they said it. the market answered.
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Josh's Finance vs Carl (The Moon): who calls BTC better?

39 times these two channels called the same coin in opposite directions within a week. Head-to-head on those calls: Josh's Finance 4 hits, Carl (The Moon) 31 hits. Every call below is quoted, dated and judged against exchange prices on the speaker's own deadline.
B
grade · roughly one call in four
40%
hit rate · 105 resolved
42/60/3
hit / miss / stopped
32%
30-day direction
Carl (The Moon) 654K subs
D
grade · fade with confidence
38%
hit rate · 118 resolved
45/68/5
hit / miss / stopped
57%
30-day direction

Same coin, opposite calls

BTC · Aug 20, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+12.1%) · deadline Sep 19
“Some of the price is still trading above the upper Bellindra bands on both timeframes, meaning it's short-term overbought and due for at least a pause or a short-term pullback coming eventually.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+18.1%) · deadline Sep 17
“Bitcoin is bottoming out. It's just going to take time for it to pump.”
BTC · Aug 20, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+12.1%) · deadline Sep 19
“Some of the price is still trading above the upper Bellindra bands on both timeframes, meaning it's short-term overbought and due for at least a pause or a short-term pullback coming eventually.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $76,000 (+9.6%) · deadline Nov 17
“Now, I am still expecting this inverse head and shoulders to soon result to the upside. So, my target is still $76,000.”
BTC · Aug 20, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+12.1%) · deadline Sep 19
“Some of the price is still trading above the upper Bellindra bands on both timeframes, meaning it's short-term overbought and due for at least a pause or a short-term pullback coming eventually.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $82,000 (+4.7%) · deadline Nov 19
“So I believe Bitcoin is going to 82,000 right now in this immediate short term.”
BTC · Aug 20, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+12.1%) · deadline Sep 19
“Some of the price is still trading above the upper Bellindra bands on both timeframes, meaning it's short-term overbought and due for at least a pause or a short-term pullback coming eventually.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+2.6%) · deadline Sep 20
“I think Bitcoin will keep going up. And I think Ethereum will even outperform Bitcoin potentially,”
BTC · Aug 20, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+12.1%) · deadline Sep 19
“Some of the price is still trading above the upper Bellindra bands on both timeframes, meaning it's short-term overbought and due for at least a pause or a short-term pullback coming eventually.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $81,800 (+3.5%) · deadline Nov 22
“I put a blue line here in the chart to illustrate some resistance because there is a lot of resistance just about at this level, and this level is the level of $81,800.”
BTC · Aug 20, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+12.1%) · deadline Sep 19
“Some of the price is still trading above the upper Bellindra bands on both timeframes, meaning it's short-term overbought and due for at least a pause or a short-term pullback coming eventually.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $84,000 (+6.3%) · deadline Nov 24
“Because even though it's possible, we go one more small leg up to like 82, 83, maybe 84,000.”
BTC · Aug 20, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+12.1%) · deadline Sep 19
“Some of the price is still trading above the upper Bellindra bands on both timeframes, meaning it's short-term overbought and due for at least a pause or a short-term pullback coming eventually.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+6.4%) · deadline Sep 25
“I think this is the bottom. I believe this is a very, very likely the bottom for Bitcoin, and right now I think is a fantastic opportunity to open up big long positions.”
BTC · Aug 17, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+18.1%) · deadline Sep 16
“this is going to be very supply and demand, kind of consolidation, and maybe even a slow decline, because right now we do have more sellers than buyers.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $75,000 (+18.1%) · deadline Sep 11
“And by the way, leave a thumbs up right now. Leave a thumbs up. I want to reach 500 likes on this video. So, we pull it up and the target is $75,000, guys. Absolutely beautiful.”
BTC · Aug 17, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+18.1%) · deadline Sep 16
“this is going to be very supply and demand, kind of consolidation, and maybe even a slow decline, because right now we do have more sellers than buyers.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+18.1%) · deadline Sep 17
“Bitcoin is bottoming out. It's just going to take time for it to pump.”
BTC · Aug 17, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+18.1%) · deadline Sep 16
“this is going to be very supply and demand, kind of consolidation, and maybe even a slow decline, because right now we do have more sellers than buyers.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $76,000 (+9.6%) · deadline Nov 17
“Now, I am still expecting this inverse head and shoulders to soon result to the upside. So, my target is still $76,000.”
BTC · Aug 17, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+18.1%) · deadline Sep 16
“this is going to be very supply and demand, kind of consolidation, and maybe even a slow decline, because right now we do have more sellers than buyers.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $82,000 (+4.7%) · deadline Nov 19
“So I believe Bitcoin is going to 82,000 right now in this immediate short term.”
BTC · Aug 17, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+18.1%) · deadline Sep 16
“this is going to be very supply and demand, kind of consolidation, and maybe even a slow decline, because right now we do have more sellers than buyers.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+2.6%) · deadline Sep 20
“I think Bitcoin will keep going up. And I think Ethereum will even outperform Bitcoin potentially,”
BTC · Aug 14, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+21.9%) · deadline Sep 13
“So, we had the bull market and we have pulled back over 50% this time. So, there's still room to kind of pull back a little bit more, which I expect.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $75,800 (+16.8%) · deadline Nov 05
“If you take this inverse head and shoulders and put this on top of the neckline, that gives us a target at 75.8 thousand dollars for Bitcoin.”
BTC · Aug 14, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+21.9%) · deadline Sep 13
“So, we had the bull market and we have pulled back over 50% this time. So, there's still room to kind of pull back a little bit more, which I expect.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $66,700 (+2.7%) · deadline Nov 05
“I believe that the next step for Bitcoin is to go back up towards 66.7. That's going to be the neckline”
BTC · Aug 14, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+21.9%) · deadline Sep 13
“So, we had the bull market and we have pulled back over 50% this time. So, there's still room to kind of pull back a little bit more, which I expect.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+22.4%) · deadline Sep 09
“i think bitcoin is about to rip so whenever bitcoin rips then of course we're going to have these um other uh positions also do very well”
BTC · Aug 14, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+21.9%) · deadline Sep 13
“So, we had the bull market and we have pulled back over 50% this time. So, there's still room to kind of pull back a little bit more, which I expect.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $67,000 (+4.7%) · deadline Nov 08
“i am still thinking that we're we're on track to go up to our initial target of 67 000 but then obviously i think we're going to go higher because of this inverse head and shoulders”
BTC · Aug 14, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+21.9%) · deadline Sep 13
“So, we had the bull market and we have pulled back over 50% this time. So, there's still room to kind of pull back a little bit more, which I expect.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $75,000 (+18.1%) · deadline Sep 11
“And by the way, leave a thumbs up right now. Leave a thumbs up. I want to reach 500 likes on this video. So, we pull it up and the target is $75,000, guys. Absolutely beautiful.”
BTC · Aug 14, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+21.9%) · deadline Sep 13
“So, we had the bull market and we have pulled back over 50% this time. So, there's still room to kind of pull back a little bit more, which I expect.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+18.1%) · deadline Sep 17
“Bitcoin is bottoming out. It's just going to take time for it to pump.”
BTC · Aug 14, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+21.9%) · deadline Sep 13
“So, we had the bull market and we have pulled back over 50% this time. So, there's still room to kind of pull back a little bit more, which I expect.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $76,000 (+9.6%) · deadline Nov 17
“Now, I am still expecting this inverse head and shoulders to soon result to the upside. So, my target is still $76,000.”
BTC · Aug 05, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+21.5%) · deadline Aug 31
“So there's a high chance that XRP and Bitcoin may be Red just due to the trend of the August month.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $75,800 (+16.8%) · deadline Nov 05
“If you take this inverse head and shoulders and put this on top of the neckline, that gives us a target at 75.8 thousand dollars for Bitcoin.”
BTC · Aug 05, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+21.5%) · deadline Aug 31
“So there's a high chance that XRP and Bitcoin may be Red just due to the trend of the August month.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $66,700 (+2.7%) · deadline Nov 05
“I believe that the next step for Bitcoin is to go back up towards 66.7. That's going to be the neckline”
BTC · Aug 05, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+21.5%) · deadline Aug 31
“So there's a high chance that XRP and Bitcoin may be Red just due to the trend of the August month.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+22.4%) · deadline Sep 09
“i think bitcoin is about to rip so whenever bitcoin rips then of course we're going to have these um other uh positions also do very well”
BTC · Aug 05, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+21.5%) · deadline Aug 31
“So there's a high chance that XRP and Bitcoin may be Red just due to the trend of the August month.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $67,000 (+4.7%) · deadline Nov 08
“i am still thinking that we're we're on track to go up to our initial target of 67 000 but then obviously i think we're going to go higher because of this inverse head and shoulders”
BTC · Aug 04, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ → $60,000 (-0.8%) · deadline Aug 11
“There is a big move we may see in the market over the next few days, but there is a good chance with XRP and Bitcoin that we will head down towards the dollar and 60,000 range.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $75,800 (+16.8%) · deadline Nov 05
“If you take this inverse head and shoulders and put this on top of the neckline, that gives us a target at 75.8 thousand dollars for Bitcoin.”
BTC · Aug 04, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ → $60,000 (-0.8%) · deadline Aug 11
“There is a big move we may see in the market over the next few days, but there is a good chance with XRP and Bitcoin that we will head down towards the dollar and 60,000 range.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $66,700 (+2.7%) · deadline Nov 05
“I believe that the next step for Bitcoin is to go back up towards 66.7. That's going to be the neckline”
BTC · Aug 04, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ → $60,000 (-0.8%) · deadline Aug 11
“There is a big move we may see in the market over the next few days, but there is a good chance with XRP and Bitcoin that we will head down towards the dollar and 60,000 range.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+22.4%) · deadline Sep 09
“i think bitcoin is about to rip so whenever bitcoin rips then of course we're going to have these um other uh positions also do very well”
BTC · Aug 04, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ → $60,000 (-0.8%) · deadline Aug 11
“There is a big move we may see in the market over the next few days, but there is a good chance with XRP and Bitcoin that we will head down towards the dollar and 60,000 range.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $67,000 (+4.7%) · deadline Nov 08
“i am still thinking that we're we're on track to go up to our initial target of 67 000 but then obviously i think we're going to go higher because of this inverse head and shoulders”
BTC · Feb 27, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ → $63,000 (+11.8%) · deadline May 28
“So if we do cross again I do expect a bigger drop back down closer to the 63,000.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+10.3%) · deadline Mar 25
“I think it's very likely at the very least that from this bottom from this support We get a relief rally”
BTC · Feb 27, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ → $63,000 (+11.8%) · deadline May 28
“So if we do cross again I do expect a bigger drop back down closer to the 63,000.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+6.9%) · deadline Mar 04
“I think we're looking at a major bounce to take place in the next few days here”
BTC · Feb 27, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ → $63,000 (+11.8%) · deadline May 28
“So if we do cross again I do expect a bigger drop back down closer to the 63,000.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $83,000 (+4.8%) · deadline Mar 18
“But what I'm very confident in is that I think we're gonna go to 83,000 now to basically close the CME gap”
BTC · Feb 27, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ → $63,000 (+11.8%) · deadline May 28
“So if we do cross again I do expect a bigger drop back down closer to the 63,000.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $71,000 (+4.4%) · deadline Mar 11
“I personally believe that we are going to most likely break back above 71,000 this week or next”
BTC · Feb 27, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ → $63,000 (+11.8%) · deadline May 28
“So if we do cross again I do expect a bigger drop back down closer to the 63,000.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+3.8%) · deadline Mar 31
“amazing time to accumulate because we know that Bitcoin will keep going up that's just that's just the fact”
ETH · Feb 11, 2026
HIT Josh's Finance ▲ → $2,300 (+18.5%) · deadline May 12
“But with Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP, we are going to be more than likely seeing like this V-shaped recovery. If not, trying to make that W, getting closer back up to the last resistance. The resistance would be a clear i”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▼ → $1,500 (+28.7%) · deadline May 06
“I think Ethereum can go unfortunately much much lower I think if theorem can easily go back down to 1.5 K”
BTC · Feb 10, 2026
HIT Josh's Finance ▼ → $65,000 (-5.6%) · deadline May 11
“more than likely we're going to see that retest back to 65,000 and$130 XRP.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+27.2%) · deadline May 06
“I'm pretty sure a short term bounce back towards 80k here would be very very likely”
BTC · Feb 10, 2026
HIT Josh's Finance ▼ → $65,000 (-5.6%) · deadline May 11
“more than likely we're going to see that retest back to 65,000 and$130 XRP.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $80,000 (+12.2%) · deadline Feb 06
“I do believe that the bounce we're gonna see soon will take us up to 80 K”
BTC · Feb 10, 2026
HIT Josh's Finance ▼ → $65,000 (-5.6%) · deadline May 11
“more than likely we're going to see that retest back to 65,000 and$130 XRP.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $100,000 (-0.7%) · deadline Mar 09
“I think we can go to 100k within a few weeks. I know that right now that doesn't sound like a very possible scenario, but I'm telling you”
ETH · Feb 02, 2026
MISS Josh's Finance ▲ → $2,600 (-1.0%) · deadline May 03
“I do think we're going to see that same kind of V-shaped recovery trying to get Ethereum back up to the 2600s.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▼ → $1,500 (+28.7%) · deadline May 06
“I think Ethereum can go unfortunately much much lower I think if theorem can easily go back down to 1.5 K”
BTC · Jul 07, 2025
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ (+6.2%) · deadline Aug 06
“You can also see Bitcoin hitting that sell signal on the hourly. Also we do have some shorts open.”
MISS Carl (The Moon) ▲ → $160,000 (-4.1%) · deadline Oct 12
“the overall target for Bitcoin is actually heading to now with a very high probability like 92 percent probability 160 thousand dollars”
ETH · Jul 04, 2025
MISS Josh's Finance ▼ → $2,400 (+78.8%) · deadline Oct 02
“This would also give us a gap fill coming on Ethereum back down to the low 2400s.”
HIT Carl (The Moon) ▲ (+44.4%) · deadline Aug 09
“I do believe that aetherium is going to keep pumping here”
Full records: Josh's Finance · Carl (The Moon) · all head-to-heads →