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The Crypto Trading Channel vs Ilya Mescheryakov: who calls BTC better?

18 times these two channels called the same coin in opposite directions within a week. Head-to-head on those calls: The Crypto Trading Channel 6 hits, Ilya Mescheryakov 13 hits. Every call below is quoted, dated and judged against exchange prices on its deadline. Where the speaker named no deadline, we assumed one, and the verdict is marked “deadline set by Oracle Check”.
C
grade · below typical, not conclusive · 1/18 (6%) in 12 months
30%
hit rate · 88 resolved
26/52/10
hit / miss / stopped
32%
30-day direction
—
not graded recently · 3 of 10 in 12 months
51%
hit rate · 182 resolved
93/84/5
hit / miss / stopped
54%
30-day direction

Same coin, opposite calls

BTC · Sep 30, 2026
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check The Crypto Trading Channel ▼ (-6.8%) · deadline Oct 30
“BITCOIN 83K BOTTOM OR LOWER TO COME🧐?! LIVE CRYPTO PRICE ANALYSIS!!!”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (-4.4%) · deadline Oct 27
“From a medium-term perspective, well, probably after we get caught in different sides here, I think we could potentially already reach a new high.”
BTC · Sep 30, 2026
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check The Crypto Trading Channel ▼ (-6.8%) · deadline Oct 30
“BITCOIN 83K BOTTOM OR LOWER TO COME🧐?! LIVE CRYPTO PRICE ANALYSIS!!!”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (-6.3%) · deadline Nov 04
“Most likely, there will be a touch, either today by evening, or today until tomorrow's evening. After that, there may be a light touch to knock out buyers. First with a light touch. Then give a sharp rise.”
ETH · Aug 22, 2026
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check The Crypto Trading Channel ▲ (+14.6%) · deadline Sep 21
“Ethereum continued pushing and actually broke another major resistance level while taking my long from yesterday with it.”
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (+13.2%) · deadline Sep 19
“The next level is fairly strong for ether, which we can observe here. This is around 2400-2420 dollars. With a high probability, this level will be reached.”
HYPE · Jun 25, 2026
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check The Crypto Trading Channel ▲ (+46.7%) · deadline Sep 23
“Basically, hype is one of those coins that I'm quite bullish on hype overall. I think that it'll continue to do well.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (-10.4%) · deadline Jul 22
“However, we can see that the hype is already being broken very hard, and this, like the previous signals, gives subtle hints that it's more likely now that we're already in a distribution zone.”
BTC · Jun 06, 2026
MISS The Crypto Trading Channel ▼ → $30,000 (+27.1%) · deadline Oct 30
“I think it's very possible that we end up seeing Bitcoin around $40,000 to even $30,000 by next October, which would be in the next few months here, basically.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (+20.7%) · deadline Sep 01
“Probably, the price will first try to break this level, or break it directly, but not very strongly, that is, form a fake breakout, and then bounce back.”
BTC · Jun 04, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check The Crypto Trading Channel ▼ (-1.2%) · deadline Jul 04
“there was really no reason at that point that we had to go higher. At that point, I start targeting lower into the bigger range, right?”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (+20.7%) · deadline Sep 01
“Probably, the price will first try to break this level, or break it directly, but not very strongly, that is, form a fake breakout, and then bounce back.”
BTC · Jun 02, 2026
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check The Crypto Trading Channel ▼ (-7.8%) · deadline Jul 02
“I think it could end up pushing significantly lower.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (+20.7%) · deadline Sep 01
“Probably, the price will first try to break this level, or break it directly, but not very strongly, that is, form a fake breakout, and then bounce back.”
BTC · May 27, 2026
MISS The Crypto Trading Channel ▼ → $40,000 (+4.2%) · deadline Oct 31
“I think 40k in October is very possible. Is it probable? Maybe not, but possible? Absolutely.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▲ (+20.7%) · deadline Sep 01
“Probably, the price will first try to break this level, or break it directly, but not very strongly, that is, form a fake breakout, and then bounce back.”
BTC · May 23, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check The Crypto Trading Channel ▲ (-16.6%) · deadline Jun 22
“The fact that we're still holding this, a bounce from here is totally reasonable, because we have not broke the uptrend on the daily yet.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $71,500 (-7.2%) · deadline Aug 16
“And yet, the assumptions at the moment are built around the idea that sellers will dominate. And, most likely, they'll push the price to the upper boundary of the previous sideways movement. This is $71500.”
BTC · May 23, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check The Crypto Trading Channel ▲ (-16.6%) · deadline Jun 22
“The fact that we're still holding this, a bounce from here is totally reasonable, because we have not broke the uptrend on the daily yet.”
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (-0.2%) · deadline May 19
“We see that consolidation is continuing around 76,000, so there's a high probability that the level will be broken. Moreover, it's likely to be broken within the horizon of today's or tomorrow's day.”
SOL · May 23, 2026
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check The Crypto Trading Channel ▲ → $87.58 (+2.1%) · deadline Aug 21
“And now I would expect the first target, basically the 0.5 fib around 87.58 approximately.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $78.00 (-8.6%) · deadline Aug 16
“Most likely we're going to face a pullback from 78. And before 78, there's probably a small pullback from $81-$82.”
BTC · May 12, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check The Crypto Trading Channel ▲ → $90,000 (-21.0%) · deadline Jun 11
“And so for me currently, the fact that we're closing daily candles above 80k, I see no reason why we couldn't end up flying up towards 90k.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $71,500 (-7.2%) · deadline Aug 16
“And yet, the assumptions at the moment are built around the idea that sellers will dominate. And, most likely, they'll push the price to the upper boundary of the previous sideways movement. This is $71500.”
BTC · May 12, 2026
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check The Crypto Trading Channel ▲ → $90,000 (-21.0%) · deadline Jun 11
“And so for me currently, the fact that we're closing daily candles above 80k, I see no reason why we couldn't end up flying up towards 90k.”
MISS Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (-0.2%) · deadline May 19
“We see that consolidation is continuing around 76,000, so there's a high probability that the level will be broken. Moreover, it's likely to be broken within the horizon of today's or tomorrow's day.”
BTC · Aug 26, 2025
MISS The Crypto Trading Channel ▲ (-42.1%) · deadline Jul 15
“Um, hopefully I say this right? BTC will pump till mid July.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $106,000 (-9.3%) · deadline Nov 20
“And we're back to the same range, which has already been heavily talked about. 106-110 thousand. From which there might be some interesting bounce.”
BTC · Aug 26, 2025
MISS The Crypto Trading Channel ▲ (-42.1%) · deadline Jul 15
“Um, hopefully I say this right? BTC will pump till mid July.”
HIT Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (-4.6%) · deadline Aug 25
“Well, considering that it's the weekend now, probably, it will fix a bit this very same increase, that is, there will be some further decline more likely.”
BTC · Aug 26, 2025
MISS The Crypto Trading Channel ▲ (-42.1%) · deadline Jul 15
“Um, hopefully I say this right? BTC will pump till mid July.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $90,000 (-19.1%) · deadline Nov 25
“Then it will be like around 100 thousand dollars. Then there 90, for example, with something thousand dollars.”
ETH · Aug 26, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check The Crypto Trading Channel ▲ (-15.8%) · deadline Sep 25
“I see no reason why Ethereum would stop before 3,500 or so.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ → $3,800 (-21.4%) · deadline Nov 20
“I'm looking more towards the 3800 dollar range. Why? Because, as I already said, the current formation looks too overplayed and naive”
ETH · Aug 26, 2025
MISS deadline set by Oracle Check The Crypto Trading Channel ▲ (-15.8%) · deadline Sep 25
“I see no reason why Ethereum would stop before 3,500 or so.”
HIT deadline set by Oracle Check Ilya Mescheryakov ▼ (-12.1%) · deadline Sep 22
“Therefore, in general, we see a correction. More likely, this correction will continue. Perhaps, it may absorb 50 and more percent of the impulse.”