on their own deadline
8%
hit on their own deadline
344
new calls logged
100
channels active
Counting every deadline, including the ones we assumed when the speaker named none (30 days for a direction, 90 with a target), 217 calls resolved so far and 55 hit (25%). That share mixes in our assumed windows, so it is not comparable with channel grades, which count only the deadline the speaker set.

Hit rate by coin · own deadlines

BTC: 2 of 23 hit9%BTCTOTAL: 1 of 6 hit17%TOTALETH: 0 of 4 hit0%ETHXRP: 0 of 3 hit0%XRPHYPE: 0 of 2 hit0%HYPEBCH: 0 of 1 hit0%BCHARB: 0 of 1 hit0%ARB
CoinResolvedHitHit rate
BTC2329%
TOTAL6117%
ETH400%
XRP300%
HYPE200%
BCH100%
ARB100%

Hit rate by horizon · own deadlines

≤7d: 2 of 14 hit14%≤7d8–30d: 0 of 15 hit0%8–30d31–90d: 0 of 7 hit0%31–90d91–365d: 1 of 4 hit25%91–365d
HorizonResolvedHitHit rate
≤7d14214%
8–30d1500%
31–90d700%
91–365d4125%

Verdicts per day · own deadlines

Nov 1: 12 verdicts121Nov 2: 12 verdicts122Nov 3: 16 verdicts163

Biggest miss · deadline set by the speaker, a week or more out

Krown · ETH ▲ → $3,000 · said Oct 02, 2026 · deadline Nov 01, 2026 · -14.7%
“I think I, I still think it's going above $3,000, uh, this month would not be surprising at all.”

What was called

CoinNew calls
BTC119
XRP35
ETH35
SOL17
TOTAL9
HYPE9
Method: how calls are logged and judged · data: open data · all reports →
Cite as: Oracle Check, “State of crypto predictions — November 2026”, oraclecheck.com/report/2026-11.html